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Mike Bosack

@mikebosack.bsky.social
25 followers 9 following 212 posts

International Negotiator, Peacebuilder, War-tested Leader・Special Advisor, YCAPS・Founder, Parley Policy Initiative • All views my own

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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
War termination negotiations often seem chaotic, but there is an underlying structure to them. I’ve tried to capture developments step-by-step in my series on the U.S.-Israel-Iran War for Parley Policy. Here’s my latest⬇️ www.parleypolicy.com/post/the-whi...
parleypolicy.com
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
With the White House stepping up its commentary on negotiations with Tehran, some folks may be wondering what to make of it all. Here is my explainer ⬇️ www.parleypolicy.com/post/breakin...
parleypolicy.com
Breaking down the start of U.S.-Iran war termination negotiations
How did Washington and Tehran go from threats to talks? Parley Policy breaks down the conditions that contributed to the initiation of negotiations, the interests at play, how third parties can facili...
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
How is it that the U.S. & Iran could go from escalating threats to potential war termination talks? My latest analysis breaks down the early dynamics of the negotiation cycle that's at play here and how third parties can help (or hurt). Read more here⬇️ www.parleypolicy.com/post/breakin...
parleypolicy.com
Breaking down the start of U.S.-Iran war termination negotiations
How did Washington and Tehran go from threats to talks? Parley Policy breaks down the conditions that contributed to the initiation of negotiations, the interests at play, how third parties can facili...
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
Trying to make sense of what we're seeing related to negotiations between the U.S. & Iran? Here's my breakdown of the state of play via Parley Policy⬇️ www.parleypolicy.com/post/breakin...
parleypolicy.com
Breaking down the start of U.S.-Iran war termination negotiations
How did Washington and Tehran go from threats to talks? Parley Policy breaks down the conditions that contributed to the initiation of negotiations, the interests at play, how third parties can facili...
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
This is pretty cool from One Piece's Eiichiro Oda: Tony Tony Chopper--doctor for the Straw Hat pirates crew--is now an "official supporter" of Médecins Sans Frontières (Doctors Without Borders).
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
What is the state of play in Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations? The Iran war has changed the negotiating paradigm, and if twice-delayed trilateral negotiations don't happen soon, the whole process may be derailed. More from me here (via @kyivpost.com)⬇️ www.kyivpost.com/opinion/72142
kyivpost.com
Opinion: The State-of-Play in Russia-Ukraine Peace Negotiations
The war on Iran has thrown a wrench into the works of ongoing peace talks. Here’s what may happen depending on how the war in the Persian Gulf evolves.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Japan has long sought to position itself as a conflict mediator, albeit with mixed results. With renewed calls for Tokyo to step up diplomatically amidst the ongoing Iran War, it will have to face down familiar challenges. I explain (via @japantimes.co.jp)⬇️ www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/03...
japantimes.co.jp
Japan’s push to mediate conflicts meets familiar limits
Tokyo's past efforts to broker peace have had mixed results, and questions remain about how Japan will handle the Iran war.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
President Trump has specifically named Japan as a country that will "hopefully" send ships to help secure the Strait of Hormuz. This will assuredly be a topic of discussion in the forthcoming summit between Trump and Sanae Takaichi.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
My first deployment to Afghanistan taught me the costs of war. My second taught me the absurdity of it. Sometimes, war is necessary. But once you’ve seen it up close, you also see how often the policy logic underpinning it breaks down.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
"War is war. Hell is hell. And of the two, war is a lot worse...There are no innocent bystanders in hell." My grandpa--a veteran of three wars--watched the program every night. I would watch it with him. This scene always stayed with me. Even more so when I experienced war firsthand.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
From my analysis published four days ago: "The Netanyahu administration will continue pushing for what it sees as a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for regime change in Iran. It will take active efforts from the United States to restrain Israel." Netanyahu today⬇️
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Exercise FREEDOM SHIELD kicked off in earnest on the Korean Peninsula today. Some argue that these exercises raise tensions. Others maintain that they are necessary tools for readiness. I break down the debate in my latest for @nknewsorg.bsky.social ⬇️ www.nknews.org/pro/breaking...
nknews.org
Breaking down the debate over military exercises on the Korean Peninsula | NK PRO
U.S.-South Korea combined exercises are kicking off this week after some deliberation on the scale of the training by Seoul, based on the impact on potential inter-Korean engagement.  While the allies...
