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Silver Bulletin

@natesilver.skystack.xyz
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Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker, and all the other things I care about. This is an automated Substack Account of natesilver.substack.com Discover more/Create at: @skystack.xyz

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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 24/09/2026
QBERT 2026 NFL quarterback ratings • Our advanced statistical ratings on every quarterback’s past, present, and future are back, just in time for the new NFL season.
natesilver.net
QBERT 2026 NFL quarterback ratings
Our advanced statistical ratings on every quarterback’s past, present, and future are back, just in time for the new NFL season.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 23/09/2026
Do Republicans really have a money advantage? • They have massive amounts of outside spending, but their candidates are consistently being outraised by Democrats.
natesilver.net
Do Republicans really have a money advantage?
They have massive amounts of outside spending, but their candidates are consistently being outraised by Democrats.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 23/09/2026
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast • Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
natesilver.net
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast
Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 23/09/2026
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot? • Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
natesilver.net
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot?
Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 23/09/2026
How popular is the Iran War? • We're tracking how the American public feels about the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
natesilver.net
How popular is the Iran War?
We're tracking how the American public feels about the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 22/09/2026
Diesel prices could crush Republicans in the heartland • Inflation in fuel prices is much higher in diesel-heavy farm states — and may explain some surprisingly competitive Senate races.
natesilver.net
Diesel prices could crush Republicans in the heartland
Inflation in fuel prices is much higher in diesel-heavy farm states — and may explain some surprisingly competitive Senate races.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 22/09/2026
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast • Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
natesilver.net
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast
Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 21/09/2026
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast • Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
natesilver.net
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast
Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 21/09/2026
How popular is Donald Trump? • Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
natesilver.net
How popular is Donald Trump?
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 21/09/2026
How popular is the Iran War? • We're tracking how the American public feels about the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
natesilver.net
How popular is the Iran War?
We're tracking how the American public feels about the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 21/09/2026
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot? • Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
natesilver.net
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot?
Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 21/09/2026
How popular is Elon Musk? • Silver Bulletin favorability ratings for the world's richest man.
natesilver.net
How popular is Elon Musk?
Silver Bulletin favorability ratings for the world's richest man.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 20/09/2026
Expert ratings are ignoring signs of a blue wave • Assuming we’re in a roughly neutral political environment doesn’t make sense given the history of the midterms, $4.50 gas or Trump’s dismal approval ratings.
natesilver.net
Expert ratings are ignoring signs of a blue wave
Assuming we’re in a roughly neutral political environment doesn’t make sense given the history of the midterms, $4.50 gas or Trump’s dismal approval ratings.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 20/09/2026
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast • Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
natesilver.net
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast
Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 19/09/2026
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast • Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
natesilver.net
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast
Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 18/09/2026
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast • Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
natesilver.net
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast
Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 18/09/2026
How popular is the Iran War? • We're tracking how the American public feels about the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
natesilver.net
How popular is the Iran War?
We're tracking how the American public feels about the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 18/09/2026
How popular is Elon Musk? • Silver Bulletin favorability ratings for the world's richest man.
natesilver.net
How popular is Elon Musk?
Silver Bulletin favorability ratings for the world's richest man.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 17/09/2026
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast • Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
natesilver.net
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast
Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 17/09/2026
A supermajority wants to slow AI down • Plus, the latest on the midterms in Still Counting EP2.
natesilver.net
A supermajority wants to slow AI down
Plus, the latest on the midterms in Still Counting EP2.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 17/09/2026
How popular is Donald Trump? • Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
natesilver.net
How popular is Donald Trump?
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 17/09/2026
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot? • Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
natesilver.net
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot?
Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 17/09/2026
How popular is the Iran War? • We're tracking how the American public feels about the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
natesilver.net
How popular is the Iran War?
