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Jeff Meiser

@jwmeiser.bsky.social
5.1K followers 388 following 367 posts

Former war college professor NDU now UPortland. Posts on politics, IR, strategy, hip hop. Book: Power and Restraint. My views rep only me.

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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Really you could say that Iran successfully destroyed 60-70 patriot and thaad interceptors. www.wsj.com/world/middle...
wsj.com
The U.S. Is Burning Through Its Supply of Interceptors to Counter Iran’s Attacks
The U.S. had to expend 70 or more Patriots and Thaads to blunt an attack on Jordan.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Not to brag but I just got a secret memo from VP Vance. Though I do wonder a bit about OPSEC bc my name isn’t William. 🤫
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
I often agree with David French but he is either deceiving himself or being a really poor critical thinker in saying our GWOT military strategy prevented additional 9-11 attacks. I mean maybe it did, but we have no way of knowing and he has no justification for making that assertion.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Really this is the decisive variable? Very much a resource-based understanding of war and strategy, quite a narrow mindset “The decisive variable in the war remains military manpower, said Gady”
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Ep 6 is where Sheridan stops caring about the plot and just starts doing random shit
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Yikes www.bbc.com/news/article...
bbc.com
Concern grows over conditions on USS Abraham Lincoln
Thousands of sailors on the USS Abraham Lincoln have reportedly faced food shortages and broken plumbing, with some considering jumping overboard.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
Looking forward to reading this… issforum.org/roundtables/...
issforum.org
Jervis Forum Roundtable 17-52 on Miller, Choosing Defeat
H-Diplo | Robert Jervis International Security Studies Forum Roundtable Review 17-52 Paul D. Miller, Choosing Defeat: The Twenty-Year Saga of How America Lost Afghanistan. Cambridge University Press…
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
The WSJ paradox
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
Hahaha “It’s very easy to create something you don’t need with AI,” said Vincent Gusdorf, head of AI analytics at Moody’s Ratings and author of a new report that recommends a more disciplined approach apnews.com/article/ai-t...
apnews.com
Workplaces look for cheaper AI as ‘tokenmaxxing’ fades as a corporate fad
A corporate fad of “tokenmaxxing” on artificial intelligence technology is hitting its limits as workplaces throwing AI at everything are seeing the costs rise without a similar spike in productivity.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
This guy sounds dumb “Adm. Brad Cooper, who leads Central Command, believes the U.S. can cope with the limited stocks of Patriot and other air defense interceptors because stepped-up U.S. strikes…would blunt Iran’s ability to launch large numbers of missiles.” www.wsj.com/world/middle...
wsj.com
Trump Pauses Iran Strikes as Officials Weigh Dwindling Air Defense Stocks
The U.S. held off on a major military campaign that could have lasted two weeks, officials said.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
This is insane Inside Israel’s Secret Operation to Cultivate Ahmadinejad www.nytimes.com/2026/07/13/u...
nytimes.com
Inside Israel’s Secret Operation to Cultivate Ahmadinejad
The yearslong effort to groom the former Iranian president as an intelligence asset culminated in a dramatic effort to take him to an Israeli safe house in the early days of the war. But the plan fell...
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Reposted by Jeff Meiser
Zuri Linetsky @zurilinetsky.bsky.social · 11/07/2026
“history suggests that the U.S. has used military force to great effect, just not the effects it hoped to have. Meanwhile, the U.S. military budget gets larger and larger, but the effects it produces continue to be paltry.” @jwmeiser.bsky.social nails it. smallwarsjournal.com/2026/05/25/c...
smallwarsjournal.com
Coming to Terms With Our Strategic Inadequacies
U.S. military power repeatedly fails politically because American strategy ignores causation, negotiation, and realism.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
It’s with some reluctance that I reach the conclusion that VAR must be discontinued.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 20/06/2026
The real forever war No End in Sight for U.S. Military Mission Along Border With Mexico www.nytimes.com/2026/06/20/u...
nytimes.com
No End in Sight for U.S. Military Mission Along Border With Mexico
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
“U.S. bases and equipment across the Middle East came under attack…and repairs could cost billions of dollars.” www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/i...