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
The Takaichi administration has demonstrated speed and effectiveness in the evacuation of Japanese nationals from countries affected by the U.S.-Israel-Iran War. My latest for @japantimes.co.jp explains more⬇️ www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/03...
japantimes.co.jp
In Iran conflict, Japan shows improved evacuation readiness
Japan’s response underscores both Tokyo’s growing security role overseas and the diplomatic balancing act between Washington and Gulf states hosting Japanese nationals.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
The Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations that were supposed to happen 5-6 March have been delayed due to the U.S.-Israel-Iran War. A few days ago, I wrote about the consequences of the principal mediator being embroiled in a separate conflict with Iran⬇️ www.kyivpost.com/opinion/71043
kyivpost.com
Opinion: How the US-Israel-Iran War Affects Russia-Ukraine Peace Negotiations
Governments around the globe – including Ukraine and Russia – are now recalibrating, determining how to pursue their respective interests after the paradigm-shifting attack on Iran.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
Many negotiations fail because people get locked into their positions at the expense of their interests. In the recent Iran nuclear negotiations, I identified five mistakes that practitioners should know & understand. Read the breakdown⬇️ www.linkedin.com/pulse/how-wh...
linkedin.com
How the White House mishandled the Iran nuclear negotiations
Following the recent outbreak of hostilities with Iran, White House officials have engaged media outlets to explain the rationale behind the war. Among them was U.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
The collapse of U.S.-Iran nuclear talks is a case study in negotiation failure. Based on Steve Witkoff’s own account, 5 mistakes stand out. The lessons here matter because wars can begin--and most often end--at the negotiating table. My analysis here⬇️ www.linkedin.com/pulse/how-wh...
linkedin.com
How the White House mishandled the Iran nuclear negotiations
Following the recent outbreak of hostilities with Iran, White House officials have engaged media outlets to explain the rationale behind the war. Among them was U.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
A few weeks ago, PM Sanae Takaichi said she is willing to meet Kim Jong Un face-to-face for dialogue. Then the 9th Party Congress happened. So, where do things stand for Takaichi's North Korea policy now? I answer that question via @japantimes.co.jp ⬇️ www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2...
japantimes.co.jp
Takaichi, Trump and Japan-North Korea relations
North Korea has given no space for engagement on the issues most relevant to Japan — that is, the abductee issue and denuclearization.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
"Kim Jong Un’s old mentors and advisors inside the regime have stepped aside–whether willingly or not–to make room for his allies and new prospects." Read more in my interim analysis of the 9th Party Congress via @thediplomat.com ⬇️ thediplomat.com/2026/02/kim-...
thediplomat.com
Kim Jong Un’s Ninth Party Congress Personnel Shakeup
The generational shift that the Ninth Party Congress signaled is noticeable: Kim’s old mentors and advisors inside the regime have stepped aside – whether willingly or not – to make room for his allie...
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
During six years at UNCMAC, I investigated numerous security incidents on the Korean Peninsula that could have escalated. These armistice investigations are little-understood tools of crisis management & peacebuilding. I break it down via @nknewsorg.bsky.social ⬇️ www.nknews.org/pro/how-the-...
nknews.org
How the UN Command can help avert conflict with North Korea over drones | NK PRO
When North Korea accused South Korea of flying multiple drones into its airspace last month, the episode had the potential to escalate into a broader confrontation.  The Lee Jae Myung administration m...
