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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 16/09/2026

Odd supercell/mesocyclone of sorts drifted through Olathe yesterday afternoon. Got some snazzy lightning from the deal to!

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 10/09/2026

Oh absolutely. Like even this week there were a few candidate CMEs with great coverage that would have been excellent in isolation as calibration ones. But god knows what impacted when, why, and how, with all these different structures flying around.

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 08/09/2026

I'm using the CCMC CME scoreboard API to at least list candidate CMEs that arrived. In theory I could just grab the DONKI speed/direction/width and plop that in, or otherwise I'm just loading them one by one and subjectively going "oh this ones nice and clean" or "yuck"

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 06/09/2026

Or I guess if nothing else I could just grab some DONKI CME measurements, though the measurements of the CME are half the fun!

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 06/09/2026

Oh nice, will have to watch for that. I've used 8.5-11 I think. I'm doing some experimenting myself with scaling of background winds & acceleration, to see if I can't find a better config to focus on CME timing specifically. Though I need to find some good highly-measurable older CMEs first.

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 06/09/2026

Still working on this! Lots of CMEs to test with (although it's going to be a disaster to even try to figure out which one hits when). Curious how you come up with CME duration -- I've primarily just been using defaults, but wondering if you guys had any guidance.

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 16/08/2026

My arguably questionable CME run with HUXt for the filament launch the other day. I get arrival @ 0319z on 2026-08-17. We'll see how I do!

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 04/08/2026

First go at analyzing the earlier CME. I may have been a little generous on the width measurement in my software, but I don't think TOO generous. Gives me this outcome: Earth hit: yes, arrival=2026-08-08 17:49Z We'll see? It might suck (both my analysis and the CME)

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 02/08/2026

Welp -- I had a 10:41z run with what I found to be the most acceptable/best settings and discarded it because it was so late compared to official forecasts, whoops. CME impact was 11:30 or so so I'll take <60m of error as a win

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 01/08/2026

Yup, I'm at the very least happy to be getting runs that aren't way off track from forecasts by people who actually do this professionally and/or academically, haha. It's been a lot of fun

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 01/08/2026

It's funny, all that time spent doing this and I got an arrival time less than 3 hours off of my original constant 400 km/s background. Still fiddling with exactly how I'm building the background wind field but this isn't looking bad, I don't think

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 31/07/2026

You know your UX is bad when people have to go to an unaffiliated Github to navigate your program schedule

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 31/07/2026

Ha, I can't message you either. I THINK I've updated my settings so you should be able to DM me? Took some searching around but found it in the little gear on the chat tab.

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 31/07/2026

I ran the measurements through a HUXt run, and got this. It lacks background wind, so probably has some inaccuracy issues, but still fun to try out!

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 31/07/2026

The massive CME towards the west limb earlier, as seen through my analysis app.

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 31/07/2026

My CME analysis and run would surely look a lot better with actual background winds, haha

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 31/07/2026

@mathewjowens.bsky.social Just out of curiosity -- I was trying to hook up to SWIMMR with HUXt, but I can find absolutely nothing about SWIMMR API access on the UKMO site. Do you know where I'd need to go to get it (or if a random unaffiliated individual can even get access easily)? Thanks!

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 10/05/2026

Bonkers CME came from AR14436 a little bit ago. Look at that insane blast wave! Ridiculous amount of material probably got yeeted into oblivion

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 01/05/2026

Probably my favorite lightning photo I've ever taken. I've never seen a picture like this where there's a horizontal bolt glowing just above the clouds like this!

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 24/04/2026

Some lightning shots from last night near Strong City, KS.

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 24/04/2026

One of my favorite shots from last night near Strong City, KS. Best mammatus photo I've ever gotten!

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 24/02/2026

Remembering 2025/11/11 and wishing I could see it again

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 08/02/2026

That's cool. Looks like a sport I would have enjoyed picking up if it existed in any form near me!

