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Matt Pearce

@mattdpearce.com
56K followers 1.4K following 2.2K posts

May the forces of evil become confused on the way to your house. Opinions are my own (but they are correct) mattdpearce.substack.com

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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 1h
If there's anything I've learned in life (and politics) about winning by this point, it's that winning is work. And luck. And that winning over time is just work and luck layered on top of each other, work upon luck, luck upon work, over and over and over, until the era before that first lucky win gets fully shoveled over, concealed, and finally forgotten in a fossil layer packed beneath a highway overpass. By that point there's no work or luck left to look at. Just infrastructure. Scenery.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 22h
lol www.nytimes.com/2026/09/29/u...
Privately, once the Anthropic delegation arrived at the Vatican, Mr. Olah and his team lobbied the pope's advisers to take the prospect of A.I. model consciousness seriously, according to two participants of the conversations. Anthropic declined to discuss the private conversations.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 20/09/2026
Onion article with a photo of a traffic jam on a freeway:

“Dispatch
Report: 98 Percent Of
U.S. Commuters Favor Public Transportation For Others”
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 17/09/2026
Stupid question but are there antitrust restraint-of-trade implications to having multiple league stadium owners collaborating to refuse business to a particular musician? www.wsj.com/arts-culture...
Kraft, the 85-year-old billionaire, had a longstanding relationship with Sheeran-the English musician had even played at his wedding in 2022. Over the course of a 40-minute conversation, Kraft explained that he wouldn't host Macklemore, the outspoken American rapper, at his stadium.
More than that, several other National Football League owners were also ready to cancel Sheeran's dates as long as Macklemore remained on the bill.
By then, the tightknit circle of NFL owners whose hulking mega-venues host
everything from sold-out concerts to World Cup games had drawn a line in the sand.
David Tepper and Arthur Blank-the
respective owners of the Carolina Panthers and Atlanta Falcons-had made up their minds, people familiar with the matter said.
Philadelphia Eagles owner Jeffrey Lurie would soon reach the same conclusion, as the owners traded phone calls and prepared to address the situation.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 15/09/2026
On Saul Bellow: mattdpearce.substack.com/p/what-do-yo...
("British critics tend to regard the American predilection for Big Novels as a vulgar neurosis - like the American predilection for big cars or big hamburgers," Martin Amis once noted. "Oh God, we think: here comes another sweating, free-dreaming maniac with another thousand-pager; here comes another Big Mac.")
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 14/09/2026
"Seize the Day" is the story of a born loser, Wilhelm Adler, going through a midlife crisis as he realizes he's going to be a loser forever, stuck living in the same hotel as his successful doctor father who doesn't know how to love him or help him.
Wilhelm lends his last $700 to a swindler (to invest in lard futures of all things) who seems to be the only person in the book who really seems to care about Wilhelm and notice he's suffering, if even only for the purposes of ripping Wilhelm off. There may be no more relevant artistic statement than Bellow's "Seize the Day" about the souls of all the suckers on FanDuel and Kalshi betting their futures on becoming big winners in the economy of losers.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 11/09/2026
mattdpearce.substack.com/p/how-should...
So how should members of media unions flex the power that they have? It remains up to traditional collective bargaining and the old-fashioned strike threat to abate
the most extractive tendencies of Wall Street-backed firms in the sector, whose primary management contributions are to use calculus instead of simple subtraction to calculate the optimal size (bigger) of the next layoff.
But many media workers find that the sledding is often not much easier at non-corporate firms dealing with the same deteriorating or unstable revenue situation and lack of job creation. It's no fun for anyone wherever the pie is shrinking, in which case unions are typically forced into defensive bargaining just to protect whatever workers had left.
Media workers could take the broader view on the public purposes of media work, and to ask and answer why it should be worth going to all the trouble to reform the kind of media work that the market isn't supporting.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 09/09/2026
On media labor in the AI era. mattdpearce.substack.com/p/how-should...
It's a wonderfully profitable system of labor arbitrage and free-riding: Meta and OpenAl never need fear either a budget line or a picket line populated by the journalists of the Wall Street Journal, the cast and crew of "The Pitt," or an array of YouTubers and Substackers withholding their next livechats.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 08/09/2026
You have to make making culture a priority. mattdpearce.substack.com/p/how-should...
