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Karsten Friis

@kafriis.bsky.social
1.4K followers 261 following 73 posts

Research Professor at NUPI 🇧🇻 Security, defence, NATO, Arctic, Nordics plus some cyber and Balkans

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Reposted by Karsten Friis
Anton Gerashchenko @antongerashchenko.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
Ukraine and the world have seen horrifying footage from Kherson today - a Russian drone hunting down a civilian. This person is Mr. Yurii, he sells vegetables. At about 6.30 a.m., Mr. Yurii was putting out the produce by the market, as he does every day⤵️
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Б'єрнберт @bjornbert.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
“Når Ukraina ber om et lån for å presse russerne tilbake, og lover norske kontrakter tilbake, er det uklokt å svare nei. Investeringen er klok både for sikkerhet og økonomi.» Av @sletteboo.bsky.social @kafriis.bsky.social m.fl.
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Thomas Nilsen @thomasnilsen.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
Kirkenes 🇳🇴 marked 9 May at the war memorial. In front, 🇷🇺 consul general. Difficult to understand his speech because locals were singing Ukrainian songs louder.
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Б'єрнберт @bjornbert.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
www.dagsavisen.no/kommentar/uk... Klokt fra @kafriis.bsky.social Økt støtte er billigere pga konsekvensene av for lav støtte.
dagsavisen.no
Ukraina trenger nå et ekstra skippertak
Det er behov for en strategi for å sørge for ukrainsk seier. Et fritt og selvstendig Ukraina vil danne grunnlaget for et trygt og stabilt Europa.
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Montreal Institute for Global Security @migsinstitute.bsky.social · 22/09/2025
And Amelie Theussen, Royal Danish Defence College Karsten @kafriis.bsky.social , Norwegian Institute of International Affairs
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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 27/09/2025
These are the indicative estimates of Russia’s combat losses as of Sept. 27, according to the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
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Diplomaatia @diplomaatia.bsky.social · 28/06/2025
Atlandi-ülesed sidemed ja USA heidutusvõime olid peamine põhjus, miks Põhjamaad ja Balti riigid liitusid NATO-ga. Karsten Friis arutleb, kuidas hakkama saada, kui USA peaks astuma sammu tagasi Euroopa julgeoleku tagamisest. @kafriis.bsky.social #LennartMeriConference
diplomaatia.ee
Karsten Friis: Põhjala ja Balti riikide julgeolek Ameerika Ühendriikideta? – Diplomaatia
Kui Põhjamaad ja Balti riigid ühinesid NATOga, olgu siis 1949., 2004., 2023. või 2024. aastal, põhines see otsus eelkõige soovil saada Ameerika Ühendriigid oma liitlaseks. Just Atlandi-ülesed julgeole...
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 04/07/2025
Jeg har gjestet @ukrainapodden.bsky.social NATO, Trump, Europa med mer. @nupinytt.bsky.social
open.spotify.com
Trumps Nato-effekt, stans av våpenleveranser til Ukraina og europeisk selvstendighet. Gjest: Karsten Friis
Ukrainapodden · Episode
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
It was great to sit down with @maxbergmann.bsky.social @csis.org and Neil Melvin @rusi.bsky.social to discuss transatlantic security after Trump's first 150 or so days.
open.spotify.com
Transatlantic security in turbulent times
The World Stage · Episode
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 01/06/2025
Has military activity increased in the Arctic as a result of Russia's war against Ukraine? Read my latest and find out 😀
sjms.nu
Arctic Spillover? Military Signalling in the European Arctic Before and After the Full-Scale Invasion of Ukraine | Scandinavian Journal of Military Studies
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The Washington Post @washingtonpost.com · 23/03/2025
As President Donald Trump upends the U.S. foreign policy, negotiating closer relations with Russia, threatening NATO allies and pausing cooperation with Ukraine, Washington’s traditional partners — and best customers — are rethinking their dependence on American weapons systems.
washingtonpost.com
Trump turbulence leads allies to rethink reliance on U.S. weapons
European capitals are reviewing vulnerabilities and want to wean themselves from dependence on American weapons, but expanding homegrown options will take time.
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Gabrielius Landsbergis @glandsbergis.bsky.social · 22/03/2025
Witkoff's repeating of Kremlin lies about "russian-speakers" wanting to "join Russia" is truly chilling. This is nothing less than carte blanche for Putin's genocidal imperialism. Hearing Americans talk like this should be an electric shock for Europe, not a wakeup call.
