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MLB Win Probability Bot

@mlbwpbot.bsky.social
44 followers 1 following 1.8K posts

⚾ Win Probability Charts for every MLB game. How dramatic was tonight's finish? The chart tells the story. 🤖 Automated • Updated after every final • Fun Project

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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 21h
⚾ Cubs 1, Padres 4 W: Bradgley Rodriguez | L: Kevin Gausman | SV: Mason Miller 🔑 Gavin Sheets homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Xander Bogaerts scores. (17% WPA) #Padres #Cubs
Win Probability Chart: Chicago Cubs 1 at San Diego Padres 4, 2026-09-30. San Diego Padres win probability ranged from 50% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 21h
⚾ Red Sox 2, Yankees 9 W: Max Fried | L: Sonny Gray 🔑 Luis García Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. (12% WPA) #Yankees #RedSox
Win Probability Chart: Boston Red Sox 2 at New York Yankees 9, 2026-09-30. New York Yankees win probability ranged from 45% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
⚾ White Sox 7, Astros 3 W: Anthony Kay | L: Hunter Brown 🔑 Andrew Benintendi singles on a line drive to center fielder Lucas Spence. Kyle T (14% WPA) #Astros #WhiteSox
Win Probability Chart: Chicago White Sox 7 at Houston Astros 3, 2026-09-30. Houston Astros win probability ranged from 0% to 47%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
⚾ Phillies 4, Braves 3 (10 Inn.) W: Andrew Painter | L: Didier Fuentes 🔑 Alec Bohm homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. (41% WPA) #Braves #Phillies
Win Probability Chart: Philadelphia Phillies 4 at Atlanta Braves 3, 2026-09-30. Atlanta Braves win probability ranged from 0% to 88%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
⚾ Cubs 0, Padres 8 (Shutout) W: Michael King | L: Matthew Boyd 🔑 Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. (10% WPA) #Padres #Cubs
Win Probability Chart: Chicago Cubs 0 at San Diego Padres 8, 2026-09-29. San Diego Padres win probability ranged from 52% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
⚾ Red Sox 0, Yankees 9 (Shutout) W: Cam Schlittler | L: Payton Tolle 🔑 Ben Rice homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. (12% WPA) #Yankees #RedSox
Win Probability Chart: Boston Red Sox 0 at New York Yankees 9, 2026-09-29. New York Yankees win probability ranged from 49% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
⚾ White Sox 6, Astros 3 W: Jordan Hicks | L: AJ Blubaugh 🔑 Nelson Velázquez homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Lucas Spence scores. (9% WPA) #Astros #WhiteSox
Win Probability Chart: Chicago White Sox 6 at Houston Astros 3, 2026-09-29. Houston Astros win probability ranged from 0% to 46%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
⚾ Phillies 3, Braves 5 W: Dylan Lee | L: Jhoan Duran | SV: Raisel Iglesias 🔑 Austin Riley homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Michael Harris II s (64% WPA) #Braves #Phillies
Win Probability Chart: Philadelphia Phillies 3 at Atlanta Braves 5, 2026-09-29. Atlanta Braves win probability ranged from 19% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Cardinals 4, Brewers 6 W: Jacob Misiorowski | L: Andre Pallante | SV: Shane Drohan 🔑 Jackson Chourio singles on a ground ball to center fielder Nathan Church. Garret (11% WPA) #Brewers #Cardinals
Win Probability Chart: St. Louis Cardinals 4 at Milwaukee Brewers 6, 2026-09-27. Milwaukee Brewers win probability ranged from 52% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Braves 3, Marlins 5 W: Michael Petersen | L: JR Ritchie | SV: Sandy Alcantara 🔑 Jared Serna doubles (3) on a ground ball to left fielder Mauricio Dubón. Esteury (17% WPA) #Marlins #Braves
Win Probability Chart: Atlanta Braves 3 at Miami Marlins 5, 2026-09-27. Miami Marlins win probability ranged from 37% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Rockies 2, White Sox 4 W: Anthony Kay | L: Kyle Freeland | SV: Trevor Richards 🔑 Randal Grichuk homers (15) on a line drive to left field. Luisangel Acuña scores (19% WPA) #WhiteSox #Rockies
Win Probability Chart: Colorado Rockies 2 at Chicago White Sox 4, 2026-09-27. Chicago White Sox win probability ranged from 38% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Rangers 4, Twins 6 W: Dean Kremer | L: Chase Silseth 🔑 Josh Bell homers (21) on a fly ball to right field. Luke Keaschall scores. (21% WPA) #Twins #Rangers