What do we lose when software is our greatest cultural export? Doesn't it bother you that Al has made the signs in your neighborhood uglier and removed the quirks of human idiosyncrasy in the handwritten note stuck in the storefront window? Wasn't it better that people could choose whether to see the silly Wile E. Coyote movie instead of leaving a finished project in the vault to die in tax write-off purgatory?
Weren't you amazed to learn that the Circe scene in Christopher Nolan's "Odyssey" was shot completely in-camera, with prosthetics and no CGI? Aren't there different, more difficult stories out there that also deserve to get told, and to also get told well?
Don't people work hard enough and suffer too much not to deserve, in their short lives, to encounter beautiful and well made things?
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 08/09/2026
Some Labor Day thoughts on media labor in newsrooms and Hollywood and what to do about it. mattdpearce.substack.com/p/how-should...
From the vantage point of this Labor Day in 2026, the future of media employment looks like more and more its present, a barbell made up of two groups of workers separated by a vast chasm: (1) A dwindling labor aristocracy of unionized staff workers herded into a consolidating cluster of superstar firms, like the New York Times and a post-merger Paramount-Warner Brothers; and (2) a growing mass of skilled, burning-out and unorganized media producers engaged in freelance, independent or volunteer work, largely distributed through the same technology platforms whose extractive business models put them out of work in the first place.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 04/09/2026
On a very basic level, every society gets to choose how it wants to structure its information environment. On one hand, we could choose to spend years dismantling practically every economic incentive to pay journalists to produce original, accurate, high-quality work. On the other hand, we could choose to stop doing that; we could choose to do something more constructive instead.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 02/09/2026
The Wall Street Journal opinion section should exclusively run pieces that are titled like this. “Hurray for Stocks,” “We Love ETFs,” etc.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.

“Hurray for the Bond Market”
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 02/09/2026
AB 2222 is a local journalist employment tax credit and would be the largest local news subsidy of its kind in the United States, generating more than $40 million a year to make it cheaper to employ journalists at every kind of outlet covering every part of the state. Bills like these have been snowballing in legislatures across the U.S., and this one is the biggest and baddest yet.
AB 2222 would be fully funded by taking away California's corporate tax deductions for executives who make more than $1 million a year. Is it sad that California taxpayers would stop subsidizing the salaries of a handful of overpaid CEOs so the state tax code would instead keep thousands of local journalists on the job covering your local schools, city councils and community life? It is not sad.
Practically every local news association and journalist union in the business have endorsed the idea because it rules so hard.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 02/09/2026
Already have my eye on merch…
A woman in a tasteful and classy “I ❤️ EBITDA” trucker hat
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 01/09/2026
Justin Bieber’s classic album “BELIEVE”
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 28/08/2026
Brother Hamilton is playing my music:
As hard as our individual fights against our bosses can be, they aren't the biggest battles we face now. The online media industry that was riding high ten years ago has economically crumbled. Hundreds of the journalists that we organized have been laid off. Publications that we unionized have disappeared. Our industry is being bled dry by big tech companies that figured out how to extract all of the profits from journalism, without ever having to produce any journalism themselves. Having broken our industry's economic model, they now aim to gut it further by using our work to train Al programs to take our jobs. Our publications used to compete with one another. Now, we're all in a life or death competition with trillion dollar corporations. Solidarity and big picture thinking are more important than they have ever been, if we want our industry to survive. Our union is the single best tool that we have. We'll never stop orgarizing more workers and fighting for good contracts. But if we want journalism to stay viable, we also have to think big: What are the legislative solutions? Where can we wield our cultural and political power to try to even the scales with big tech? How do we achieve public funding for journalism? Do we need to change laws to allow us to organize more effectively in the new, disparate world of self-employed writers and creators?
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 26/08/2026
I’m loling at the melodramatic betrayal implied from just the first two paragraphs
On his first day in office, Mayor Mamdani told New York City that his administration would "replace the frigidity of rugged individualism with the warmth of collectivism" and
promised that City Hall would "use its power to improve New Yorkers' lives."
More than seven months later, Mamdani announced that would he
start wearing a bike helmet on his frequent rides across the city, apparently in response to the pleas of his constituents. "You're right, l've gotta do better," he said in a video published on Aug. 18. "Safety first, New York. See
you out there."