nbcnews.com
Iran caused more extensive damage to U.S. military bases than publicly known
U.S. bases and equipment across the Middle East came under attack — including from an Iranian F-5, despite American air defenses — and repairs could cost billions of dollars.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
🤔 “the U.S. Defense Department announced that Indo-Pacific Command (INDOPACOM)—the Hawaii-based headquarters for all U.S. armed forces in the Pacific and eastern Indian oceans—would revert to its original name, Pacific Command, or PACOM” foreignpolicy.com/2026/06/17/i...
foreignpolicy.com
Why Trump’s Pentagon Abandoned ‘Indo-Pacific’
A military name change signals a broader strategic and diplomatic shift.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
Wow this Wembanyama guy is pretty good
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
Important reminder “Historians Allan Millett and Williamson Murray, pondering the evidence compiled in their three-volume study of military effectiveness from 1914 to 1945, concluded that devising appropriate strategy was the most important aspect of warfare” www.hoover.org/research/why...
hoover.org
Why Can’t America Win Its Wars?
America’s military is like Germany’s in the twentieth century—a tactically and operationally brilliant force that cannot think strategically.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
Must read 🧵
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
I have an article in Small Wars Journal. “The root cause of the problem is the unwillingness to confront a central challenge of strategy: how to use military force to cause desired political effects.” smallwarsjournal.com/2026/05/25/c...
smallwarsjournal.com
Coming to Terms With Our Strategic Inadequacies
U.S. military power repeatedly fails politically because American strategy ignores causation, negotiation, and realism.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
Love the title warontherocks.com/missiles-are...
warontherocks.com
Missiles Aren’t Strategy: Lessons From Iran for a Pacific Air War
Western airpower debates are increasingly driven by grim math. Analysts tally missile inventories, strike ranges, and sortie-generation capacity against a
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
Time to get tatted up
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
It is impossible to be a principled libertarian and support this administration ‘We Know You Live Right Here’: No Secrets in America’s New Surveillance Dragnet www.wsj.com/politics/pol...
wsj.com
‘We Know You Live Right Here’: No Secrets in America’s New Surveillance Dragnet
Technical wizardry used to combat illegal immigration also funnels the personal data and whereabouts of U.S. citizens to federal agents.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
U.S. Debt Tops 100% of GDP www.wsj.com/economy/u-s-...
wsj.com
U.S. Debt Tops 100% of GDP
Federal debt exceeding the size of the economy is a potent symbol of the gathering fiscal stresses on the U.S.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
Well it’s been a good run folks but I think it’s time to cut the hard line before the infection gets worse. Hundreds of Fake Pro-Trump Avatars Emerge on Social Media www.nytimes.com/2026/04/17/b...
nytimes.com
Hundreds of Fake Pro-Trump Avatars Emerge on Social Media
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
Oh well! “The U.S.-Israeli attack fast-tracked the ascent of hard-liners and apocalyptic religious followers, raising doubts about a lasting peace” www.wsj.com/world/middle...
wsj.com
Iran’s Regime has Changed—for the Worse
The U.S.-Israeli attack fast-tracked the ascent of hard-liners and apocalyptic religious followers, raising doubts about a lasting peace.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
Insightful analysis podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...
podcasts.apple.com
Will the Cease-Fire With Iran Hold?
Podcast Episode · The Foreign Affairs Interview · April 8 · 31m
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
If you read to the end of the story you find out we lost two more planes during the rescue www.nytimes.com/2026/04/05/u...
nytimes.com
A Harrowing Race Against Time to Find a Downed U.S. Airman in Iran
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
It’s unamerican that the March madness final game is not on network tv
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
It’s good to remember what happened last time Israel occupied Lebanon www.foreignaffairs.com/lebanon/leba...
foreignaffairs.com
Lebanon and its Inheritors
In the Shia vision of history, born of centuries of oppression and marginality, a time comes when the mighty are humbled; the lowly who kept the faith rise up and inherit the earth free from oppressor...
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
media.tenor.com
a close up of a man 's face with the year 2019 fox all rights reserved
ALT: a close up of a man 's face with the year 2019 fox all rights reserved
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
John Spencer now using the term “neurological warfare” to describe (and celebrate) US/Israel ability to kill an entire layer of leadership all at the same time. He suggests the effects so significant that it is in itself a military strategy. There are some problems he does not acknowledge
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
I WITNESSED LETHALITY!
