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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 19/06/2025

Don’t miss the RotoWire Fantasy Football Podcast: www.rotowire.com/podcast/ Follow @JimCoventryNFL for more Fantasy Football Stats of the Day all summer. #FantasyFootball | #JahmyrGibbs | #Lions | #NFLRBs

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 19/06/2025

8️⃣ Get 15% off a RotoWire subscription www.rotowire.com/subscribe/pr... - Promo code: TWITTER15

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 19/06/2025

🎯 Gibbs’ production with Monty was not worthy of the RB3 pick. The interior OL has turnover- C Frank Ragnow retired. I have no issue drafting Gibbs at this price, but I’ll likely take a WR instead.

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 19/06/2025

7️⃣ Draft Advice Gibbs offers one of the highest floors in fantasy. If Montgomery fades or gets hurt? You’re holding the league-winner. Montgomery is the heart and soul of the offense. He’s not likely going away.

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 19/06/2025

5️⃣ Team Context Helps If Detroit’s defense bounces back, expect more game control → more rushing volume overall. That could mean enough work for BOTH RBs to hit value—even in a timeshare. 6️⃣ 2025 Best/Worst Case ✅ Best Case: Full takeover → RB1 overall ❌ Worst Case: Timeshare → RB3–RB6 finish

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 19/06/2025

4️⃣ 2025 Outlook: Monty Complicates Things Montgomery’s still around (re-signed) Will Lions stick with a 1A/1B split? Or will they unleash Gibbs as the clear No. 1? Gibbs is the better player—but roles matter.

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 19/06/2025

3️⃣ With Montgomery Healthy = Capped Ceiling In 13 shared games: ~12 carries/game 1–4 receptions 15+ PPR points consistently, 18.3 average But only 3 games over 20 points Just 2 games with 100+ rushing yards 🎯 Super safe floor, but limited ceiling.

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 19/06/2025

2️⃣ Gibbs Without Montgomery = Nuclear After Monty’s Week knee injury: 5 games (incl. playoffs) 32.0 PPR points/game Never under 25 points 105+ rushing yards in 4 straight 🔥 Overall RB1 pace.

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 19/06/2025

1️⃣ 2024 Season Recap 1,412 rushing yards 16 rushing TDs 52 receptions, 517 rec yards, 4 rec TDs 88th percentile broken tackles 65th percentile YAC ✅ Explosiveness. ✅ Efficiency. ✅ Volume when it mattered.

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 19/06/2025

Fantasy Football ADP Threads of the Day by @Rotowire 🚀 Jahmyr Gibbs averaged 32 PPR points over his last 5 games in 2024. 💥 155 scrimmage yards 💥 5 receptions 💥 2 TDs per game The only question: Can he dominate with David Montgomery healthy? Let’s dig into his league-winning upside 🧵

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 19/06/2025

Fantasy Football Stats of the Day by @rotowire.bsky.social e 📉 Amon-Ra had 14 catches of 20+ yds- down from 24 in 2023. 📉 39th percentile YAC . Had 5 gms <50 yds, 2<14. 💡 Floor’s fine, but I’m out at WR6 cost—others have more upside. #FantasyFootball | Follow @JimCoventryNFL for WR red flags.

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 07/05/2025

📌 The Bottom Line: Pickens finally has a real QB. Prescott gets another weapon. Metcalf wins by default. Tolbert heads to fantasy exile.

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 07/05/2025

5️⃣ Meanwhile in Pittsburgh… 🤯 Mason Rudolph is now the QB1 📈 DK Metcalf moves back into the WR24 mix There’s no real target competition — Calvin Austin, Roman Wilson, and Robert Woods won’t demand volume.

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 07/05/2025

4️⃣ Biggest loser? Jalen Tolbert 😞 He had 6+ targets in 4 games last year and topped 80+ yards in 3 of them. Pickens just took his job.

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 07/05/2025

3️⃣ Fantasy fallout ⬇️ ✅ CeeDee Lamb: Still a top-3 WR 📈 Dak Prescott: Was going outside QB15 — now in play as a top-12 QB 📈 George Pickens: Drafted outside WR36 post-draft — now rising toward WR30 with top-24 upside

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 07/05/2025

2️⃣ Now he gets a QB upgrade with Dak Prescott 🔼 And while CeeDee Lamb owns the short/intermediate game… Pickens can thrive as a downfield weapon 🚀 There are enough targets for both to eat.