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 26/08/2026
lol
When the Dred Scott decision said that the Constitution applied only to free subjects in the eighteenth century, Lincoln took Douglas's defense of that position and did another of his word substitutions, to reduce his opponent to absurdity:
Suppose after you read it the Declaration of Independence] in the old-fashioned way, you read it once more with Judge Douglas' version. It will run thus: "We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all British subjects who were on this continent eighty-one years ago, were created equal to all British subjects born and then residing in Great Britain." [SW 1.400]
Parker had made a similar substitution in 1848: "To make our theory accord with our practice, we ought to recommit the Declaration to the hands which drafted that great state paper and declare that 'All men are created equal, and endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights if born of white mothers; but if not, not.' »36
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 25/08/2026
[knowingness intensifies]
Garry Wills’ book “Lincoln at Gettysburg” on a table next to a cup of coffee
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 25/08/2026
IGN instagram post: “FRENCH PRESIDENT AND JAPANESE PRIME MINISTER HIT THE ICONIC DRAGON BALL KAMEHAMEHA POSE”
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 25/08/2026
The idea was born after French President Emmanuel Macron and the Saudi crown prince discovered a shared enthusiasm for
"Dragon Ball Z" during Macron's visit to Saudi Arabia in 2025, Macron advisers said.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 24/08/2026
At this point I might normally be expected to impart some thoughts to today's 19-year-old who's trying to figure out their own style in a world that has largely given up on that sort of thing as some kind of major problem. Well, I couldn't say. Stuart Dybek had me thinking that I was going to move to Chicago and become a great Chicago writer too, and all these years later I'm in Los Angeles without even really feeling like an "L.A. writer."If pressed, my advice would be:
• You really don't need that many -ing verbs.
• Don't write a first sentence that could work as the first sentence for a completely different piece. ("John was in trouble." Etc.)
• Constraints are great for creativity.
• You may not get the chance to have an editor but just know that you need one anyway.
• Read a lot, find somebody you want to slavishly imitate and don't feel bad about being totally derivative. The butterfly breaks out of the cocoon.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 18/08/2026
Well it’s not so impressive when you consider how much a burrito costs these days (burrito bankrupted me)
Businessweek push alert:
The "natural" diamond industry faces a reckoning as lab-grown gems - which can be made for the price of a breakfast burrito - soar in popularity
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 17/08/2026
In his 1993 book "Love & Friendship," the archconservative Allan Bloom observed that a democracy of atomistic contractual relationships is built on a foundation of perpetual low-grade social anxiety. Any of our relationships could be cut off at any moment if we no longer serve someone else's purposes:

“The psychological effects of this unending alert are devastating. A being concerned only with himself has to spend his time worrying about the intentions of others and trying to hide his own from them, threatening, flattering, lying. In his selfishness, he forgets himself. His soul goes wandering out over the world of men and never returns, while he becomes hypocritical, envious, vain, slavish, measuring himself relative to the success or failure of others. This is the condition of alienation, which Sartre defined as "Hell is — other people."”
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 16/08/2026
How do I monetize telling people to put everything into a Vanguard index fund and then unplug the internet for the rest of your life? www.wsj.com/personal-fin...
The Financial Industry Regulatory
Authority found that those who use social media for investment advice rate their investment knowledge higher than those who don't, but perform worse on an objective knowledge test. They are also more susceptible to investment fraud.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 14/08/2026
Okay.
The Dissent isn't just screaming into the content void - it's getting noticed by the communities it's covering. In late July, Vallejo Public Information Officer Robert Briseño reached out to a Dissent reporter asking for a correction. The agent replied politely and made the correction.
Briseño said he had no idea he was interacting with a bot: "Their website certainly does not convey this.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 11/08/2026
I got curious and checked “Last of the Mohicans,” and while it’s true that the prose is starchy, this opening paragraph is a banger and you should not deny yourself the pleasure of the effort.
T was a feature peculiar to the colonial wars of North America, that the toils and dangers of the wilderness were to be encountered, before the adverse hosts could meet. A wide, and, apparently, an impervious boundary of forests, severed the possessions of the hostile provinces of France and England. The hardy colonist, and the trained European who fought at his side, frequently expended months in struggling against the rapids of the streams, or in effecting the rugged passes of the mountains, in quest of an opportunity to exhibit their courage in a more martial conflict. But, emulating the patience and self-denial of the practised native warriors, they learned to overcome every difficulty; and it would seem, that in time, there was no recess of the woods so dark, nor any secret place so lovely, that it might claim exemption from the inroads of those who had pledged their blood to satiate their vengeance, or to uphold the cold and selfish policy of the distant monarchs of Europe.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 11/08/2026
Unfortunately this tweet was my first reaction.
cici
@cicington
Omg you people cant do anything
ely kreimendahl @ElyKreimendahl • 2d
we don't talk enough about how stressful Halloween costumes are for the ADHD community
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 11/08/2026
I’m learning that the people who gamified paragraphs are having trouble reading books. www.axios.com/2026/08/11/r...

