Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026Applied to Norwegian LFS data, the new estimator provides substantial precision gains for estimates of change over time in employment. 000
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026The method explicitly models autocorrelated sampling errors and time-varying wave biases, offering a robust alternative to state-space models and models all labour market categories simultaneously... 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026And in the spotlight, from Håvard Hungnes (Statistics Norway ) "A novel multivariate composite estimator for the Labour Force Survey" doi.org/10.1093/jrss...doi.orgA novel multivariate composite estimator for the labour force surveyAbstract. This paper introduces a novel multivariate composite estimator for the Labour Force Survey (LFS). The estimator improves upon traditional methods 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026🚶Hoffman & Block model emergent structures in human mobility — connecting individual movement decisions to macro-level patterns. #Mobility #NetworkScience → doi.org/10.1093/jrss... (10/10)doi.orgModels for emergent structures in mobility: specification and individual-level interpretationAbstract. It is increasingly common to study mobility and migration of individuals between social and physical locations as networks in which locations are 000
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026🚨 Lee et al. model crime on linear networks (roads, paths) using a spatio-temporal Dirichlet process mixture — because crime doesn't happen in open space. #CrimeMapping #BayesianNonparametrics → doi.org/10.1093/jrss... (9/10)doi.orgA spatio-temporal Dirichlet process mixture model on linear networks for crime dataAbstract. Analysing crime events is crucial to understand crime dynamics, and it is largely helpful for constructing prevention policies. Point processes s 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026🗺️ Bugallo et al. propose spatio-temporal M-quantile models for small area estimation — robust methods for when data is sparse and spatial structure does the heavy lifting. #SmallAreaEstimation #SpatialStats → doi.org/10.1093/jrss... (8/10)doi.orgSmall area estimation using spatio-temporal M-quantile modelsAbstract. The paper introduces a novel framework for small area estimation based on spatio-temporal M-quantile regression. The proposed approach extends th 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026➕➖ Caimo & Gollini develop separable models for dynamic signed networks — where relationships can be positive, negative, or absent, and all three matter. #NetworkScience #SocialNetworks → doi.org/10.1093/jrss... (7/10)doi.orgSeparable models for dynamic signed networksAbstract. Signed networks capture the polarity of relationships between nodes, providing valuable insights into complex systems where both supportive and a 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026💹 Ferrante et al. use nonparanormal hidden semi-Markov graphical models to map financial market interconnectivity — capturing regime shifts and non-Gaussian dependencies. #FinancialMarkets #GraphicalModels → doi.org/10.1093/jrss... (6/10)doi.orgNonparanormal hidden semi-Markov graphical models for analyzing financial markets interconnectivityAbstract. Understanding how relationships among global financial markets change over time is crucial for effective risk management, portfolio diversificati 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026 🏭 Jonuzaj et al. bring Bayesian inference to dynamic panel stochastic frontier models — tackling efficiency estimation when units evolve over time. #Bayesian #Econometrics → doi.org/10.1093/jrss... (5/10)doi.orgBayesian inference in dynamic panel stochastic frontier modelsAbstract. The paper develops a dynamic panel stochastic frontier model that incorporates firms’ intertemporal decision behaviour and short-run stagnant adj 110
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026📊 Baker & Jackson propose a third-order Cochran statistic to assess random-effects model fit in meta-analysis. A small but important diagnostic tool. #MetaAnalysis #Statistics → doi.org/10.1093/jrss... (4/10)doi.orgAssessing random-effects model fit in meta-analysis using a third-order Cochran statisticAbstract. In meta-analysis, the conventional random-effects model (REM) is commonly used when heterogeneity is thought probable a priori. However, there ar 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026🌐 Spelta et al. model country-level cyber risk using a network-based distributional inference approach — because in cybersecurity, who you're connected to matters as much as what you do. #CyberRisk #NetworkScience → doi.org/10.1093/jrss... (3/10)doi.orgA network-based distributional inference approach to model country-level cyber riskAbstract. This article leverages Wasserstein Propagation in Social Network to propose a novel distributional framework for the inference of cyber risk acro 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026🧬 Wang et al. extend the Cox model to incorporate external risk information across ancestries — with a compelling application to trans-ancestry polygenic hazard scores. #Genomics #SurvivalAnalysis → doi.org/10.1093/jrss... (2/10)doi.orgIncorporating external risk information with the Cox model under population heterogeneity: applications to trans-ancestry polygenic hazard scoresAbstract. Polygenic hazard scores (PHS) designed for European ancestry (EUR) individuals provide ample information regarding risk discrimination. Incorpora 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026🧵 April (and late March) highlights from JRSS-A! New original articles spanning networks, crime, genomics, finance & more. Thread 👇 (1/10) 100
