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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 21h

If you have any non-start/sit questions for the mailbag this week, send them my way.

JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 23h

Now, removing week limitations — looking full-season — shows that no quarterback has hit 11 PPG via rushing in a season. Justin Fields in 2022 was at 10.8. Lamar's first MVP season was at 10.7. We'll see if Allen breaks that record. He's an animal right now, though.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 23h

What's just totally bonkers about his start is that he's giving fantasy managers 14.4 PPG via rushing alone. That's the most that we've ever seen from a quarterback through five weeks since 2016. It's the first time anyone's been over 13 PPG via rushing.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 23h

Josh Allen is currently at 28.6 standard points per game. That's third-best of any quarterback through the first five weeks since 2016 (Russell Wilson was at 29.5 in 2020, Josh Allen was at 29.3 in 2022). (There's more, this is a mini thread)

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 13/10/2026

Waiver wire adds, some buys, and some sells on this week's 15 Transactions episode: open.spotify.com/episode/1C9S...

open.spotify.com

1141: 15 Transactions for Week 6

The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast · Episode

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 13/10/2026

Overtime games in back-to-back nights? East Coast Dads™️ down horrifically.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 13/10/2026

My reaction to watching Puka Nacua play football is the same reaction I have watching my 3-and-a-half-year-old son do literally anything

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

That's it for this week's data dump. If you enjoyed it, we've got a new Data Dump Show on the Late-Round Fantasy Football YouTube channel at 11AM Eastern today. Tune in live: www.youtube.com/watch?v=NJ7k...

youtube.com

Week 5 Fantasy Football Fallout: Key RB Injuries, Cards Without Marv, and More | Data Dump Show

YouTube video by Late-Round Fantasy Football

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

In Weeks 1 and 2, without Michael Penix, Drake London had a 19% target share and 7.2 PPR points per game. Since then, his target share is 35%, and he's averaging 20.6 PPR points per game.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Bijan Robinson had an 81% snap rate in Week 5, out-snapping Brian Robinson 52 to 14. From Weeks 1-4, that snap share split was 64.6% to 36.8%.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

41.7% of the touchdowns surrendered by Baltimore this year have come via the ground. That's tied with Carolina for the lowest rate in the league. Cleveland is on the other end, with 90.9% of their touchdowns allowed coming through the air.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Derrick Henry has a 14% route share while the Ravens are trailing by seven or more points this year. Over his last two seasons, those numbers have been 30% and 25%.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Tyler Huntley has dropped back to pass 20 or more times in 13 games in his career. Last night was the second time he cleared 17 fantasy points.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Without Lamar Jackson last night, Zay Flowers saw a 29% target share, scoring 14.6 PPR points. He's had a 25.5% targets per route run rate with Jackson since the start of 2025, alongside a 3.33 yards per route run rate. Without Jackson, those numbers are 28.3% and 1.80.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Emanuel Wilson saw a 60% snap share, 77% rush share, and 34% route share in Week 5. When he dominated in Week 4, those numbers were 59%, 68%, and 31%. He actually had the exact same expected point total (15.6) in both weeks.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Sam Darnold is last in the league in completion rate on throws that travel 0 to 10 air yards. He's third in completion rate on throws that go 20 or more air yards.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Brock Purdy scored 16.2 standard points against the Seahawks yesterday. He averaged 11 points per game against them last year. Since the start of 2025, Purdy has averaged 12.7 points per game against the Seahawks and 23.3 points against everyone else.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Mike Evans had a 37% target share against the Seahawks. That share was 44% after Deebo Samuel left the game in the third quarter — Evans ran 5 routes after Deebo left, and he saw a target on 4 of them. Brandin Cooks led the team in routes run after the Deebo injury.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

The Lions have 20 touchdowns through five games. That's tied for the fourth-highest mark through five games since 2020. One of the three teams ranked ahead of them are the 2025 Lions.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Jameson Williams scored 18.7 PPR points against the Cardinals on Sunday. He also saw just a 14% target share. Jamo now has a 15.4% target share on the season. He was at 18.5% last year and 18.8% in 2024.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Jared Goff is currently averaging 21.5 passing points per game (standard scoring). That leads the league. Since 2020, Goff's passing points per game mark is 9th highest among all quarterback seasons during Weeks 1-5.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Naturally, the tight ends for Arizona were running more routes. Trey McBride saw a 94% route share, Elijah Higgins was at 41.5%, and Teagan Quitoriano at 32%. Higgins had a 15% route share Weeks 1-4. Quitoriano didn't have a single route.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

The 13 personnel use impacted the WRs. Michael Wilson saw a 15% target share, which was the lowest of his season. His 83% route share was also lowest. Meanwhile, Kendrick Bourne saw a 17% target share, but his route share was 60%. From Weeks 1-4, his route share was 74%.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

With Marvin Harrison Jr. off the team, the Cardinals ran 35.2% of their offensive plays out of 13 personnel on Sunday. That was the highest rate of the week by nearly 2x any other team. From Weeks 1-4, Arizona ran 13 personnel on 19.8% of their offensive plays.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Jeremiyah Love out-snapped Tyler Allgeier 34 to 32 on Sunday, rushes were 12 to 3. Allgeier was used, once again, as their pass-protecting back: Love's last snap came with about 14 minutes left in the fourth quarter. Love has seen two targets over his last two games.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