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 07/05/2025

1️⃣ The Cowboys acquired Pickens from the Steelers for a 3rd-round pick + pick swap. Pickens’ career in Pittsburgh: 📊 58 rec / 947 yds / 4 TDs per year 👎 His QBs: Pickett, Trubisky, Rudolph, Wilson, Fields

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 07/05/2025

🚨 NFL Trade Alert 🚨 George Pickens → Cowboys Fantasy Football implications are BIG. Let’s break it down 🧵⬇️ @rotowire.bsky.social

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 02/05/2025

Fantasy Football Stat of the Day 📉 Darnell Mooney averaged 7.4 targets through Week 11 in 2024. After ATL’s Week 12 bye? Just 5.0 targets/game 😬 With Michael Penix under center, Mooney’s usage dip may stick. Draft outside the top-55 WRs. @rotowire.bsky.social

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 01/05/2025

Today's stat: Marvin Mims was invisible through Week 10 (11/69/0). From Week 11 on? 🔥 ➡️ 6 of 7 games with 44+ yards ➡️ 6 TDs Drafting him near WR50 = 🔓 breakout upside. @rotowire.bsky.social #FantasyFootball #NFL #BroncosCountry

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 30/04/2025

Today's stat: Jalen Tolbert saw 6+ targets in 4 games last year: ✅ 82+ yards in 3 of them 🎯 TD in the other If Dallas doesn’t add a WR, Tolbert is the likely WR2. Drafted outside the top 65-70 WRs… 💎 Pure upside pick. @rotowire.bsky.social

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Reposted by @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social

ZinCarlaH @zincarlah.bsky.social · 27/04/2025

🚨 Reminder: @gamechangerstsa.bsky.social will be taking a break in May and June! But don’t miss our final episode before the break featuring the incredible @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social. Tune in! 🎙️ #Podcast #NFL #fantasyfootball #football

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 29/04/2025

@rotowire.bsky.social Today's stat: Cedric Tillman was breaking out before a 2024 concussion: ➡️ 7 REC ➡️ 85 YDS ➡️ 1 TD per game over his first 3 starts. 👀 Locked into a top-2 WR role in Cleveland. Draft him outside the top-55 WRs and watch him smash. 🔥

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 24/04/2025

Here are the 2025 NFL Draft prop bets I just bet on @DKSportsbook. The odds will obviously change. @rotowire.bsky.social docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

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2025 NFL Draft Props

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Reposted by @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social

Andrew Cooper @coopafiasco.bsky.social · 09/04/2025

Coming up today at 1 PM ET, @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social and I will attempt to put the rookie quarterbacks and tight ends into tiers for fantasy leading into the 2025 NFL Draft! Here is your link, see you then! www.youtube.com/watch?v=PwXX...

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Rookie NFL Prospect Quarterback and Tight End Tiered Rankings!

YouTube video by Fantasy Alarm

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 15/03/2025

10/ If Kupp stays healthy and thrives in Seattle, it’ll be one of the biggest surprises of the 2025 season. But history suggests this is a WR in serious decline. Adjust your fantasy rankings accordingly. 📉 #NFL #FantasyFootball

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 15/03/2025

9/ One underrated factor: Kupp took an insane amount of hits as a blocker in McVay’s scheme. He’s endured far more collisions than most WRs. That wear & tear could explain his declining recovery time & production. ⚠️

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 15/03/2025

8/ The Bottom Line: • Kupp’s been dealing with decline + injuries for years. • Seattle’s system isn’t built for him the way McVay’s was. • I wouldn’t draft him inside the top-40 WRs in fantasy. Even if he starts well, can he hold up?

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 15/03/2025

7/ Worst-Case Fantasy Scenario: • The McVay magic is gone. Kupp struggles in a new scheme with a downgrade at QB. • Age + injuries + offensive downgrade = a WR outside the top 40 (or even 50). 🚨

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 15/03/2025

6/ Best-Case Fantasy Scenario: • Kupp stays healthy & plays the slot while JSN moves outside. • He gets force-fed targets & finishes as a top-24 WR in PPR.

