LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 2hIt really is a remarkably well fit linear trend. Like, it's absolutely crazy that it seems totally independent of any individual event. You'd think you should be able to spot the Iran War, Liberation Day tariffs, or Renee Good killing, but nope, not unless you know where to look 0100
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Negative polarization rules everything around me 020
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Kinda funny how I have a similar relationship with my company-provided daily token budget 130
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 06/10/2026I don't like that Michigan number, but Michigan has been a big outlier all cycle. It really seems to me like either there's a big polling miss in Michigan, or a big miss everywhere else 130
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 01/10/2026"An apex predator, also known as a top predator or superpredator, is a predator[note 1] at the top of a food chain with few natural predators of their own, if any.[4][5]“ This describes humans 0120
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 01/10/2026That's not true. You made up a definition in your head and got mad that the rest of us don't use it 1140
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 29/09/2026This also seems like a big part of Mamdani's appeal, tbh 020
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 29/09/2026I don't understand how you apparently believe these two things at once 1. It's very easy for a human to go to a website to quickly and easily get reliable insurance information 2. It's so hard for an LLM to get insurance information from a website that you can't possibly rely on their answer 151
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Glass Onion doesn't all hang together, but there's still lots to love in it 170
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 29/09/2026I'm glad that you find it so easy to navigate insurer's websites, but that is not the typical experience 150
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Possibly by running the SQL that you said is so conveniently available on the insurer's website. Failing that, by loading and reading web pages on the provider's website, similar to how a human would look for this information 120
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 29/09/2026I've been working with AI tools for ~40 hours a week for half a year, and I can count the times it's fully made something up on one hand 010
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Sorry, this talking point is out of date. LLMs can hallucinate and give you bad information, but any modern workflow is going to check the answers it generates against actual sources 250
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 23/09/2026The confusing thing is, I thought we were already at "nothing but hard core MAGA left", but he keeps dropping. And shockingly consistently, too I don't know that I have a point, exactly, it's just weird and I don't understand it 1190
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 23/09/2026If it's an agentic tool that can check sources (which, it should be in 2026), its wrong answers are usually based on a misreading of the source, not something it makes up wholesale 000
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Not to distract from your main point, but "hallucinations" are really not a big problem. They'll get things wrong, but in the same way that I get things wrong if I'm working quickly and don't think through what I'm reading 120
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 19/09/2026If only there were some small part of China where the KMT stayed in power, so we could see if they were able to modernize and raise the standard of living without massive famines 021
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 14/09/2026Have you asked it why it thinks that? 000
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 04/09/2026Should've clicked through, my bad bsky.app/profile/leah... 010
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 04/09/2026Wait, what was the term of address for an unmarried woman, then? Or is this about referring to a married woman as Ms? 220
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 03/09/2026Stancil's account would be unlocked roughly five minutes a day with this, which would probably be better for everyone tbh 020
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 03/09/2026Peakes would either love or hate Victoria, but I'm not sure which 020
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 02/09/2026I'd imagine they'll probably go for an HRE-esque "the Imperium is a relatively loose collection of independent polities", but I have no idea how well centralized the Imperium actually is in the lore 340
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 02/09/2026... is there anything in the lore about how Space Marine chapters actually get everything they get to fight? How do taxes and administration work? 330
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 26/08/2026Yeah. That's why right now, I'm pretty well on board with @opinionhaver.bsky.social's take, that defending liberalism will require taxing the hell out of billionaires, purely in order to take away the metaphorical gun. Reducing income inequality and funding a welfare state are incidental benefits 160
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 26/08/2026Trump is actively making big companies poorer via tariffs and deportations. I think they're sticking with him anyways because they value the ability to grope their secretaries and abuse their underlings more than another couple billion dollars 192