The Chargers are last in the league with an EPA per play rate of -0.17. In 2024 and 2025, when Tua Tagovailoa wasn't on the field, the Dolphins had a -0.23 EPA per play under Mike McDaniel. When Tua was on the field, they were at +0.03.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Tre Harris was hurt against the Broncos. As a result, the Chargers had four players who ran more than 20 routes in Week 5, and he wasn't one of them. Those players were Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Theo Wease, Oronde Gadsden, and Charlie Kolar. Ladd McConkey didn't see a snap.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Chargers running back snaps, rushes, and routes in Week 5: Kimani Vidal: 26, 8, 11 Keaton Mitchell: 21, 6, 10 Omarion Hampton: 20, 14, 2

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Among all quarterbacks with 100 or more dropbacks this year, Bo Nix ranks last in percentage of attempts that have traveled 20+ air yards. He's last in percent of passes over 10+ air yards, too. His air yards per attempt rate is 5.2, when the player in second-to-last is at 6.5.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

RJ Harvey's 4.5% target share in Week 5 was the lowest of his season. He hadn't been below 14.8% in a game before this past weekend.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

JK Dobbins saw a 62% rush share in Week 5, the second-highest mark of his season. Among the 42 running backs with 30+ carries this year, Dobbins is 38th in success rate and 38th in yards after contact per attempt.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Denver's offense ranks 26th in EPA per play, and they're 27th in EPA per drop back. In 2025, Denver ranked 12th and 8th within those metrics, respectively.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

No pass-catcher hit an 80% route share for the Broncos in Week 5. Jaylen Waddle led the group with a 23% target share, but that was only on 5 targets.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Wrapping up the Giants: Over the last two weeks, Malik Nabers and Isaiah Likely have seen 52 targets combined. The rest of the Giants wide receivers and tight ends have seen 19.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Isaiah Likely over the last two weeks: 81% route share, 31% target share, 23 PPR points per game, 21.4 expected PPR points per game. Likely's expected PPR points per game mark is almost three points higher than any other tight end (Bowers is at 18.5 over the last two weeks).

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Only Jordan Love has as many 20+ air yard completions over the last two weeks as Jameis Winston. Winston has thrown it 20 or more air yards on 21.7% of his attempts during this time, only lower than Patrick Mahomes and Athan Kaliakmanis, two guys who didn't play Week 5.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Cam Skattebo played 63% of the Giants' offensive snaps and saw a 48% rush share in Week 5. That was his second-highest snap share of the season, but it was his lowest rush share. Tyrone Tracy's 11% rush share in Week 5 was a season high.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Malik Nabers had an expected PPR point total of 40.0 on Sunday. That was the highest of any player in a single game this year. He scored 29.1 PPR points on a 38.5% target share.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Rachaad White played 36 snaps against the Giants, Jacory Croskey-Merritt was at 21, and Austin Ekeler 6. Croskey-Merritt led the backfield with 5.2 expected PPR points — he just outperformed it by 9.0.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Jayden Daniels had one designed run and seven scrambles in Week 5. No quarterback is averaging more scrambles per game than Daniels is this year.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Washington pass-catcher routes and targets against the Giants: Antonio Williams: 28 routes, 3 targets Terry McLaurin: 27 routes, 4 targets Treylon Burks: 26 routes, 5 targets Chig Okonkwo: 23 routes, 6 targets

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

90.9% of Pittsburgh's offensive touchdowns this year have come through the air, a league high. Jaylen Warren's Week 5 rushing touchdown was their first ground-game score this year.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Among tight ends with 100 or more routes this year, Pat Freiermuth ranks seventh in PPR points per route run.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

The last time we saw the Steelers without Michael Pittman, Roman Wilson ran 60% of his routes out of the slot, and he played in two-wide sets, not Bernard. On Sunday, in the first half, Bernard was in the slot more (56% vs. 25%), and he played in heavier personnel.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Roman Wilson was hurt at the end of the first half against the Colts. After he left the game, Germie Bernard tied DK Metcalf with a 91% route share, and he saw 4 of 10 Steelers targets. Even before the injury, though, Bernard had a 25% target share.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Jaylen Warren without Rico Dowdle over the last three weeks: 91% snap share 82% rush share 16% target share 24.3 PPR points per game

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Jonathan Taylor saw an 89.3% snap share and 79.5% rush share over Weeks 1 through 3. Over his last two, those numbers have fallen to 72.6% and 67.3%, respectively.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Josh Downs averaged 15 expected PPR points per game over his first three games of the season. Over his last two, he's been at 7.5.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Keenan Allen had 15.9 expected PPR points yesterday. The last time we saw him, he was at 16.8. Over the last three weeks, among WRs with at least two games played, Allen has had the 12th-best expected PPR points per game average.

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JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Quinshon Judkins was injured against the Jets — his last snap came with about 4 minutes left in the fourth. Even still, he had a 12.5% target share in Week 5, the third time he's hit a 10%+ target share this year. He did that once last season.

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