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 15/03/2025

5/ The Sean McVay Effect: • Puka Nacua immediately became a star in McVay’s offense. • Kupp was a great player, but was he a system megastar? • Now, he’s without McVay & Matthew Stafford and catching passes from Sam Darnold in a Klint Kubiak offense. 🏴‍☠️

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 15/03/2025

4/ Kupp’s WR triple crown season (2021) feels like a lifetime ago. Since then: • 2022: 812 yards, 6 TDs (missed 8 games) • 2023: 737 yards, 5 TDs (missed 5 games) • 2024: 710 yards, 6 TDs (missed 5 games) He’s missed 18 of the last 51 games. 🚑

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 15/03/2025

3/ Kupp’s yards after the catch (YAC) has been in decline for years, ranking in the 52nd percentile in 2024. Once elite in that area, he no longer creates the same chunk plays. ⏳

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 15/03/2025

2/ He played 37% of snaps outside last year but may need to increase that in Seattle, as Jaxon Smith-Njigba played 74% of his snaps in the slot. Can Kupp still win outside at age 32? 🤔

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 15/03/2025

1/ Kupp battled injuries again in 2024, managing 710 yards & 6 TDs on 67 catches (100 targets) in just 12 games. His durability has been a major concern for years. 📉

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 15/03/2025

🚨 BREAKING: Cooper Kupp has signed a three-year deal with the Seattle Seahawks. 🚨 What does this mean for Kupp’s fantasy value? A thread: 🧵👇 @rotowire.bsky.social

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

🏆 Fantasy Takeaway The past two seasons haven’t been kind to Williams, and Dallas isn’t a great spot. If the Cowboys add competition, he’s a boom/bust RB3. If they don’t, volume could make him a low-end RB2.

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

🔮 2025 Outlook 📈 Best-Case Scenario: Williams regains pre-injury form, earns early-down + red-zone work, and finishes as an RB2 📉 Worst-Case Scenario: Remains inefficient, stuck in a committee, and becomes a volatile RB3/FLEX

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

4️⃣ The Dallas Fit • Signed a 1-year, $3M deal → Minimal financial commitment • Cowboys likely adding another RB to share the workload • Dallas O-line is no longer elite

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

3️⃣ Efficiency Is a Concern • 26th percentile in yards after contact • 36th percentile in broken tackles → Explosiveness hasn’t returned

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

2️⃣ Receiving Role Remains Steady • 50 receptions, 346 yards (career-high 6.7 YPC) • Likely his best path to fantasy relevance in Dallas

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

1️⃣ Declining Rushing Production • 513 rushing yards, 4 TDs on 139 carries in 2024 • Down from 774 yards on 217 carries in 2023 • YPC remains poor (3.6, 3.7 last two seasons)

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

🚨 Javonte Williams SIGNS with the Cowboys 🚨 Williams hasn’t looked the same since his injury and now lands in a crowded Dallas backfield. Can he turn things around? Let’s break it down 👇🧵 @rotowire.bsky.social

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

🏆 Fantasy Takeaway Harris should be drafted just outside the top 20 RBs, but his volume upside could make him a top-15 RB by season’s end.

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

🔮 2025 Outlook 📈 Best-Case Scenario: Lead back role, 280+ carries, 35+ targets → 1,300+ scrimmage yards & 7+ TDs 📉 Worst-Case Scenario: Committee role, TD-dependent RB2

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

4️⃣ The Chargers Fit • Greg Roman’s offense = power running game • Extra blockers in the run game → More efficiency • Justin Herbert keeps defenses honest → Fewer stacked boxes

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

3️⃣ Durability = Elite • NEVER missed a game in 4 seasons • Rare to find a workhorse RB with this kind of availability

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jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social @jimcoventrynfl.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

2️⃣ Efficiency Improved in 2024 • 87th percentile broken tackle rate 🏋️‍♂️ • 63rd percentile yards after contact 💨 • Career-high 7.9 YPC as a receiver

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