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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Biggest swing of Sunday night 🔄 Goff to TeSlaa for 57 yards: Lions 34% → 51% in one play. Carolina still won 32-26. ▶️ youtube.com/shorts/ci5t0R7vqRc #DETvsCAR #NFL #IronVault

youtube.com

Goff's 57-yard bomb flipped SNF: DET 34% → 51% #Shorts

Iron Vault · ivsa.app

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

The play that flipped Monday night 🔄 Saints fumble, recovered by Atlanta after review: Falcons win probability 65% → 76% in one snap. ATL rolled 45-24. ▶️ youtube.com/shorts/CbFXe2c82yU #ATLvsNO #NFL #IronVault

youtube.com

The play that flipped MNF: ATL 65% → 76% on one fumble #Shorts

Iron Vault · ivsa.app

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🏁 [FINAL] ATL@NO 📊 ATL 45 - NO 24 🏈 Iron Vault Final Analytical Breakdown: • Final Margin: 21 point differential #ATLvsNO #NFL #IronVault · ivsa.app/live

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🎯 Goal-to-Go Odds: 74.9% TD probability across 4 remaining downs (at opponent 3-yd line; 3,124 series since 1980) 📈 Hist. Odds (2864 samples): 37.2% Conv | 33.0% Pass / 67.0% Rush | TD: 36.7% | TO Risk: 1.4%

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

👤 Tyler Shough Career: 67.6% Cmp | 2,384 Yds | 10 TD / 6 INT (11 Games) · 2026: 91/132, 917 Yds, 8 TD / 3 INT (3 games, through Week 3) 📈 ⚠️ TWO-SCORE CRISIS: Deficit Math: Trailing by 28 with 73s left. No comebacks in 1,481 games in this spot since 1977.

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🔥 [TOUCHDOWN] ATL@NO 📍 Q4 | 1:13 | 1st & Goal at ATL 3 | Score after play: ATL 45 - NO 23 Play: (Shotgun) T.Shough pass short left to D.Vele for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. #ATLvsNO #NFL · ivsa.app/live

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

👤 Tyler Shough Career: 67.6% Cmp | 2,384 Yds | 10 TD / 6 INT (11 Games) · 2026: 91/132, 917 Yds, 8 TD / 3 INT (3 games, through Week 3) 📈 ⚠️ TWO-SCORE CRISIS: Deficit Math: Trailing by 28 with 120s left. No comebacks in 1,481 games in this spot since 1977.

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🚨 [RED ZONE TRIP] ATL@NO 📍 Q4 | 2:00 | 1st & 10 at ATL 16 | Score: ATL 45 - NO 17 Play: (Shotgun) T.Shough pass short left to C.Olave to ATL 11 for 5 yards (H.Perkins). #ATLvsNO #NFLAnalytics · ivsa.app/live

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

📊 No comebacks in 1,481 games in this spot since 1977, trailing 25+ Pts (Blowout/Four+ Poss). 🎯 ⚡ 3rd Down Conversion (4 yds): 48.9% historical conversion rate (3103 samples) 📈 Hist. Odds (3103 samples): 48.9% Conv | 77.3% Pass / 22.7% Rush | TD: 0.5% | TO Risk: 2.9%

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

👤 Tyler Shough Career: 67.6% Cmp | 2,384 Yds | 10 TD / 6 INT (11 Games) · 2026: 91/132, 917 Yds, 8 TD / 3 INT (3 games, through Week 3) 📈 ⏳ TWO-POSSESSION HURRY-UP: Clock Pressure: Down 28 with 4.9m remaining.

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🚨 [3RD & SHORT] ATL@NO 📍 Q4 | 4:53 | 3rd & 4 at NO 42 | Score: ATL 45 - NO 17 Play: (Shotgun) T.Shough pass short left to D.Vele to NO 47 for 5 yards (C.Henderson). #ATLvsNO #NFLAnalytics · ivsa.app/live

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

👤 Brian Robinson Jr. Career: 701 Carries | 2,862 Yds | 4.08 YPC | 19 Rush TDs · 2026: 30 Carries, 132 Yds, 1 TD (3 games, through Week 3) 📈 Hist. Odds (9172 samples): 13.6% Conv | 43.0% Pass / 57.0% Rush | TD: 9.8% | TO Risk: 2.3%

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🔥 [TOUCHDOWN] ATL@NO 📍 Q4 | 6:52 | 1st & 10 at NO 11 | Score after play: ATL 44 - NO 17 Play: Br.Robinson left guard for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. #ATLvsNO #NFL · ivsa.app/live

