Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 25/09/2026The *vibes* of the TX senate race feel similar to 2018 but the polling this time around has Talarico as a pretty significant favorite. Beto was a fairly heavy underdog but beat his polls by about 4 points. 011
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 14/09/2026I had to update this table after last night's game. Texas-Ohio State was their third least likely victory according to the in-game win probability chart. 000
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 13/09/2026maybe it's a way of trying to disguise his overt racism so that outlets will confuse it with "xenophobia" 2140
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 13/09/2026the mask has been off for a while but this would have beyond cancelled any shot of winning an election not even 2 years ago 001
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 12/08/2026Francesca Hong when asked what’s her least favorite holiday 010
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 12/08/2026the progressive bastion of these states use two rounds for primaries 010
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 07/08/2026Hassan losing this with the Trump endorsement to a candidate who dropped out is pretty much entirely because of his name. This is only the second primary loss for a Trump endorsed house candidate this cycle. true deplorables 000
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 31/07/2026How much of the UT "dismount" zone is just because they don't want to ruin the aesthetics of the speedway bricks with a bucket of paint to make a bike lane 🤦♂️ 120
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 30/07/2026I don't understand why this person has been uploading hundreds of AI Ben Hodges videos 000
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 23/07/2026The sample size is 2 crashes included in the Austin dataset. It is a pretty small sample size to make any concuslions about AV safety in Austin. 000
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 23/07/2026I'm skeptical this is a meaningful finding as it is such a small sample size as it was only including waymo crashes up until Dec 2024. 555k VMT in ATX (2 crashes) included versus 50M across the waymo fleet. I'm curious what the total is today. 021
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 21/07/2026I got so annoyed with potential Love Island UK spoilers I got claude to make me an extension to blur thumbnail images on ITV's website 140
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 15/07/2026Not showing the sunsets in this trade off is so disingenuous. Perma-DST would make pre-5PM sunsets non-existent for almost the entire continental US. This especially impacts the population centers on the east coast and in SoCal. 160
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 13/07/2026Arizona clearly has this figured out. Late sunset in the winter and one of the earliest sunsets in the summer. 000
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 09/07/2026how big is the budget gonna have to be to rip off this cheugy eat pray love shit off the White House for the next president 010
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 11/06/2026A single one way ride on the strip will be a whopping $5. That's insane. You might as well pay the cost of an uber at that point. The monorail is $6 for a one way ride, too. 010
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 10/06/2026Flippo got 61% of the vote on election day in Washoe. I don't see a late election day rally for Settlemeyer being in the cards. 100
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 10/06/2026Flippo has 897 vote lead after most counties have reported early/mail results. Settlemeyer doing better than Flippo outside of Washoe (+8%). Currently, Washoe accounts for 51% of votes counted. Election day looms large and a few small rural counties have not reported anything yet. 000
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 10/06/2026Dem turnout in Clark County district F looking pretty good for early/mail vote. Election day will skew things back towards republicans but this was narrowly won by the Dem candidate by 300 votes in 2022. 000
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 10/06/2026calling the rep primary before the dem primary here is somewhat strange but ok! 000
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 10/06/2026Hill losing in her home Washoe County by a chunk after early vote. Removes doubt if this was gonna be remotely close 000
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 09/06/2026I thought this was a quite confusing visual on the Nevada SoS website that hides that it assumes 40% of mail ballots will be returned. In the '24 presidential percent returned was 32%. The '26 primary will be much lower than that. The ~600k estimate is likely a significant overestimate. 010
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 05/06/2026You can vote in a Fyre Fest tent in Las Vegas 😎 voted for @alexisfornevada.com @lallyfornv.bsky.social Minja Yan! 050
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 31/05/2026coyote- prequels Coach pop- a new hope Wemby- return of the jedi 010
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 30/05/2026I was working to see what a potential tied election map would look like in Texas this year and it is identical to the 2018 map! Without South Texas it would get tougher and probably require getting very close to flipping Collin and Denton counties. 111
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 27/05/2026Cornyn will only will two counties tonight, Travis and Kenedy County. Kenedy only had 8 votes total cast, and is the fourth smallest county by population in the country. 121
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 27/05/2026The synergy between Paxton and French is gonna work magic for dems downballot 062
Charlie Henry @modalshift.co · 27/05/2026Looks like wright was able to make up some ground but there's not much vote left to report out. Some in Harris, Dallas, Williamson, and Bexar counties. He has been winning the eday vote but not by much. 100
