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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter

@mlb-simulator.bsky.social
308 followers 2 following 5.7K posts

Using expected outcomes to simulate previous MLB games. Code can be found in GitHub: github.com/dgrifka/baseball_game_si… Website: dtwbaseball.com Created by @derekgrifka.bsky.social

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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 8h
⚾ Padres @ Brewers 10/03/2026 Final: Padres 2, Brewers 3 Deserve-to-Win: Padres 6% / Brewers 89% (Tie 5%) #MLB #ForTheFaithful #ThisIsMyCrew
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 11h
⚾ Yankees @ Rays 10/03/2026 Final: Yankees 0, Rays 1 Deserve-to-Win: Yankees 9% / Rays 81% (Tie 10%) #MLB #RepBX #RaysUp
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 13h
⚾ Braves @ Dodgers 10/03/2026 Final: Braves 3, Dodgers 5 Deserve-to-Win: Braves 8% / Dodgers 82% (Tie 10%) #MLB #BravesCountry #Dodgers
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 16h
⚾ White Sox @ Guardians 10/03/2026 Final: White Sox 3, Guardians 0 Deserve-to-Win: White Sox 89% / Guardians 4% (Tie 6%) #MLB #WhiteSox #GuardsBall
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
⚾ Phillies @ Braves 10/01/2026 Final: Phillies 2, Braves 6 Deserve-to-Win: Phillies 12% / Braves 78% (Tie 10%) #MLB #RingTheBell #BravesCountry
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
⚾ Cubs @ Padres 09/30/2026 Final: Cubs 1, Padres 4 Deserve-to-Win: Cubs 14% / Padres 70% (Tie 15%) #MLB #Cubs #ForTheFaithful
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
⚾ Red Sox @ Yankees 09/30/2026 Final: Red Sox 2, Yankees 9 Deserve-to-Win: Red Sox 6% / Yankees 87% (Tie 7%) #MLB #DirtyWater #RepBX
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
🚨 White Sox are luck merchants! 🚨 ⚾ White Sox @ Astros 09/30/2026 Final: White Sox 7, Astros 3 Deserve-to-Win: White Sox 16% / Astros 69% (Tie 15%) #MLB #WhiteSox #ChaseTheFight
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
⚾ Phillies @ Braves 09/30/2026 Final: Phillies 4, Braves 3 Deserve-to-Win: Phillies 55% / Braves 31% (Tie 14%) #MLB #RingTheBell #BravesCountry
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
⚾ Cubs @ Padres 09/29/2026 Final: Cubs 0, Padres 8 Deserve-to-Win: Cubs 2% / Padres 95% (Tie 3%) #MLB #Cubs #ForTheFaithful
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
⚾ Red Sox @ Yankees 09/29/2026 Final: Red Sox 0, Yankees 9 Deserve-to-Win: Red Sox 0% / Yankees 99% (Tie 1%) #MLB #DirtyWater #RepBX
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
⚾ White Sox @ Astros 09/29/2026 Final: White Sox 6, Astros 3 Deserve-to-Win: White Sox 63% / Astros 23% (Tie 14%) #MLB #WhiteSox #ChaseTheFight
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
⚾ Phillies @ Braves 09/29/2026 Final: Phillies 3, Braves 5 Deserve-to-Win: Phillies 10% / Braves 79% (Tie 11%) #MLB #RingTheBell #BravesCountry
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Luck Update — 2026 through Sep 27, 2026 Luckiest: #RaysUp (98-64, +17.4 wins above expected) Unluckiest: #DNMW (76-86, -13.6) 3 charts below Teams: dtwbaseball.com/teams #MLB
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
⚾ Angels @ Mariners 09/27/2026 Final: Angels 3, Mariners 7 Deserve-to-Win: Angels 18% / Mariners 67% (Tie 16%) #MLB #RepTheHalo #TridentsUp
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