We're tracking how the American public feels about the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 17/09/2026
2026 ELWAY NFL projections: Week 2 • Team ratings, playoff and Super Bowl odds, and forecasts of every upcoming game from Silver Bulletin's exclusive NFL model.
natesilver.net
2026 ELWAY NFL projections: Week 2
Team ratings, playoff and Super Bowl odds, and forecasts of every upcoming game from Silver Bulletin's exclusive NFL model.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 17/09/2026
QBERT 2026 NFL quarterback ratings • Our advanced statistical ratings on every quarterback’s past, present, and future are back, just in time for the new NFL season.
natesilver.net
QBERT 2026 NFL quarterback ratings
Our advanced statistical ratings on every quarterback’s past, present, and future are back, just in time for the new NFL season.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 16/09/2026
2026 ELWAY NFL projections: Week 2 • Team ratings, playoff and Super Bowl odds, and forecasts of every upcoming game from Silver Bulletin's exclusive NFL model.
natesilver.net
2026 ELWAY NFL projections: Week 2
Team ratings, playoff and Super Bowl odds, and forecasts of every upcoming game from Silver Bulletin's exclusive NFL model.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 16/09/2026
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast • Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
natesilver.net
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast
Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 16/09/2026
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot? • Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
natesilver.net
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot?
Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 15/09/2026
We’re not ready for superpersistent AI • Intelligence isn’t the only thing to worry about. What happens when AI just won’t quit?
natesilver.net
We’re not ready for superpersistent AI
Intelligence isn’t the only thing to worry about. What happens when AI just won’t quit?
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 15/09/2026
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast • Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
natesilver.net
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast
Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 15/09/2026
How popular is Donald Trump? • Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
natesilver.net
How popular is Donald Trump?
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 15/09/2026
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot? • Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
natesilver.net
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot?
Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 15/09/2026
How popular is the Iran War? • We're tracking how the American public feels about the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
natesilver.net
How popular is the Iran War?
We're tracking how the American public feels about the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 14/09/2026
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast • Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
natesilver.net
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast
Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 14/09/2026
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot? • Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
natesilver.net
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot?
Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 14/09/2026
How popular is Donald Trump? • Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
natesilver.net
How popular is Donald Trump?
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 14/09/2026
How popular is the Iran War? • We're tracking how the American public feels about the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
natesilver.net
How popular is the Iran War?
We're tracking how the American public feels about the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 13/09/2026
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast • Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
natesilver.net
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast
Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 12/09/2026
September polling has been very good for Democrats • A new spike in oil prices probably won’t help Republicans either.
natesilver.net
September polling has been very good for Democrats
A new spike in oil prices probably won’t help Republicans either.
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 12/09/2026
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast • Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
natesilver.net
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast
Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 11/09/2026
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast • Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
natesilver.net
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast
Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 11/09/2026
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot? • Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
natesilver.net
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot?
Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 11/09/2026
How popular is Donald Trump? • Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
natesilver.net
How popular is Donald Trump?
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 11/09/2026
How popular is the Iran War? • We're tracking how the American public feels about the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
natesilver.net
How popular is the Iran War?
We're tracking how the American public feels about the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
001
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 10/09/2026
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast • Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
natesilver.net
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast
Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 10/09/2026
Trump vs. the Blue Wave • Still Counting EP1 is out!
natesilver.net
Trump vs. the Blue Wave
Still Counting EP1 is out!
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Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 10/09/2026
How popular is Donald Trump? • Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
natesilver.net
How popular is Donald Trump?
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 10/09/2026
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot? • Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
natesilver.net
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot?
Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 10/09/2026
How popular is the Iran War? • We're tracking how the American public feels about the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
natesilver.net
How popular is the Iran War?
We're tracking how the American public feels about the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
000
Silver Bulletin @handle.invalid · 09/09/2026
Inside ELWAY’s 2026 NFL forecast • Our model mostly agrees with Vegas, but the differences are revealing. For instance, why does it feel so conflicted about the Rams?
natesilver.net
Inside ELWAY’s 2026 NFL forecast
Our model mostly agrees with Vegas, but the differences are revealing. For instance, why does it feel so conflicted about the Rams?
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