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

📅 2026 thru Wk 3 (72 plays): 19.4% Conv | TD: 1.4% | TO Risk: 0.0%

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🔥 [TOUCHDOWN] ATL@NO 📍 Q4 | 9:50 | 1st & 10 at NO 31 | Score after play: ATL 37 - NO 17 Play: M.Penix pass deep middle to J.Dotson for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. #ATLvsNO #NFL · ivsa.app/live

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

📈 Hist. Odds (2759 samples): 60.6% Conv | 40.6% Pass / 59.4% Rush | TD: 1.8% | TO Risk: 2.1%

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

👤 Bijan Robinson Career: 805 Carries | 3,910 Yds | 4.86 YPC | 25 Rush TDs · 2026: 66 Carries, 349 Yds, 2 TD (3 games, through Week 3) 🎯 ⚡ 3rd Down Conversion (2 yds): 60.6% historical conversion rate (2759 samples)

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🚨 [3RD & SHORT] ATL@NO 📍 Q4 | 10:42 | 3rd & 2 at NO 36 | Score: ATL 31 - NO 17 Play: Bi.Robinson right end to NO 31 for 5 yards (J.Sanker; Q.Riley). #ATLvsNO #NFLAnalytics · ivsa.app/live

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

📈 Hist. Odds (2747 samples): 55.0% Conv | 33.4% Pass / 66.6% Rush | TD: 39.0% | TO Risk: 2.2%

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

👤 Alvin Kamara Career: 1,767 Carries | 7,607 Yds | 4.31 YPC | 64 Rush TDs · 2026: 18 Carries, 51 Yds, 0 TD (2 games, through Week 3) 🎯 ⚡ 3rd Down Conversion (1 yds): 55.0% historical conversion rate (2747 samples)

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🔥 [TOUCHDOWN] ATL@NO 📍 Q4 | 13:00 | 3rd & 1 at ATL 5 | Score after play: ATL 31 - NO 16 Play: (No Huddle, Shotgun) A.Kamara up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. #ATLvsNO #NFL · ivsa.app/live

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

📅 2026 thru Wk 3 (59 plays): 15.3% Conv | TD: 8.5% | TO Risk: 0.0%

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🚨 [RED ZONE TRIP] ATL@NO 📍 Q4 | 13:33 | 1st & 10 at ATL 14 | Score: ATL 31 - NO 10 Play: (No Huddle, Shotgun) T.Shough pass incomplete short right to J.Johnson (H.Perkins). #ATLvsNO #NFLAnalytics · ivsa.app/live

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

📈 Hist. Odds (529 samples): 61.4% Conv | 32.7% Pass / 67.3% Rush | TD: 6.2% | TO Risk: 4.3%

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

👤 Alvin Kamara Career: 1,767 Carries | 7,607 Yds | 4.31 YPC | 64 Rush TDs · 2026: 18 Carries, 51 Yds, 0 TD (2 games, through Week 3) 🎯 🔥 4th Down Critical (1 yds): 61.4% historical conversion rate (529 samples)

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🚨 [4TH & SHORT] ATL@NO 📍 Q4 | 13:59 | 4th & 1 at ATL 16 | Score: ATL 31 - NO 10 Play: (No Huddle, Shotgun) A.Kamara up the middle to ATL 14 for 2 yards (C.Thomas). #ATLvsNO #NFLAnalytics · ivsa.app/live

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

👤 Brian Robinson Jr. Career: 701 Carries | 2,862 Yds | 4.08 YPC | 19 Rush TDs · 2026: 30 Carries, 132 Yds, 1 TD (3 games, through Week 3) 📈 Hist. Odds (2922 samples): 33.3% Conv | 39.7% Pass / 60.3% Rush | TD: 24.2% | TO Risk: 2.2%

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🔥 [TOUCHDOWN] ATL@NO 📍 Q3 | 2:11 | 2nd & 4 at NO 8 | Score after play: ATL 30 - NO 10 Play: Br.Robinson right tackle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. #ATLvsNO #NFL · ivsa.app/live

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

👤 Bijan Robinson Career: 805 Carries | 3,910 Yds | 4.86 YPC | 25 Rush TDs · 2026: 66 Carries, 349 Yds, 2 TD (3 games, through Week 3) 📈 Hist. Odds (9895 samples): 14.1% Conv | 35.0% Pass / 65.0% Rush | TD: 8.7% | TO Risk: 1.8%

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🚨 [RED ZONE TRIP] ATL@NO 📍 Q3 | 2:53 | 1st & 10 at NO 14 | Score: ATL 24 - NO 10 Play: (Shotgun) Bi.Robinson right tackle to NO 8 for 6 yards (K.Boyd). #ATLvsNO #NFLAnalytics · ivsa.app/live