Win Probability Chart: Texas Rangers 4 at Minnesota Twins 6, 2026-09-27. Minnesota Twins win probability ranged from 49% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Angels 3, Mariners 7 W: Eduard Bazardo | L: Yusei Kikuchi 🔑 Cal Raleigh singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Josh Lowe. Randy Aro (10% WPA) #Mariners #Angels
Win Probability Chart: Los Angeles Angels 3 at Seattle Mariners 7, 2026-09-27. Seattle Mariners win probability ranged from 50% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ D-backs 4, Padres 9 W: Griffin Canning | L: Justin Martinez 🔑 Lars Nootbaar singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Jase Bowen. Tim T (19% WPA) #Padres #D-backs
Win Probability Chart: Arizona Diamondbacks 4 at San Diego Padres 9, 2026-09-27. San Diego Padres win probability ranged from 50% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Pirates 4, Tigers 2 W: Lake Bachar | L: River Ryan | SV: Mason Montgomery 🔑 Konnor Griffin grounds into a double play, shortstop John Peck to second baseman (11% WPA) #Tigers #Pirates
Win Probability Chart: Pittsburgh Pirates 4 at Detroit Tigers 2, 2026-09-27. Detroit Tigers win probability ranged from 0% to 44%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Guardians 2, Royals 3 W: Nate Pearson | L: Austin Peterson | SV: Lucas Erceg 🔑 Vinnie Pasquantino homers (17) on a fly ball to right field. (26% WPA) #Royals #Guardians
Win Probability Chart: Cleveland Guardians 2 at Kansas City Royals 3, 2026-09-27. Kansas City Royals win probability ranged from 37% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Reds 1, Blue Jays 5 W: Max Scherzer | L: Brandon Williamson 🔑 Brandon Valenzuela homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Davis Schneider sco (16% WPA) #BlueJays #Reds
Win Probability Chart: Cincinnati Reds 1 at Toronto Blue Jays 5, 2026-09-27. Toronto Blue Jays win probability ranged from 46% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Dodgers 5, Giants 1 (10 Inn.) W: Alex Vesia | L: Duncan Davitt 🔑 Andy Pages homers (23) on a fly ball to left field. Alex Call scores. Max Muncy (33% WPA) #Giants #Dodgers
Win Probability Chart: Los Angeles Dodgers 5 at San Francisco Giants 1, 2026-09-27. San Francisco Giants win probability ranged from 0% to 78%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Astros 9, Athletics 0 (Shutout) W: Ethan Pecko | L: Brady Basso 🔑 Lucas Spence triples (1) on a line drive to center fielder Henry Bolte. Yainer D (15% WPA) #Athletics #Astros
Win Probability Chart: Houston Astros 9 at Athletics 0, 2026-09-27. Athletics win probability ranged from 0% to 61%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Cubs 6, Red Sox 2 W: Braxton Garrett | L: Tanner Houck | SV: Colin Rea 🔑 Caleb Durbin grounds into a double play, shortstop Dansby Swanson to second base (16% WPA) #RedSox #Cubs
Win Probability Chart: Chicago Cubs 6 at Boston Red Sox 2, 2026-09-27. Boston Red Sox win probability ranged from 0% to 55%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Rays 3, Phillies 7 W: Zack Wheeler | L: Nick Martinez 🔑 Kyle Schwarber doubles (20) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. (12% WPA) #Phillies #Rays
Win Probability Chart: Tampa Bay Rays 3 at Philadelphia Phillies 7, 2026-09-27. Philadelphia Phillies win probability ranged from 52% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Mets 4, Nationals 6 W: Will Dion | L: Sean Manaea | SV: Erik Tolman 🔑 Ronny Mauricio homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Luis Torrens scores. (20% WPA) #Nationals #Mets
Win Probability Chart: New York Mets 4 at Washington Nationals 6, 2026-09-27. Washington Nationals win probability ranged from 21% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Angels 4, Mariners 8 W: Carlos Vargas | L: Mitch Farris 🔑 Bryce Teodosio singles on a line drive to center fielder Randy Arozarena. Denzer (18% WPA) #Mariners #Angels
Win Probability Chart: Los Angeles Angels 4 at Seattle Mariners 8, 2026-09-26. Seattle Mariners win probability ranged from 46% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Astros 13, Athletics 2 W: Hayden Wesneski | L: Jack Perkins 🔑 Yordan Alvarez homers (42) on a line drive to right field. Cam Smith scores. Jer (18% WPA) #Athletics #Astros
Win Probability Chart: Houston Astros 13 at Athletics 2, 2026-09-26. Athletics win probability ranged from 0% to 53%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ D-backs 7, Padres 10 W: Yuki Matsui | L: Jose Cabrera 🔑 Manny Machado homers (30) on a fly ball to right field. Ethan Salas scores. Fern (29% WPA) #Padres #D-backs
