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Joshua Krasna

@jkrasna.bsky.social
113 followers 150 following 551 posts

Teach at NYU CGA. Director, Forum for Regional Cooperation; political and strategic analyst at FPRI. Former diplomat.

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Reposted by Joshua Krasna
Olga Nesterova @onestpress.onestnetwork.com · 10/10/2026
The very first shipment of 300K tons of Russian diesel—carried by the tanker Minerva Zen, which left St. Petersburg on September 22—arrived on the US East Coast less than 24 hours after the deal was formally announced.
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
Interesting report. Exports of LNG and of refined petroleum products have not rebounded nearly as much as of oil, so interesting to see that some LNG is quietly making its way out : www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
LNG Trade Through Hormuz Extends Rebound Despite Shipping Risks
Shipments of liquefied natural gas through the Strait of Hormuz extended a rebound that began in September, as the region’s producers seek to restore supplies to energy-starved customers.
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I've been saying a while that people around Netanyahu don't seem to know exactly what the word "secret" means... Netanyahu said to secretly fly to Abu Dhabi for meeting with Emirati president www.timesofisrael.com/netanyahu-sa...
timesofisrael.com
Netanyahu said to secretly fly to Abu Dhabi for meeting with Emirati president
No comment from either side on PM's reported 4-hour trip, which comes after reports that UAE's leader warned premier of Hamas attack shortly before October 7 onslaught in 2023
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
"As vessels spend longer completing journeys and a significant share of the fleet gets caught up in Arabian Gulf logistics, tanker capacity has become increasingly scarce, sending freight rates to unprecedented levels." www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene...
thenationalnews.com
Oil tanker earnings near $650,000 a day due to Middle East disruption | The National
Longer voyages, ship-to-ship transfers, high diesel prices and war risk premiums mean operators are charging much more
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Significant, wholly anticipated, development: happened in Red Sea 3 yrs ago due to Houthis. "Before the war, [shipping] amounted to just 2-3% of crude price, compared with more than 1/4 now...war-risk/cargo insurance, STS transfers and waiting charges may add to bill". www.agbi.com/analysis/shi...
agbi.com
Gulf-China supertanker freight nears 30% of oil price
Supertanker freight rates from the Gulf to China now exceed $30 a barrel as the risk of crossing the Strait of Hormuz drives up costs
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
If Israel is smart, we should help the Saudis as much as we can on issues of mutual interests and for Homeland protection, and not bring up diplomatic quid pro quo at all. Much better to build up goodwill and bank it www.timesofisrael.com/as-iran-and-...
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Don't read this if you ever expect to sleep soundly again.. www.timesofisrael.com/us-nearly-ra...
timesofisrael.com
US nearly raided Chinese ship after AI falsely flagged ‘nuclear’ cargo for Iran — CNN
Report says warplanes were already in the air when officials realized intel report was written by a hallucinating chatbot; it 'almost started a war,' source says
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
While at a discussion last night regarding who is the next candidate for expanding the Abraham Accords, I thought: we need more Abraham partners, but we (Israel) need even more to prioritize deepening, strengthening and diversifying into areas of mutual benefit the relationships we already have. 1/2
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
worth reading. "The Eastern Mediterranean region does not need a single winning energy corridor. It needs a network of multiple routes that provide alternatives when war, political disputes, technical failures, or maritime disruptions affect one of them/" besacenter.org/can-israel-c...
besacenter.org
Can Israel Connect to Syria’s New Oil Routes?
Syria is reviving plans for major oil pipelines linking Iraq and other Gulf oil producers to the Mediterranean Sea. At first glance, such projects may appear to compete with Israel’s ambitions to be
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Unification of Bennett and Lapid's parties was mistake from get-go. Less than sum of its parts: both parties lost from the merger. Many Bennet voters will not vote for the "leftist" Lapid, and many Lapid voters won't vote for right-wing Bennett. Eisenkot was right to ignore the chattering classes
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Very interesting: "Number of weekly flights between Russia and UAE is expected to rise from about 100 in mid-July to around 300 by late October...The option of direct flights to the UAE will extend far beyond Moscow and St Petersburg to cover 14 Russian cities". www.agbi.com/opinion/tour...
agbi.com
The UAE's marketing push in Russia pays off as tourists return
Turkey and Egypt have traditionally been Russia’s favourite holiday destinations but travellers are now opting for the UAE
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
"Guns?" Nothing to see here, folks ...
