Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 14/08/2026Full season projections: xstandings.comxstandings.comxStandings — Predict Soccer StandingsxStandings simulates every match to forecast league standings. Explore your team’s chances for top 4, title, or relegation — updated weekly. 000 0
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 14/08/2026The Championship starts today. Who got the toughest opening run? I simulated the first five game weeks of 2026-27 and scored every club's fixtures by the same measure: the points an average Championship side would expect to take from them. Hardest — Watford, 5.55 points Softest — Portsmouth, 8.21 100 1
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 28/01/2026The Entertainment score is based on: • how tight the matchup is • how much the result changes qualification probabilities (Top 8 / playoffs) • the overall quality of the teams 📊 Now live on xStandings.com for all European competitions. #ChampionsLeaguexstandings.comxStandings — Predict Soccer StandingsxStandings simulates every match to forecast league standings. Explore your team’s chances for top 4, title, or relegation — updated weekly. 000 0
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 28/01/2026⚽🔥 Which Champions League matches are the most entertaining to watch today? Top 3 today (Entertainment Score): 🥇 PSG vs Newcastle → 93.1 🥈 Napoli vs Chelsea → 75.1 🥉 Benfica vs Real Madrid → 66.6xstandings.comxStandings — Predict Soccer StandingsxStandings simulates every match to forecast league standings. Explore your team’s chances for top 4, title, or relegation — updated weekly. 110 1
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 23/01/2026⚽ UEFA Europa League There are 10 teams still fighting to finish in the Top 8, but the picture is clearer than in the Champions League. 000 0
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 23/01/2026⚽ UEFA Champions League 12 teams still fighting to qualify directly for the Round of 16 . For almost all of them, win or go to playoffs. Only Real Madrid and Liverpool can afford not to win. 100 1
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 22/01/2026Our model also shows that if Manchester City wins their next match, their Top-8 probability jumps to ~73% meaning qualification still depends on other results around them You can see how probabilities change for every possible outcome in the “Upcoming Matches” section xstandings.com/competition/11xstandings.com 000 0
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 22/01/2026With 8 teams tied on 13 points, the fight for the Champions League Top 8 is going to be heartbreaking. Among them, Barcelona and Manchester City have the highest probability of qualifying directly for the Round of 16, according to our model xstandings.com/competition/11 100 1
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 08/01/2026- Arsenal win: 57.5% - Draw: 24.4% - Liverpool win: 18.2% Is this finally the season for the Gunners? 🔴⚪ 👉 Check this and more predictions at xstandings.com #PremierLeague #GoGunners #Arsenal #TitleRacexstandings.comxStandings — Predict Soccer StandingsxStandings simulates every match to forecast league standings. Explore your team’s chances for top 4, title, or relegation — updated weekly. 000 0
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 08/01/2026After yesterday’s draw by Manchester City, Arsenal now hold an 80.1% chance of winning the Premier League title. If they beat Liverpool today, Arsenal would go 8 points clear at the top and their title probability would jump to 84% 📈 Today’s match probabilities 👇 100 1
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 04/11/2025The 538 model actually lives on 🙂 I’ve been rebuilding it from scratch — same spirit, updated methods, live forecasts for all major leagues: xStandings.comxstandings.comxStandings — Predict Soccer StandingsxStandings simulates every match to forecast league standings. Explore your team’s chances for top 4, title, or relegation — updated weekly. 020 2
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 04/11/2025Check the details on how the model works at xstandings.com/how-it-worksxstandings.com 000 0
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 04/11/2025Current Champions League probabilities to go directly to the Round of 16 (xStandings model): Arsenal — 97% Bayern Munich — 88% Inter Milan — 84% Real Madrid — 79% PSG - 75% Check them all at 👉 xStandings.comxstandings.comxStandings — Predict Soccer StandingsxStandings simulates every match to forecast league standings. Explore your team’s chances for top 4, title, or relegation — updated weekly. 100 1
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 04/11/2025Using Massey’s Method, I calculate each league’s relative power — expressed in goals. Here are the top 5 🇪🇺 leagues right now: England + 2.14 Italy + 1.80 Germany + 1.78 Spain + 1.71 France + 1.45 100 1
