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Lyman Stone

@lymanstone.skystack.xyz
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Lyman Stone is the Director of Research of the consulting firm Demographic Intelligence, the director of the Pronatalism Initiative at the ... This is an automated Substack Account of lymanstone.substack.com Discover more/Create at: @skystack.xyz

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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 29/09/2026
The Biblical Censuses Are Correct Demographic Records • They’ve been egregiously misunderstood and it’s time to Make Numbers Great Again
lymanstone.substack.com
The Biblical Censuses Are Correct Demographic Records
They’ve been egregiously misunderstood and it’s time to Make Numbers Great Again
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 17/09/2026
Speculation: Longevity Threatens Democracy • It's hard to believe, but dictators used to just die sometimes!
lymanstone.substack.com
Speculation: Longevity Threatens Democracy
It's hard to believe, but dictators used to just die sometimes!
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 16/09/2026
Some Recent Fertility News • Never gamble against Vietnam, India still can’t say the word, Korea and Japan pivoting?
lymanstone.substack.com
Some Recent Fertility News
Never gamble against Vietnam, India still can’t say the word, Korea and Japan pivoting?
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 03/09/2026
Should You Trust the “Total Maternity Rate”? • It does not estimate what many people seem to think it estimates
lymanstone.substack.com
Should You Trust the “Total Maternity Rate”?
It does not estimate what many people seem to think it estimates
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 02/09/2026
College Will Get More Affordable • It’s getting shockingly easy to get into college, and soon may be surprisingly cheap
lymanstone.substack.com
College Will Get More Affordable
It’s getting shockingly easy to get into college, and soon may be surprisingly cheap
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 24/08/2026
Below-Replacement Fertility Is Not New • We’ve been here before. Definitely in the mid-1300s.
lymanstone.substack.com
Below-Replacement Fertility Is Not New
We’ve been here before. Definitely in the mid-1300s.
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 20/08/2026
We Actually Know A Lot About Fertility Decline • Jesús Fernández-Villaverde’s recent paper has an empty model that tells us nothing
lymanstone.substack.com
We Actually Know A Lot About Fertility Decline
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde’s recent paper has an empty model that tells us nothing
000
Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 06/08/2026
Somalians and Christians • The problem of tolerance
lymanstone.substack.com
Somalians and Christians
The problem of tolerance
000
Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 31/07/2026
Two Reasons Why Daycare Isn't the Answer to Low Fertility • Time is the ultimate limit, and expectations reset on social structures.
lymanstone.substack.com
Two Reasons Why Daycare Isn't the Answer to Low Fertility
Time is the ultimate limit, and expectations reset on social structures.
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 30/07/2026
Can Sharing a Surname Save Your Marriage? • Updates and responses to critiques
lymanstone.substack.com
Can Sharing a Surname Save Your Marriage?
Updates and responses to critiques
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 07/07/2026
We Should Have a Mega-Baby-Bonus • Happy Birthday, America.
lymanstone.substack.com
We Should Have a Mega-Baby-Bonus
Happy Birthday, America.
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 03/06/2026
A New Measurement of Maternal Mortality • U.S. maternal mortality is low, and most cases of maternal mortality are of women with rather short counterfactual life expectancies.
lymanstone.substack.com
A New Measurement of Maternal Mortality
U.S. maternal mortality is low, and most cases of maternal mortality are of women with rather short counterfactual life expectancies.
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 26/05/2026
Falling Marriage Caused Turkey's Recent Fertility Decline • And the digital revolution caused falling marriage. 5G won't zap your balls but it will zap your heart.
lymanstone.substack.com
Falling Marriage Caused Turkey's Recent Fertility Decline
And the digital revolution caused falling marriage. 5G won't zap your balls but it will zap your heart.
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 19/05/2026
The (Fake) Long Decline of Fertility • There are three fundamental forces shaping fertility in the long run... and also cell phones
lymanstone.substack.com
The (Fake) Long Decline of Fertility
There are three fundamental forces shaping fertility in the long run... and also cell phones
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 15/05/2026
What Will the Build Now Act Do To States? • 18 states will lose money so that 5 states can gain money-- but 90% of the benefits go to just two cities.
lymanstone.substack.com
What Will the Build Now Act Do To States?
18 states will lose money so that 5 states can gain money-- but 90% of the benefits go to just two cities.