Reposted by Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series ARoyal Statistical Society International Conference @rssannualconf.bsky.social · 01/04/2026There is now just one week left to get your talk on the programme for this September's @royalstatsoc.bsky.social conference in Bournemouth. Deadline for submissions 8 April. Don't miss out! rss.org.uk/training-eve...rss.org.ukSubmit a talk or poster 012
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 01/04/2026This framework provides more statistically rigorous and robust measurements, uncertainty intervals, and better characterisation of conflict risk 000
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 01/04/2026Many current methods for monitoring conflict risk rely on historical averages, which can be unstable and sensitive to outliers. The authors propose Bayesian,spatiotemporal discrete-time Hawkes processes to support improved monitoring and decision-making 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 01/04/2026💥 Bayesian spatiotemporal modelling of political violence and conflict events using discrete-time Hawkes processes Raiha Browning et al #ConflictData #Bayesian 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 30/03/2026Estimated solely on aggregate data, our model successfully predicts out-of-sample micro outcomes like age at first sex and birth intervals 000
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 30/03/2026How do individual choices shape global fertility trends? We bridge the micro-macro divide using simulation and Neural Posterior Estimation Our new framework successfully recovers core individual reproductive behaviors using only aggregate birth rates 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 30/03/2026👶 Learning Individual Reproductive Behavior from Aggregate Fertility Rates via Neural Posterior Estimation Ciganda et al. use neural posterior estimation to recover individual reproductive behaviour from fertility rates. #Demography #NeuralNetworks doi.org/10.1093/jrss...academic.oup.comOxford AcademicOxford Academic 110
Reposted by Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series ARoyal Statistical Society @royalstatsoc.bsky.social · 03/02/2026📣 Abstract submissions are open for #RSS2026! Join us and @rssannualconf.bsky.social in Bournemouth from 7–10 Sept, and share your work—whether it’s a 20‑min talk, a rapid‑fire session or a poster. Stats, data science, methodology, data storytelling… it’s all welcome! rss.org.uk/news-publica...rss.org.ukSubmissions for talks open for RSS 2026 Conference 062
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026Career trajectories Voldoire et al. model career paths of French elite civil servants using whole-population data - what we observe vs. what we can infer 🇫🇷 doi.org/10.1093/jrss...doi.org 001
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026Sports equity Cashmore et al. on gender disparities in horse racing - examining whether female jockeys face systematic placement disadvantages 🏇 doi.org/10.1093/jrss...doi.org 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026Energy markets Saâdaoui & Rabbouch use multiresolution neural networks with q-wavelet methods for electricity market forecasting - handling complexity at multiple scales ⚡ doi.org/10.1093/jrss...doi.org 110
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026Survey data Gueorguieva & Iannario present multivariate mixed models that properly account for 'don't know' responses in ordinal data - because uncertainty is data too 🤔 doi.org/10.1093/jrss...doi.org 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026Small area estimation Bugallo & Morales develop inference methods for M-quantile models with applications to small area estimation - getting local estimates right ⚙️ doi.org/10.1093/jrss...doi.org 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026Mortality Lanfiuti Baldi & Nigri use Age-Period-Cohort models to examine the gender gap in youth and early adult mortality - disentangling temporal patterns 📊 doi.org/10.1093/jrss...doi.org 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026Climate & health Chen et al. model how heat exposure effects vary across space - because the relationship between temperature and health isn't the same everywhere 🌡️ doi.org/10.1093/jrss...doi.org 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026Education assessment Cortes et al. on handling student non-participation in international learning assessments - what can we say about mean achievement when not everyone shows up? 🎓 doi.org/10.1093/jrss...doi.org 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026Tax fraud Alexopoulos et al. use network analysis to detect VAT fraud - following the money through transaction networks 💰 doi.org/10.1093/jrss...doi.org 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026 Survey methods Who wants to take surveys on their phone? Olson & Smyth revisit what predicts survey mode preference in the smartphone era 📱 doi.org/10.1093/jrss...doi.org 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026Diagnostic tests Guolo & Caruso tackle measurement error in meta-analyses of diagnostic test accuracy using SIMEX methods - important for getting reliable estimates when test classifications aren't perfect 🔬 doi.org/10.1093/jrss...doi.org 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026Hi everyone, sorry for being away for a while, we wanted to update you with the new papers! From mortality patterns to tax fraud detection, here's what's new 🧵👇" 100
Reposted by Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series AOxford Academic @academic.oup.com · 20/11/2025📢 Call for Papers The Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A (@jrssa.bsky.social) invites submissions for a special issue exploring historical data practices and their impact on modern data science. @royalstatsoc.bsky.social 🔍 Explore the full call: oxford.ly/4rgfcdl 021
