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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 06/06/2025

So that storm cluster last night in Albany was a pretty stout cluster even though it was dying out and not was severe by the time it came in. That was some lightning and thunder when that did crack off during the first 45 minutes. Not bad for 2 hours last night. www.youtube.com/watch?v=QoG5...

youtube.com

Dying Storm Cluster Hold on Just Enough to Produce Stout Thunder and Lightning in Albany! - 6/5/25

YouTube video by Mighty Muffins

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 05/06/2025

Fascinating....so the SPC is not going EHN yet on the next 72 hours. That's surprising but I truly think we see the EHN on all 3 days at some point. The environments on all 3 days should warrant it even if some of the days like Fri/Saturday would be for 30% wind or something.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 03/06/2025

Well well well....look what we got for Albany on Friday with the cold front. That is what I like to see...usually when we have near 90F days like we will, the cold front with the high 60s dew points lead to awesome squall lines. BRING IT ON THURSDAY!!!

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 01/06/2025

About damn time.....I was right it took 10 hours to load to youtube. We had a lot of rain in Albany yesterday but mostly from 4am-2pm was the best. We had rain after but nothing to the extent the first 10 hours. 1.7 inches we go in total! Not bad. www.youtube.com/watch?v=XHSg...

youtube.com

Another Spring Coastal Low Pressure System Brings Over 10 Hours of Solid Rain into Albany! - 5/31/25

YouTube video by Mighty Muffins

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 31/05/2025

Ok...fully awake and Also I need to rapidly get this lawn mowed before this impressive coastal low pushes tons of rain into Albany tonight and tomorrow. Finally good stuff to film in Albany again after a couple weeks. :) Also we go right into Summer next week.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 26/05/2025

WAIT WHAT?!?!?! HAIL?!?! This little tiny storm actually pushing hail That is the most unexpected thing I have seen in Albany in years. Not seen hail in 4 years unless in plains.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 22/05/2025

Crazy last 6 days of outbreaks in the Plains and Midwesr but Honestly I think Saturday eventually gets the all hazards EHN tag by the SPC. This Oklahoma set up is quite sneaky especially after 7pm CDT for tornadoes and hail with how heavy the instability and decent shear in place.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 18/05/2025

One of the strongest dry line tornado events we will see in a while. This has a 2007 Greenburg ceiling

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 14/05/2025

These days of Sat and Sunday and Monday are looking incredible if the models are right and the SPC is kind of hinting these to have widespread and significant severe weather on them. These are gonna be high ceiling dry line set ups if shit goes right....especially tornadoes.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 13/05/2025

So I am a tad surprised the SPC didn't push a 15% risk for Mon/Tuesday but we are looking at an INSANELY wild period next many many days. That trough with a lead shortwave and then a bigger one behind it usually leads to incredible dry line/warm sector tornado outbreaks.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 11/05/2025

www.youtube.com/watch?v=WpOR... Took close to all night to process part 2 of the Friday rain maker but here we go. As I said, this was quite the almost 24 hour low pressure system and 2.2 inches of rain Albany was pretty damn good. But we stay dry until the later week now.

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Another Solid 2+" of Rain in Albany from a Compact Coastal Low! GOOD ASMR Rain! - 5/9/25 (Part 2)

YouTube video by Mighty Muffins

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 10/05/2025

www.youtube.com/watch?v=RrQS... Cool and part 1 of the long and pretty solid compact low pressure system that got up 2.2 inches of rain in Albany over nearly 20 hours is loaded up. Currently getting the part 2 up and that shouldn't take as long as this 12 hour beast. 😃

youtube.com

Another Solid 2+" of Rain in Albany from a Compact Coastal Low! GOOD ASMR Rain! - 5/9/25 (Part 1)

YouTube video by Mighty Muffins

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 06/05/2025

Let's see what this TX boundary does in a bit....that is where the focus would be for today.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 06/05/2025

youtu.be/7LoFTIs6QSY?... Also just realized I forgot to post up the 11 hrs of rain we got yesterday and into this morning in Albany...this was a great long duration rain and that rebounded well past 3pm today, especially.

youtu.be

Solid 11 Hours of Straight ASMR Rain Lasts Into the Overnight and Into my Birthday! - 5/4 - 5/5/25

YouTube video by Mighty Muffins

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 05/05/2025

Oh and officially my 36th birthday...how about them apples?! Rain will hold off Albany mostly today so not another rain session looks in line. Tuesday...IDK about chasing in Binghamton with S to N storms. That was hell in my SUNY Oneonta days when weird stuff happens like that.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 03/05/2025

Only woke up for a couple mins and I see in the last 40 mins a solid prefrontal cumulus deck now in place in CT/MA. That's definitely screaming good storm potential this early afternoon and stuff will pop off early. NWS Albany expecting a fairly big day by our standards. :O

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 30/04/2025

Still awesome we still got something in Albany last night. That prefrontal line actually made it well enough to Albany and that was a pleasant surprise....it dropped the severe tone of it but still a good 90 minute rain event. Good stuff. :) m.youtube.com/watch?v=wdxn...

