Michael Gilead @michaelgilead.bsky.social · 05/04/2026Check out Yhonatan's interesting paper on optimism and geopolitical forecasting 000
Michael Gilead @michaelgilead.bsky.social · 25/03/2026📢New preprint alert📢 Why do people think war will succeed? We conducted a geopolitical forecasting contest to see how people's motivated cognition affects their predictions concerning geopolitical events for which they have "skin in the game". Link in first comment. 111
Michael Gilead @michaelgilead.bsky.social · 22/03/2026🚨Preprint alerts between alarms🚨 We have lots of new papers in the pipeline, so using the time in the bomb shelter to do some PR. Here's the first one: Inon is using LLMs to measure content dimension of your social media feed, trying to quantify the emotional harms of your "media diet". 021
Michael Gilead @michaelgilead.bsky.social · 26/06/2025Our new paper led by Rotem Simhon: fancy cameras and algorithms show that people's faces contains information concerning the specific emotions they feel even when human observers can't detect them, and this isn't just about valence\arousal. Read it here: rdcu.be/esh6ordcu.beBeyond Valence and Arousal: Distributed Facial Patterns Linked to Specific Emotions Cannot be Reduced to Core Affect 200
Michael Gilead @michaelgilead.bsky.social · 17/12/20241/ 🚨 Out in JPSP, "Thinking in 3D: A Multidimensional Mapping of the Effects of Distance on Abstraction" asks: How robust is the evidence for Construal Level Theory (CLT)? Are spatial, temporal, and social distances equally influential? How do these dimensions of distance interact? 1/n 163
Michael Gilead @michaelgilead.bsky.social · 09/12/2024🚨Thrilled to share our new study, led By Dr. Inon Raz, in Cerebral Cortex🚨: "The Future, Before, and After". The ability to imagine things we haven’t done before is one of the hallmarks of human cognition. How do we do it? 1155