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 26/08/2026But I think the appeal of fascism/authoritarianism is that it embraces the kind of strict hierarchy that liberalism rejects. Liberalism has a fundamental principle that all men (gender neutral) are created equal, which comes with certain legal restrictions 180
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 26/08/2026To some degree, that's a miscalculation - you might lose your fortune under liberal capitalism, but you almost certainly won't lose your life from being on the wrong side of a recent purge 190
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 26/08/2026Junkers aren't capitalists, they're old aristocratic elites Regardless, the clear way to square this circle is that capitalists don't necessarily have a strong ideological attachment to capitalism. They just like money and power, and if a fascist system offers it, they'll take it 2200
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 24/08/2026(looks around, tugs at collar uncomfortably) 070
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 22/08/2026Oh yeah. I distinctly remember wondering why everyone kept staring at me when I first got there. At the end of the trip we went to the Great Wall, and I caught myself staring, because I was seeing white people that I didn't recognize for the first time in a month 0110
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 18/08/2026If you're a real alphabet sicko, you've gotta go with an Asian language. Chinese and Japanese are the obvious candidates, but I've heard awful things about Nepalese 010
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 18/08/2026Probably not a coincidence that airpower is also very capital intensive! Thanks again 140
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 18/08/2026Does that sound about right, or is there a blind spot that I'm missing? 000
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 18/08/2026The Royal Navy was pretty much dominant, up until the US Navy shot past it and never looked. Germany, France, Japan, all tried to compete, but never really got close, as far as I can tell The Punic Wars seem like a counter-example, but then the Successors never even try to contest the Romans at sea 330
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 18/08/2026Thanks for the post, it was very interesting Do you think that the capital-heavy nature of naval warfare explains why it seems to be less "competitive" than land warfare? In all the periods that I'm aware of, there's a dominant naval power, and a bunch of also-rans 140
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 16/08/2026I don't see how you have a dinosaur Industrial Revolution that doesn't use up all the easily accessible coal that we burned back in the 19th century, and I don't see how you get to interstellar war without going through an industrial revolution 071
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 16/08/2026It's maybe the most blatant motte and bailey I've ever seen 0111
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 15/08/2026Yeah, lots of surveillance state possibilities unlocked by AI 010
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 13/08/2026Very funny for you, specifically, to be posting this, given that you're probably the person most responsible for me giving up beef 120
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 04/08/2026The raceswap SC2 campaigns are great, btw. IE you can play through Wings of Liberty, but as the Protoss Lots of effort was put into re-using voicelines to fit the situation (though obviously they're extremely not perfect 000
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 03/08/2026It doesn't make any sense to me if they didn't do the burning, tbh 140
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 30/07/2026Fwiw, "manorialism" is the word I've seen used for the relationship between local elites and the peasants who actually work the land. Though it's not quite as evocative as "feudalism", I'll give you that en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Manoria...en.wikipedia.orgManorialism - Wikipedia 030
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 29/07/2026Also, It Happening before 2028 probably means Vance becomes president, so I'm coming around on your ranking 030
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 29/07/2026Tough to balance the inevitability of Trump's mortality against the surprise of Russia leaving Ukraine 130
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 29/07/2026"Russia leaves Ukraine" is second only to "It Happens" in my personal yearning rankings 160
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 27/07/2026I looked up an interview of Herzog in German, and I found it totally understandable? Definitely an accent, but the only thing that I heard that deviated super far from Hochdeutsch was pronouncing "richtig" with a /k/ at the end youtu.be/O9X2X1Pjd3E?...youtu.beWerner Herzog: Vom einsamen Leben als Regisseur | Sternstunde Philosophie | SRF KulturYouTube video by SRF Kultur Sternstunden 100
LiterallyBismarck @literallybismarck.bsky.social · 26/07/2026Shit, Mamdani basically already did this 0150
Reposted by LiterallyBismarckAdam Gurri @adamgurri.liberalcurrents.com · 22/07/2026The two types of right wing media commentary are “go woke go broke” and corrupting our children Korra is corrupting our children Tomb Raider (2013) is go woke go broke Strange World is corrupting our children Nolan’s Odyssey, despite being a box office hit, is go woke go broke 532864