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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A

@jrssa.bsky.social
83 followers 36 following 146 posts

JRSS-A publishes research showing how statistics play a vital role in life and benefit society l #data l #statistics | #academic | #bayesian | #stochastic academic.oup.com/jrsssa

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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
Applied to Norwegian LFS data, the new estimator provides substantial precision gains for estimates of change over time in employment.
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
The method explicitly models autocorrelated sampling errors and time-varying wave biases, offering a robust alternative to state-space models and models all labour market categories simultaneously...
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
And in the spotlight, from Håvard Hungnes (Statistics Norway ) "A novel multivariate composite estimator for the Labour Force Survey" doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
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A novel multivariate composite estimator for the labour force survey
Abstract. This paper introduces a novel multivariate composite estimator for the Labour Force Survey (LFS). The estimator improves upon traditional methods
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
🚶Hoffman & Block model emergent structures in human mobility — connecting individual movement decisions to macro-level patterns. #Mobility #NetworkScience → doi.org/10.1093/jrss... (10/10)
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Models for emergent structures in mobility: specification and individual-level interpretation
Abstract. It is increasingly common to study mobility and migration of individuals between social and physical locations as networks in which locations are
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
🚨 Lee et al. model crime on linear networks (roads, paths) using a spatio-temporal Dirichlet process mixture — because crime doesn't happen in open space. #CrimeMapping #BayesianNonparametrics → doi.org/10.1093/jrss... (9/10)
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A spatio-temporal Dirichlet process mixture model on linear networks for crime data
Abstract. Analysing crime events is crucial to understand crime dynamics, and it is largely helpful for constructing prevention policies. Point processes s
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
🗺️ Bugallo et al. propose spatio-temporal M-quantile models for small area estimation — robust methods for when data is sparse and spatial structure does the heavy lifting. #SmallAreaEstimation #SpatialStats → doi.org/10.1093/jrss... (8/10)
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Small area estimation using spatio-temporal M-quantile models
Abstract. The paper introduces a novel framework for small area estimation based on spatio-temporal M-quantile regression. The proposed approach extends th
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
➕➖ Caimo & Gollini develop separable models for dynamic signed networks — where relationships can be positive, negative, or absent, and all three matter. #NetworkScience #SocialNetworks → doi.org/10.1093/jrss... (7/10)
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Separable models for dynamic signed networks
Abstract. Signed networks capture the polarity of relationships between nodes, providing valuable insights into complex systems where both supportive and a
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
💹 Ferrante et al. use nonparanormal hidden semi-Markov graphical models to map financial market interconnectivity — capturing regime shifts and non-Gaussian dependencies. #FinancialMarkets #GraphicalModels → doi.org/10.1093/jrss... (6/10)
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Nonparanormal hidden semi-Markov graphical models for analyzing financial markets interconnectivity
Abstract. Understanding how relationships among global financial markets change over time is crucial for effective risk management, portfolio diversificati
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
🏭 Jonuzaj et al. bring Bayesian inference to dynamic panel stochastic frontier models — tackling efficiency estimation when units evolve over time. #Bayesian #Econometrics → doi.org/10.1093/jrss... (5/10)
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Bayesian inference in dynamic panel stochastic frontier models
Abstract. The paper develops a dynamic panel stochastic frontier model that incorporates firms’ intertemporal decision behaviour and short-run stagnant adj
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
📊 Baker & Jackson propose a third-order Cochran statistic to assess random-effects model fit in meta-analysis. A small but important diagnostic tool. #MetaAnalysis #Statistics → doi.org/10.1093/jrss... (4/10)
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Assessing random-effects model fit in meta-analysis using a third-order Cochran statistic
Abstract. In meta-analysis, the conventional random-effects model (REM) is commonly used when heterogeneity is thought probable a priori. However, there ar
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
🌐 Spelta et al. model country-level cyber risk using a network-based distributional inference approach — because in cybersecurity, who you're connected to matters as much as what you do. #CyberRisk #NetworkScience → doi.org/10.1093/jrss... (3/10)
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A network-based distributional inference approach to model country-level cyber risk
Abstract. This article leverages Wasserstein Propagation in Social Network to propose a novel distributional framework for the inference of cyber risk acro
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
🧬 Wang et al. extend the Cox model to incorporate external risk information across ancestries — with a compelling application to trans-ancestry polygenic hazard scores. #Genomics #SurvivalAnalysis → doi.org/10.1093/jrss... (2/10)
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Incorporating external risk information with the Cox model under population heterogeneity: applications to trans-ancestry polygenic hazard scores
Abstract. Polygenic hazard scores (PHS) designed for European ancestry (EUR) individuals provide ample information regarding risk discrimination. Incorpora
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
🧵 April (and late March) highlights from JRSS-A! New original articles spanning networks, crime, genomics, finance & more. Thread 👇 (1/10)
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Reposted by Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A
Royal Statistical Society International Conference @rssannualconf.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
There is now just one week left to get your talk on the programme for this September's @royalstatsoc.bsky.social conference in Bournemouth. Deadline for submissions 8 April. Don't miss out! rss.org.uk/training-eve...