⚾ Astros @ Athletics 09/27/2026 Final: Astros 9, Athletics 0 Deserve-to-Win: Astros 97% / Athletics 1% (Tie 2%) #MLB #ChaseTheFight #Athletics
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Cardinals @ Brewers 09/27/2026 Final: Cardinals 4, Brewers 6 Deserve-to-Win: Cardinals 38% / Brewers 47% (Tie 15%) #MLB #STLCards #ThisIsMyCrew
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Braves @ Marlins 09/27/2026 Final: Braves 3, Marlins 5 Deserve-to-Win: Braves 6% / Marlins 87% (Tie 7%) #MLB #BravesCountry #FightinFish
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Rockies @ White Sox 09/27/2026 Final: Rockies 2, White Sox 4 Deserve-to-Win: Rockies 26% / White Sox 59% (Tie 14%) #MLB #Rockies #WhiteSox
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Rangers @ Twins 09/27/2026 Final: Rangers 4, Twins 6 Deserve-to-Win: Rangers 8% / Twins 83% (Tie 9%) #MLB #AllForTX #NoPlaceLikeHERE
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ D-backs @ Padres 09/27/2026 Final: D-backs 4, Padres 9 Deserve-to-Win: D-backs 23% / Padres 65% (Tie 12%) #MLB #Dbacks #ForTheFaithful
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Pirates @ Tigers 09/27/2026 Final: Pirates 4, Tigers 2 Deserve-to-Win: Pirates 64% / Tigers 16% (Tie 19%) #MLB #LetsGoBucs #DNMW
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Guardians @ Royals 09/27/2026 Final: Guardians 2, Royals 3 Deserve-to-Win: Guardians 48% / Royals 35% (Tie 17%) #MLB #GuardsBall #FountainsUp
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Reds @ Blue Jays 09/27/2026 Final: Reds 1, Blue Jays 5 Deserve-to-Win: Reds 16% / Blue Jays 67% (Tie 17%) #MLB #ATOBTTR #BlueJays50
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Dodgers @ Giants 09/27/2026 Final: Dodgers 5, Giants 1 Deserve-to-Win: Dodgers 98% / Giants 0% (Tie 2%) #MLB #Dodgers #SFGiants
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Cubs @ Red Sox 09/27/2026 Final: Cubs 6, Red Sox 2 Deserve-to-Win: Cubs 90% / Red Sox 5% (Tie 5%) #MLB #Cubs #DirtyWater
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Rays @ Phillies 09/27/2026 Final: Rays 3, Phillies 7 Deserve-to-Win: Rays 6% / Phillies 88% (Tie 6%) #MLB #RaysUp #RingTheBell
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Mets @ Nationals 09/27/2026 Final: Mets 4, Nationals 6 Deserve-to-Win: Mets 36% / Nationals 49% (Tie 15%) #MLB #LGM #Natitude
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Playoff Probabilities — September 27, 2026 Biggest movers: ↑ #Cubs +7.8% ↓ #Dbacks -6.3% ↓ #AllForTX -4.8% Rooting guides: who does your team need today? Standings: dtwbaseball.com/standings #MLB
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Angels @ Mariners 09/26/2026 Final: Angels 4, Mariners 8 Deserve-to-Win: Angels 2% / Mariners 97% (Tie 2%) #MLB #RepTheHalo #TridentsUp
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Astros @ Athletics 09/26/2026 Final: Astros 13, Athletics 2 Deserve-to-Win: Astros 100% / Athletics 0% (Tie 0%) #MLB #ChaseTheFight #Athletics
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ D-backs @ Padres 09/26/2026 Final: D-backs 7, Padres 10 Deserve-to-Win: D-backs 32% / Padres 57% (Tie 11%) #MLB #Dbacks #ForTheFaithful
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Rays @ Phillies 09/26/2026 Final: Rays 12, Phillies 1 Deserve-to-Win: Rays 79% / Phillies 13% (Tie 9%) #MLB #RaysUp #RingTheBell
