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Jair van der Lijn

@jvdlijn.bsky.social
127 followers 76 following 42 posts

Independent consultant and Director Peace Operations and Conflict Management Programme @SIPRI.bsky.social. Trends and developments and looking @ the future.

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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
This ADF article brings Jakkie Cilliers, Amani Africa and our @sipri.org work on the future of African Peace Operations together: adf-magazine.com/2026/09/fundin…
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 13/07/2026
“If things continue this way, we could witness... the near total sidelining of institutions like the United Nations,’ says SIPRI’s @jvdlijn.bsky.social @elpais.com investigates #UN #peacekeeping budget cuts using SIPRI’s Multilateral #Peace Operations Database For the report 📊 bit.ly/4uo2ES9
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Peacekeeping in peril amid plummeting troop numbers and geopolitical deadlock: New SIPRI report
Geopolitical tensions, political pressure and funding crises are putting the viability of multilateral peacekeeping in jeopardy, according to a new analysis of developments and trends in multilateral ...
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
I would not go that far, but El País used our @sipri.org data and is making the point: Blue Helmets are in danger of extinction english.elpais.com/internationa... via @elpaisinenglish
english.elpais.com
Blue Helmets are in danger of extinction
UN peacekeeping missions are operating with a multimillion-dollar hole in their accounts, facing cuts, base closures and personnel repatriations
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
Very happy we finally completed this @sipri.org report: UN SSR transitions succeed by starting lasting reform—not by finishing it. Many thanks to my co-authors Kevin Steeves, Abel Gbala, Marina Caparini and @gretchenbaldwin.bsky.social, and the Just Future Alliance of which this research was part.
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
Very happy we finally completed this @sipri.org report: UN SSR transitions succeed by starting lasting reform—not by finishing it. Many thanks to my co-authors and the Just Future Alliance of which this research was part.
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 25/05/2026
This new SIPRI map shows all currently active multilateral #PeaceOperations plus other conflict-management operations authorized and/or conducted by the @UN and regional organizations. Explore the map ➡️ bit.ly/4fwPAVU New data out now ➡️ bit.ly/4uo2ES9
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SIPRI Map of Multilateral Peace Operations, 2026
This map provides an overview of SIPRI’s multilateral peace operations data for 2025.
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 25/05/2026
Geopolitical tensions, political pressure and funding crises are putting the viability of multilateral peacekeeping in jeopardy. The number of personnel in peace operations at the end of 2025 fell to its lowest point in at least 25 years. New #SIPRI data out now ➡️ doi.org/10.55163/WDYY8158
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 25/05/2026
All of the top 10 contributors of military and police personnel to multilateral peace operations were states in the Global South. Uganda 🇺🇬 became the top contributor of military personnel. Rwanda 🇷🇼 was the top contributor of police personnel. Read the press release ➡️ bit.ly/3SolkzX
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 25/05/2026
Personnel deployments to peace operations declined sharply to reach 78 633, just over half the number deployed in 2016 and the smallest number in at least 25 years. Explore the visualizations ➡️ www.sipri.org/visualizatio...
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 25/05/2026
A total of 58 multilateral peace operations were active in 34 countries or territories around the world during 2025. Press release ➡️ bit.ly/3SolkzX
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 25/05/2026
New SIPRI data on multilateral #PeaceOperations out now. Press release ➡️ bit.ly/4uo2ES9 Fact sheet ➡️ doi.org/10.55163/WDY...
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 24/05/2026
Peacekeeping in peril amid plummeting troop numbers and geopolitical deadlock. New SIPRI data on multilateral #PeaceOperations out now. Press release ➡️ bit.ly/4uo2ES9 Fact Sheet ➡️ doi.org/10.55163/WDYY8158 #Peacekeeping #PeaceOps #PKDay #SIPRI
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 25/03/2026
On 5–6 March, SIPRI co-organized a workshop on the future of #ConflictManagement and #PeaceOperations in South East Asia and the Pacific. Learn more ⬇️ www.sipri.org/news/2026/si... @jvdlijn.bsky.social @fesonline.bsky.social
sipri.org
SIPRI co-organizes workshop on conflict management in South East Asia and the Pacific
On 5–6 March, SIPRI co-organized a workshop on the future of conflict management and peace operations in South East Asia and the Pacific.
