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The latest AP/NORC poll shows that whatever gains the GOP, and more specifically, Trump, made with #Latinos are vanishing quickly. It feels like “deja vu all over again”

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FIVE: Even though #secular adults express disapproval with Trump, only 42% have a favorable view of the Democratic Party. Fewer than one in five (19%) Secular adults have a favorable opinion of the GOP secularpolitics.us/20251024 #atheist #nones #nonreligious

THREE: 54% of USA believe that the Trump administration's “changes to the federal government represent an ‘assault' on constitutional checks and balances.” Among the #secular, it rises to 71%. #atheist #nones #nonreligious secularpolitics.us/20251024

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SECOND: A majority of US adults (56%) agree that Trump “is a dangerous dictator whose power should be limited before he destroys American democracy.” However, among the secular population, three-quarters (75%) agree (62% strongly agree) #atheist #nones #nonreligious secularpolitics.us/20251024

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Juhem Navarro-Rivera @juhemnr.me · 17/10/2025

Earlier this week @prri.org released its latest #AmericanValuesSurvey. Among the wealth of information in the report, I want to focus on five points highlighting what I call the #secular #resistance. #atheist #nones #nonreligious secularpolitics.us/20251024

The chart presents data regarding the differing views of the general population versus secular adults in the U.S. on several statements related to former President Donald Trump and political parties.

Disapproval of Trump:
General Population: 56%
Secular Adults: 77%

Perception of Trump as a Dictator:
General Population: 56% agree
Secular Adults: 71% agree

View on SCOTUS and Its Power:
General Population: 55% believe SCOTUS gave Trump power
Secular Adults: 71% believe SCOTUS gave Trump power

Assault on Checks and Balances:
General Population: 54% agree Trump is doing this
Secular Adults: 71% agree Trump is doing this

Favorable View of the Democratic Party:
General Population: 35%
Secular Adults: 42%

Favorable View of the Republican Party:
General Population: 39%
Secular Adults: 19%

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They knew they were a bunch of fascists but now everybody knows and confirmed it…

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Juhem Navarro-Rivera @juhemnr.me · 09/10/2025

One of the reasons I stopped attending baseball games for a long time was to avoid listening to that awful song. Good for Benito!

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Third chart: #nonreligious #Latino adults are still very young. In 2007 52% were under the age of 35, in 2024 55% were born in or after 1990. secularpolitics.us/20251008 #seculatism #hispanicheritagemonth

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Second chart: there’s now gender parity among #secular #Latinos & #Latinas. In 2007 58% of #nonreligoous were latinos and 42% Latinas. In 2024 is 47% & 48% respectively secularpolitics.us/20251008

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First chart: #nonreligious #Latinos grew 93%!!! Between 2007-24 from 14% of #Latinx adults to 27% and I real increase from 4 million to 13 million. secularpolitics.us/20251008

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Juhem Navarro-Rivera @juhemnr.me · 29/09/2025

Today’s newsletter looks back at how #Latino secularity has changed since 2007 in 5 charts #hispanicheritagemonth #atheist #secular #nonreligious secularpolitics.us/20251008

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I don’t watch the #SuperBowl but when I do is because #BadBunny headlines the #halftimeshow. ICYMI, my newsletter last week on #secular #Latinos religious beliefs/behaviors, and my thoughts on Benito’s concert secularpolitics.us/20250923

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#Latino Catholics are interesting. The account for a plurality of the Latino vote. What determined the margin of victory for Harris among Latinos was her share among Catholics. She lost them in the NEP and lost the Latino vote, won 61% in the CES and had her best margin secularpolitics.us/20250926

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Looking at the Democrats' 2024 share of the #Latino vote by religious ID shows two consistent patterns: 70%+ #secular support, and 30-ish% Protestant support. Meaning, Harris won secular Latinos handily and lost Protestants. secularpolitics.us/20250926 #HispanicHeritageMonth #2024Elex

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The surveys find that Democrats (Harris) won the overall #Latino vote, but that the GOP (Trump) gained substantially. Harris' margin ranges from +5 points (NEP) to +18 (CES); these margins are still historically low. All three polls agree that the GOP got at least 40% secularpolitics.us/20250926

