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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

"In a building established to prevent another world war, the president of a nuclear-armed state transformed the continued existence of another nation into an option resting upon his personal decision". Threatening the annihilation of countries is the new normal. rboneza.substack.com/p/us-roulett...

rboneza.substack.com

US Roulette: The Pistol on the Table

Trump, the UN, and the Normalisation of Annihilation

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

25 years later: the war on terror's methods—broad counterterrorism laws, executive war powers, mass surveillance, targeted killings and the framing of political opponents as ‘terrorists’—are common tools used by NATO democracies, autocrats and militants alike www.natowatch.org/default/2026...

natowatch.org

The legacy of 9/11 and the ‘war on terror’ for NATO | NATO Watch

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

30 out of 32 NATO members are state parties to the Rome Statute and maintain that the ICC serves vital geopolitical and legal interests. US efforts to dismantle the ICC need to be resisted. The leaders of the 30 must urgently issue strong, visible rebuttals. www.politico.eu/article/us-p...

politico.eu

US pressures NATO allies to destroy International Criminal Court

Washington said it “would be watching closely” to see which allies help in its campaign against the court during a closed-door meeting this summer.

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 17/08/2026

In addition to demanding allies increase military spending in exchange for continued commitment to NATO, Washington is also asking for public ideological loyalty as a factor in the ongoing review of US troops stationed in Europe. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

bloomberg.com

US Presses Allies on Ideological Loyalty Ahead of Troop Cuts

The US wants to know how loyal each NATO ally is to Donald Trump’s policies before cutting military assets defending the alliance.

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

Thought-provoking analysis by Nel Bonilla: NATO 3.0 is producing a “Bunkerstate”: stronger militarily, but less sovereign and less civilian-oriented. Within this "transatlantic cage", Europe remains structurally dependent on US technology and strategy. worldlinesletter.substack.com/p/nato-30-th...

worldlinesletter.substack.com

NATO 3.0: The Transatlantic Cage and the Rise of the Bunkerstate

The transformation of NATO and Europe’s new role as an attritional node

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 07/08/2026

Placing the renewal of the UK’s Trident nuclear programme at the heart of reindustrialisation is not the change that Britain needs. It perpetuates three myths: the myth of independence; the myth of nuclear deterrence; and the myth of reindustrialisation rethinkingsecurity.org.uk/2026/08/07/t...

rethinkingsecurity.org.uk

The Three Myths that Drive the UK’s Nuclear Juggernaut

Within ten days of becoming prime minister, Andy Burnham had hitched his wagon to the idea that an ‘independent nuclear deterrent’ can guarantee not only the UK’s national security but also its rei…

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

The Arctic is at the centre of a geopolitical competition between Russia, NATO states and increasingly China. This article, among other things, calls for urgent Arctic risk-reduction dialogue. thebulletin.org/2026/07/clim...

thebulletin.org

Climate change exacerbates nuclear risks in the Arctic. And we are not ready

Climate change is physically altering the operational environment of nuclear deterrence in the Arctic, but the institutions capable of managing these risks are fragmented and frozen in place.

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 30/07/2026

NATO’s new €27bn fuel pipeline plan may lock the UK into £2.65bn of long-term military spending — with little parliamentary scrutiny and major missed opportunities for tackling fuel poverty at home. www.natowatch.org/sites/defaul...

natowatch.org

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 27/07/2026

The price for European allies signing on to France’s 'forward deterrence' concept may be much greater than argued here. Not gaining a vote on command or policy might be galling. But the ultimate price will be paid by all of us when nuclear deterrence fails. thebulletin.org/2026/07/forw...

thebulletin.org

Forward deterrence: What's (not) in it for France's partners

Four months after President Macron pitched a European "forward deterrence" concept, uneven bilateral terms and strict French nuclear autonomy threaten to leave non-nuclear allies with little say. To p...

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 21/07/2026

A ban on AI-enabled nuclear weapons should be top of the nuclear risk reduction agenda. But NATO's nuclear three (US, UK & France) strongly oppose a ban on military uses of AI, as do others (China, Russia etc). Public pressure is needed to drive change. globalnobelassembly.org/rome-declara...

globalnobelassembly.org

Sign the Rome Declaration on AI & Nuclear Weapons

Humanity stands at a defining moment. Read and sign the Rome Declaration adopted by the Global Nobel Laureates Assembly to urge the disarming of AI-enabled nuclear systems.

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 19/07/2026

NATO’s extra military spending in 2025 alone could lead to additional emissions of 44 million tCO2e and it is failing to meet its own modest climate commitments. The highest reductions in core military emissions are found in neutral Ireland and Switzerland. rethinkingsecurity.org.uk/2026/07/17/m...

rethinkingsecurity.org.uk

Military Climate Action Swamped by Spending Rises

Some militaries have strategies to reduce their carbon emissions – but the latest data shows these are being dwarfed by the effects of spiralling arms spending. Stuart Parkinson investigates.