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Meet Moshe, the nonexistent 'Israeli thinker' Hezbollah loves to quote www.timesofisrael.com/meet-moshe-t...
timesofisrael.com
Meet Moshe, the nonexistent ‘Israeli thinker’ Hezbollah loves to quote
When terror group chief Naim Qassem cited 'Yedioth journalist Moshe Yair' to prove a point in a speech last week, he joined others who have used fictitious Israeli writer to bolster group's narrative
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Looking at Israeli strike in Syria supposedly meant to deter Turkey, and crowing of senior elected officials in its wake to rally the base, I really wish we could just tell the rest of world to ignore whatever we're doing for 2 months, until after the election. Unfortunately, doesn't work that way.
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
IAEA finds 'tons' of nuclear material in Syria; Damascus: We'll keep it for 'peaceful' energy use www.timesofisrael.com/iaea-finds-f...
timesofisrael.com
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
New, exciting learning opportunity. One year-three semester MA in Applied Middle East Studies in Tel Aviv, with the Moshe Dayan Center. international.tau.ac.il/moshe-dayan-...
international.tau.ac.il
Inside TAU’s Middle Eastern Studies MA at the Moshe Dayan Center
Study the contemporary Middle East through an English-taught graduate degree that connects historical depth, regional expertise, and applied research.
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 16/08/2026
My new book chapter, on Gulf States' involvement in the Eastern Mediterranean Geoeconomic and geopolitical space, is available in open access: link.springer.com/book/10.1007...
link.springer.com
Geostrategic Gulf
This open access book on Arabian Gulf conflicts, exploring history, geopolitics and regional divisions shaping the Middle East and global security.
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Was on Israeli TV and panelist, disagreed with my analysis and said "US has never and will never pay tolls to use the Straits of Hormuz". Not sure he was right, but I also wonder if he knows how little of commercial shipping going through Straits is from or to US...2.5%. Trump certainly knows that.
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
The enormous dependence of the Egyptian economy on UAE, its single largest source of investment, is always going to be a limiting factor in their playing an active role in the "STP Alliance". www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...
al-monitor.com
UAE-Egypt ties keep growing as Cairo navigates shifting Gulf landscape
An Emirati investor could soon strike a $2.7 billion deal to develop another tourism project on Egypt's North Coast, the latest in a string of UAE-linked pacts that have continued advancing despite tu...
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Netanyahu basically emptying primary process - which Likud uses to vaunt its internal democracy - of most meaning, by appointing 1/2 the party list for coming elections. Making sure his people are taken care of, including 1 who lives abroad and has cursed Trump. www.timesofisrael.com/saar-katz-to...
timesofisrael.com
Sa’ar, Katz to get newly added reserved slots on Likud list, expanding PM’s control
Central Committee chair Haim Katz will also receive guaranteed spot, party says in late-night announcement; placements are in addition to PM's 8 reserved spaces
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Skeptical of the hoopla around the report. What are sources of this information? These are obviously extremely closely held secrets in these countries. Are there intercepts? High-access HUMINT? RUMINT (rumor intelligence)? And who leaked it to the journalists? www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_ent...
timesofisrael.com
Hebrew reports claim two Arab states plotting to sign diplomatic deals with Israel to trick it as they plan for war
* * *
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
“In practice, it is inconceivable that Turkey or Saudi Arabia would get involved in a conflict with India if the latter came to blows with Pakistan again...Extension of Pakistan’s nuclear deterrent to cover Saudi against Iran or Turkey...looks equally implausible.” jewishinsider.com/2026/08/new-...
jewishinsider.com
New defense pact between Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan concerns U.S. national security experts
A coalition of Sunni regional powers signed a historic joint defense pact on Friday, but national security experts expressed deep unease over the arrangement, arguing that it reflects U.S. shortcoming...
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
UAE Defies Hormuz Risks to Keep Crude Flowing to Global Market
The United Arab Emirates has moved more oil through the Strait of Hormuz than any other producer over the past two months, providing a much-needed buffer for global markets reeling from a historic ene...