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Reposted by Jeff Meiser
Jack Murphy @jackmurphyrgr.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
They'll fight to the last American soldier. Stunning, and also brave.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
The loser decides when the war is over.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 29/03/2026
Open access article “The drone revolution: Towards a synthesis in the drone debate” www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
cambridge.org
The drone revolution: Towards a synthesis in the drone debate | European Journal of International Security | Cambridge Core
The drone revolution: Towards a synthesis in the drone debate - Volume 11 Issue 2
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Bleak assessment. “If Iran and the Gulf states destroy one another’s sources of wealth, if Iran turns into another failed state, if there’s chaos throughout the region, Israel would reign over all of it in a militarized fortress.” www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a...
newyorker.com
How Donald Trump May Have Sabotaged His Chances for a Deal with Iran
The Iranian regime has shut down the Strait of Hormuz, destabilizing global markets and leaving the U.S. with no good options.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
Added to list: 5. Brathwaite, *Symbols and Sacrifice in War*
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
Gulf counties want the US to not only continue the war but also to escalate it. So I’m assuming they’ll be sending us a check for $200+ billion? www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/0...
washingtonpost.com
Gulf countries want Trump to end Iran war — but not yet, officials say
The Saudis and Emiratis fear a deal that leaves the region less stable, and they have indicated support for an escalated campaign to force concessions from Tehran.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
As a guilty pleasure this summer I plan to write a review article on “modern war”. Thinking of including these books from 2025-25. Any others? 1. Gady, *How the United States Would Fight China* 2. O’Brien, *War and Power* 3. Fox, *Maneuver is Dead* 4. Connable, *Ground Combat*
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
So are we mujahideen now? Hegseth Invokes Divine Purpose to Justify Military Might www.nytimes.com/2026/03/20/u...
nytimes.com
Hegseth Invokes Divine Purpose to Justify Military Might
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Huh? “The Chinese industrial base, which is on a wartime footing…” www.wsj.com/opinion/the-...
wsj.com
Opinion | The U.S. Ammo Shortage Is Worse Than You Think
Congress and the Pentagon need to revitalize the U.S. defense industry base—and they need to act fast.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
If they’re wearing cross trainers it isn’t boots on the ground
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
This alone would be a massive scandal for the Biden administration “the United States was thinking about releasing more from the Strategic Oil Reserve, which the administration had failed to refill to capacity in the run-up to the war.” www.nytimes.com/2026/03/19/u...
nytimes.com
Trump’s Complaint About Israeli Strike on Gas Field Exposes Divergent Strategies
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
Southern flank? “The A-10 Warthog is now engaged across the southern flank, targeting fast-attack watercraft in the Strait of Hormuz,” www.wsj.com/world/middle...
wsj.com
U.S. War Planes and Helicopters Kick Off Battle to Reopen Hormuz
The effort has taken on new urgency nearly three weeks into the war with Iran, as oil prices soar above $100 a barrel.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
We should be paying attention to this warontherocks.com/2026/03/isla...
warontherocks.com
Islamic State Containment Is Collapsing in Syria
Less than a month after the repeal of Caesar Act sanctions, Syria’s transitional president Ahmad al Sharaa launched an offensive against the Kurdish-led
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
State Department cut jobs with deep expertise in Middle East as Iran crisis escalates apnews.com/article/iran...
apnews.com
State Department cut jobs with deep expertise in Middle East as Iran crisis escalates
The widening war in Iran is exposing big gaps at the State Department, especially in the bureau that handles the Middle East.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
LOLLLLLLL Trump: “Who knows better about surprises than Japan? Hey, why didn’t you tell me about Pearl Harbor?” www.wsj.com/livecoverage...
wsj.com
Trump Refers to Pearl Harbor in Front of Japanese Leader While Discussing Iran Attack
President Trump made a reference to Pearl Harbor in front of the Japanese leader, when asked why he didn’t notify allies about the U.S.’s plan to attack Iran. “You don't want to signal too much. We we...
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Reposted by Jeff Meiser
Kori Schake @kschake.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
It’s shameful and dangerous for the guy who wrote an article about military education to incite a mob to violence against @bradduplessis.bsky.social, @ryanevans.bsky.social, and @warontherocks.bsky.social for engaging its content. This is how republics die.
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Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Is there something about octopi that I don’t know? Israel Katz, the country’s bombastic defense minister, said he had ordered the military to keep hunting down Iranian leaders and to “repeatedly cut off the head of the octopus and not let it grow.” www.nytimes.com/2026/03/17/w...
nytimes.com
Israel Keeps Killing Key Iranian Leaders. Will It Work?
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