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
The Geneva round of peace negotiations demonstrated that the Kremlin is clinging to its maximalist negotiating strategy. Here's how to counter it⬇️ www.kyivpost.com/post/70376
kyivpost.com
How to Counter the Kremlin’s Maximalist Negotiating strategy
Moscow’s playbook can be disrupted. But in order to do so, each actor in the negotiations must understand its role and act in concert with the others.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
"...the answer will not always be in procurement of new weapon systems, but rather in looking for ways to repurpose what’s already in its inventory." Quoted in the @japantimes.co.jp on how the GSDF will pursue requirements in the next Defense Buildup Program⬇️ www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/02...
japantimes.co.jp
Japan’s push for long-range weapons draws interest from foreign firms
There is a growing need for a long-range weapon that can be used flexibly as Tokyo looks to boost its overall counterattack capabilities.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
North Korean state media reported that 9th Party Congress proceedings are underway. Delegates quietly arrived on 16 February, and the Workers’ Party of Korea held a credentialing ceremony and visit to Kumsusan Palace of the Sun on 17 February. More below⬇️
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
Sanae Takaichi’s historic Lower House win delivered both a public mandate and the institutional power to pursue her agenda. But winning big brings its own sets of challenges. I explain more via the @japantimes.co.jp ⬇️ www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2...
japantimes.co.jp
The trouble with winning big for Takaichi and the LDP
Landslide victories in Japanese politics can conceal fragility within the ruling party.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
Before the next round of Russia-Ukraine-U.S. negotiations begin in Geneva, here is my recap of how things played out in Abu Dhabi (via the @kyivpost.com) ⬇️ www.kyivpost.com/opinion/69652
kyivpost.com
Opinion: The White House Is Fumbling Its Russia-Ukraine Peace Mediation Efforts
How persistent flaws in US-led mediation efforts risk leading not to peace but a fragile, unenforceable agreement that fails to constrain Russia.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
10 years since Kaesong Industrial Complex shut down. Seoul wants it reopened. Pyongyang doesn’t. The reasons go far beyond sanctions, and they point to the structural shift in inter-Korean relations. Here’s why (via @thediplomat.com) ⬇️ thediplomat.com/2026/02/why-...
thediplomat.com
Why North Korea Is Unlikely to Renew Cooperation at Kaesong
The Lee administration may be hoping to resume cooperation at the Kaesong Industrial Complex. But Pyongyang is just not interested.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
Want to make sense of the Kim Yo Jong-attributed statement that North Korean state media published this morning? Here's my analysis ⬇️
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
While many looked at the second round of Russia-Ukraine-US peace negotiations in Abu Dhabi as sign of positive progress, it highlighted four significant problems in the White House's mediation efforts. I explain in my latest for the @kyivpost.com ⬇️ www.kyivpost.com/opinion/69652
kyivpost.com
Opinion: The White House Is Fumbling Its Russia-Ukraine Peace Mediation Efforts
How persistent flaws in US-led mediation efforts risk leading not to peace but a fragile, unenforceable agreement that fails to constrain Russia.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
What will happen to North Korean POWs in Ukraine? This is an important question to answer when considering the Russia-Ukraine War, inter-Korean relations, and precedent for repatriations. Here's my analysis of their likely fate (via The Diplomat ⬇️ ) thediplomat.com/2026/02/what...
thediplomat.com
What Will Happen to North Korean POWs in Ukraine?
The South Korean government has repeatedly conveyed its willingness to accept the soldiers as its citizens after the war.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
How does the North Korean regime use purges in its system of governance? The answer is here in my latest for @nknewsorg.bsky.social ⬇️ www.nknews.org/pro/the-art-...
nknews.org
The art of the purge: How North Korea keeps its elites in line | NK PRO
With the all-important Ninth Party Congress on the horizon, a reckoning may be coming for some of the top officials in Kim Jong Un’s regime. North Korean politics has long been synonymous with purges,...