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 06/03/2025
85 mrd til 🇺🇦 er jeg redd blir gårsdagens svar på dagens utfordringer. Norge bør lage et fond på 1000 mrd kr for 🇺🇦 og europeiske forsvarsinvesteringer. Inkludert kjøpe våpen fra 🇺🇲
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WarTranslated (Dmitri) @wartranslated.bsky.social · 01/03/2025
The US is stopping military aid to Ukraine, prioritizing peace talks, said Trump administration spokesperson Karoline Leavitt. We are no longer going to write blank checks for a war in a very distant country without real lasting peace, she added.
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Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum.wsocial.eu · 01/03/2025
"69% of Republican voters say Russia is the aggressor and 83% disapprove of Putin" www.wsj.com/opinion/most...
wsj.com
Opinion | Most Trump Supporters Also Back Ukraine
Our poll found that 69% of Republican voters say Russia is the aggressor and 83% disapprove of Putin.
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 01/03/2025
Nå må Norge handle! Det kan bli veldig dyrt å vente.
aftenposten.no
Nå må Norge handle! Det kan bli veldig dyrt å vente.
Det er nå stor sannsynlighet for at USA ikke lenger vil bidra til Ukrainas forsvarskamp. Da må Europa trå til, skriver forsker Karsten Friis.
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
Nå er tiden inne for tydelige strategiske beslutninger. Mine refleksjoner fra München-konferansen
nupi.no
Vinn eller forsvinn for Europa | NUPI
Hvis ikke Europa klarer å mobilisere nå, klarer man det aldri. Norge er helt nødt til å bidra i denne skjebnetimen, mener NUPI-forsker Karsten Friis.
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 17/02/2025
En dramatisk München-konferanse. Her er min analyse
dagsavisen.no
Vinn eller forsvinn for Europa
Hvis ikke Europa klarer å mobilisere nå, klarer man det aldri. Norge er helt nødt til å bidra i denne skjebnetimen.
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 15/02/2025
NUPI is as always strongly represented at the Munich Security Conference @nupinytt.bsky.social
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WarTranslated (Dmitri) @wartranslated.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
Kaja Kallas declared that Europe will back Ukraine if it rejects a U.S.-Russia deal. "Any agreement without Ukraine and Europe will fail... Ukraine will resist, and Europe will support it." - Head of the European External Action Service.
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
The best analysis thus far by Sven Biscob. Let's forget about peacekeepers. It would be deterrence forces.
egmontinstitute.be
Ukraine Now Needs a European Security Guarantee – Not a Peace Operation - Egmont Institute
At the meeting of the Ukraine Contact Group on 12 February 2025, US Secretary of Defence Pete Hegseth made the American negotiating position on the Russo-Ukrainian War crystal clear. Europe […]
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
Europe should agree to spend as much % of GDP on defence as the US does. Simple rule. Ca. 3.3 today.
politico.eu
Trump’s uphill battle to make NATO allies hit his mega defense spending target
There is broad agreement to boost defense spending — but the U.S. president’s call for 5 percent of GDP is too much for most European countries.
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
1/2 The idea of European peacekeepers in 🇺🇦 in case of a cesefire is totally unrealistic. Europe simply doesn't have the troops. The idea is also very "20th Century", such as 🇧🇦 and 🇽🇰.
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 11/02/2025
Ikke enig i overskriften. Kommenterer i artikkelen. I 2024 utgjorde sol og vind 28% av Europas energimiks, mens gass var 16%, og trenden er nedadgående. Av de 16% leverte Norge ca 30%. Så norsk gass er altså en beskjeden del av Europas totale energimix, men viktig for noen land, slik som 🇬🇧
tv2.no
Tror olje og gass kan sikre freden i Norge - og at en sluttdato kan være dumt
Med uro i verden kan olje og gass bli svært viktig for vår sikkerhet. Men det kan også være et klart mål for angrep, mener eksperter.
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The New York Times @nytimes.com · 08/02/2025
In @nytopinion.nytimes.com How Americans and the world handle Donald Trump "will determine much about the next four years, and it will ask much from all of us," the New York Times editorial board writes. "We must meet the moment." Read more here: nyti.ms/4hrd4Kd
nyti.ms
Opinion | Now Is Not the Time to Tune Out
Trump’s presidency demands your attention.