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 13/03/2026
Today, #SIPRI releases a new paper by Gretchen Baldwin that takes stock of the sub-field of men, boys and masculinities within the women, peace and security #WPS agenda. Read it now ➡️ bit.ly/40tJzRm #SIPRI #Peacebuilding #UNSCR1325
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
Great discussions last week at the @sipri.org and @fesonline.bsky.social New Geopolitics of Conflict Management dialogue in Bangkok on developments in Southeast Asia and the Pacific. After Africa, another region shaped by great power politics, yet this time normative frameworks keep advancing.
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
If EU Civilian CSDP crisis management is to become more strategic and impactful, it must confront an uncomfortable reality: missions cannot be open-ended. Aino Esser outlined key questions for strengthening impact and relevance. @villesavoranta.bsky.social now turns to closure and transition:
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
"When I’m no longer around to settle wars, the U.N. can” “It has tremendous potential. Tremendous.” 😂
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
Following Timo Smit arguing in favour of more strong and strategic EU Civilian CSDP crisis management, ahead of Ville Savoranta's upcoming paper on closure and transition of EU civilian CSDP missions, Aino Esser's paper maps the questions to be addressed to strengthen impact and strategic relevance.
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
Board of Peace’: a club a popular kid in school made up, where membership is granted at their whim… and candy is non-negotiable. The Charter speaks of 'peace-building mission[s]', indicating personnel deployments, on a voluntary, ad hoc, and occasional basis. Peace operations?
Mape dowloaded from: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/f/f3/Board_of_Peace_Membership.png
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 08/01/2026
In the wake of the pandemic, development aid has entered a new era. As democratic backsliding and tighter government restrictions spread, #civilsociety faces new challenges. This #SIPRI paper by @jvdlijn.bsky.social explores how actors can navigate restrictive environments. More: bit.ly/49pZ5Sb
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 20/12/2025
In places where governments restrict civic and political space, what: 👉are challenges CSOs face? 👉are CSO coping strategies? 👉do CSOs ask from international and funding partners? Are you working in the field and able to share experiences? Many thanks to Cordaid, Just Future and Netherlands MFA.
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 24/11/2025
This #SIPRI map highlights all multilateral #PeaceOperations active as of 1 May 2025 plus a number of missions and operations authorized and/or conducted by the #UN and regional organizations around the world. Explore the map ➡️ bit.ly/4pzapC5
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
The Security Council should not ask MONUSCO to do more with less. If it does, the Secretary-General should tell the Council what it needs to hear, not what it likes to hear: i.e. 'no can do.'
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
Last week @sipri.org org and @fesonline.bsky.social organized a scenarios workshop on the future of the Korean peninsula. Now already two participants wrote up their thoughts. Ken Jimbo (bit.ly/3LIELTT) & @johndelury.bsky.social (bit.ly/49eMdA3) Honoured to work with a group of great minds!
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
Ahead of the 25th anniversary of the WPS agenda, @sipri.org published its annual overview of women in multilateral PeaceOps (EU, OSCE and UN). How are organizations, missions and states performing on the aim of gender balance? The answers are here: bit.ly/47at2WJ
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Women in Multilateral Peace Operations in 2025: What is the State of Play?
This overview of women’s representation in multilateral peace operations presents data on aggregate personnel trends, annual snapshots of data on women’s representation in leadership, and annual avera...
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 04/10/2025
What will be the impact of reduced funding for multilateral conflict management and increasing disregard of norms on global peace and security? It will be messy! The research will continue, also to provide input to the UN Peace Operations Review. @UNPeacekeeping @UNDPPA
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 26/09/2025
As conflict management in 10 years is likely more bilateral and ad hoc, the question is: how to manage this diversity of actors? Earlier this month, participants at a @sipri.org and @fesonline.bsky.social workshop, explored the future of conflict management in Africa: bit.ly/3KfZRsf.