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 19/07/2026

A managed US exit from NATO remains improbable, although a chaotic drawdown of the US military footprint in Europe has begun shifting the alliance's architecture. Still, European allies need to be working on 'Plan B' security and intelligence frameworks www.independent.org/article/2026...

independent.org

The Case for a Managed U.S. Exit from NATO: News Article - Independent Institute

At the NATO summit in Türkiye, President Donald Trump added a new arrow of accusation to his quiver. For years now, he has rightfully complained and

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 18/07/2026

The Pew tracker of global opinions found a majority of surveyed nations—including 10 out of 12 NATO allies —now view China more positively than the United States. Public opinion has flipped heavily to China due to widespread disapproval of US foreign policy. www.pewresearch.org/global/2026/...

pewresearch.org

People in Many Countries Now View China More Positively Than the U.S.

Views of China have improved recently while views of the U.S. have worsened, to the point where China is now seen more positively than the U.S. in most countries surveyed.

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 14/07/2026

Britain does need to invest more in strengthening its security. But it should do so with open eyes: not as tribute to American politics, not as a subsidy to defence contractors and not as a substitute for strategy. rethinkingsecurity.org.uk/2026/07/14/b...

rethinkingsecurity.org.uk

Britain should be wary of mistaking higher defence spending for a real strategy

The July 2026 NATO Summit was another display of performative loyalty to Donald Trump, quantified in percentage points of GDP and multibillion dollar equipment contracts. Ian Davis argues that the …

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 13/07/2026

All these "quiet" changes to UK nuclear posture and doctrine have potentially head-splitting consequences for all of us. Nuclear weapons planning and 'deterrence' are inherently crimes against humanity due to the scale of destruction they promise. thebulletin.org/2026/07/is-l...

thebulletin.org

Is London shifting from nuclear deterrence to war-fighting?

After decades of gradual disarmament, London is quietly reversing course by expanding its warhead stockpile, altering its nuclear doctrine, and acquiring stealth F-35As to carry US tactical nuclear bo...

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 10/07/2026

The Europeanisation of NATO is under way and was accelerated at the NATO Summit in Ankara. The question is therefore no longer whether NATO will become more European. It is by which path, and by when. For a detailed and unfiltered analysis of the summit: www.natowatch.org/default/2026...

natowatch.org

Shape-shifting NATO keeps transatlantic arms flowing with loyalty alms to US President | NATO Watch

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 06/07/2026

The summit is again going to be primarily about managing President Trump and keeping the United States committed to the alliance. Will the calculation that the security costs of abandoning NATO exceed the political costs of sustaining it still hold post-Ankara? theconversation.com/nato-summit-...

theconversation.com

Nato summit will reveal how alliance plans to manage European security as US cuts back its support

As ever, a lot will depend on the mood of the US president, Donald Trump.

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

The much-delayed UK Defence Investment Plan (DIP) continues to sink money into unneeded and costly legacy programmes. Spending on long-term nuclear capabilities will absorb the majority of the headline increase. A rethink is urgently needed. www.quaker.org.uk/news-and-eve...

quaker.org.uk

Diverse coalition urges PM to rethink military spending

More than fifty humanitarian, climate and peacebuilding organisations are urging Keir Starmer to rethink Britain's growing military spending, ahead of the NATO summit in Ankara.

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 24/06/2026

As NATO seeks to become more 'European-led' a core paradox remains: Europe is rapidly scaling its military spending but still struggles to project unified political leadership. Excellent article from Alexander Graef at ELN: europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/a...

europeanleadershipnetwork.org

A more European NATO, but who leads?

NATO's ongoing adaptation process and unilateral US decisions have created the foundations for a larger European role in transatlantic security, writes ELN Programme Lead Alexander Graef. Whether Euro...

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 16/06/2026

The cancellation of the German-French crewed combat aircraft programme could serve as a vital catalyst for Europe, freeing up immense financial capital and engineering talent to focus on next-generation uncrewed technologies and comprehensive economic security. natowatch.org/default/2026...

natowatch.org

What are the implications of Germany and France cancelling their joint combat aircraft project? | NATO Watch

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 15/06/2026

Both Russia and Ukraine are suffering severe, landscape-altering losses and the conflict has evolved into a condition of mutual destruction. New opportunities for a negotiated settlement or a different strategic trajectory need to be urgently created. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

theguardian.com

Russia is losing the war in Ukraine, and Putin is desperate. But that’s when he’s at his most dangerous | Simon Tisdall

Don’t expect the Russian president to pursue peace. Instead, he could continue to expand the war beyond Ukraine’s borders – with dire risks for us all, says Guardian foreign affairs commentator Simon ...