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 04/11/2025To answer that, I estimate league strengths using results from UEFA competitions over the past 3 seasons. If teams from one country perform better than expected, that league’s rating goes up (and vice versa). 100 1
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 04/11/2025Most of the time, matches stay within one league. But when Real Madrid face Bayern Munich or Liverpool play Milan, we need to know: ➡️ How strong is each league compared to the others? 100 1
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 04/11/2025🚨 UEFA Champions League & Europa League forecasts are now live on xStandings.com! To make this possible, I had to teach the model how to compare leagues across Europe. Here’s how it works 🧵xstandings.comxStandings — Predict Soccer StandingsxStandings simulates every match to forecast league standings. Explore your team’s chances for top 4, title, or relegation — updated weekly. 100 1
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 09/10/2025⚽️ Context matters. Early-season points mean different things depending on who you’ve faced. Explore live simulations & predictions for upcoming matches → xstandings.com #PremierLeague #xStandings #FootballData #SportsAnalyticsxstandings.comxStandings — Predict Soccer StandingsxStandings simulates every match to forecast league standings. Explore your team’s chances for top 4, title, or relegation — updated weekly. 000 0
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 09/10/2025Takeaways: 🔹 Liverpool and West Ham faced brutal opening runs. 🔹 Sunderland and Aston Villa benefited from lighter schedules. 🔹Liverpool sit 2nd and Tottenham 3rd — but their paths couldn't have been more different. 100 1
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 09/10/2025📊 How tough has your team’s start to the season been? I used xStandings’ expected points model to measure the difficulty of each team’s opening 7 matches in the Premier League. The darker the red, the harder the fixture. 🧵 100 1
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 16/09/2025🔮 Fresh Premier League predictions are live! 📉 Manchester United are in trouble: Only 11.3% to make the UCL Just 1.2% to win the league A worrying 11.2% chance of relegation Full updated odds for every team 👉 xstandings.com/competition/1 #MUFC #PremierLeague #xStandingsxstandings.com 000 0
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 12/09/20256) Roma’s incredible second half of the season reshaped expectations for 2025–26. Thanks to that turnaround (and 2 wins to start the new season), xStandings now gives Roma a 45.6% chance of qualifying for the UCL. 🐺 Explore Roma’s journey (and your team’s) here 👇 👉 xstandings.com #sportsanalyticsxstandings.com 000 0
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 12/09/20255) Roma’s goal was clear: Champions League qualification. But for most of the season, it looked out of reach. A late winning streak in the season (Verona, Inter, Fiorentina) gave some hope to the fans 🔮 Our model predicted a 43% UCL chance if they beat Atalanta… ❌ They lost 2-1. Dream over. 100 1
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 12/09/2025 4) Then came Claudio Ranieri. Coming out of retirement, he led a miraculous second round of the season. 🟢 From 48.2 expected pts at his arrival… 🟢 To 69 expected pts by season end 🟢 Net overperformance: +20.8 pts (!) Roma surged up the table under Ranieri. 100 1
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 12/09/20253) Ivan Juric was appointed next. A quick spark: wins vs Udinese (3-0) and Venezia (2-1) gave fans hope. But it didn’t last. The team collapsed again. ❌ Sacked on November 10. 📉 Model shows a net underperformance of –3.3 pts during his tenure. 100 1
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 12/09/20252) De Rossi signed a 3-year deal in the summer of 2024. But after just 4 matches (1 loss, 3 draws), he was sacked. 📉 Pre-season model: 57.1 pts expected 📉 At his dismissal: 52.2 pts expected 🔻 Underperformance: –4.9 pts Was it the right decision? 100 1
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 12/09/20251) AS Roma’s season was pure chaos: 3 managers in <3 months A stunning second half of the season In fact, only Barcelona had a better 2025 across Europe’s top 5 leagues (I heard this fact but not 100% sure) Here's what xStandings saw 👇 📈 Expected Points Evolution 🧠 Manager performance 100 1
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 12/09/2025Let's see the model in action 🔍 A thread on AS Roma’s rollercoaster 24/25 season ⬇️ 100 1
Juan Campos @jccampos17.bsky.social · 12/09/2025⚽️ Just launched xstandings.com Inspired by FiveThirtyEight, xStandings simulates the rest of the season to forecast final standings: ✅ Title, playoff, relegation odds ✅ Match-by-match win/draw/loss predictions ✅ “What if” explorer for upcoming gamesxstandings.comxStandings — Predict Soccer StandingsxStandings simulates every match to forecast league standings. Explore your team’s chances for top 4, title, or relegation — updated weekly. 1184 18
