Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 12hDysentery is back. It's an STI now. It shrugs off all five oral antibiotics, and the CDC's treatment recommendation, in full, is: there isn't one. The agency tracks it under food poisoning. lawrencewinnerman.com/writing/you-have-died-of-dysentery/ 010
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 13hThree times in three days he invited Iran to hit Los Angeles and San Diego. On tape. Then he did it again as a callback. Article III defines exactly one crime. lawrencewinnerman.com/writing/trump-keeps-committing-treason-live-on-camera/ 010
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 21hThe quiet out of Irkutsk can mean it was nothing, or that nobody is allowed to say. What we can responsibly conclude when reliable information is scarce. lawrencewinnerman.com/writing/irkutsk-the-silence-isnt-an-answer/ 030
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 09/10/2026The executive order tells every federal agency to say "super intelligence" instead of "artificial intelligence," then assigns someone to figure out what that means. It is artificial. That is the point of the word. lawrencewinnerman.com/writing/trump-renames-artificial-intelligence/ 010
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 08/10/2026A 28-year-old lab worker is dead, 200 contacts under observation, reports deleted, and Moscow says there was no outbreak. With Julie Roginsky and Michelle Kinney on what the Kremlin would rather you forget. lawrencewinnerman.com/writing/the-irkutsk-mystery-what-is-russia-hiding/ 030
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 08/10/2026What happened in Irkutsk? A lab tech who knew she had 24 hours to start antibiotics, in a building full of them. And she's dead. Something about this story doesn't add up. lawrencewinnerman.com/writing/irkutsk-plague-story-doesnt-add-up/ 000
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Ottumwa adopted a policy welcoming every belief and none. Then someone showed up with a different belief, and a pastor demanded the city reverse the curse. Salad bar, cauliflower. lawrencewinnerman.com/writing/ottumwa-invited-religious-freedom-and-got-exactly-what-it-ordered/ 000
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Monday he offered up Los Angeles and San Diego as a "small price." Four days later the first hurricane of the season is crossing a bathtub-warm Gulf toward the oil coast, 26 days before the midterms. lawrencewinnerman.com/writing/trump-called-two-american-cities-a-small-price/ 000
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 07/10/2026@jelaniya.bsky.social bro. You have to see Mean Girls! 000
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 07/10/2026In 1963, a drifter accused of breaking into a pool hall got a lawyer. In 2026, a 13-year-old facing exile from his own mother got a multiple-choice question. 100
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 06/10/2026A lab tech at the Anti-Plague Institute breaks a tube of live plague bacteria. She, of all people, knows she has 24 hours to start antibiotics. That building has them. So why is she dead? Something about Irkutsk doesn't add up. lawrencewinnerman.com/writing/irkutsk-plague-story-doesnt-add-up/ 011
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 05/10/2026A 13-year-old stood in a Texas immigration court with no lawyer. The government brought one. The judge asked him to choose: voluntary departure or a removal order. He cried. “I have no one.” Trump’s HHS cut kids’ legal aid by 90 percent. That’s not a glitch. It’s the plan. 100
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 05/10/2026We used to have people whose job was to notice a lab accident at a Siberian plague institute. USAID’s global health security team: dissolved. The WHO: we walked out in January, owing $287 million. CDC’s disease detectives: fired on a Friday. We found out about Irkutsk from a Siberian blog. 010
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Picture the meeting in Irkutsk. “The lab with PLAGUE on the sign had an accident.” “What kind of accident?” “A plague kind.” “Call it a particularly dangerous infection.” “Sir, the sign.” “The sign is not a doctor!” (That’s a bit. The cover-up isn’t.) 100
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Russia has a lab with ANTI-PLAGUE on the building. A 28-year-old tech there broke a tube of live bacteria, got “severe pneumonia,” and died. 197 contacts. A sealed hospital. Not one official will say “plague.” One wrote it, then edited it to “may have.” 100
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 03/10/2026A child forced to be his own attorney because the evil fucks let the program funding expire. FYI - immigration cases are Civil cases which DO NOT have a guaranteed public defender right!! 000
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 26/09/2026Hot take: this is an East Coast vs. West Coast thing. West Coast we offer you a coffee or water at the start. East Coast has a stick up it’s collective ass. 010