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Juhem Navarro-Rivera @juhemnr.me · 24/09/2025

My latest entry, 'Three Perspectives on the #Latino Vote' compares the findings of the NEP exit poll, the VoteCast, and the CES data comparing #secular, Catholic, and Protestant/other Christian Latinos secularpolitics.us/20250926 #hispanicheritagemonth #nonreligious #latina #latinx #hispanic

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ICYMI my latest #HispanicHeritageMonth newsletter entry explores the religious beliefs & behaviors of #secular #latinos & #latinas. Come for the #secularism content and stay for the #BadBunny concert commentary secularpolitics.us/20250923

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Finally, there's still time to register for my web discussion "Secular and Christian Latinos in Presidential Elections" on 9/30 secularpolitics.us/event20250930

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I close with some thoughts about the #BadBunny concert on Saturday night.

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#Secular #Latino adults do not practice religion; most seem to lead truly secular lives. 8/10 (81%) don't attend religious services, 7/10 (72%) don't thank God before meals, and 60% do not pray at all. secularpolitics.us/20250923

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Belief in other concepts is even lower: while 3/4 of #secular #Latino adults believe in a soul, belief in heaven (44%) and hell (36%) are much lower than the population as a whole. Only 1/5 (20%) say the Bible is important to them secularpolitics.us/20250923

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While most #secular #Latino adults say they believe in God, compared to religious Latinos, the certainty of their beliefs is pretty low. Two-thirds of religious Latinos are certain that God exists (70%). But only 28% of secular ones do, about 40% of believers secularpolitics.us/20250923

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Today's newsletter focuses on the religious beliefs and behaviors of #secular #latinos, continuing my #HispanicHeritageMonth series. I also end with a commentary on Saturday night's awesome/epic #BadBunny concert in San Juan. secularpolitics.us/20250923

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You can also register for our @thesecularvote.bsky.social upcoming discussion "Secular and Christian Latinos in Presidential Elections" on 9/30 at 6PM ET. Registration below secularpolitics.us/event20250930

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You can read the whole post and analysis here secularpolitics.us/20250919

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Finally, the #secular #Latino cohort is the only one with gender parity in its composition, with similar proportions of men and women. Historically, secularity has been heavily male; a significant portion of the growth in secularism is due to #Latinas abandoning religion 4/fin

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Another way of looking at these cohorts is their religious composition by birth decade. Only 13% of ##Latinxs born on or b4 1969 are #secular, but a plurality (39%) of #latinos & #latinas born on or after 1990 are #nonreligious (3/x) #HispanicHeritageMonth #LatinoHeritageMonth

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#Secular #latinos & #latinas are much younger than the #Latinx population as a whole. 55% of the #nonreligious were born in 1990 or later. By comparison 39% of Latinos, 29% of Catholics, and 32% of evangelicals were born in 1990 or later. (2/x) #LatinoHeritageMonth #HispanicHeritageMonth

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Juhem Navarro-Rivera @juhemnr.me · 12/09/2025

Today in the newsletter, I kick off #HispanicHeritageMonth with an analysis of the demographics of #secular #latinos & #latinas. According to the 2024 Religious Landscape Survey, nearly 3-in-10 (27%) of #Latinxs are #nonreligious. Catholics (42%) are still a plurality (1/x)

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In the latest #SecularPolitics I try to give my friend Hemant @friendlyatheist.com some hope about the future of #secularism in what ended up being the 4th entry in my series The Boundaries of Secularity secularpolitics.us/20250912

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Juhem Navarro-Rivera @juhemnr.me · 08/08/2025

Now I feel my Ph.D. was a scam. Nothing can comete with Chat GPTs knowledge of American Politics. Prompt: "make me a poster of the US presidents since the End of World War Two" The poster:

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Juhem Navarro-Rivera @juhemnr.me · 06/08/2025

ICYMI my latest newstetter on the backlash against religion that can come from the weakening of the #WallofSeparation between #ChurchandState #secularism #secular secularpolitics.us/sp202505

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Juhem Navarro-Rivera @juhemnr.me · 05/08/2025

Public opinion is clearly against churches and places of worship getting involved in politics as data from Pew and PRRI have found in recent years.