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
Mamdani doing as much as he can to get Netanyahu re-elected. Not a day goes by when someone in Israel doesn't ask me about him
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
This story is just unconscionable, and another sign of narratives becoming more important than reality. DoD Removes Names of Latest KIA from List of Casualties | SOF News share.google/yjYAMqQhoWJO...
share.google
DoD Removes Names of Latest KIA from List of Casualties | SOF News
The Pentagon has removed the names of four service members who died in Jordan and Iraq in the past week from the official list of casualties.
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
Beginning of new, massive deal for sale of 🇮🇱 gas from Tamar field to Egypt. $20B, in addition to the 35B already included in Leviathan field deal from December. 2 partners, including UAE's Mubadala (11%) pushing deal. Doubling down on dependence on 🇪🇬 export route. www.globes.co.il/news/article...
globes.co.il
בכ-20 מיליארד דולר: תמר תייצא גז למצרים
 
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
I have a chapter (Chapter 10, on Gulf States' involvement in the Eastern Mediterranean) in this new open-access book published by Springer "The Geostrategic Gulf". link.springer.com/book/10.1007...
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
This looks a lot like holding strategic relations hostage for a pre-election photo-op to show what a statesman and how regionally accepted you are: www.ynetnews.com/article/s1g6...
ynetnews.com
Israel weighs Abu Dhabi summit to revive Jordan water deal
UAE-backed talks would seek to renew extra Israeli water supplies to Jordan, advance a regional desalination-for-solar project and ease strained ties between Jerusalem and Amman
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
Possible game changer. If there is a "Likud B" party which is able to pass the electoral threshold of four seats, it's a clear path to a non Netanyahu government. Much depends on who they would be taking votes from... www.timesofisrael.com/edelstein-i-...
timesofisrael.com
Edelstein: I left Likud because I couldn’t defend its agenda, seek ‘broad’ coalition
Senior lawmaker tells Channel 12 'We need to make a change in this country,' can't 'continue to allow freeloading'; Lapid: Bennett better served to be PM than me at present
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
I know I'm excited! www.agbi.com/transport/20...
agbi.com
Excitement builds for Etihad Rail’s Abu Dhabi-Dubai launch
Etihad Rail, the UAE's first passenger railway service between Fujairah and Abu Dhabi launches next week, with Dubai to follow in September
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
This is going to be a gamechanger for working in the UAE. Train service linking Abu Dhabi and Dubai (and Fujayrah and Sharjah) starting in the fall: www.mediaoffice.abudhabi/en/crown-pri...
mediaoffice.abudhabi
Khaled bin Mohamed bin Zayed inaugurates MBZ City Passenger Train Station and witnesses unveiling of UAE passenger rail network
His Highness Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi and Chairman of the Abu Dhabi Executive Council, has inaugurated Mohamed bin Zayed City Passenger Train Station in...
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
interesting development: www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...
al-monitor.com
Turkish jets strike al-Shabab targets in Somalia: What to know
A Somali Defense Ministry statement initially said Turkish F-16s carried out strikes on Al-Shabab targets before a later version referred only to “international partners.”
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
Happy birthday to the country that for almost 250 years has served as a light to the Nations, and hopefully will do so again. youtu.be/URkFsQ4z9UM?...
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
"Alongside Sheikh Tahnoon, who is said to have pushed for a business first and pragmatic approach, officials from Dubai and Sharjah — two of the seven sheikhdoms that make up the UAE — also argued for a shift towards repairing ties" www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Abu Dhabi’s $1 Trillion Man Emerges as Iran Troubleshooter
Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan is best known as the defacto business chief of Abu Dhabi’s wealthy ruling family and the man at the helm of a $1.5 trillion empire. Behind the scenes, he has taken o...
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 21/06/2026
FFS. This is just getting better and better ... www.lloydslist.com/LL1157571/Ir...
lloydslist.com
Iran imposes mandatory insurance on ships transiting Strait of Hormuz, with fees likely to follow
Iran has asserted its control over the Strait of Hormuz, insisting that vessels comply with new terms and conditions to transit, including mandatory Iranian insurance for all vessels
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
Just saw a summary I liked: Ethan Chorin says the MOU is a Marshall Plan for an undefeated enemy
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
JD Vance holds press conference on Iran deal after slamming Israeli 'freakout' www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-jun...
timesofisrael.com
JD Vance holds press conference on Iran deal after slamming Israeli ‘freakout’
Netanyahu vows IDF troops will stay in Lebanon * Report: PM to lean on right-wing pundits, pro-Israel senators, to influence final Iran deal * High Court recommends Knesset hold new, 'proper' state co...