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 21/07/2026Last week the chip index fell into a bear market—$3.3 trillion gone in three weeks. That same Friday, Apple became the most valuable company on earth again. Apple, which never built its own AI model. The smartest bet in AI turned out to be refusing to make one.lwinner.substack.comhttps://lwinner.substack.com/p/layer-war-kimi-k3-ai-bubble 021
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 20/07/2026Fifty-nine unpermitted gas turbines pumping smog into Black neighborhoods. A $200M offer to change jobs. $1.15 trillion in promises from a company losing $14B a year. These men are certain the rules are for other people. I named them—with receipts.lwinner.substack.comhttps://lwinner.substack.com/p/layer-war-kimi-k3-ai-bubble 011
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 20/07/2026A particle detector is usually a million tiny parts. The Swiss PLATON prototype: one crystal block, one camera watching it whole—tracking ghost particles in 3-D. The better instrument isn't more pieces. It's better attention. www.sciencedaily.com/releases/202... 011
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 20/07/2026Publishing calls July a dead month and heads to the beach. Serial fiction never got the memo: three big LitRPG sequels land in the next ten days, because readers—not sales conferences—set that calendar now. The audience is the schedule. www.risingshadow.net/upcoming-boo... 001
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 20/07/2026Gen X starts turning 61 this year, still bracing for Social Security to stand us up. Of course we are—we were the latchkey kids, and nobody home was our baseline. Some of us are refusing to hand the bracing down. Those cycle-breakers are who Dana and I call GenXy: thedailywhatevershow.com 001
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 20/07/2026You cannot charge rent on a frontier AI model the world can download for free. Seven days from now that stops being a metaphor—and every business plan in American AI is priced as if it won't happen. I named the men who bet wrong.lwinner.substack.comhttps://lwinner.substack.com/p/layer-war-kimi-k3-ai-bubble 000
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 20/07/2026Most people meet astrology as self-help. There's an older branch—mundane astrology—that reads history, and André Barbault was its great cartographer. This week, July 19–22, the sky forms the "Barbault Basket": four planets aligned at four degrees. Collective weather. Notice the news reading like it. 001
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 19/07/2026Ford is rehiring engineers AI was meant to replace. Gallup: almost no one was told AI took their job—yet the org charts shrank anyway. Layoffs run at machine speed; rehiring runs at the speed of regret. www.forbes.com/sites/johnwe... 000
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 19/07/2026The DNC is registering voters in the World Cup fan zones this weekend—clipboards beside the confetti. Good. Democracy shouldn't knock only when it wants something; it should show up where the joy already is. vinnews.com/2026/07/17/d... 032
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 19/07/2026Fifty-nine unpermitted gas turbines outside Memphis. $1.15 trillion in promises from a company losing $14 billion a year. And on Friday, the crown of most valuable company on earth quietly changed hands. All of it is one story. I just published it—and it names names.lwinner.substack.comhttps://lwinner.substack.com/p/layer-war-kimi-k3-ai-bubble 000
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 19/07/2026New York just did the rarest thing in tech policy: it paused. One year, no new hyperscale data centers, while the state reads the meter—energy, water, rates. We deleted friction and called it progress. Reinstalling it is governance. www.cnbc.com/2026/07/14/n... 000
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 19/07/2026Economies change—agricultural to industrial to knowledge to whatever this is. The change comes either way. The only question is whether it happens to us or through us. We're choosing through. Session two is Tuesday, 11:00 AM ET: lwinner.substack.com/p/imagining-a-… 000
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 18/07/2026I keep reaching for the prayers and putting them back down. There is no liturgy for "may his memory be a lesson." Ukraine doesn't offset the trans kids. Nothing offsets anything. On the ledger that won't balance: lwinner.substack.com/p/lindsey-grah… 000
Reposted by Lawrence WinnermanDavid Pakman @davidpakman.bsky.social · 17/07/2026If Mitch McConnell looked and felt so good almost a week ago, he must be just about ready to return to work and appear on video, right? 30881133
Reposted by Lawrence WinnermanA. Rivera @bloodravenlib.bsky.social · 17/07/2026#BarelySatire > Mitch McConnell Clarifies Absence Due To Brief Planned Trip To Afterlife theonion.com/mitch-mcconn... Just a brief out of body experience folks, nothing to see here. #KentuckyHuckster #GOP #PartyOfStupid #occultskytheonion.comMitch McConnell Clarifies Absence Due To Brief Planned Trip To AfterlifeWASHINGTON—Explaining that the public had no reason to be alarmed over his temporary leave, Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY) clarified Friday that his absence from Congress was due to a brief planned trip ... 816753