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
Wondering what to make of Sanae Takaichi's landslide victory in yesterday's Lower House vote? Here's my answer via @japantimes.co.jp ⬇️ www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2...
japantimes.co.jp
Five key takeaways from Takaichi’s landslide victory
The LDP secured a supermajority on its own, giving Takaichi the golden opportunity to implement her policy agenda.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 07/02/2026
It's election day in Japan 🗳 If you want to catch up on what's going on with the snap election, check out my scene setter via @japantimes.co.jp ⬇️ www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2...
japantimes.co.jp
A cheat sheet to Takaichi’s snap election
Parties with traditional vote-generating architectures in place before Japan's snap election have a significant advantage.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
"The treaty’s lapse removes taboos from certain policy debates, including those surrounding Japan’s three non-nuclear principles." My comments on the expiration of New START in the @japantimes.co.jp ⬇️ www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/02...
japantimes.co.jp
End of U.S.-Russia nuclear pact raises fears of unchecked arms race
The shift is also expected to impact Japan and a debate over revising its three nonnuclear principles.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
Want to know what to make of Japan's forthcoming snap election? Here's my scene setter via @japantimes.co.jp ⬇️ www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2...
japantimes.co.jp
A cheat sheet to Takaichi’s snap election
Parties with traditional vote-generating architectures in place before Japan's snap election have a significant advantage.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
What does it mean if the Lee Jae Myung administration tries to reimplement the 2018 inter-Korean military agreement (also known as the "Comprehensive Military Agreement")? Having lived through the rise & fall of the CMA, I offer insight via @nknewsorg.bsky.social ⬇️ www.nknews.org/pro/what-to-...
nknews.org
What to expect if Seoul revives the moribund military pact with North Korea | NK PRO
Two years after its functional demise, the inter-Korean military pact that aimed to reduce border tensions could soon return to life, if only in part. In response to North Korea’s latest allegations o...
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
Japan's forthcoming election is shaping up to be a battle between the ruling LDP-Nippon Ishin no Kai coalition and the newly formed "Centrist Reform Alliance." What is the Centrist Reform Alliance? I answer that question here⬇️ www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2...
japantimes.co.jp
Japan’s new ‘Centrist Reform Alliance’ is a misnomer
The Centrist Reform Alliance is asking voters to embrace a brand label rather than a fully formed policy platform and a partnership of convenience.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
"As a leader, your organization will reflect your work ethic, your behavior, and your values whether you like it or not." When I gave this TED Talk nearly eight years ago, I hoped that my points would still resonate years later. I think they do. www.ted.com/talks/michae...
ted.com
The Elementary Rules of Leadership
As an academic, military officer, and civilian, Michael Bosack has led and worked with groups from all over the world. Through his experiences across the globe, he discovered fundamental rules of lea...
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
This morning, North Korean state media provided insights into the mechanics behind preparations for the 9th Party Congress. This not only gives insight into the timing of this event, but helps us understand how and why the DPRK operates the way it does. My brief analysis here⬇️
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
Whether the White House intends it or not, the gambit for Greenland will influence the Kremlin's negotiating strategy for Ukraine. What kind of influence will it have? I explain in my latest for the @kyivpost.com ⬇️ www.kyivpost.com/opinion/68346
kyivpost.com
Opinion: How Trump’s Greenland Gambit Will Influence the Kremlin’s Negotiating Strategy
Moscow is closely watching tensions rise between Europe and Trump as he lurches deeper into his imperialistic mode, calling on Denmark to cede Greenland to the US.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
The only *durable* way to counter gray-zone activities & violations of int'l laws, rules and norms is to identify illicit activities & respond in ways that are compliant with int'l standards. Emphasis on "durable." My comments via @IPDefenseForum⬇️ ipdefenseforum.com/2026/01/japa...
ipdefenseforum.com
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
My analysis of the second Kim Yo Jong-attributed statement related to North Korea's drone allegations against the South⬇️
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
The whispers about Sanae Takaichi dissolving the Lower House are now discussions between the prime minister and ruling party executives. But why would Takaichi call a snap election now? I answer that question via the @japantimes.co.jp ⬇️ www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2...