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
JD Vance holds press conference on Iran deal after slamming Israeli 'freakout' www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-jun...
timesofisrael.com
JD Vance holds press conference on Iran deal after slamming Israeli ‘freakout’
Netanyahu vows IDF troops will stay in Lebanon * Report: PM to lean on right-wing pundits, pro-Israel senators, to influence final Iran deal * High Court recommends Knesset hold new, 'proper' state co...
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
This is all you need to know to explain why the Trump administration went to its "Treaty of Versailles"
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
Read the MOU. I might make a comment about what happens when NY real estate guys and in America-first sound bite Veep, sure of their own skill and expertise, work without subject matter experts. And what happens when there is pressure to reach any agreement, just to get things off the table. /1
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
Shocking! www.axios.com/2026/06/15/u...
axios.com
Scoop: CIA director doubts Iran's intentions on deal, sources say
CIA Director John Ratcliffe's skepticism is based on sensitive intelligence, sources say.
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
Very informative graphic (from Bloomberg):
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
www.timesofisrael.com/with-trumps-....
timesofisrael.com
With Trump’s Iran deal, the October 7 wars are over. Israel really has no idea what to do next
Netanyahu promised a new Middle East and total victory over enemies. Having failed to stop Trump's hugely problematic Iran deal, Jerusalem is being left behind, vulnerable, in a changed region
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
open.substack.com/pub/jkrasna/...
open.substack.com
Reflections on the Revolution in Israel
(with a nod to Edmund Burke)
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Assess more and more oil and gas will be carried by shipping fleets owned or managed by national energy companies (e.g. Adnoc L&S, Kuwait Oil Tanker Company, Qatar's Nakilat), who are less susceptible to risk and insurance considerations than regular shipping companies. www.mees.com/2026/6/12/ge...
mees.com
Gulf Producers Develop Hormuz Shuttle Route To Beat Strait Closure
More tankers are passing through the Strait of Hormuz as regional producers find ways to bring oil and gas to customers outside the Gulf. The UAE is leading the way, with a number of tankers shuttling...
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Reposted by Joshua Krasna
The Atlantic @theatlantic.com · 15/06/2026
"Trump and his team, in record time, just lost a war to a militarily mediocre—but nonetheless extremely dangerous—adversary," @radiofreetom.bsky.social argues. theatln.tc/B7ghHIPJ
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
Trump claimed the US has enabled 100 million barrels of oil to get out of the Gulf, through Straits of Hormuz. I don't believe it. But in any case we are 100 days into the closure, so that is a million barrels a day, which is one tanker. The lost exports of oil are some 14 million barrels/day.
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
Very interesting, and worth reading. Why haven't oil prices risen more? www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
Ten Reasons Oil Is Still Below $100 a Barrel
Regular readers will know that I’ve been more sanguine than many about the likely impact of what is undoubtedly a massive oil shock being delivered by the war in Iran. But the market has still managed...
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
Interesting piece by Elizabeth Tsurkov. Even more admirable that she is back to her powers, and to her uniques access, after everything ... newlinesmag.com/argument/une...
newlinesmag.com
Uneasy Allies: The Real Relationship Between Turkey and Syria's New Rulers
Despite the authorities in Damascus defying their neighbor and closest partner, underlying interests continue to bind them
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Joshua Krasna @jkrasna.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
a. Signing agreement is far from implementing and completing a project. If that was not so, the current Straits of Hormuz crisis would be irrelevant due to all the workarounds. b. Hejaz railway had heavily used connection to the Mediterranean, Deraa-Haifa. www.timesofisrael.com/turkey-saudi...
timesofisrael.com
Turkey, Saudi Arabia agree on major regional railway line bypassing Israel
Ankara touts deal that would curb Jerusalem's influence, as lack of Israeli-Saudi normalization stalls progress on a India-Europe trade corridor passing through Jewish state
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