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 21/11/2025🆕Bayesian evidence synthesis for modelling SARS-CoV-2 transmission 🧪Apsemidis and Demiris adopt the Bayesian paradigm and synthesize publicly available data via a discrete-time stochastic epidemic modelling framework doi.org/10.1093/jrss...doi.orgBayesian evidence synthesis for modelling SARS-CoV-2 transmissionAbstract. The acute phase of the COVID-19 pandemic has made apparent the need for decision support based upon accurate epidemic modelling. This process is 021
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 21/11/2025We demonstrate that higher variability in snap timing is beneficial for the passing game, as it relates to facing less havoc created by the opposing defence. We also obtain a quarterback leaderboard based on our snap timing variability measure, and Patrick Mahomes stands out 🐐 021
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 21/11/2025Using a Bayesian multilevel model with heterogeneous variances, we provide an assessment of National Football League (NFL) quarterbacks and their ability to synchronize the timing of the ball snap with pre-snap movement from their teammates. 121
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 21/11/2025🆕A multilevel model with heterogeneous variances for snap timing in the National Football League 🏈Nguyen and Yurko snap into the passing lanes doi.org/10.1093/jrss...doi.orgA multilevel model with heterogeneous variances for snap timing in the National Football LeagueAbstract. Player tracking data have provided great opportunities to generate insights into understudied areas of American football, such as pre-snap motion 143
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 14/11/2025🤔New tools for network time series with an application to COVID-19 hospitalisations Nason,Salnikov & Cortina-Borja present the following discussion paper (and you can find contributions to the discussion from other authors in the journal!) doi.org/10.1093/jrss...doi.orgValidate User 000
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 14/11/2025Planning is underway for the 2026 International Conference which will take place in Bournemouth from 7-10 September. Submissions are now welcomed for invited topic sessions and workshops with a deadline of 21 November. Full details: rss.org.uk/training-eve...rss.org.ukInvited topic sessions 010
Reposted by Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series ARoyal Statistical Society @royalstatsoc.bsky.social · 21/10/2025Join Series A tomorrow for what promises to be a lively discussion meeting on Carl Morris' Finite Selection Model and its applications throughout experimental design 022
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 22/10/2025Associate editors are appointed for 4-year periods and usually have a workload of no more than 10-12 new papers per year. If you would like to nominate yourself, please send a short note to Mike Elliott (again, details at the link) with a CV by 31st October 2025. 000
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 22/10/2025We are looking to cover these areas: Latent variables Multivariate modes Machine learning Network analysis Causal inference Missing data Confidentiality Spatial statistics Categorical data analysis Infectious disease Genomics Econometrics Sports statistics Business management 110
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 22/10/2025rss.org.uk/news-publication/news-publications/2025/member-callouts/associate-editors-sought-for-series-a/ We are looking for new editors for JRSSA! (details at the link) We are seeking associate editors for a four-year term starting in January 2026.rss.org.ukAssociate editors sought for Series A 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 20/10/2025At Hallam Conference Centre and online, more details on the link. *free and open to everyone*, and people can just listen to the authors and invited discussants, there's no need to make a comment. 000
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 20/10/2025We wanted to invite you to the next discussion paper meeting ‘Balanced and Robust Randomized Treatment Assignments: The Finite Selection Model for the Health Insurance Experiment and Beyond’ on October 22nd at 3 pm (UK time) (more details on link!) rss.org.uk/training-eve...rss.org.ukDiscussion paper meetings 100
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 03/10/2025High recidivism risk found for 20% of ever-jailed. 10% cycle back to jail up to twice per year. Little association to age, gender, crime type and race. 010
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 03/10/2025Most recidivism studies focus on prisons and occurrence in a discrete framework. Little is known about jail recurrence & time-to-recidivism. Barone and Farcomeni use novel latent class multi-state quantile regression with cure fraction methods on >550,000 US (2020–2023) jail records 110
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 03/10/2025🆕Latent class multi-state quantile regression with a cure fraction: application to jail recidivism in the USA 💡@barross993.bsky.social and @afarcome.bsky.social analyze time spent after release with a quantile regression approach doi.org/10.1093/jrss...doi.orgLatent class multi-state quantile regression with a cure fraction: application to jail recidivism in the U.S.Abstract. We propose a multi-state quantile regression model that admits a cure-fraction for each possible transition, so that individuals may not experien 111
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 03/10/2025They also illustrate the application of the proposed tree-based MI method using data from a cellphone survey on COVID-19 vaccination in Uganda, which represents a subcohort sample drawn from the 2020 Uganda Population-based HIV Impact Assessment Survey. 000