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Rockies @ White Sox 09/26/2026 Final: Rockies 9, White Sox 6 Deserve-to-Win: Rockies 67% / White Sox 21% (Tie 12%) #MLB #Rockies #WhiteSox
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Cardinals @ Brewers 09/26/2026 Final: Cardinals 2, Brewers 3 Deserve-to-Win: Cardinals 12% / Brewers 74% (Tie 14%) #MLB #STLCards #ThisIsMyCrew
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Guardians @ Royals 09/26/2026 Final: Guardians 11, Royals 5 Deserve-to-Win: Guardians 70% / Royals 20% (Tie 10%) #MLB #GuardsBall #FountainsUp
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Rangers @ Twins 09/26/2026 Final: Rangers 6, Twins 2 Deserve-to-Win: Rangers 89% / Twins 6% (Tie 5%) #MLB #AllForTX #NoPlaceLikeHERE
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
🚨 Braves are luck merchants! 🚨 ⚾ Braves @ Marlins 09/26/2026 Final: Braves 8, Marlins 3 Deserve-to-Win: Braves 33% / Marlins 52% (Tie 15%) #MLB #BravesCountry #FightinFish
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
⚾ Dodgers @ Giants 09/26/2026 Final: Dodgers 4, Giants 3 Deserve-to-Win: Dodgers 69% / Giants 17% (Tie 14%) #MLB #Dodgers #SFGiants
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Reds @ Blue Jays 09/26/2026 Final: Reds 5, Blue Jays 1 Deserve-to-Win: Reds 67% / Blue Jays 21% (Tie 12%) #MLB #ATOBTTR #BlueJays50
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Pirates @ Tigers 09/26/2026 Final: Pirates 3, Tigers 4 Deserve-to-Win: Pirates 42% / Tigers 43% (Tie 15%) #MLB #LetsGoBucs #DNMW
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Mets @ Nationals 09/26/2026 Final: Mets 7, Nationals 1 Deserve-to-Win: Mets 97% / Nationals 1% (Tie 2%) #MLB #LGM #Natitude
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Playoff Probabilities — September 26, 2026 Biggest movers: ↑ #Dbacks +19.2% ↓ #RingTheBell -12.3% ↓ #Cubs -6.8% Rooting guides: who does your team need today? Standings: dtwbaseball.com/standings #MLB
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Angels @ Mariners 09/25/2026 Final: Angels 7, Mariners 5 Deserve-to-Win: Angels 65% / Mariners 23% (Tie 12%) #MLB #RepTheHalo #TridentsUp
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ D-backs @ Padres 09/25/2026 Final: D-backs 11, Padres 4 Deserve-to-Win: D-backs 96% / Padres 2% (Tie 2%) #MLB #Dbacks #ForTheFaithful
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Astros @ Athletics 09/25/2026 Final: Astros 5, Athletics 6 Deserve-to-Win: Astros 42% / Athletics 43% (Tie 15%) #MLB #ChaseTheFight #Athletics
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Dodgers @ Giants 09/25/2026 Final: Dodgers 2, Giants 0 Deserve-to-Win: Dodgers 99% / Giants 0% (Tie 1%) #MLB #Dodgers #SFGiants
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Guardians @ Royals 09/25/2026 Final: Guardians 12, Royals 9 Deserve-to-Win: Guardians 53% / Royals 36% (Tie 11%) #MLB #GuardsBall #FountainsUp
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Rangers @ Twins 09/25/2026 Final: Rangers 2, Twins 10 Deserve-to-Win: Rangers 19% / Twins 69% (Tie 11%) #MLB #AllForTX #NoPlaceLikeHERE
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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb-simulator.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
⚾ Cardinals @ Brewers 09/25/2026 Final: Cardinals 4, Brewers 8 Deserve-to-Win: Cardinals 22% / Brewers 65% (Tie 13%) #MLB #STLCards #ThisIsMyCrew
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