iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Niraj

Ohan Hominis @ohan.bsky.social · 17/02/2026

Niraj Kushwaha joins the podcast to talk about modeling instances of armed conflict using fine grained datasets to better understand the emergence of conflicts and how they might be related. We also chat about statistical physics and its broader applications. youtu.be/KFn1Bc4iqbQ?...

youtu.be

43 | What makes a war?

YouTube video by The Monkey Dance

011

Reposted by Niraj

Complexity Science Hub @csh.ac.at · 21/01/2026

New study examines 20+ years of armed conflict data across Africa. Researchers @kushwaha.bsky.social and @spintheory.bsky.social identify three conflict archetypes, but also show that classification does not necessarily help to predict the severity of conflicts. Learn more: shorturl.at/81pkf

csh.ac.at

Data-Driven Analysis Reveals Three Archetypes Of Armed Conflicts

New CSH study identifies systematic patterns in armed conflicts across Africa – and the limits of forecasting conflict intensity, duration, or fatalities.

043

Reposted by Niraj

Eddie Lee @spintheory.bsky.social · 17/12/2025

🦋🧪 New research out in Royal Society Open Science! We used #MachineLearning to discover that armed #conflict in #Africa sorts into three distinct types—and found a surprising warning about predicting #violence. 🧵 @royalsociety.org @csh.ac.at @kushwaha doi.org/10.1098/rsos...

2145

Niraj @kushwaha.bsky.social · 04/03/2025

🚨New Research Alert🚨 Are commonly used indicators useful when predicting armed conflicts? Our latest study challenges conventional wisdom! How many types of conflict exist according to data? And can we organize them into a meaningful hierarchical taxonomy?🦋💥 To find out: arxiv.org/pdf/2503.00265

arxiv.org

130

Reposted by Niraj

Eddie Lee @spintheory.bsky.social · 08/01/2025

What a whirlwind few months at CSH. But now we’re moved into our lovely new accommodations near Schloss Belvedere. This week we have a student from our summer internship program Shlok Shah visiting us again from Princeton. More science on armed conflict to come!

041