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Central NY Squall Line and Trough Holds on Enough for 90 Minutes of ASMR Rain for Albany! - 4/29/25

YouTube video by Mighty Muffins

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 28/04/2025

And so it begins. The SW cell on the line there in Minnesota is pretty discrete and likely will get tornado warned soon. Environment is soooo good out here and this is only the start. Watching the confluence band in IA...that may be a big thing later.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 27/04/2025

EXTREMELY glad I am not chasing the plains in peak season. Tomorrow is already gonna be a significant tornado outbreak but with thousands of chasers out today in the slight risk and likely all overnight driving to IA/MN and being sleep deprived tomorrow. Yeah, fuck that shit.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 27/04/2025

That's a giant 15% tornado risk and other hazards too. Synoptically this is different than March 31, 2023 BUT it has all the hallmarks to be on that level and the high risk I think is becoming more of a thing we will see on the Day 1 outlook. SPC is expecting intense tornadoes.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 27/04/2025

IDK if I can remember a slight risk basically border to border. I think we see a cored up EHN region today but we may see a small tornado outbreak in the plains today with that big of a 5% along with hail. NO MATTER WHERE YOU GO....you'll see something severe today. Cool.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 27/04/2025

Good stuff....and the little active stuff I got around Albany yesterday is loaded up. Morning good rain and then sub-severe line we got on the cold front later in the mid-afternoon. That was a good call to go to the Albany Airport. :) www.youtube.com/watch?v=aXbQ...

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Good ASMR Rain to Start the Morning Before a Sub-Severe Storm Line at the Albany Airport! - 4/26/25

YouTube video by Mighty Muffins

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 25/04/2025

Likely another big rinse and repeat tornado and hail day in Texas. It's another doable tornado outbreak day.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 24/04/2025

IDK why I'm awake 90 mins after going to bed but going back to sleep. Also SPC upgraded to a cored up EHN mainly for hail BUT they did push now a 5% tornado threat. From what I saw on the 12z runs before going to bed...there's some SERIOUS high photogenic storm potential past 5p.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 23/04/2025

THAT MINECRAFT MOVIE WAS SOLID! I actually highly enjoyed it every step of the way...IDK where the hate for it is coming. Happy video game movies been killing it from the Sonic series to the Mario one. I mean video games are my thing. 8.5/10 for me. Good first 2025 movie.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 22/04/2025

A day 7 outlook for Monday by the SPC and 100% not surprised and that's a giant discussion out too. I mean they are clear as day calling all hazards and a very active week next week with the mega trough moving in and setting up camp. Likely will have 3-5 tornado outbreak days.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 20/04/2025

Family Easter thing time....but This tornado outbreak is going to rapidly increase the next 8 hours or so. Great environment in place across the board. The low level jet is perfectly in place and everything is there from MO/AR/L for what you need for strong tornadoes too.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 20/04/2025

Overnight shift been so busy...one of the more involved shifts in a while as it's not been like the morning as usual. BUT the shelf cloud I got in Albany yesterday is loaded up and it was not a half bad shelf cloud too. I will always take my shelves! youtu.be/GxzIgV6HJkM

youtu.be

First Storm Line Into Albany Brings the First Shelf Cloud in Over 6 Months to my #1 Spot! - 4/19/25

YouTube video by Mighty Muffins

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 20/04/2025

Busy rendering but my god the fact we got a nice shelf cloud today in Albany was awesome! I was so happy and a good rust shaker too. We are so early in our season to to get this but everyone knows I will take shelf clouds over tornadoes and this was a good one around Sunset!