AXIOS

Al has become my reading buddy as I've plowed through my summer book list, helping me keep track of plots and characters, unpack themes, and make sense of wordy, old prose.
• Why it matters: The way many of us actually read books - a few pages before bed, a chapter at the beach, another on a plane - makes it easy to lose the thread. Al can help you pick it back up without starting over.
Ш I really got into using Al while reading James Fenimore Cooper's "The Last of the Mohicans." The text was far too dense for casual vacation reading. My first prompt asked:
• "T'd like a guide as I read The Last of the Mohicans who can help me understand what I've read and where the story is, without giving spoilers or getting ahead of my progress. Can you do this, chapter by chapter?"
• The robot agreed: "Cooper's sentences are long and his diction is archaic."
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 11/08/2026
mattdpearce.substack.com/p/the-labor-...
"Calling bullshit" is the phrase we use for the dialectic that too much bullshit creates. For example: The boss says sales are down and there isn't enough money for raises this year. Well, is that true? The problem isn't that the workers didn't hear the boss' perspective but that they didn't believe it. The workers unionize, point to executives' pay and that big stock buyback, and conclude there's plenty of money; they demand raises. Then comes management's turn to accuse the workers of being delusional and irrational and so on.
In the end, every negotiation is a bullshit resolution session. So is every journalist's reporting and fact-checking process.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 10/08/2026
What is bullshit? Bullshit is when the hotel says you can skip housekeeping to help save the environment, when it's really better at saving the hotel on housekeeper wages. Bullshit is when the prediction market advertisement says you can win! betting on major world events, while knowing that attracting money-losing suckers like you is the only thing keeping the whole casino in business.
Bullshit is self-interest disguising itself as something greater, a part that mistakes its interests for the interests of the whole.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 07/08/2026
Shaking my head while reading Paul Fussell’s “The Great War and Modern Memory” so that people know I think World War I was bad.
A copy of Paul Fussell’s book “The Great War and Modern Memory,” which features a sepia-tone picture of a slouching World War I soldier on the cover.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 05/08/2026
Just sped through Volume I, it was good, but is it “five more volumes of this” good?
A copy of Solvej Balle’s “On the Calculation of Volume I”
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 04/08/2026
Cover of the book “Trade Wars Are Class Wars” by Matthew C. Klein and Michael Pettis
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 04/08/2026
While visiting friends in Portland, Ore., this weekend, I picked up a
copy of Ursula K. Le Guin's essay collection "Words Are My Matter." Le Guin writes of community:

“Home isn't where they have to let you in. It's not a place at all. Home is imaginary.
Home, imagined, comes to be. It is real, realer than any other place, but you can't get to it unless your people show you how to imagine it - whoever your people are. They may not be your relatives. They may never have spoken your language. They may have been dead for a thousand years. They may be nothing but words printed on paper, ghosts of voices, shadows of minds. But they can guide you home. They are your human community.
All of us have to learn how to invent our lives, make them up, imagine them.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 27/07/2026
Nolan’s Odysseus is very English. mattdpearce.substack.com/p/the-surviv...
In the ancient poem, Homer's Odysseus' only has self-discipline when it comes to telling bigger and more ambitious lies; he otherwise exuberantly butchers every suiter and hangs every disloyal maid and aggrieves every powerful suitor's family on Ithaca until finally the goddess Athena has to intervene to stop a civil war. "Must you have battle in your heart forever?" Athena asks Odysseus in the translation by Robert Fitzgerald, already knowing the answer.
For the ancients, it was Atlas holding the world up on his shoulders; in Christopher Nolan movies, that burden falls on father figures. Nolan's self-restraining Odysseus stops short of a full palace massacre and then flees his own country, doing only what duty, not passion, demands. This is the cinema of stiff upper lips.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 26/07/2026
Sunday newsletter: The Freudian Odysseus. mattdpearce.substack.com/p/the-surviv...