"Percent who say churches and houses of worship..."

Should come out in favor of one candidate over another: 20% of respondents agree with this statement. (Pew Research Center, 2022).

Should express their views on day-to-day social and political questions: 31% of respondents agree with this statement. (PRRI, 2023).

Should be allowed to endorse political candidates: 20% of respondents agree with this statement. (Pew Research Center, 2022).

Are too involved in politics: 54% of respondents agree with this statement. (Pew Research Center, 2023-24).

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Juhem Navarro-Rivera @juhemnr.me · 02/07/2025

70% of non-religious people oppose generic teacher-led prayer, increasing to 76% when prayer invokes Jesus by name. Over 70% of Christians favor both Jesus-specific and generic prayer, highlighting a "tyranny of the majority" in a Christian-majority country. (4/6)

The chart from the Pew Research Center’s 2023–24 Religious Landscape Survey illustrates public opinion on whether public school teachers should be allowed to lead their classes in prayers that refer to either: 1. Jesus, 2. God, but not to any specific religion

Prayers Referring to Jesus:
U.S. Adults: 52% favor, 46% oppose
Christian: 71% favor, 28% oppose
Non-Christian: 21% favor, 78% oppose
Nonreligious: 22% favor, 76% oppose

Prayers Referring to God (not specific to any religion):
U.S. Adults: 56% favor, 42% oppose
Christian: 72% favor, 26% oppose
Non-Christian: 39% favor, 60% oppose
Nonreligious: 28% favor, 70% oppose

Juhem Navarro-Rivera @juhemnr.me · 23/05/2025

Harris's voter base was majority liberal (53%), while Trump's was conservative (66%). Harris needed to attract more moderates to make up for the Liberal-Conservative deficit. Trump needed to attract more moderate secular voters than Harris did. secularpolitics.us/sp20250523 2/5

The chart is titled "Ideology of 2024 Voters and Secular Voters." It is a stacked bar graph showing the ideological breakdown of six voter groups.

Voter Groups:
1. USA Voters, 2. Harris Voters, 3. Trump Voters, 4. Secular Voters, 5. Secular Harris Voters, 6. Secular Trump Voters

Ideological Categories (color-coded):
Liberal (green), Moderate (purple), Conservative (orange)

Y-axis ranges 0-100, representing percentage values. Each section of the bars is labeled with a percentage corresponding to the size of that ideological group within the voter group.

The chart is sourced from AP/NORC VoteCast 2024 and created by Socianalítica Research.

Here are the percentages shown in the chart for each voter group and ideological category:

1. USA Voters: Liberal (green): 29%; Moderate (purple): 33%; Conservative (orange): 37%

2. Harris Voters: Liberal: 53%; Moderate: 39%; Conservative: 8%

3. Trump Voters: Liberal: 6%; Moderate: 27%; Conservative: 66%

4. Secular Voters: Liberal: 49%; Moderate: 34%; Conservative: 17%

5. Secular Harris Voters: Liberal: 66%; Moderate: 30%; Conservative: 4%

6. Secular Trump Voters: Liberal: 8%; Moderate: 43%; Conservative: 48%

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Juhem Navarro-Rivera @juhemnr.me · 16/05/2025

Maybe we should stop taking rando billionaires’ ideas seriously

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Juhem Navarro-Rivera @juhemnr.me · 16/05/2025

This week’s #SecularPolitics focuses on #secularvoters partisanship in the 2024 election. Per AP/NORC VoteCast 2024 voters were 45% D, 50% R & 6% I. Secular voters show a significant Democratic lean, with 64% D & 28% R (8% I). secularpolitics.us/sp20250516

The chart is titled "Party Identification of 2024 Voters and Secular Voters." It shows a stacked bar graph comparing party identification across six voter groups: USA Voters, Harris Voters, Trump Voters, Secular Voters, Secular Harris Voters, Secular Trump Voters

Each bar is divided into five color-coded categories representing party identification: Red: Republican, Pink: Lean Republican, Yellow: Independent no lean, Light Blue: Lean Democrat, Dark Blue: Democrat

The y-axis ranges from 0 to 100, representing the percentage of each group. Each section of the bars is labeled with the corresponding percentage. The source is cited as AP/NORC VoteCast 2024, and analyzed by Socianalítica Research.