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SIPRI co-hosts workshop on the future of conflict management in Africa
On 2–4 September 2025, SIPRI and the Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung (FES) hosted a regional workshop in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, bringing together experts and practitioners to explore the future of conflict m...
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 31/08/2025
And Putin agrees to having EU troops in Ukraine? JAQ: www.reuters.com/world/europe...
reuters.com
Von der Leyen says Europe is drawing up 'precise' plans to send troops to Ukraine, FT reports
Europe is drawing up "pretty precise plans" for a multinational troop deployment to Ukraine as part of post-conflict security guarantees that will have the backing of U.S. capabilities, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen told the Financial Times in an interview published Sunday.
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
International cooperation means you scratch each other's back and do not always try to get your way. The US pushed through the closure of the UN mission in Lebanon, UNIFIL. Will it now get support for a more lethal ‘Gang-Suppression Force’ for Haiti www.nytimes.com/2025/08/28/u...
nytimes.com
U.S. Proposes a More Lethal ‘Gang-Suppression Force’ for Haiti
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 11/08/2025
Great continuation of our @sipri.org and @fesonline conversations on the topic in Dakar!!! While the need for conflict management is increasing, consensus, funds, willingness and interests at the multilateral level are lacking. Is the future deinstititionalized, fragmented, and more militarised?
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 10/07/2025
This SIPRI map highlights all multilateral #PeaceOperations active as of 1 May 2025 plus a number of missions and operations authorized and/or conducted by the United Nations and regional organizations around the world. Explore the map ➡️ bit.ly/4mvArFuNew
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 15/06/2025
Nearly all of the nine nuclear-armed states—🇺🇸🇷🇺🇬🇧🇫🇷🇨🇳🇮🇳🇵🇰🇰🇵🇮🇱—continued intensive nuclear modernization programmes in 2024, upgrading existing weapons and adding newer versions. Read the press release🔗 bit.ly/45TEl57 #SIPRIYearbook #NuclearWeapons #ArmsControl #NuclearRisk #Disarmament #NonProliferation
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 15/06/2025
🇺🇸🇷🇺 Russia and the USA together possess around 90% of all nuclear weapons. Both continue extensive modernization programmes. Find out more 🔗 bit.ly/45TEl57 #SIPRIYearbook #NuclearWeapons #ArmsControl #NuclearRisk #Disarmament #NonProliferation
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 15/06/2025
📢 Nuclear risks grow as new arms race looms—new SIPRI Yearbook out now. Read the press release 🔗 bit.ly/45TEl57 #SIPRIYearbook #NuclearWeapons #ArmsControl #NuclearRisk #Disarmament #NonProliferation
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Nuclear risks grow as new arms race looms—new SIPRI Yearbook out now
(Stockholm, 16 June 2025) The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) today launches its annual assessment of the state of armaments, disarmament and international security. Key findi...
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 03/06/2025
Main contributors of police personnel to UN and non-UN Multilateral Peace Operations: 🇸🇳Senegal 1215 🇷🇼Rwanda 1097 🇰🇪Kenya 473 🇪🇬Egypt 397 🇨🇲Cameroon 363 🇬🇭Ghana 356 🇲🇷Mauritania 326 🇩🇯Djibouti 238 🇳🇵Nepal 228 🇳🇬Nigeria 228 @sipri.org Fact Sheet➡️ bit.ly/3HhIZzQ
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 03/06/2025
Main contributors of military personnel to UN and non-UN Multilateral Peace Operations: 🇳🇵Nepal 5908 🇧🇩Bangladesh 5482 🇮🇳India 5211 🇷🇼Rwanda 4779 🇺🇬Uganda 4655 🇪🇹Ethiopia 3715 🇿🇦South Africa 3706 🇧🇮Burundi 2971 🇰🇪Kenya 2642 🇵🇰Pakistan 2598 @sipri.org Fact Sheet➡️ bit.ly/3HhIZzQ
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 26/05/2025
Current trends in multilateral peace operations include geopolitical rivalries and uncertain regionalization. Looking ahead expect more: 1️⃣Multilateral inaction; and 2️⃣Deinstitutionalization/fragmentation, and 3️⃣Militarization/securitization of efforts that do take place. ➡️ doi.org/10.55163/VVWF7280
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 26/05/2025
In a world where conflict seems to be on the rise, tools of conflict management seem to be in decline. Explore our map ➡️ bit.ly/4mvArFu, and @sipri.org data on multilateral #PeaceOps ➡️ bit.ly/3SolkzX Proud of Claudia Pfeifer Cruz for putting the facts together! bsky.app/profile/sipr...