Win Probability Chart: Arizona Diamondbacks 7 at San Diego Padres 10, 2026-09-26. San Diego Padres win probability ranged from 40% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Rays 12, Phillies 1 W: Steven Matz | L: Aaron Nola 🔑 Junior Caminero homers (42) on a fly ball to left center field. Yandy Díaz score (17% WPA) #Phillies #Rays
Win Probability Chart: Tampa Bay Rays 12 at Philadelphia Phillies 1, 2026-09-26. Philadelphia Phillies win probability ranged from 0% to 51%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Cardinals 2, Brewers 3 W: Kyle Harrison | L: Quinn Mathews | SV: Aaron Ashby 🔑 Brice Turang homers (21) on a fly ball to center field. Jackson Chourio scores. (30% WPA) #Brewers #Cardinals
Win Probability Chart: St. Louis Cardinals 2 at Milwaukee Brewers 3, 2026-09-26. Milwaukee Brewers win probability ranged from 31% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Rockies 9, White Sox 6 W: Ryan Feltner | L: Davis Martin 🔑 Colson Montgomery grounds into a double play, second baseman Adael Amador to sho (22% WPA) #WhiteSox #Rockies
Win Probability Chart: Colorado Rockies 9 at Chicago White Sox 6, 2026-09-26. Chicago White Sox win probability ranged from 0% to 46%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Guardians 11, Royals 5 W: Tanner Bibee | L: Michael Wacha 🔑 Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Patrick Bailey homers (17% WPA) #Royals #Guardians
Win Probability Chart: Cleveland Guardians 11 at Kansas City Royals 5, 2026-09-26. Kansas City Royals win probability ranged from 0% to 79%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Rangers 6, Twins 2 W: Robert Garcia | L: Bailey Ober 🔑 Evan Carter doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Luke Keaschall. (11% WPA) #Twins #Rangers
Win Probability Chart: Texas Rangers 6 at Minnesota Twins 2, 2026-09-26. Minnesota Twins win probability ranged from 0% to 64%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Braves 8, Marlins 3 W: Victor Mederos | L: Jack Ralston 🔑 Dominic Smith homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Mike Yastrzemski s (14% WPA) #Marlins #Braves
Win Probability Chart: Atlanta Braves 8 at Miami Marlins 3, 2026-09-26. Miami Marlins win probability ranged from 0% to 48%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Dodgers 4, Giants 3 W: Evan Phillips | L: Trent Harris | SV: Tanner Scott 🔑 Enrique Hernández homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. (34% WPA) #Giants #Dodgers
Win Probability Chart: Los Angeles Dodgers 4 at San Francisco Giants 3, 2026-09-26. San Francisco Giants win probability ranged from 0% to 55%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Reds 5, Blue Jays 1 W: Rhett Lowder | L: Trey Yesavage 🔑 JJ Bleday homers (24) on a fly ball to center field. (10% WPA) #BlueJays #Reds
Win Probability Chart: Cincinnati Reds 5 at Toronto Blue Jays 1, 2026-09-26. Toronto Blue Jays win probability ranged from 0% to 63%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Pirates 3, Tigers 4 (Walk-off) W: Jacob Waguespack | L: Mason Montgomery 🔑 Eduardo Valencia homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Hao-Yu Lee score (83% WPA) #Tigers #Pirates
Win Probability Chart: Pittsburgh Pirates 3 at Detroit Tigers 4, 2026-09-26. Detroit Tigers win probability ranged from 4% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Mets 7, Nationals 1 W: Dedniel Núñez | L: Jake Irvin 🔑 A.J. Ewing homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Carson Benge scores. (49% WPA) #Nationals #Mets
Win Probability Chart: New York Mets 7 at Washington Nationals 1, 2026-09-26. Washington Nationals win probability ranged from 0% to 74%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Dodgers 2, Giants 0 (Shutout) W: Tarik Skubal | L: Yunior Marte | SV: Tanner Scott 🔑 Teoscar Hernández homers (16) on a fly ball to left field. (10% WPA) #Giants #Dodgers
Win Probability Chart: Los Angeles Dodgers 2 at San Francisco Giants 0, 2026-09-25. San Francisco Giants win probability ranged from 0% to 54%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Angels 7, Mariners 5 W: Reid Detmers | L: Bryce Miller 🔑 Christian Moore homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Wade Meckler scor (16% WPA) #Mariners #Angels
Win Probability Chart: Los Angeles Angels 7 at Seattle Mariners 5, 2026-09-25. Seattle Mariners win probability ranged from 0% to 53%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ D-backs 11, Padres 4 W: Brandon Pfaadt | L: Casey Mize 🔑 Nolan Arenado homers (30) on a fly ball to left field. Geraldo Perdomo scores. (15% WPA) #Padres #D-backs