japantimes.co.jp
Why Takaichi would call a snap election
Takaichi may dissolving the Lower House of the parliament upon its mandatory convocation later this month, which would prompt a general election sometime in February.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
What happens to (North) Korean People's Army soldiers when they return from the frontlines of the Russia-Ukraine War? Under the DPRK's system of governance, there isn't a straightforward answer for the Kim Jong Un regime. I offer insight in my latest for NK News⬇️ www.nknews.org/pro/how-nort...
nknews.org
How North Korea will control battle-tested troops returning from the Ukraine war | NK PRO
North Korea has repeatedly heralded the Korean People’s Army (KPA) troops deployed to Russia to fight against Ukraine, with leader Kim Jong Un joining ceremonies to welcome those who return home and s...
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
What should we make of the Coalition of the Willing security guarantees? BLUF: Excellent in principle, but hinges on political will being converted into binding commitments & sustained resourcing amidst Russian recalcitrance. More here via the @kyivpost.com ⬇️ www.kyivpost.com/opinion/67682
kyivpost.com
Opinion: What Should We Make of the Coalition of the Willing Security Guarantees?
On paper, the guarantees are a step ahead. But success will hinge on whether political will can overcome the many built-in stumbling blocks that Moscow has been trying to exploit.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
What does the political landscape look like for Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi in 2026? I answer that question via the @japantimes.co.jp ⬇️ www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2...
japantimes.co.jp
Takaichi’s political landscape for 2026
Unlike her predecessors who were consistently forced to address turmoil over the past two years, Prime Minister Takaichi will have time and capital to tackle real policy issues.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
How has North Korea responded to the Maduro raid? I offer insight into the DPRK's reaction to the U.S. gambit in Venezuela in my latest for the @thediplomat.com ⬇️ thediplomat.com/2026/01/how-...
thediplomat.com
How North Korea Responded to the US Gambit in Venezuela
Pyongyang was slow in issuing a relatively tempered statement, but also turned a missile launch event into a tool for deterrence signaling.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 30/12/2025
The alleged drone attack on Putin's residence illustrates the importance of third party monitoring & verification in peace processes. As dubious as the Kremlin's claim sounds, it will always be one side's word against the other until a third party conducts its own fact finding.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 30/12/2025
What is the status of the Korean DMZ? Who is responsible for its administration, and how does North Korea treat this buffer zone? In my inaugural piece for NK News, I cut through the politics to offer a practical understanding of the DMZ as it exists today⬇️ www.nknews.org/pro/why-seou...
nknews.org
Why Seoul’s push for greater control over DMZ risks more than it promises | NK PRO
The frustration of some South Korean government officials with administration of the demilitarized zone (DMZ) has spilled into the open, even prompting a rare U.N. Command (UNC) press statement on the...
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 28/12/2025
It called to us...a taste of our former home. 네네치킨 is bite-sized nostalgia.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 26/12/2025
Japan's biggest threat to its populace in 2025 wasn't missiles or foreign invasions, it was bears. The battle with the bears was notable in its own right, but it revealed deeper issues that present further challenges going forward. More from me on this issue ⬇️ www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2...
japantimes.co.jp
Japan’s growing bear crisis reveals deeper issues
Currently, there are only around 220,000 licensed hunters in Japan, substantially lower than the 532,265 registered in 1970.
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Mike Bosack @mikebosack.bsky.social · 25/12/2025
What is happening to the black markets in North Korea? In my latest for The Diplomat, I explain the origin and importance of the jangmadang free markets before detailing what the Kim Jong Un regime has done since COVID to uproot them. Read more here⬇️ thediplomat.com/2025/12/what...
thediplomat.com
What is Happening to North Korea’s Jangmadang Free Markets?
Will the Kim regime be successful in uprooting this core element of North Korea’s black market economy?
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