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 18/04/2025

At my work and been busy,,,,Just a remarkable tornado outbreak tonight. Those 2 cells spawned about 10-13 tornadoes. That one Iowa tornado that was the major one cause significant damage in areas it hit. I am confident that will at least be a EF3.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 17/04/2025

I tend to trust the EURO way more than the GFS and the SPC is favoring still the EURO and even on the new 00z runs....it's similar to the last 36 hours. Sunday has INCREDIBLE higher end ceiling potential in AR/MO/IL for a serious tornado event along with wind and hailers.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 17/04/2025

Still one of the coolest things here in the Northeast we cook up so much....ESPECIALLY in NY state. You got tons of gravity waves from PA all the way to main today.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 16/04/2025

Been making sure the garden plants been doing good at my Mom's after 3 weeks Red Raspberries (red pots) are doing 5050...bought 2 more bare root after 2 are sus...so 6 total. All 5 Black Raspberries kicking ass. 🍓 trey are 50 50 surviving and actual garden trey is doing ok.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 15/04/2025

About time. I didn't notice it but this morning the Little Nor'easter we got on the 12th in Albany that I filmed up at my work finally loaded up. Youtube was INSANELY slow for some reason getting this fully loaded up....but it is so huzzah. www.youtube.com/watch?v=2paN...

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Fairly Uncommon April Nor'easter Comes to Albany with Good ASMR Rain and Snow Mix! - 4/12/25

YouTube video by Mighty Muffins

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 14/04/2025

That may be the #1 hail storm this year so far....estimation of 3 inch hail and that is making headway to Charleston, WV. That cell likely has soooo sick structure on it.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 14/04/2025

Alright so the SPC is keeping the Slight risk and actually they pushed now the 5% tornado risk fully into West Virginia now today. Actually they also W-E expanded the slight risk too. So this is going to be a compact and robust little system today for sure. Outside shot of EHN risk.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 06/04/2025

www.youtube.com/watch?v=FNX7... Off to bed and while at my work last night my rain session I did in Albany yesterday morning and afternoon was loaded....though I forgot to hit the publish button. Alright well....it's now good to go. That was a good rain!

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Nice Steady Morning and Afternoon ASMR Rain for Almost 5 Hours Marches into Albany, NY!- 4/5/25

YouTube video by Mighty Muffins

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 31/03/2025

I KNEW IT! I knew the slight risk for Albany last 48 hours was too much for Albany and still amazed we are even still in the MRGL risk for tomorrow. I just don't see anything up here for that. NYC is basically the cut off for ANYTHING today at best. Also 10% tornado risk gone.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 30/03/2025

Really?! Man, so they are STILL holding back on the MDT risk zone. I am completely completely surprised by this honestly. I fully expected a 45% wind hatched issuance. They got the 45% upgrade....CALLED THAT SHIT....but man no hatched. This is weird they dropped ALL hatches.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 24/03/2025

July....this would have been something more fierce. XD BUT look at that...little bit of lightning showing up.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 24/03/2025

My little bro asked me if we still had the MBN games...of course we do. You young ones under-27 don't know how much the 2002-2006 in middle school and high school kicked ass with the games we had. They are now on Switch but you HAD to be there when a new one of these dropped. LINK CABLE MADNESS!

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 23/03/2025

Ok NOW that cell is looking better as it heads North of Memphis.....better rotation and structure on that now. It is entertaining a better environment.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 23/03/2025

This actually has a chance to a a decently vigorous wind and hail line. HRRR and NAM showing a few interesting supercells running ahead of the line. The line past 8pm is going to be interesting as it taps into the low level jet so that would be the best bet for QLCS tornadoes.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 22/03/2025

hehe ok...it's amusing how really specific the SPC for today's little storm threat in MS/KS mostly put out such a tiny little tornado 2% region. But the main show is the cold front tomorrow digging into the Southeast. I knew this would be mostly wind/hail threat last week.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 21/03/2025

Ah legit...my chill 6 hour rain video is completed. .50 inches of rain from all the rain we got last night in Albany. That was a pretty stout rain line in that cold front. I'll take it caase we got 2 solid rain events last 4 days. Been active up here. youtu.be/4ZQIfFRlALU?...

youtu.be

First Day of Spring opens with an Overnight Cold Front and 6 Hours of Rain to Albany! - 3/20-3/21/25

YouTube video by Mighty Muffins

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 20/03/2025

Alright bracket finished on the overnight shift....I kind of didn't put too much effort into this I guess....but we'll see. College Basketball still mostly ehhhhh to me. XD

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 19/03/2025

Ok....I am truly shocked we saw a fairly big tornado risk area today and the 10% hatched too and the expectation of EF2+ tornadoes. This came out of nowhere in a sense the last 24 hours. Like I am so surprised we may actually see a legit regional tornado outbreak today now.

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Mighty Muffins @mightymuffins.bsky.social · 19/03/2025

Damn sad to hear about @ChacingTheStorm passing. I knew he followed my stuff for a couple years now, commenting here and there on here and one of the the few that 100% liked my ASMR rain filming stuff but shit, that's just brutal to hear about. IDK what happened but that's awful.

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