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 10/06/2026

The penny has only partly dropped. While European confidence in US security guarantee has hit a historic low, a survey suggests, most still think US-European relations will get better after Trump. This is wishful thinking. www.theguardian.com/world/2026/j...

theguardian.com

Only one in 10 Europeans now see US as an ally, survey suggests

Exclusive: poll across 15 countries finds ‘deep mistrust’, with majority doubting US would come to their aid in an attack

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 10/06/2026

The world is moving into an unstable, multipolar environment prone to technological miscalculation. Rather than focusing on raw numbers, modern rearmament centres on speed, stealth and digital integration. This creates several acute systemic risks to global stability. www.sipri.org/media/press-...

sipri.org

Increasing focus on nuclear weapons amid heightened escalation risks—new SIPRI Yearbook out now

(Stockholm, 8 June 2026) The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) today launches its annual assessment of the state of armaments, disarmament and international security.

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 08/06/2026

This EXPLAINER brief looks at why Norway joined France’s 'forward nuclear deterrence' initiative. It reflects European efforts at strategic autonomy, but key concerns include transparency inconsistencies, future nuclear escalation risks and the undermining of the NPT. natowatch.org/default/2026...

natowatch.org

Why are Norway and other European NATO states joining France’s ‘forward nuclear deterrence’ initiative? | NATO Watch

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 03/06/2026

The real issue is not whether NATO should be part of a future freedom of navigation mission in Hormuz, but how it can prevent the US/Israel from carrying out future illegal wars of aggression and how to gain widespread international legitimacy for what comes next. www.defensenews.com/opinion/2026...

defensenews.com

NATO in Hormuz is not mission creep

Opinion: "For much of the last three decades, NATO has operated on the assumption that allied security cannot be defined solely by geography."

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 03/06/2026

UN peacekeepers face shrinking operational budgets and highly lethal asymmetric threats. NATO could help achieve the UN’s Future-Ready Peacekeeping benchmarks by supplying C4ISR upgrades, filling critical logistical gaps and expanding its training frameworks www.theguardian.com/global-devel...

theguardian.com

Peace fails if it is not defended. The UN’s peacekeepers cannot do this alone | Jean-Pierre Lacroix

Cuts in international support threaten the work of the women and men bringing hope to the world’s most vulnerable people

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

Moving nuclear-capable assets closer to adversaries or increasing the number of host nations risks triggering dangerous escalations in Europe, increases the risk of miscalculation during a conventional crisis and undermines the NPT. www.reuters.com/business/aer...

reuters.com

US in talks to expand nuclear weapons deployments in Europe, FT says

The U.S. is discussing whether to deploy nuclear weapons in additional European NATO states, the ‌Financial Times reported on Tuesday.

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 31/05/2026

Perspective: 1. Likely 'collateral damage' as a result of interception; 2. Deaths in Romania from drone incursions zero; from road accidents 1,478 (2024); 3. NATO's RoE are adequate to meet the threat; 4. To reduce/end the threat: diplomacy to end the Russia-Ukraine war www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

bbc.co.uk

Nato condemns Russia after drone hits Romanian residential block, injuring two

Romania says the Russian drone was likely hit over Ukraine by its air defences and altered its trajectory.

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 31/05/2026

Research consistently shows that green investments yield a higher job multiplier than military spending. Home insulation retrofits, public transit and installing solar or wind energy—spend less on expensive equipment (weapons) and more on direct, local labour www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2026...

theguardian.com

‘The potential is huge’: Plymouth hopes defence money will have it sailing again

Local leaders are optimistic investment and regeneration plans will help make ‘ocean city’ an appealing place to live

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 30/05/2026

Norway has been a strong proponent of humanitarian initiatives aimed at reducing global nuclear stockpiles. The decision to open talks to join France’s 'forward nuclear deterrence' entrenches the doctrine as a legitimate security measure and shifts policy away from disarmament goals. f24.my/Bx0d.BS

f24.my

Norway becomes ninth country to come under French nuclear deterrence scheme

Norway on Wednesday became the ninth country to join the France-led nuclear deterrence scheme, the leaders of both countries said. President Emmanuel Macron announced in March that France – the only…

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 30/05/2026

The US has fired more than 1,000 Tomahawks at Iran and could take until late 2030 to fully rebuild that inventory, while Patriot and THAAD replenishment is estimated to wrap up in mid- to late 2029. The inventory crisis is forcing Washington to prioritise US stocks over weapon transfers to allies.

apnews.com

US will need years to replenish stockpiles of advanced weapons used in Iran war, new analysis finds

U.S. military contractors will need at least three years to replenish stockpiles of three key weapons systems used in the Iran war.

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 22/05/2026

President Trump resembles the Grand Old Duke of York: marching 5,000 US troops up the hill to Poland just weeks after ordering the same number of forces pulled out of Europe. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

bbc.co.uk

Rubio tries to reassure Nato allies over US troop deployments

President Donald Trump says he wants to send more troops to Poland, a week after his officials cancelled a similar deployment.