Here are the exact percentages shown in the chart for each voter group and party identification category:

### **1. USA Voters**

* Democrat (dark blue): **37%**
* Lean Democrat (light blue): **8%**
* Independent no lean (yellow): **6%**
* Lean Republican (pink): **8%**
* Republican (red): **42%**

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### **2. Harris Voters**

* Democrat: **72%**
* Lean Democrat: **15%**
* Independent no lean: **6%**
* Lean Republican: **5%**
* Republican: **2%**

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### **3. Trump Voters**

* Democrat: **0%**
* Lean Democrat: **0%**
* Independent no lean: **5%**
* Lean Republican: **14%**
* Republican: **77%**

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### **4. Secular Voters**

* Democrat: **50%**
* Lean Democrat: **14%**
* Independent no lean: **8%**
* Lean Republican: **6%**
* Republican: **22%**

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### **5. Secular Harris Voters**

* Democrat: **71%**
* Lean Democrat: **19%**
* Independent no lean: **6%**
* Lean Republican: **3%**
* Republican: **1%**

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### **6. Secular Trump Voters**

* Democrat: **1%**
* Lean Democrat: **4%**
* Independent no lean: **10%**
* Lean Republican: **18%**
* Republican: **67%**

Each percentage is visually represented in a colored segment within the stacked bars.

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Juhem Navarro-Rivera @juhemnr.me · 09/05/2025

2/6 #Secular voters show remarkable unity regardless of race. Seculars are the only White group to support Harris. Among #Latinxs, secular voters were her strongest supporters. secularpolitics.us/sp20250509 #SecularPolitics

The chart breaks down how various racial and religious groups voted for the Democratic Party in 2024, based on AP/NORC Votecast data. The data are categorized by race (White, Black, Latinx, Asian) and further segmented into the three largest religious identity cohorts: Protestant/Other Christian, Catholic, and Secular.

Only 28% of White Protestants and 39% of White Catholics voted Democratic. Two-thirds (67%) of White secular voters supported the Democratic Party, highlighting a significant religious divide.

More than eight-in-ten Black Protestants (84%), Black Catholics (81%), and Black secular (81%) voters cast their votes for Kamala Harris.

Fewer than four-in-ten (39%) Latinx Protestants, most (57%) Latinx Catholics, and seven-in-ten (70%) secular Latinx voters supported Harris.

Harris received the votes of 59% of Asian Protestants, 52% of Asian Catholics, and 72% of secular Asian voters.

Juhem Navarro-Rivera @juhemnr.me · 05/05/2025

This week's analysis finds that #secularvoters are overrepresented among Democratic voters and underrepresented among Republicans. This trend aligns with the Democratic Party attracting secular support and the GOP leaning into Christian identity politics.

The chart shows that Kamala Harris's 2024 voter coalition was significantly more secular and religiously diverse than Donald Trump's, with 31% of her supporters identifying as secular compared to just 13% for Trump. In contrast, Trump's base was more heavily religious, especially Protestant (28%) and Other Christian (22%), surpassing national averages in both categories. Catholic voters were more evenly split between the two candidates. Harris also drew more support from Jewish, Muslim, and other minority religious groups, while Trump’s coalition was more concentrated among traditional Christian denominations.

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Juhem Navarro-Rivera @juhemnr.me · 28/04/2025

What the survey finds is that compared to other religious identity groups, #Secular voters were the most Democratic-leaning of all. 6️⃣8️⃣% of #nonreligious voters supported Harris and 2️⃣9️⃣% Trump. 2/3

Religion vote in 2024 from the AP/NORC VoteCast 68% of secular, 66% of Jewish, 62% of Muslim, and 59% of other non-Xtian religious voters supported Harris. 62% of Mormon, 61% of Protestant/Other Christians, and 54% of Catholics voted for Trump

Juhem Navarro-Rivera @juhemnr.me · 15/04/2025

I’ll be talking about #secular politics & demographics discussed in my newsletter and newer stuff I’m working on, including secular diversity (see latest entry) juhemnr.me/sp20250411