rss.org.uk
Submit a talk or poster
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
This framework provides more statistically rigorous and robust measurements, uncertainty intervals, and better characterisation of conflict risk
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Many current methods for monitoring conflict risk rely on historical averages, which can be unstable and sensitive to outliers. The authors propose Bayesian,spatiotemporal discrete-time Hawkes processes to support improved monitoring and decision-making
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
💥 Bayesian spatiotemporal modelling of political violence and conflict events using discrete-time Hawkes processes Raiha Browning et al #ConflictData #Bayesian
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Estimated solely on aggregate data, our model successfully predicts out-of-sample micro outcomes like age at first sex and birth intervals
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
How do individual choices shape global fertility trends? We bridge the micro-macro divide using simulation and Neural Posterior Estimation Our new framework successfully recovers core individual reproductive behaviors using only aggregate birth rates
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
👶 Learning Individual Reproductive Behavior from Aggregate Fertility Rates via Neural Posterior Estimation Ciganda et al. use neural posterior estimation to recover individual reproductive behaviour from fertility rates. #Demography #NeuralNetworks doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
academic.oup.com
Oxford Academic
Oxford Academic
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Reposted by Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A
Royal Statistical Society @royalstatsoc.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
📣 Abstract submissions are open for #RSS2026! Join us and @rssannualconf.bsky.social in Bournemouth from 7–10 Sept, and share your work—whether it’s a 20‑min talk, a rapid‑fire session or a poster. Stats, data science, methodology, data storytelling… it’s all welcome! rss.org.uk/news-publica...
rss.org.uk
Submissions for talks open for RSS 2026 Conference
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Career trajectories Voldoire et al. model career paths of French elite civil servants using whole-population data - what we observe vs. what we can infer 🇫🇷 doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Sports equity Cashmore et al. on gender disparities in horse racing - examining whether female jockeys face systematic placement disadvantages 🏇 doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Energy markets Saâdaoui & Rabbouch use multiresolution neural networks with q-wavelet methods for electricity market forecasting - handling complexity at multiple scales ⚡ doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Survey data Gueorguieva & Iannario present multivariate mixed models that properly account for 'don't know' responses in ordinal data - because uncertainty is data too 🤔 doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Small area estimation Bugallo & Morales develop inference methods for M-quantile models with applications to small area estimation - getting local estimates right ⚙️ doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Mortality Lanfiuti Baldi & Nigri use Age-Period-Cohort models to examine the gender gap in youth and early adult mortality - disentangling temporal patterns 📊 doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Climate & health Chen et al. model how heat exposure effects vary across space - because the relationship between temperature and health isn't the same everywhere 🌡️ doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Education assessment Cortes et al. on handling student non-participation in international learning assessments - what can we say about mean achievement when not everyone shows up? 🎓 doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Tax fraud Alexopoulos et al. use network analysis to detect VAT fraud - following the money through transaction networks 💰 doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Survey methods Who wants to take surveys on their phone? Olson & Smyth revisit what predicts survey mode preference in the smartphone era 📱 doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Diagnostic tests Guolo & Caruso tackle measurement error in meta-analyses of diagnostic test accuracy using SIMEX methods - important for getting reliable estimates when test classifications aren't perfect 🔬 doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Hi everyone, sorry for being away for a while, we wanted to update you with the new papers! From mortality patterns to tax fraud detection, here's what's new 🧵👇"
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Reposted by Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A
Oxford Academic @academic.oup.com · 20/11/2025
📢 Call for Papers The Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A (@jrssa.bsky.social) invites submissions for a special issue exploring historical data practices and their impact on modern data science. @royalstatsoc.bsky.social 🔍 Explore the full call: oxford.ly/4rgfcdl
Call for Papers: Big Data before Data Science
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
🆕Bayesian evidence synthesis for modelling SARS-CoV-2 transmission 🧪Apsemidis and Demiris adopt the Bayesian paradigm and synthesize publicly available data via a discrete-time stochastic epidemic modelling framework doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
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Bayesian evidence synthesis for modelling SARS-CoV-2 transmission
Abstract. The acute phase of the COVID-19 pandemic has made apparent the need for decision support based upon accurate epidemic modelling. This process is
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
We demonstrate that higher variability in snap timing is beneficial for the passing game, as it relates to facing less havoc created by the opposing defence. We also obtain a quarterback leaderboard based on our snap timing variability measure, and Patrick Mahomes stands out 🐐
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
Using a Bayesian multilevel model with heterogeneous variances, we provide an assessment of National Football League (NFL) quarterbacks and their ability to synchronize the timing of the ball snap with pre-snap movement from their teammates.