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 08/02/2026

Curling fascinates me, looks like such a fun sport but I have genuinely never seen it outside the olympics. How does one end up on a pathway to not only learn/play curling, but get Olympics good at it? Do schools out there have curling classes/clubs? Always wondered

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Reposted by wxKobold

Marko Rummelsburg @markorummelsburg.bsky.social · 31/01/2026

Animation of sunspot group 4366: rapid growth – in 36 hours from almost nothing to a complex mess.

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 31/01/2026

We've seen it ramp up from low end C flares to upper end C flares (most recently a C7ish flare). Very intriguing region to look at on HMI MAG too.

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 31/01/2026

AR4366 right now lookin like a pretty good region to watch! Pretty much nonstop flaring in the 13-hour loop. Lot of magnetic complexity right now too.

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 30/01/2026

Looking into what else to add, might include Kp, DST, etc. Might also incorporate some ground based magnetometer data at some point, but not yet.

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 30/01/2026

Over the past few days I've built somewhat of a CME impact/geomagnetic event viewer! Currently pulls: ACE (Magnetometer + EPAM + SWEPAM) DSCOVR (Magnetometer) GOES 08-19 (Magnetometer, XRS [X-Ray Flux]) Here's the Oct/Nov 2003 Solar Storm sequence plotted out with all available data!

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 14/01/2026

How y'all doing in the big 2026 so far?

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 18/12/2025

Looking for opinions on my plots here -- do dashed lines (for 5, 10, 15, 20 solar radii) look/work better or do solid rings do? The dashes are slightly thicker as well, but only just. Trying to figure out which version to plot on my website

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 11/12/2025

He is officially gone, as of around 10-10:15PM 12/10. This certainly makes this "this day in history" day a bit rougher for me..

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 11/12/2025

the worst part of owning cats is when they leave a massive hole in your heart when they leave

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 05/12/2025

This is actually insane! It looks like a hellish demon trying to escape the sun!

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Reposted by wxKobold

Climatologist49 @climatologist49.bsky.social · 01/12/2025

Map showing the coldest season of the year.

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 30/11/2025

Ended up getting this working quite a bit better! Here's a few more: 4294 + 4296, 3664, 4294 + 4292, 4290 + 4291 Surprised it's doing a pretty good job of picking up only umbra/penumbra! Not perfect but better than I expected!

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 30/11/2025

Bored today so I put some time into building an automated sunspot detection/measurement script. Not perfect but does a decent job I think! Also really, really nice to be able to overlay it on magnetometer data like that.

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 29/11/2025

An absolutely tremendous active region has rotated into view over the past few days. It is huuuuuuuuge! Very excited to see what sort of geomagnetic incidents this thing sends our way in the next two weeks or so. Can't forget former 4274 peeking around the NE too! Two intense solar regions at once!

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 29/11/2025

Been having fun watching SDO imagery today... lots and lots of action on the limb!

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 22/11/2025

From 4/27/2011, a short multi-tilt storm-following loop from ARMOR of the Hackleburg tornado. Some pretty incredible temporal resolution is possible like this when you interleave the different tilts! You get some shakiness but overall this turned out quite incredible. Love the merger stream!

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 21/11/2025

Also a short time lapse video of the proton aurora being extraordinarily bright and dynamic!

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 20/11/2025

Anyone else get absolutely dazzled by the ridiculous amount of proton aurora on 11/11? All night it was showing up in very quick bursts!

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 16/11/2025

Take up competitive Mario Kart and become XelKartz for a while!

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 16/11/2025

Cannot get over how magical and surreal this picture looks. A very sharp contrasting line between the incredible auroral crimson and the black night sky. This was taken looking west around 10:49 PM from central MO.

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 16/11/2025

Goodbye Banzai, my friend, best buddy, and family member of the past 14ish years. Huge hole left in my heart right now :(

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 15/11/2025

(The neighbor turned on his truck. Apparently he skipped LED and HID lights and went for miniature suns for headlights..)

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 15/11/2025

Probably my favorite aurora photo from 11/12.

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wxKobold @misocycl.one · 14/11/2025

My expectations were very low after how 11/12 started.. But that 10PM substorm actually puts it above 10/10 in my books. Without context of the insanity of the day prior, we'd all probably be screaming and shouting about the best event of 2025 on November 12th. Instead, it felt like a quiet echo.

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