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 17/07/2026Actually you guys, it turns out the wildfires are mostly sagebrush, so the Shamanic Republic of Canada is just trying to smudge the MAGA bullshit out of us! 000
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 16/07/2026A guardrail that depends on the driver's goodwill is not a guardrail. It is a suggestion painted on the road. The guardrails were us—only ever us. That can land as despair, or as assignment. I chose assignment: lwinner.substack.com/p/the-guardrai… Img: Pudelek CC BY-SA 010
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 15/07/2026I woke Sunday to a wrecked apartment, vibrating cats, and a wren behind my bookcase. Then the phone lit up: Lindsey Graham was dead. In the old stories, a wren in the house means the death of a king. lwinner.substack.com/p/lindsey-grah… Img: Rhododendrites CC BY-SA 121
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 15/07/2026Ann Kramer spent decades watching successful people say: I have the house, the spouse, the stuff—so why am I not happy? The story they were handed stopped working. Today we launched a series on what gets built next. lwinner.substack.com/p/imagining-a-… 000
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 14/07/2026"It was never going to be easy. It was the hardest join in the world. And it held." The Red Shard & The Pearl — a hopeful Near Field scenario from a united Jerusalem, offered as a portrait of what we could choose: lwinner.substack.com/p/the-red-shar… 000
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 13/07/2026They're going to tell you the 2027 grocery bill was nobody's fault. "Nobody" is the door he's counting on to walk through before the bill arrives. Refuse to be surprised. And refuse to be surprised alone. www.blueamp.co/p/the-price-is-alrea… 000
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 13/07/2026They're going to tell you the 2027 grocery bill was nobody's fault. The word "nobody" is the door he's counting on to walk through before the bill arrives. Refuse to be surprised. And refuse to be surprised alone. www.blueamp.co/p/the-price-is-alrea… 010
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 12/07/2026"You cannot re-plant a spring." Even if the strait opened tomorrow, the nitrogen not laid down last spring can't go on a crop already given up. The reopening the market prays for comes too late for the harvest that sets next year's price. www.blueamp.co/p/the-price-is-alrea… 011
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 11/07/2026In my 2046 Jerusalem, the radio is magnificently boring. The lead story is a sanitation strike. The second is a standardized recycling schedule. "Peace, it turns out, is mostly a question of who regularly collects the trash, and when." lwinner.substack.com/p/the-red-shar… 010
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 11/07/2026It will be hard to watch. It asks for patience, and for not losing your temper with people you disagree with. Do it anyway. This Israeli-Palestinian talk on Ezra Klein is the hope we've craved. www.nytimes.com/2026/07/07/opinion/… 000
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 10/07/2026Something I said by accident, and can't shake: If you love Palestine, you must love Israel. If you love Israel, you must love Palestine. A Land for All's confederation shows us how. Watch. www.nytimes.com/2026/07/07/opinion/… 000
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 09/07/2026We're told Israelis and Palestinians can never share the land. A Land for All asks: what if they don't have to choose? Two states. One homeland. Two women on Ezra Klein, proving we can handle the gray. www.nytimes.com/2026/07/07/opinion/… 000
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 09/07/2026In the 2046 Jerusalem I imagined, every mended bowl has one shard of arterial red among the blue and the woven gold. "This is for the ones who did not live to drink from it. A people that hides its dead builds nothing that holds." lwinner.substack.com/p/the-red-shar… 000
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 08/07/2026An Israeli woman and a Palestinian woman went on Ezra Klein and did the thing we're told is impossible: a hard, honest, respectful talk about peace. I've rarely been so moved. Please—watch it. www.nytimes.com/2026/07/07/opinion/… 000
Reposted by Lawrence WinnermanTony Almquist @tony-almquist.bsky.social · 07/07/2026by @lwinner.bsky.social 1/3 “When the receipt lands in 2027—when the beef and the bread climb and keep climbing—you will be told it was inflation, weather, forces, the war, the market. You will be told it was nobody. That lie is the most valuable thing he owns. “Because it was not nobody..open.substack.comYour 2027 Grocery Bill Was Signed on June 29A quiet emergency proclamation, filed under the law you reach for after a hurricane, just confessed what’s coming for the price of food. 132
Lawrence Winnerman @lwinner.bsky.social · 01/07/2026There's a Japanese art—yobitsugi—for mending a bowl with a shard from a different broken one, fused in gold: two clays made whole without being made the same. It may be the only realistic map left for Israel and Palestine. New essay: lwinner.substack.com/p/israeli-pa... 100