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
🆕A multilevel model with heterogeneous variances for snap timing in the National Football League 🏈Nguyen and Yurko snap into the passing lanes doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
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A multilevel model with heterogeneous variances for snap timing in the National Football League
Abstract. Player tracking data have provided great opportunities to generate insights into understudied areas of American football, such as pre-snap motion
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
🤔New tools for network time series with an application to COVID-19 hospitalisations Nason,Salnikov & Cortina-Borja present the following discussion paper (and you can find contributions to the discussion from other authors in the journal!) doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
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Validate User
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
Planning is underway for the 2026 International Conference which will take place in Bournemouth from 7-10 September. Submissions are now welcomed for invited topic sessions and workshops with a deadline of 21 November. Full details: rss.org.uk/training-eve...
rss.org.uk
Invited topic sessions
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Reposted by Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A
Royal Statistical Society @royalstatsoc.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
Join Series A tomorrow for what promises to be a lively discussion meeting on Carl Morris' Finite Selection Model and its applications throughout experimental design
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
Associate editors are appointed for 4-year periods and usually have a workload of no more than 10-12 new papers per year. If you would like to nominate yourself, please send a short note to Mike Elliott (again, details at the link) with a CV by 31st October 2025.
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
We are looking to cover these areas: Latent variables Multivariate modes Machine learning Network analysis Causal inference Missing data Confidentiality Spatial statistics Categorical data analysis Infectious disease Genomics Econometrics Sports statistics Business management
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
rss.org.uk/news-publication/news-publications/2025/member-callouts/associate-editors-sought-for-series-a/ We are looking for new editors for JRSSA! (details at the link) We are seeking associate editors for a four-year term starting in January 2026.
rss.org.uk
Associate editors sought for Series A
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
At Hallam Conference Centre and online, more details on the link. *free and open to everyone*, and people can just listen to the authors and invited discussants, there's no need to make a comment.
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
We wanted to invite you to the next discussion paper meeting ‘Balanced and Robust Randomized Treatment Assignments: The Finite Selection Model for the Health Insurance Experiment and Beyond’ on October 22nd at 3 pm (UK time) (more details on link!) rss.org.uk/training-eve...
rss.org.uk
Discussion paper meetings
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 03/10/2025
High recidivism risk found for 20% of ever-jailed. 10% cycle back to jail up to twice per year. Little association to age, gender, crime type and race.
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 03/10/2025
Most recidivism studies focus on prisons and occurrence in a discrete framework. Little is known about jail recurrence & time-to-recidivism. Barone and Farcomeni use novel latent class multi-state quantile regression with cure fraction methods on >550,000 US (2020–2023) jail records
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 03/10/2025
🆕Latent class multi-state quantile regression with a cure fraction: application to jail recidivism in the USA 💡@barross993.bsky.social and @afarcome.bsky.social analyze time spent after release with a quantile regression approach doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
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Latent class multi-state quantile regression with a cure fraction: application to jail recidivism in the U.S.
Abstract. We propose a multi-state quantile regression model that admits a cure-fraction for each possible transition, so that individuals may not experien
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @jrssa.bsky.social · 03/10/2025
They also illustrate the application of the proposed tree-based MI method using data from a cellphone survey on COVID-19 vaccination in Uganda, which represents a subcohort sample drawn from the 2020 Uganda Population-based HIV Impact Assessment Survey.
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