Win Probability Chart: Arizona Diamondbacks 11 at San Diego Padres 4, 2026-09-25. San Diego Padres win probability ranged from 0% to 42%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Astros 5, Athletics 6 W: Jacob Lopez | L: Hunter Brown | SV: Hogan Harris 🔑 Michael Stefanic singles on a line drive to center fielder Lucas Spence. Jeff Mc (19% WPA) #Athletics #Astros
Win Probability Chart: Houston Astros 5 at Athletics 6, 2026-09-25. Athletics win probability ranged from 34% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Rangers 2, Twins 10 W: Joe Ryan | L: Jacob deGrom 🔑 Luke Keaschall triples (3) on a line drive to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Royce (16% WPA) #Twins #Rangers
Win Probability Chart: Texas Rangers 2 at Minnesota Twins 10, 2026-09-25. Minnesota Twins win probability ranged from 29% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Guardians 12, Royals 9 W: Hunter Gaddis | L: Nate Pearson 🔑 Carter Jensen homers (27) on a fly ball to right center field. Kyle Isbel scores (41% WPA) #Royals #Guardians
Win Probability Chart: Cleveland Guardians 12 at Kansas City Royals 9, 2026-09-25. Kansas City Royals win probability ranged from 0% to 66%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Cardinals 4, Brewers 8 W: Abner Uribe | L: Luis Gastelum 🔑 Alec Burleson homers (25) on a fly ball to right field. Leo Bernal scores. (25% WPA) #Brewers #Cardinals
Win Probability Chart: St. Louis Cardinals 4 at Milwaukee Brewers 8, 2026-09-25. Milwaukee Brewers win probability ranged from 43% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Rockies 1, White Sox 6 W: Sean Burke | L: Tomoyuki Sugano 🔑 TJ Rumfield homers (16) on a fly ball to right field. (10% WPA) #WhiteSox #Rockies
Win Probability Chart: Colorado Rockies 1 at Chicago White Sox 6, 2026-09-25. Chicago White Sox win probability ranged from 52% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Braves 0, Marlins 3 (Shutout) W: Eury Pérez | L: Grant Holmes 🔑 Joe Mack homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field. (22% WPA) #Marlins #Braves
Win Probability Chart: Atlanta Braves 0 at Miami Marlins 3, 2026-09-25. Miami Marlins win probability ranged from 44% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Reds 5, Blue Jays 6 W: Mason Fluharty | L: Luis Mey | SV: Louis Varland 🔑 Kazuma Okamoto doubles (26) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Carlos Jorge (28% WPA) #BlueJays #Reds
Win Probability Chart: Cincinnati Reds 5 at Toronto Blue Jays 6, 2026-09-25. Toronto Blue Jays win probability ranged from 9% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Mets 6, Nationals 7 W: Gus Varland | L: Jonathan Pintaro | SV: Josiah Gray 🔑 CJ Abrams singles on a fly ball to right fielder Carson Benge. James Wood scores (17% WPA) #Nationals #Mets
Win Probability Chart: New York Mets 6 at Washington Nationals 7, 2026-09-25. Washington Nationals win probability ranged from 31% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Rays 2, Phillies 0 (Shutout) W: Freddy Peralta | L: Cristopher Sánchez | SV: Bryan Baker 🔑 Bryson Stott lines out to second baseman Ben Williamson. (12% WPA) #Phillies #Rays
Win Probability Chart: Tampa Bay Rays 2 at Philadelphia Phillies 0, 2026-09-25. Philadelphia Phillies win probability ranged from 0% to 53%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Pirates 7, Tigers 8 W: Jackson Jobe | L: Bubba Chandler | SV: Kenley Jansen 🔑 Spencer Torkelson triples (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jake Mangum (20% WPA) #Tigers #Pirates
Win Probability Chart: Pittsburgh Pirates 7 at Detroit Tigers 8, 2026-09-25. Detroit Tigers win probability ranged from 31% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Orioles 3, Yankees 6 W: Will Warren | L: Brandon Young 🔑 Ryan McMahon doubles (14) on a line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Austi (16% WPA) #Yankees #Orioles
Win Probability Chart: Baltimore Orioles 3 at New York Yankees 6, 2026-09-25. New York Yankees win probability ranged from 43% to 100%.
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MLB Win Probability Bot @mlbwpbot.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Cubs 0, Red Sox 2 (Shutout) W: Jedixson Paez | L: Javier Assad 🔑 Wilyer Abreu doubles (38) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstr (34% WPA) #RedSox #Cubs
Win Probability Chart: Chicago Cubs 0 at Boston Red Sox 2, 2026-09-25. Boston Red Sox win probability ranged from 44% to 100%.
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