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 08/05/2026

Brazilian delegate at the NPT Review Conference: "the indefinite possession of nuclear weapons by a few cannot remain the organizing principle of international security" reachingcriticalwill.org/images/docum...

reachingcriticalwill.org

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 03/05/2026

When a state or organisation views its own population as a ‘front’ in a conflict, ‘information superiority’ is crucial to ensure that the domestic press and media echo state-sanctioned perspectives to maintain public morale or manufacture consent for a conflict. www.theguardian.com/world/2026/m...

theguardian.com

Nato meetings with TV and film-makers prompt claims it is seeking ‘propaganda’

Exclusive: Two ‘intimate conversations’ held with writers, directors and producers, with a third due in June

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 28/04/2026

"Violations of the rule of law have become the air Americans breathe". Drawing parallels between the US War on Terror and the Department of Homeland Security’s current immigration crackdown. tomdispatch.com/the-global-w...

tomdispatch.com

The Global War on Terror’s Journey Home

America’s Department of Homeland Security (DHS) has been receiving lots of scrutiny right now from journalists and ordinary citizens like me -- and for good reason! Detaining people en route to their ...

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 27/04/2026

In 2025 military spending by European NATO members rose faster than at any time since 1953, reflecting the ongoing pursuit of European self-reliance alongside increasing US pressure to strengthen alliance burden sharing. www.sipri.org/media/press-...

sipri.org

Global military spending rise continues as European and Asian expenditures surge

World military expenditure reached $2887 billion in 2025, an increase of 2.9 per cent in real terms over 2024. Military spending declined in the United States but rose by 14 per cent in Europe and by ...

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

The political and human rights that defined Starmer's legal career were won through the same types of protest his government and UK universities are seeking to limit. A resilient democracy manages dissent through transparency and the protection of civil liberties. www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/...

aljazeera.com

British universities paid security firm to ‘spy’ on pro-Palestine students

Investigation reveals how Horus, a company led by ex-military intelligence officials, was hired during protest movement.

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 21/04/2026

Washington think tanks that provided the intellectual architecture for the Iraq War in 2003 are also the primary drivers of the narrative favouring military action against Iran in 2026, AI analysis finds. responsiblestatecraft.org/iran-war-thi...

responsiblestatecraft.org

Blame these think tanks for the Iran War

We asked AI who the biggest boosters of the conflict are. Surprise: they are all connected to Israel and supported the Iraq war too.

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 17/04/2026

The world’s top 100 oil and gas companies earned more than $30 million every hour in windfall profits during the first month of the US-Israeli war on Iran, generating an estimated $23 billion in excess earnings in March alone as oil averaged $100 a barrel. www.theguardian.com/environment/...

theguardian.com

$30m an hour: big oil reaping huge war windfall from consumers, analysis finds

Exclusive: Climate action blockers including Saudi Arabia, Russia and major fossil fuel firms set to make extra $234bn by end of 2026

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 15/04/2026

On Monday Spain became the first Western nation to reopen its embassy in Tehran since the ceasefire, with Ambassador Antonio Sánchez-Benedito declaring he had returned “in order to join in efforts for peace from every possible quarter.” Spain has been the most vocal NATO state against the conflict.

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 08/04/2026

A new NATO Watch discussion paper by Michael Brzoska warns that NATO’s 2025 decision to raise military spending to 5% of GDP by 2035 could more than double alliance-wide military expenditures and place a heavy burden on European NATO member states. natowatch.org/default/2026...

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 05/04/2026

This Freudian slip in the NYT comes as President Trump has renewed threats to pull the US out of NATO, saying he is “absolutely” and “strongly” considering an exit while attacking allies for doing “absolutely nothing” to support (illegal) US operations in Iran. www.deccanherald.com/world/rest-o...

deccanherald.com

NYT NATO Headline Error Sparks Reactions, AI Role Questioned

NATO Headline Error: NYT's blunder replacing "Atlantic" with "American" in a NATO headline triggers online reactions. Users question if AI proofreading is involved, while NYT promises correction in th...

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 25/03/2026

Boom! Kerching! "it is worth asking who the barbarians are, when the richest country in the world fires missiles from halfway across the world at targets it knows nothing about, because its sleazy, ignorant president wants some positive headlines" open.substack.com/pub/mattcarr...

open.substack.com

Boom! Kerching!

Minab and the New Age of Barbarism

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NATO Watch @natowatch.bsky.social · 10/03/2026

How has NATO responded to the US-Israeli war on Iran? Member states are split: some have voiced strong support for the strikes; others have expressed varying degrees of veiled criticism;  only Spain and Turkey have been unequivocally critical natowatch.org/default/2026...

natowatch.org

Verifying connection

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