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 26/05/2025
New @sipri.org data on multilateral #peaceoperations out now! Don't worry! It is only 6% less personnel, and 2 operations fewer than last year!
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 26/05/2025
Out of all multilateral peace operations international personnel: 👉69% were deployed in UN-led operations 👉74% were hosted in Sub-Saharan Africa See the new @sipri.org data out now: Press release➡️ bit.ly/3SolkzX Map➡️ bit.ly/4mvArFu Fact sheet➡️ doi.org/10.55163/VVW...
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 26/05/2025
The 61 Multilateral Peace Operations active in 2024 were located in: 👉Sub-Saharan Africa (21), 👉Europe (19), 👉Middle East and North Africa (14), 👉Americas (4) 👉Asia and Oceania (3) Operations are particularly an African affair in personnel numbers, less in mission numbers. SIPRI data out now!
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 16/05/2025
The Berlin Peacekeeping Ministerial discussed partnerships, modular approaches and pledges. Our FES-SIPRI side event "The Future of Conflict Management and Peace Operations" discussed what to do if partners are disfunctional and many of the modules are insufficiently invested in.
@sipri.org @fesonline.bsky.social @unpeacekeeping.bsky.social
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
Really interesting discussions on the future of peacekeeping and peacebuilding on the eve of the 2025 Berlin Peacekeeping Ministerial. How to keep what we have afloat? peaceoperations.net @zif.bsky.social
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
It was great having so many knowledgeable and fun people together to think about the future of conflict management.
@ljsharland.bsky.social @fortid.crisisgroup.org
@jyrkiruohomaki.bsky.social @sandraborda.bsky.social @uelistaeger.bsky.social
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Lisa Sharland @ljsharland.bsky.social · 12/03/2025
Is there are role for UN peacekeeping in Ukraine? My latest for the Stimson Center.
stimson.org
Is There a Role for Blue Helmets in Ukraine? • Stimson Center
As Europe mobilizes a coalition to backstop Ukraine’s security, consideration should also be given to deploying a UN peacekeeping mission.
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 10/03/2025
The five largest arms exporters in 2020–24 were: 🇺🇸 USA, 🇫🇷 France, 🇷🇺 Russia, 🇨🇳 China, and 🇩🇪 Germany. Read SIPRI’s press release: bit.ly/3FblDe8 #ArmsTrade
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 10/03/2025
Arms imports in Europe grew by 155%, while imports shrank in Africa and Asia. Despite high regional variation, the total volume of international arms transfers in 2020–24 remained at much the same level as in 2015–19. Find out more: doi.org/10.55163/XXS...
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Jair van der Lijn @jvdlijn.bsky.social · 11/03/2025
I guess next year arms imports in Europe will increase even further?
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 10/03/2025
The five largest arms importers in 2020–24 were 🇺🇦 Ukraine, 🇮🇳 India, 🇶🇦 Qatar, 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia, and 🇵🇰 Pakistan. Read the new SIPRI fact sheet on international arms transfers: doi.org/10.55163/XXS...
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SIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 09/03/2025
New SIPRI data on global #ArmsTransfers out now: Ukraine the world’s biggest arms importer; United States’ dominance of global arms exports grows as Russian exports continue to fall. Press release ⬇️ www.sipri.org/media/press-...
sipri.org
Ukraine the world’s biggest arms importer; United States’ dominance of global arms exports grows as Russian exports continue to fall
Ukraine became the world’s largest importer of major arms in the period 2020–24, with its imports increasing nearly 100 times over compared with 2015–19.
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