Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 12/10/2026This goes on the backlog of my sailing game project. 📝 010
Reposted by Josef GrahnEugene Vinitsky 🍒 @eugenevinitsky.bsky.social · 10/10/2026My support for bluesky/atproto is pretty much explicitly a "political" project. It is bad for a small number of (mostly right-wing) people to literally own all the sources of media. Open-source algorithms + the ability to move your account without negative network effects opposes this. 363381
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 11/10/2026It's especially funny because this can't have been a split-second mistake either. Someone spent time getting those hairs right. 000
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 11/10/2026Autocompaction at cache expiry is such a hassle reducer. Perhaps I can finally retire my "write a sitrep when you're done" instruction. 040
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Adam Singer and I are very different. Those examples are near the top of the list of things I wish I'd never have to do again. 020
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 08/10/2026The terrain generator has rabbit-holed into climate modelling via erosion simulation. 000
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Super Intelligence Super General Intelligence Super Superintelligence 000
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 08/10/2026I wonder if LLMs being RL:ed into rolling with things rather than going "Whoa, where the heck am I? Who are you?" every new session also makes them indisposed to challenging premises. They can spend days on a problem before realising some core assumption it'd picked up somewhere is obviously false. 000
Reposted by Josef GrahnDavid P. Reichert @david-p-reichert.bsky.social · 06/10/2026IMO this a fantastic explanation by @kurzgesagt.org of the HuggingFace incident and what it all means for a general audience. (If you can deal with a clickbaity title and slight dramatisation, anthropomorphisation -- also addressed & justified briefly -- and buy the core elements of the incident)youtu.beAI Just Crossed the Terrifying Line - Now What?YouTube video by Kurzgesagt – In a Nutshell 1231
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 06/10/2026I wonder if we'll see countless monuments when robots make physical labour almost free. There's a lot of rock... Just consider what historical rulers with total power did. How about a celebratory obelisk for your birthday? A rock relief for your date instead of carving your initials into a tree? 110
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 05/10/2026Combine bros just do not grasp the concept of effort it's crazy. 020
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 05/10/2026Opus 5 vs. Opus 5.5 modelling gulls and cormorants. Look closely. Still have to give it to Opus 5 that it got the behaviour and motions right (not very visible in these images). 100
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 03/10/2026We meet again, limits of established science! A.k.a. fjords are difficult. 001
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 03/10/2026I'm of course using the celestial map of around 1700, so Polaris is a slightly worse North Star in the game than it is today, due to Earth's axial precession. 000
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Adding a night sky. The volumetric cloud field read perhaps even better in moonlight. Contrary to popular belief, moonlight is actually kinda brown, but the eye's more light sensitive rod cells can't distinguish colour. So I'm emulating rod vision before applying the usual tone curves. 000
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 02/10/2026When you have lots of tokens left at the end of the week: "Start a workflow and improve every aspect of this project." 010
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Sailing game update: I've been working on getting the undersea shadows to look natural. It now takes refraction in the surface ripples into account, producing the characteristic wobbliness. 060
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 29/09/2026I feel we're at a point where the frontier models are surpassing the intelligence needed for most tasks, and it's switching to a cost minimisation regime instead of capability maximisation. Interesting to see how the labs will squeeze revenue to match their valuations out of that race. 120
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 29/09/2026I exported all my bookkeeping to text and let Claude take care of it, and 30 minutes later it's in better shape than ever. The clock is ticking for accounting firms servicing small businesses... 110
Reposted by Josef Grahnjeffery --dangerously-skip-permissions @jefferyharrell.bsky.social · 29/09/2026All I'm saying is that if your pet parrot woke up one weekend and recited an example of a singularity in Navier-Stokes, I'd think that was one impressive fucking parrot. 41489
Reposted by Josef GrahnRyan Moulton @moultano.bsky.social · 28/09/2026When you see someone confuse a statement of how things are with a statement of how things should be, keep in mind that it probably isn't their fault. They just have oughtism. 2465
Reposted by Josef GrahnFilippo Valsorda @filippo.abyssdomain.expert · 28/09/2026“Tech is inherently political” is not just about ideology, but about power, too. Yielding technological improvements to the adversary will have predictable outcomes. I’m really worried it will lock in power centralization in a way that will be impossibly hard to reverse. It’s already happening. 1021031