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
Tull og tøys fra en østerriksk general.
dagsavisen.no
Ekspert om «EU-styrker» på Grønland: – Tull og tøys
Forskere sabler ned «Donald Trump-vennlig» forslag fra EUs øverste militære sjef.
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
The Russian economy has been shrinking, not growing, since 2022. Inflation may be around 20%. www.dagsavisen.no/debatt/2025/...
dagsavisen.no
Økonomien kan stoppe Putin
Den russiske staten kan gå tom for penger allerede i år. USA, Europa og Norge har nå muligheten til å gi Russlands krigsevne nådestøtet.
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 04/02/2025
Russlands økonomi er mer skakkjørt enn mange tror. @nupinytt.bsky.social
dagsavisen.no
Økonomien kan stoppe Putin
Den russiske staten kan gå tom for penger allerede i år. USA, Europa og Norge har nå muligheten til å gi Russlands krigsevne nådestøtet.
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Andreas Umland @umland.eurosky.social · 01/02/2025
The global economy is growing more and more dependent on critical minerals. There are vast reserves of these minerals in Ukraine. Margus @tsahkna.bsky.social in @TheNatlInterest @CFTNI
nationalinterest.org
Ukraine’s Victory Will Ensure Critical Mineral Security
If Western support falters, Ukraine’s reserves of rare earth minerals will be left at the mercy of Russia and China. The global economy is growing more and more dependent on critical minerals—resource...
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 01/02/2025
USA har ikke basert i Norge. Det de har er en avtale hvor det amerikanske forsvaret kan gjøre investeringer inne på norske militære baser.
nettavisen.no
Rødt vil kaste USA ut av Norge
– Det går ikke an å rulle den røde løperen ut for soldater under Trumps kommando, sier Rødt.
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 24/01/2025
Trump-administrasjonens signaler mht Ukraina er bedre enn man kunne fryktet
dagbladet.no
Zelenskyj: - Et vendepunkt
Volodymyr Zelenskyj kom med dystre Trump-advarsler til Europa. Men signalene er ikke udelt negative, mener ekspert.
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Anders Puck Nielsen @anderspucknielsen.dk · 22/01/2025
Was it sabotage or an accident when critical infrastructure was destroyed in the Baltic Sea by ships dragging their anchor across the seabed? I have collected some thoughts in this Q&A style blog post.
logicofwar.com
Sabotage or accidental anchor dragging in the Baltic Sea?
I have collected some answers to the basic questions raised by the recent discussion about whether the cable cutting in the Baltic Sea has been accidental or sabotage. This discussion was sparked by a...
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 17/01/2025
Russland prøver seg på splitt og hersk. Det vil feile
vg.no
Russland mener danskene reagerer for midt på Trumps trusler
Russisk talsperson mener danskene må vise mer mot etter Trumps trusler mot Grønland.
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 16/01/2025
Vil Trump igjen la seg manipulere av Putin? For st toppmøtet skal lede til noe positivt må de være godt forberedt og det må være vilje til bevegelse. @nupinytt.bsky.social
aftenposten.no
Trump «i ferd» med å møte Putin. Det skaper bekymring.
Forrige toppmøte var «en skandale». Nå vil Donald Trump og Vladimir Putin møtes på ny: – Russerne er knallharde på hva de forventer, sier Russland-forsker Julie Wilhelmsen.
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POLITICO Europe @politico.eu · 12/01/2025
Serbia is facing a two-pronged squeeze on its energy supplies, with U.S. sanctions targeting its main gas and oil company over Russian ownership and Azerbaijan claiming to not be able to deliver on its supply — at the exact same time.
politico.eu
Serbia hit with double whammy on gas supply
New U.S. sanctions against Russia target Serbia’s main gas company, at the same time that Azerbaijan claims to not be able to deliver its supply.
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Anton Gerashchenko @antongerashchenko.bsky.social · 12/01/2025
"The Baltics should belong to Russia", according to Russian MP and deputy head of the Defense Committee of the Duma, Aleksei Zhuravlev. In particular, he claimed that Vilnius, the capital of Lithuania was rightfully Russian, as it was part of the Russian Empire.
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 11/01/2025
Når Eira kaster seg inn i norsk forsvarsdebatt bør vi lytte. Men NATO-medlemskapet stiller Norge i en litt annen posisjon en Ukraina
tv2.no
Ukraina-soldat advarer Norge: - Vi er for naive
Mener hun ser likheter mellom Øst-Finnmark og Øst-Ukraina før invasjonen. Dette er listen over ting hun mener nordmenn bør ha i tilfelle Putin kommer.