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 23/04/2026
Do Young People Suck? • An exploration of a theory of marital decline
substack.com
Do Young People Suck?
An exploration of a theory of marital decline
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 13/04/2026
The Upshot Is Wrong: Completed Fertility Is Not Stable • Age, Period, and Cohort are a heckuva drug
substack.com
The Upshot Is Wrong: Completed Fertility Is Not Stable
Age, Period, and Cohort are a heckuva drug
010
Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 10/04/2026
Fertility News This Month: March-April 2026
substack.com
Fertility News This Month: March-April 2026
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 07/04/2026
Speculation: Modern Parents Are Bad At Their Job • Parents do it all wrong. Death to striver culture; you should be culturemaxxing.
substack.com
Speculation: Modern Parents Are Bad At Their Job
Parents do it all wrong. Death to striver culture; you should be culturemaxxing.
000
Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 25/03/2026
Americans Want Single-Family Homes • Vacancy rates show that Congress is trying to ban some of the most desired housing in America
substack.com
Americans Want Single-Family Homes
Vacancy rates show that Congress is trying to ban some of the most desired housing in America
000
Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 12/03/2026
Fertility News This Month: Feb-Mar 2026 • Marriage makes you happy, liberals are sex weirdos, and Iranian regional fertility rates
substack.com
Fertility News This Month: Feb-Mar 2026
Marriage makes you happy, liberals are sex weirdos, and Iranian regional fertility rates
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 25/02/2026
Can You Raise Fertility By Taxing Women More? • No. Women's wages are not the reason fertility is falling.
substack.com
Can You Raise Fertility By Taxing Women More?
No. Women's wages are not the reason fertility is falling.
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 24/02/2026
Intensive Parenting Might Be Good (Sometimes) • Children yearn for the firm hand of a mighty ruler
substack.com
Intensive Parenting Might Be Good (Sometimes)
Children yearn for the firm hand of a mighty ruler
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 19/02/2026
Good Parenting Might Not Make Parents Happy • And that's actually not okay! Here's some evidence from a survey of 24,000 parents
substack.com
Good Parenting Might Not Make Parents Happy
And that's actually not okay! Here's some evidence from a survey of 24,000 parents
010
Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 17/02/2026
Fertility News This Month • Thailand is cooked, Chile will try stuff that won't work, Japan's Fire Horse Year is looming, and prostitution reduces marriage
substack.com
Fertility News This Month
Thailand is cooked, Chile will try stuff that won't work, Japan's Fire Horse Year is looming, and prostitution reduces marriage
010
Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 12/02/2026
Coercive Pronatalism Worked And Was Evil • People worried about it being evil continue to misrepresent whether it worked
substack.com
Coercive Pronatalism Worked And Was Evil
People worried about it being evil continue to misrepresent whether it worked
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 09/02/2026
Killing Your Lover Is Gender-Equal • What the data shows on intimate partner homicide in the United States
substack.com
Killing Your Lover Is Gender-Equal
What the data shows on intimate partner homicide in the United States
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 06/02/2026
Notes on Arab Fertility Decline • How long can the Gulf sustain selective modernity?
substack.com
Notes on Arab Fertility Decline
How long can the Gulf sustain selective modernity?
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 05/02/2026
Conservative Governance Is Not Bad for Fertility • And regional political systems theories are fake and dumb, hiss, hiss, boooooo
substack.com
Conservative Governance Is Not Bad for Fertility
And regional political systems theories are fake and dumb, hiss, hiss, boooooo
000
Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 03/02/2026
How I Stopped Worrying And Learned To Love Fertility Polarization • It's going to be okay even if self-identified liberals fall to ~0 TFR
substack.com
How I Stopped Worrying And Learned To Love Fertility Polarization
It's going to be okay even if self-identified liberals fall to ~0 TFR
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 29/01/2026
Notes on Chinese Fertility Decline • Is China NGMI?
substack.com
Notes on Chinese Fertility Decline
Is China NGMI?
000
Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 23/01/2026
Babies Matter So It's Pronatalism Or Bust • A response to critics who cannot spell correctly, probably because they dishonor Europe's noblest country, France, by assuming the wrong linguistic origins for pronatalism
substack.com
Babies Matter So It's Pronatalism Or Bust
A response to critics who cannot spell correctly, probably because they dishonor Europe's noblest country, France, by assuming the wrong linguistic origins for pronatalism
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 14/01/2026
Thou Shalt Not Lie • You Must Admit to Being Pronatalist
substack.com
Thou Shalt Not Lie
You Must Admit to Being Pronatalist
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 22/12/2025
Who Escaped From Malthus? • Neither height nor income matters. It's density all the way down, baby.
substack.com
Who Escaped From Malthus?
