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JD @loworderlogic.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

Fuel is still ~20% of overall costs, but depreciation is the real elephant in the room

Chart from AAA breaking down average annual car ownership costs by category. Source: https://www.aaa.com/autorepair/articles/breaking-down-the-cost-of-car-ownership

JD @loworderlogic.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

Very Christopher Morel. I really thought the Cubs would get him figured out, but it looks like it wasn’t their fault after all

Screenshot of Christopher Morel’s 2026 Baseball Savant page

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JD @loworderlogic.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

If you’re considering getting an e-bike, here’s a back-of-the-envelope method for deciding whether a certain model is worth the price: Price / $.76 [IRS driving reimbursement rate] = miles needed to pay for itself. If you can credibly ride that many miles in a few years, go for it!

Screenshot of a calculator app showing that a $1,500 e-bike will have paid for itself after being ridden 1,974 miles

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JD @loworderlogic.bsky.social · 10/07/2026

Is it weird that the river is still so low?

NOAA chart showing relatively consistent levels for the Ohio River at McAlpine Lower measuring station over the past few weeks

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JD @loworderlogic.bsky.social · 12/06/2026

Voters: yes I would like the middle one please

Three-way Venn diagram labeled “I want stable services”, “I want low density”, and “I want low taxes”. The central area where all three intersect reads “Does not exist”

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JD @loworderlogic.bsky.social · 07/05/2026

This is a tack I’d love to see Dems take more. Harken back to FDR

Photo of FDR alongside text reading:

"Government by organized money is just as dangerous as government by organized mob. Never before in all our history have these forces been so united against one candidate as they stand today. They are unanimous in their hate for me - and I welcome their hatred."
- Franklin D. Roosevelt at a campaign speech in New York City on Oct. 31, 1936

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JD @loworderlogic.bsky.social · 25/02/2026

It’s the only way to keep up

“Left ear right ear” meme where right ear is “November Kelly podcast” and left ear is “another November Kelly podcast”

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JD @loworderlogic.bsky.social · 14/09/2025

You could pretty much get the story of the game from a few bars

Screenshot of the Apple Sports app’s Team Stats view, comparing TBR and CHC’s stats like Extra Base Hits, Home Runs, and Strikeouts

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JD @loworderlogic.bsky.social · 04/09/2025

Oh interesting, I hadn’t thought about the intersections! It does seem like you can squeeze a lot more multimodality in when you only have to keep one driving lane

NACTO image of a one-way complete street

NACTO image of an intersection of a major and minor one-way street

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JD @loworderlogic.bsky.social · 21/07/2025

I understand W≥.500 as a descriptive stat more than a predictive one. That said, the thing to keep in mind is the quality of the Brewers’ record there is at least partly because of their strength of schedule so far - they’ve played 12 fewer games against teams over .500 than the Cubs

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JD @loworderlogic.bsky.social · 21/07/2025

…worse than the Cubs overall. The use of expected hitting stats assumes they’re facing an average defense and the Brewers’ schedule is backloaded, so they probably haven’t yet, overall. I’d expect a good bit of regression over the rest of their season

FanGraphs advanced defensive leaderboard by team for the 2025 MLB season

FanGraphs defensive Statcast leaderboard by team for the 2025 MLB season

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JD @loworderlogic.bsky.social · 12/06/2025

Eh, I think it’s a pass for me

Aaron Civale’s 2025 Baseball Savant page

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JD @loworderlogic.bsky.social · 19/03/2025

I don’t get why anyone ever concedes the “Trump has a mandate” point. Trump didn’t win a popular vote majority - the majority of voters wanted someone else! His popular vote win was the 3rd smallest ever! In no way does he have a mandate