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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD

@joemoscelli.bsky.social
184 followers 183 following 43 posts

Health, Labour, Organizational economics | Econ. Prof. @economicssurrey | RF @iza_bonn | Posts on: Econ, politics, food, wine, travels | Own views only

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Reposted by Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD
Herman van de Werfhorst 🟥 @hermwerf.bsky.social · 10/10/2025
With the Inequality Cluster, Alex Ludwig (EUI Economics), Francis Vella (Georgetown U), and I organize a one-day conference on Social Mobility. www.eui.eu/events?id=58.... Looking forward to welcoming speakers @pengzell.bsky.social @xisong.bsky.social, Jo Blanden, Kjell Salvanes and Mikael Lindahl>
eui.eu
Workshop on
Organised jointly by EUI scholars Alexander Ludwig and Herman van de Werfhorst, together with Professor Francis Vella (Georgetown University), this event offers a unique forum for dialogue across disc...
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Reposted by Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD
Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 10/10/2025
We need more events bringing disciplines together and interacting with policy, so I’m honored to be a part of this stellar line up
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Reposted by Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD
Nicolas R. Ziebarth @nicolasziebarth.bsky.social · 10/10/2025
Was a great experience and much fun to edit this Labour Economics Special Issue with @joemoscelli.bsky.social and @osea.bsky.social on the “Economics of the Healthcare Workforce” 👇
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
We are v grateful to Labour Economics past & present Chief Editors (Arthur Van Soest & Marco Francesconi), the Labour Economics editorial board, our amazing reviewers & the awesome authors of the studies, for taking up the challenge & believing in this Special Issue #healthcare #workforce
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
A summary of the main findings of the 12 published papers is provided by the Guest Editors preface editorial piece, available at authors.elsevier.com/a/1lnmV3IvSG... Please check it out!
authors.elsevier.com
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
The Special Issue consists of 12 new papers delving into healthcare workers' labour supply, labour demand, and the relationships with patient outcomes.
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
Very happy to see the work from a fruitful 2-year journey come to life: the Labour Economics Special Issue on the “Economics of the Healthcare Workforce”, edited with Osea Giuntella Nicolas R. Ziebarth, is finally out!!! Link: www.sciencedirect.com/special-issu...
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 05/07/2025
Si si, lo so che la prima è il biggest hurdle... il problema è che essendo letteralmente sommerso dalla burocrazia inglese per dati amministrativi per grant attivo e altro, non aggiungo dolo con burocrazia italiana. Però mi hanno detto che in futuro breve dovrebbero semplificare abilitazione...
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 05/07/2025
Mi dispiace. Infatti, questo è il motivo per cui io non l ho ancora tentato l' abilitazione. Procedura lunga e outcome incerto, specialmente se vieni da fuori Italia.
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Reposted by Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD
Association Française des Économistes de la Population @afepop.fr · 06/05/2025
🎉Next week! 🚀 The #AFÉPOP2025 conference kicks off May 15–16 at the @amse-aixmarseille.fr ! 🗣 Keynote: @chetinicoletti1.bsky.social (University of York) 📚 Thematic sessions on education, family, health, inequality, migration, econ. history, development, etc. See the program below! 👇
chetinicoletti1.bsky.social
Cheti Nicoletti (@chetinicoletti1.bsky.social)
Professor of Economics, University of York, working on labour and family economics (child development, education, gender economics and social network) https://sites.google.com/york.ac.uk/cheti-nicole...
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 02/05/2025
Delighted to see study w/ great co-authors Marco Mello, Kai Fischer & Henrique Castro-Pires, about the negative impacts of #Brexit #Referendum on #NHS #hospitals #workforce composition and NHS hospital patient #mortality, covered by @the-independent.com today.🙏 www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/poli...
independent.co.uk
Brexit led to 1,500 deaths a year as EU nurses left UK, study finds
Quality of care dropped as staff were replaced with less experienced nurses, researchers at the University of Surrey say
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
Grazieeee!