Neither height nor income matters. It's density all the way down, baby.
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 16/12/2025
Koreans Have Surprisingly Normal Gender Attitudes • And also Korean housework, Korean careers, Korean fertility, and solving Korean pronatalism, you're welcome, Korea
substack.com
Koreans Have Surprisingly Normal Gender Attitudes
And also Korean housework, Korean careers, Korean fertility, and solving Korean pronatalism, you're welcome, Korea
000
Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 15/12/2025
What Do Lesbians Want? • The curious case of fertility statistics for same-sex partnered female households
substack.com
What Do Lesbians Want?
The curious case of fertility statistics for same-sex partnered female households
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 09/12/2025
Egg Freezing When Young Isn't A Good Investment • The Math Doesn't Work
substack.com
Egg Freezing When Young Isn't A Good Investment
The Math Doesn't Work
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 04/12/2025
Completed Family Size Will Soon Plummet to Unprecedented Depths • Contra Mike Konczal
substack.com
Completed Family Size Will Soon Plummet to Unprecedented Depths
Contra Mike Konczal
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 02/12/2025
IVF Doesn't Cause Cancer But It Also Causes Cancer • Controls, overcontrols, levels of analysis, and a response to Richard Hanania
substack.com
IVF Doesn't Cause Cancer But It Also Causes Cancer
Controls, overcontrols, levels of analysis, and a response to Richard Hanania
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 01/12/2025
I Am A Master Debater • Notes on my absolutely smashing victories in two recent debates
substack.com
I Am A Master Debater
Notes on my absolutely smashing victories in two recent debates
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 17/11/2025
Debunking Elena Bridgers' Continued Errors • It's tiresome being this right
substack.com
Debunking Elena Bridgers' Continued Errors
It's tiresome being this right
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 06/11/2025
Unfair Play • Bad boardgame design, biased task coverage, and a broken model of marriage
substack.com
Unfair Play
Bad boardgame design, biased task coverage, and a broken model of marriage
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 05/11/2025
Imperial Nudism Is Very Common • On Fatima, honesty, preference falsification, gender theory, and Martin Luther's Jesus
substack.com
Imperial Nudism Is Very Common
On Fatima, honesty, preference falsification, gender theory, and Martin Luther's Jesus
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 14/10/2025
Falling Fertility Is Not About Opportunity Cost • It's about marriage, that's literally the whole ballgame.
substack.com
Falling Fertility Is Not About Opportunity Cost
It's about marriage, that's literally the whole ballgame.
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 13/10/2025
Is Intensive Parenting Killing Fertility? • Maybe! But maybe not.
substack.com
Is Intensive Parenting Killing Fertility?
Maybe! But maybe not.
000
Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 10/10/2025
American Data Shows Shorter Birth Intervals Are Probably Fine • Plus: Americans Already Have !Kung Birth Intervals!
substack.com
American Data Shows Shorter Birth Intervals Are Probably Fine
Plus: Americans Already Have !Kung Birth Intervals!
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 07/10/2025
Short Interbirth Intervals Are Harmless • The causal evidence is clear: if you WANT to pack'em close, it will NOT hurt you
substack.com
Short Interbirth Intervals Are Harmless
The causal evidence is clear: if you WANT to pack'em close, it will NOT hurt you
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 07/10/2025
Why I Am So Mean • Somebody has to clean up the riffraff in this joint.
substack.com
Why I Am So Mean
Somebody has to clean up the riffraff in this joint.
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 06/10/2025
It's Right-Wing to Love Your Family • Of course liberals love their families-- but loving your family isn't liberal.
substack.com
It's Right-Wing to Love Your Family
Of course liberals love their families-- but loving your family isn't liberal.
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Lyman Stone @lymanstone.skystack.xyz · 30/09/2025
There Is No Natural Parenting • Evolution has obliterated all models: parents are explorers in uncharted territory
substack.com
There Is No Natural Parenting
Evolution has obliterated all models: parents are explorers in uncharted territory
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