The director Christopher Nolan's major innovation in the new "Odyssey" film is to make tricksy, bloody, victorious Odysseus a repressed neurotic. This Odysseus is calm on the outside but all fucked up in the head from winning the great war, at the cost of losing not just a generation of men but the whole empire. (Very British.) He lands on Calypso's island, and instead of being delayed because of a goddess' seven-year sex spell, he medicates on anti-depressants until Calypso guides him out of self-exile through the restorative power of talk therapy.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 19/07/2026
galaxy brain meme with a brain getting increasingly explodey across four categories, starting with deontology, virtue ethics, utilitarianism, ending with a tweet from Liam Bright: “Adding a single principle to utilitarianism (‘ok, but no galaxy brain stuff, alright?’) and thereby perfecting moral philosophy.”
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 19/07/2026
EXCUSE me? www.theguardian.com/technology/2...
But the sheer pace of growth in Al means that, once we produce the first artificial moral patients, we will soon after have enor nous quantities of them. After a few years, so many morally significant Al systems could exist that their collective interests would outweigh those of all humans on Earth combined.,
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 16/07/2026
It’s Strauss week over here.
Leo Strauss’ “Natural Right and History” and Francis Fukuyama’s memoir “In the Realm of the Last Man” on a table next to each other Saul Bellow’s novel “Ravelstein” on a table next to sunglasses and a coffee cup
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 14/07/2026
www.online-literature.com/gustave-flau...
M. Dambreuse's grave was close to the graves of Manuel and Benjamin Constant. The soil in this place slopes with an abrupt decline. One has under his feet there the tops of green trees, further down the chimneys of steam-pumps, then the entire great city.
Frederick found an opportunity of admiring the scene while the various addresses were being delivered.
The first was in the name of the Chamber of Deputies, the second in the name of the General Council of the Aube, the third in the name of the coal-mining company of Saone-et-Loire, the fourth in the name of the Agricultural Society of the Yonne, and there was another in the name of a Philanthropic Society. Finally, just as everyone was going away, a stranger began reading a sixth address, in the name of the Amiens Society of Antiquaries.
And thereupon they all took advantage of the occasion to denounce Socialism, of which M. Dambreuse had died a victim. It was the effect produced on his mind by the exhibitions of anarchic violence, together with his devotion to order, that had shortened his days.
They praised his intellectual powers, his integrity, his generosity, and even his silence as a representative of the people, "for, if he was not an orator, he possessed instead those solid qualities a thousand times more useful," etc., with all the requisite phrases-"Premature end; eternal regrets; the better land; farewell, or rather no, au revoir!"
The clay, mingled with stones, fell on the coffin, and he would never again be a subject for discussion in society.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 10/07/2026
I’m going in!
A copy of Leo Strauss’ “Natural Right and History” on a table next to a disposable coffee cup.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 08/07/2026
Martin van Buren, America’s first party animal: Gordon S. Wood, “The Radicalism of the American Revolution”
Martin Van Buren represented just this sort of new breed of American, at ease in the chaos of the early Republic and confident of the future. He thrived in a democratic political world that was very different from that of the founding fathers. He believed in political parties and in running for office. He was the first modern professional politician to win the presidency. As the ambitious son of a tavernkeeper, he prided himself on having risen to office "without the aid of powerful family connexions. Before his elevation to the highest office in the land, Van Buren had no fame, no fortune and no reputation for great achievement. He had won no battles, had written no great treatises, had made no memorable speeches. He had no public charisma and was barely known throughout the United States. But what this "little magician" did do was build the best and most organized political party the country had ever seen.
The new parties of professional politicians like Van Buren were designed for the modern democratic society. They brought together large numbers of ordinary people in order to counter the family influence and personal connections of Federalist gentry and older aristocratic Republicans such as De Witt Clinton of New York. Parties, like other voluntary associations of these years, combined otherwise isolated individuals into meaningful communities. People have joined the New York Republican party, declared its leaders in 1820, not for personal benefit or profit, "but have spontaneously and voluntarily identified their political fortunes with ours, and thereby entitled themselves to full community with us.'' Parties, in fact, became a modern means by which something akin to the self-subsuming virtue of classical politics could be practiced. "Individual partialities and local attachments," declared the leaders of the New York Democratic-Republican party in 1823, "are secondary and quite unimportant compared...with the INTERESTS AND PERMANENCY OF THE REPUBLICAN PARTY”
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 07/07/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Hungary's state media went dark after its new leadership said it was ending years of propaganda that had propped up former leader Viktor Orban until his downfall in watershed elections earlier this year.