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
Grazie di cuore, Fabio!
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
Apropos of nothing: last day as Associate Professor... from tomorrow I will be officially Professor of Economics, always @economicssurrey @UniOfSurrey!!! I am deeply indebted to all my reviewers, co-authors, colleagues, friends and family 4 supporting me in this journey!❤️❤️❤️
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
Results are important💡. Main learnings🛒: 1. Organizations can attract skilled workers by improving their quality, not only their pay packages 2. Within healthcare, it is possible to use both organization quality and pay-for-performance salary to reduce clinical workers' vacancy rates
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
A simultaneous 25% reduction in hospital mortality rates and 25% increase in performance-based pay would translate into decreases in regional hospital doctor vacancies rates in the range from -2.32% to -10.99% (column 5).
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
Finally, we use our structural model estimates to simulate the effect of alternative policies on regional hospital vacancy rates.
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
Results very robust to many sensitivity checks, such as including other hospital characteristics such as teaching hospital status, number of private hospitals nearby, house prices.
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
Little role of residential amenities: for example, the importance of primary school quality for children is higher for younger doctors, then fades away; high-crime residential location also not a significant pull factor, although the sign is negative as expected.
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
The importance of performance-based pay stays quite constant, although slightly decreasing over time for male doctors and instead increasing over time for female doctors.
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
The importance of of organizational quality fades when doctors are approaching retirement, as we should expect, as their occupational risk becomes smaller at that point. Higher quality (lower mortality) + important for surgeons, as role + exposed to patient mortality risk
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
A one SD increase in performance-based pay increase doctor' willingness-to-move to hospitals further by 5 additional kilometres. A one SD decrease in risk-adjusted mortality increase doctor' willingness-to-move to hospitals further by 5.3 additional kilometres.
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
What do we find❓ Main findings 1: Organization quality (proxied by hospital risk-adjusted mortality) is a factor as important as performance-based pay for the mobility of hospital doctors.
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
Our modelling explicitly accounts for the endogeneity of hospital quality through a control function approach, instrumenting hospital risk-adjusted mortality rates with those of hospitals located in the same NHS health region.
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
💡What do we do❓ We model the mobility choices of tenured NHS hospital doctors across hospital organizations according to a random utility choice framework based on hospital quality, pay-for-performance salary, local residential amenities and travel-to-work commuting distances.
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
2. Basic #pay is homogenous & nationally-regulated amongst #NHS #hospitals, and so there is no unobserved confounding due to individual-level salary bargaining between #hospitals and #doctors - unlike for example in the U.S. hospital sector.
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
💡Why this empirical setting❓ 1. #Organization #quality in #hospital #care can be well approximated by #risk-adjusted #mortality: important for the #firm (#hospital), the #agent (#physician) and the #customer (#patient).
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
To investigate these questions, we build a unique dataset by linking high-quality #administrative #data sources and exploit the institutional framework of the second largest single-payer healthcare system in the world, the English National Health Service ( #NHS ).
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
Research Questions: Attracting & retaining skilled workers is key for organizational success. But what r the #pull #factors that drive skilled workers' #mobility within the same industry? & how do skilled workers trade off the value attached to these factors with moving costs?
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
🚨🚨🚨 New WP alert (a different one!)🚨🚨🚨 IZA WP w/ Stefano Cellini and @Marco__Mello docs.iza.org/dp17798.pdf "#Employer #Quality and #Skilled #Workers’ #Mobility: Evidence from English #NHS #Hospital #Doctors" #econsky
docs.iza.org
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Reposted by Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD
David A. Jaeger (econ) @davidajaeger.bsky.social · 30/03/2025
#EconSky
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
Overall, our paper highlights the role of #workforce #composition and #immigration on the #productivity and #quality of complex #organizations such as #hospitals. #econsky
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
Therefore, the increased in-hospital mortality risk for #NHS #hospital #patients likely stems from a #workforce #composition shock, rather than #staff #shortages. These empirical findings are supported by a theoretical model.