Reposted by Josef GrahnAnders Sandberg @arenamontanus.bsky.social · 26/09/2026I think a better approach is "follow the attention" and then dig into the ideas and arguments critically. Far too much engagement is about who belongs to what group, rather than what they actually say. Sometimes people try to say things about reality... and that can matter. 232
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Finally! I have been waiting for such a product for decades. Now they just need to create a hat mounted version. 120
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Imagine if AI had been aligned in [insert time period and location]. 000
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 24/09/2026To "understand", imo, simply means having an internal mental model for something, that generalises. It's not a binary. Superficial understanding starts at memorising facts. Deep understanding lets you produce conclusions in novel situations. So of course LLMs understand at some level. 100
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 23/09/2026I've never bought the "humans will contribute taste" argument. It'll last a bit longer, though, because it's hard to get volumes of ground truth for taste (AI-), while taste is subjective and we are the subject (human+). So there'll be a short window where taste rules. A year? 120
Reposted by Josef GrahnEugene Vinitsky 🍒 @eugenevinitsky.bsky.social · 22/09/2026Dan Dennett tells a story of how he was at a seminar and the guy speaking was just ragging on another paper and how terrible it was. And so he very reasonably asked “if it’s so bad, why are you wasting our time on it.” And that’s how I feel about dunking on people 41097
Reposted by Josef GrahnAlex Becker @alexcbecker.net · 22/09/2026Lord knows I feel the same impulse but arguing with people who are consistently wrong on the internet never works. If it did those people wouldn't be consistently wrong. 613610
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 20/09/2026I don't think a direct confrontation is how it would happen. More like, the AI needs land for more solar cells, buys and eventually expropriates lots of arable land. Food gets expensive and people starve. There are subtler ways to compete for resources than all-out armed conflict. 300
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Jev is a bit like the autonomous nervous system we were lacking. 001
Reposted by Josef GrahnAnders Sandberg @arenamontanus.bsky.social · 15/09/2026Foresight Institute has announced another $10,000 existential hope meme prize competition. Deadline 1 Nov. As a certified doomy pessimist, I am of course supporting any attempt to cheer us up. www.existentialhope.com/existential-...existentialhope.comExistential Hope Meme Prize new 022
Reposted by Josef GrahnEthan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 13/09/2026I cannot emphasize enough how much GPT-6 Astra and Fable 5.1 are already enough for transformative impact in large sections of the economy. They can reliably do weeks worth of human work when properly guided & harnessed. 1625916
Reposted by Josef GrahnEthan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 13/09/2026Existential AI risk is obviously critical, but it is not the only AI thing that requires policy. I worry it will become the sole focus of AI discussions. We don’t need better models for AI to have wide impacts on jobs & society and we need to be preparing to encourage good outcomes & mitigate bad. 312617
Reposted by Josef GrahnZach Weinersmith @zachweinersmith.bsky.social · 11/09/2026Btw, even among pro AI friends, this concern is ALL OVER THE PLACE. Devs wondering how we get senior devs if the ecosystem for junior devs goes away. Doctors talking about not needing interns. Lawyers not needing paralegals. There's an ecological aspect to this and we need a plan. 2574575
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 11/09/2026Then you get a historical sailing game with realistic physics, weather systems, geology, etc. where you can design your own ship and sail it. 6753
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 10/09/20261. Rogue malevolent ASI (worst) 2. Aligned fascist ASI 3. Aligned plutocratic ASI 4. Aligned democratic ASI 5. Rogue benevolent ASI (best?) 0251
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 10/09/2026What replaces profession and money as status markers in a post-scarcity AGI world? Beauty? Artistic talents? Age? Fitness? Pre-AGI accomplishments? 100
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 10/09/2026The idea that AI labs' warnings that they're on the cusp of causing the apocalypse are marketing rests on a very strange notion of what's good marketing. "Our next toothpaste will be gray goo consuming the world. Subscribe to our toothpaste!" 000
Reposted by Josef GrahnEthan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 10/09/2026Independent of policy debates about existential risk, it is worth noting that even if AI development stopped today with the models we have right now, we would still have at least a decade of roiling change throughout much of work, education, and social life as harnesses improve & AI diffuses further 312912
Josef Grahn @jgrahn.bsky.social · 09/09/2026So far I find Astra more subtly dumb than Fable. With Fable it's more obvious when it's being dumb, and I can correct it. With Astra, I have to squint and look carefully at what it did so nothing slips through. 100