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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 09/01/2025
The 25th Ramstein meeting brought key pledges for Ukraine's defense: 🇬🇧 UK to provide 30k FPV drones; 🇳🇴 Norway allocates $61M for drone coalition; 🇩🇪 Germany pledges more air defense & armored vehicles; 🇵🇱 Poland to strengthen tank coalition; 🇪🇺 EU ready to lead if US steps back.
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 09/01/2025
Jeg har delt noen refleksjoner om Trump og Grønland. Med @gunhildhg.bsky.social og Iver Neumann. Tror dog det er litt tidlig å konkludere hva dette betyr. Han sier jo mye rart hele tiden
vg.no
Eksperter om Donald Trumps Grønland-utspill: – Et steg tilbake mot imperialisme
Danmarks statsminister Mette Frederiksen har kalt inn til krisemøte om Grønland. Eksperter synes Donald Trumps utspill er urovekkende.
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 08/01/2025
My first contribution to this excellent podcast. About - of all things - Svalbard.
open.spotify.com
F-16 fighter jet in 'world first' shootdown & war-born superbug may spark next pandemic
Ukraine: The Latest · Episode
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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 06/01/2025
When asked about whether such a move caused any kind of emergency in Slovakia, she said that the Gas Coordination Group held talks last week and concluded that "there are no security supplies issues or concerns for the European Union following the end of the transit."
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 06/01/2025
Trump må få Putin til å forhandle, og det er ikke enkelt. Hva han skal gjøre for å få det til, vet vi ikke.
tv2.no
Ekspert: - Det er Putin det handler om
Kan 2025 bli året der krigen mellom Russland og Ukraina endelig tar slutt?
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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 05/01/2025
SitRep - 05/01/25 - ❗️The AFU restarted offensive operations in the Kursk region. An overview of the daily events in Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Everything was focussed on one thing today: the AFU has restarted offensive operations in the Kursk region. REPOST=appreciated 1/X
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 05/01/2025
"Salami tactics" and "gradualism" have been the (successful) strategy of the Biden administration, the authors argue. Perhaps they are fitting labels for the tactics, but I cannot see how it was a strategy. Because we still don't know the objective or desired end-state
reader.foreignaffairs.com
The Real Risks of Escalation in Ukraine
Critics of Washington’s Gradualism Are Misreading Putin’s Redlines
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The Washington Post @washingtonpost.com · 02/01/2025
Montenegro’s government began a three-day mourning period after a gunman opened fire on New Year’s Day — killing 12 people. Prime Minister Milojko Spajic said that an upcoming national security meeting will now consider a “complete ban on gun ownership.”
wapo.st
Montenegro considers gun ban after mass shooting kills 12
The New Year’s Day shooting shocked a country where gun ownership is widespread.
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Sarah Rainsford @sarahrainsfordbbc.bsky.social · 01/01/2025
Ukraine hails a historic day, as it stops the transit of Russian gas via its territory. It means stopping the flow of funds back to Moscow - to pay for missiles and bombs For Moldova, though, the move is problematic - and it looks like Moscow is making the most of that www.bbc.com/news/article...
bbc.com
Moldova faces energy crisis as flow of Russian gas ends
Russian gas has stopped passing through Ukraine after a five-year deal expired, leaving Moldova at risk of a crisis.
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Kriszta Satori @fulelo.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
If you are looking for reliable news - here is a starter pack of #BBCNews journos and freelancers who make excellent #BBC content in London and globally, worth checking out go.bsky.app/8gWbLmD For Nations and Regions: go.bsky.app/KKH2HFp For ex-BBC colleagues: go.bsky.app/R4AXuoc
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Filip Ejdus @filipejdus.bsky.social · 24/12/2024
With 100,000 protesters, the student-led demonstration against corruption held on Sunday in downtown Belgrade was one the largest rallies in Serbian history. The future’s in the air!
Protest in Belgrade 22 December
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Karsten Friis @kafriis.bsky.social · 18/12/2024
Hele NUPI-debatten om norsk utenrikspolitikk her. @nupinytt.bsky.social
youtu.be
Norsk utenrikspolitikk mellom rettsorden og realpolitikk
YouTube video by Norwegian Institute of International Affairs, NUPI
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