Reposted by Michael BriskinAEFP @aefpweb.bsky.social · 17/03/2026Congratulations to our #AEFP2026 Jean Flanigan Outstanding Dissertation Award winner! 0122
Michael Briskin @michaelbriskin.bsky.social · 03/01/2026Thanks for the free publicity! I plan to be by my poster around 1:30-2:30 today and 1-2 Sunday if you want to stop by and chat 000
Reposted by Michael BriskinJohn Fallon @john-fallon-econ.com · 24/11/2025I'm John Fallon, a labor economist on the job market. My JMP uncovers something wild: when chiropractors got licensed in the early 1900s, medical boards responded by making it HARDER to become a doctor. Why would competition lead to stricter regulations? 🧵 john-fallon-econ.com (1/9) 510347
Michael Briskin @michaelbriskin.bsky.social · 14/11/2025Full paper: mbbriskin.github.io/files/Briski... See my website for other fun labor and history projects! mbbriskin.github.iombbriskin.github.io 020
Michael Briskin @michaelbriskin.bsky.social · 14/11/2025Why does this matter? Even temporary shocks to teacher supply can have lasting consequences on the composition and quality of the teacher workforce—and therefore on students' human capital 🧠 and economic outcomes 💰. 130
Michael Briskin @michaelbriskin.bsky.social · 14/11/2025And things don't just go back to normal after the war. Teacher qualifications stayed lower and class sizes stayed higher in the harder hit states even years later. 111
Michael Briskin @michaelbriskin.bsky.social · 14/11/2025Using census data, government reports, and records from the National Education Association, I show that states with more missing teachers: 1️⃣ were more likely to hire emergency teachers 2️⃣ had a decrease in the share of teachers with a college degree 111
Michael Briskin @michaelbriskin.bsky.social · 14/11/2025How did school districts respond? By hiring TONS of emergency replacement teachers. In 1941, < 1 in 400 teachers held an emergency license. By 1947? 1 in every 8 teachers. According to the NYT, some were “taxicab drivers, mechanics, telephone operators, or retired janitors.” 😳 111
Michael Briskin @michaelbriskin.bsky.social · 14/11/2025🚨Main Findings🚨 For the school-aged cohorts, a 1 SD increase in missing teachers reduces - HS graduation by 1.6 pp (2.5%) - College graduation by 0.4 pp (3.6%) - Weekly wage by 1.9%. That’s ~$40k in lifetime earnings for a full-time worker. 141
Michael Briskin @michaelbriskin.bsky.social · 14/11/2025To estimate LR effects on students, I use a diff-in-diff comparing students from: 1️⃣ states with more vs. fewer missing teachers 2️⃣ cohorts in school during the war vs. too old to be in school I observe these school-aged cohorts, plus the earlier cohorts as adults in Census samples 1940-2000 110
Michael Briskin @michaelbriskin.bsky.social · 14/11/2025This means places with more pre-war male teachers were harder hit by the shock. I leverage variation in the pre-war gender composition of the teacher workforce to predict “missing teachers” during the war in each state. 121
Michael Briskin @michaelbriskin.bsky.social · 14/11/2025First, which teachers were leaving and why? The shock is really driven by male teachers, about half of whom left the classroom for the military 👨🏫 ➡️ 🪖🫡. Look at this drop in the male teacher share! The number of male teachers fell 35% from 1940-44. 120
Michael Briskin @michaelbriskin.bsky.social · 14/11/2025I find that childhood exposure to this teacher supply shock reduces educational attainment and adult earnings. To understand why, we also need to think about how the teacher workforce was affected. 131
Michael Briskin @michaelbriskin.bsky.social · 14/11/2025By 1945, 1/3 of all teachers had left the profession since the start of the war. From 1940-44, the total number of teachers fell by more than any other 4-year period in the last century. This is a BIG shock. Policymakers feared the consequences for students. So what happened to these kids? 131
Michael Briskin @michaelbriskin.bsky.social · 14/11/2025Hi #EconSky, I'm on the #EconJobMarket! My JMP provides the first evidence on how teacher labor market shocks affect long-run student outcomes. I study one of the largest teacher supply shocks in US history, larger even than Covid or the Great Recession. Let’s talk about WWII… 🧵 1389
Reposted by Michael BriskinDanielle Graves Williamson @daniellecgw.bsky.social · 12/11/2025👋 I'm Danielle, and I'm on the #econjobmarket this year! Let's start with a student describing her segregated school: "The school felt temporary. Built like a warehouse with aluminum siding . . . I had a slipshod education" The twist? The student is white, and her school is private. A JMP 🧵 --> 515677
Reposted by Michael BriskinJournal of Public Economics @jpube.bsky.social · 30/06/2025Just published in @jpube.bsky.social: "Fallen women: Recessions and the supply of sex work" By @grant-goehring.bsky.social www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... #econsky #publiceconomics 1141
Reposted by Michael BriskinJoshua Goodman @joshua-goodman.com · 14/01/2025It's not everyday that I wake up to a front page article in the Boston Globe featuring a colleague of mine, complete with photo shoot. Today is that day! Fantastic coverage of the teacher workforce research that @oliviachi.bsky.social does here at BU Wheelock. www.bostonglobe.com/2025/01/14/b... 610327