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
Main finding 4: As further support, using #NHS #staff #survey records, we find a lower satisfaction with the quality of care provided to patients as of self-reported by employed nurses. Results (Table 2) are in odds ratios:
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
Main finding 3: Using worker-level payslip records we show that, after BR, NHS hospitals compensated the missing inflow of new EU nurses by hiring new non-EU nurses placed on a lower salary scale levels, so probably less skilled nurses (see Fig. 7 below).
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
Main finding 2: Using patient-level admission records, our event-study shows that the risk-adjusted patient #mortality #risk increased more for hospitals that were more exposed to the #Brexit #Referendum shock: in-hospital mortality risk increased by +5.31%.
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
Main finding 1: BR reduced the inflow of #EU #nurses in the #NHS, so there was a compositional change w/ an increase of non-EU overseas nurses. This is confirmed by overall trends in the #NHS #workforce (see Figure 5) and by regressions at #hospital #Trust level (see Table 1)
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
🚨🚨🚨 New WP alert🚨🚨🚨 New IZA WP paper w/ H. Castro-Pires, Kai Fisher & Marco Mello We show that, following the Brexit Referendum (BR), patients’ 30-day mortality increased in #NHS #hospitals w/ larger % share of EU nurses before the BR. docs.iza.org/dp17797.pdf
docs.iza.org
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 08/03/2025
Survival of the fittest, also language-wise...!
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 08/03/2025
Replacing "non-binary" with "non-dichotomous" or "multivariate"? Unless they interpret multivariate as a form of polygamy... :D
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 28/02/2025
More than a bit, unfortunately...!
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
What a pleasure today presenting my research on the effect of Brexit on NHS hospital quality (joint w/ @Marco__Mello @kai__fischer HenriqueCastro-Pires) @ 1st Bari Economics Workshop! Kudos to the awesome organisers @BarbaraBiasi @J_ArellanoBover @Raffaele_Lagrav! Till next year!
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Reposted by Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD
Gábor Békés @gaborbekes.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
It's that time of the year -- soon! www.amazon.com/Data-Analysi...
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Reposted by Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD
Cheti Nicoletti @chetinicoletti1.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
I am thrilled to announce that my paper "Dividing Housework between Partners: Individual Preferences and Social Norms", co-authored with Danilo Cavapozzi and Marco Francesconi, is available for download as IZA Discussion Paper No. 17370.
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Reposted by Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD
Healthcare in Europe @healthcare-europe.bsky.social · 28/11/2024
Analysing almost a decade of #hospital data, new research led by @joemoscelli.bsky.social from the 🇬🇧 University of Surrey and published in @bmj.com shows a clear association between high turnover rates of #nurses and #doctors in NHS hospitals and a troubling rise in patient #mortality rates.
dlvr.it
High hospital staff turnover linked to increased patient deaths
More than 4,000 people could be dying per year because of high turnover rates of nurses and doctors in NHS hospitals, according to new research from the University of Surrey.
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Reposted by Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD
The BMJ @bmj.com · 21/11/2024
High monthly turnover rates of nurses and senior doctors are associated with more deaths among patients admitted as emergencies to NHS hospitals in England, this new study finds @joemoscelli.bsky.social www.bmj.com/content/387/...
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 14/11/2024
Thanks Peter, posted the working link now! 🙂
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 14/11/2024
Let's try this again doi.org/10.1016/j.re...
sciencedirect.com
Page not found — ScienceDirect
Let’s see if we can help you out with the following options: You can perform a search at the top of this page or report a broken link to prevent others from ending up with this error.
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 14/11/2024
🚨 New Publication alert🚨 W/@luigi_siciliani @ritasantos05 HughGravelle. RQ: What would happen to the utility of planned surgery patients if we close one hospital in their choice set? Do closures affect equally urban and rural patients? Our answers here! sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
sciencedirect.com
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Giuseppe Moscelli, PhD @joemoscelli.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
I have personally found the Internet Archive very useful, most of the times I have used it.
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