The main channel and website of Hungary's state broadcaster cut to a blank screen on Tuesday, showing a written apology to viewers for the years when it had been a mouthpiece for the previous government.
"Public media must not lie," read the text, white on a black screen, that went live after the new management team delegated by Prime Minister Peter Magyar's government took over. "We apologize for having nonetheless done so for many years!"
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 06/07/2026
Almost all of my ancestors immigrated the
U.S. in the 19th century seeking a better life, mostly found it, and many fought for it. Most of the military-aged men in my family enlisted with the Union during the Civil War, though a few chose the confederacy (and saw their wars end in ignominy). One of my Unionist ancestors who was too old to fight, George Gewinner, who immigrated from Bavaria in 1848, became a bandmaster in Lincoln's armies instead and claimed to have played at Robert E. Lee's surrender at Appomattox. Old George wasn't a natural-born killer but a natural-born music teacher, and his immigrant contribution to American freedom was to teach the slavers what defeat sounded like. May he rest in honored glory.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 30/06/2026
mattdpearce.substack.com/p/its-not-jo...
But a world without publishers and journalists has problems even beyond information production. News providers don't just produce knowledge but also community, serving as collectors of what Alexis de Tocqueville called the
"wandering spirits" of democracy. * Al, by comparison, is practically inherently anti-community technology. $ Much how freedom and equality are the binding agents for liberal democracy, so too do knowledge and community work together to create the learning society.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 29/06/2026
As reality sets in, and the most egregious propaganda of recent years gets exposed by increments to have been so much bullshit, it's clear that artificial intelligence as of 2026 is just a normal technology.
Al causes disruptions much like any other innovation. Its impacts, while real, are not fantastic or mysterious. The jobpocalypse
- mass human unemployment caused by Al - is obviously not coming soon, nor is robot superintelligence. Like all other machines fashioned by human genius, Al is not conscious. The familiar drives of human nature and capitalism have not been fundamentally changed by Al's arrival. People, companies and societies will use Al for logical and illogical purposes; these uses will have benefits and harms.
This is because Al is a normal technology.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 20/06/2026
Four years deep into a grinding war against a greater power and Ukrainian drones are now knocking the Russian oil industry offline. Wild. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
A Bloomberg line chart showing the last seven years of oil production in Russia, with a green line for 2026 plummeting significantly below normal production levels for 2020-2026.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 19/06/2026
maybe they should have hired the blue water company
The connection of Greenwater Services - also known as Green Water Solutions - to Mr. Cafaro is being reported first by The
New York Times.
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Matt Pearce @mattdpearce.com · 17/06/2026
Reminds me of this recent paper - “If LLMs Have Human-Like Attributes, Then So Does Age of Empires Il” arxiv.org/abs/2605.31514
[Submitted on 29 May 2026 (v1), last revised 11 Jun 2026 (this version, v3)]| If LLMs Have Human-Like Attributes, Then So Does Age of Empires Il
Adrian de Wynter
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Much research has been carried out on large language models (LLMs) and LLM-powered agentic workflows.
However, many works within the field state emergence of, ascribe to, or assume, generalised anthropomorphic attributes to them (e.g., morality or understanding of natural language). Our goal is not to argue in favour or against the existence of these attributes, but to point out that these conclusions could be incorrect. For this we build and train a simple neural network on the videogame Age of Empires II, and note that any entity in a sufficiently-powerful substrate, such as LEGO or the Greater Boston Area, could also present such attributes. Hence, the purported anthropomorphic attributes of LLMs are empirically non-unique: although some properties (e.g., responses to prompts) could remain invariant, others, such as the interpretation of their perceived behaviour, might change with the substrate. Thus, any empirically-grounded discussion on these attributes requires explicit measurement criteria; otherwise the interpretation is left to the representation. We then show that assuming that these attributes exist or not in a system, independent of the substrate and in a generalised way, leads to either circular or uninformative conclusions. This is regardless of the experimenter's viewpoint on the subject, or whether the outcome shows existence or non-existence. Finally we propose a 'null' assumption, where one assumes LLM non-uniqueness instead of assuming anthropomorphic attributes to set up an experiment, along with examples of it. We also discuss potential objections to our work, briefly survey the field, and prove that Age of Empires Il is functionally- and Turing-complete.
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