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🎯 🔥 4th Down Critical (3 yds): 50.0% historical conversion rate (132 samples) 📈 Hist. Odds (132 samples): 50.0% Conv | 77.3% Pass / 22.7% Rush | TD: 30.3% | TO Risk: 1.5%

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🔥 [FIELD GOAL] ATL@NO 📍 Q3 | 7:38 | 4th & 3 at ATL 8 | Score after play: ATL 24 - NO 10 Play: D.Carlson 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-C.Adomitis, Holder-R.Wright. #ATLvsNO #NFL · ivsa.app/live

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

📈 Hist. Odds (1864 samples): 43.6% Conv | 68.9% Pass / 31.1% Rush | TD: 25.5% | TO Risk: 2.3%

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

👤 Tyler Shough Career: 67.6% Cmp | 2,384 Yds | 10 TD / 6 INT (11 Games) · 2026: 91/132, 917 Yds, 8 TD / 3 INT (3 games, through Week 3) 🎯 ⚡ 3rd Down Conversion (3 yds): 43.6% historical conversion rate (1864 samples)

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🚨 [3RD & SHORT] ATL@NO 📍 Q3 | 7:47 | 3rd & 3 at ATL 8 | Score: ATL 24 - NO 7 Play: (Shotgun) T.Shough pass incomplete short middle to J.Johnson (C.Thomas). #ATLvsNO #NFLAnalytics · ivsa.app/live

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

👤 Barion Brown 2026 so far: 1 Carries, 3 Yds, 0 TD (1 game, through Week 3) 📈 Hist. Odds (10127 samples): 14.2% Conv | 35.7% Pass / 64.3% Rush | TD: 7.8% | TO Risk: 1.9%

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🚨 [RED ZONE TRIP] ATL@NO 📍 Q3 | 9:25 | 1st & 10 at ATL 15 | Score: ATL 24 - NO 7 Play: (Shotgun) B.Brown left end to ATL 20 for -5 yards (M.Hughes). #ATLvsNO #NFLAnalytics · ivsa.app/live

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

📈 Hist. Odds (1847 samples): 48.8% Conv | 79.6% Pass / 20.4% Rush | TD: 2.0% | TO Risk: 3.8%

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

👤 Tyler Shough Career: 67.6% Cmp | 2,384 Yds | 10 TD / 6 INT (11 Games) · 2026: 91/132, 917 Yds, 8 TD / 3 INT (3 games, through Week 3) 🎯 ⚡ 3rd Down Conversion (4 yds): 48.8% historical conversion rate (1847 samples)

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🚨 [3RD & SHORT] ATL@NO 📍 Q3 | 11:25 | 3rd & 4 at ATL 39 | Score: ATL 24 - NO 7 Play: (Shotgun) T.Shough pass short left to J.Johnson to ATL 30 for 9 yards (X.Watts). #ATLvsNO #NFLAnalytics · ivsa.app/live

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🔥 [FIELD GOAL] ATL@NO 📍 Q2 | 3:07 | 4th & 7 at NO 11 | Score after play: ATL 24 - NO 7 Play: N.Folk 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-L.McCullough, Holder-J.Bailey. #ATLvsNO #NFL · ivsa.app/live

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

📅 2026 thru Wk 3 (54 plays): 20.4% Conv | TD: 11.1% | TO Risk: 0.0%

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

👤 Bijan Robinson Career: 805 Carries | 3,910 Yds | 4.86 YPC | 25 Rush TDs · 2026: 66 Carries, 349 Yds, 2 TD (3 games, through Week 3) 📈 Hist. Odds (13313 samples): 14.8% Conv | 45.2% Pass / 54.8% Rush | TD: 9.4% | TO Risk: 2.0%

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🚨 [RED ZONE TRIP] ATL@NO 📍 Q2 | 3:56 | 1st & 10 at NO 14 | Score: ATL 21 - NO 7 Play: Bi.Robinson left tackle to NO 12 for 2 yards (P.Werner; D.Godchaux). #ATLvsNO #NFLAnalytics · ivsa.app/live

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

📈 Hist. Odds (3531 samples): 53.5% Conv | 46.8% Pass / 53.2% Rush | TD: 40.2% | TO Risk: 2.1%

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

👤 Brian Robinson Jr. Career: 701 Carries | 2,862 Yds | 4.08 YPC | 19 Rush TDs · 2026: 30 Carries, 132 Yds, 1 TD (3 games, through Week 3) 🎯 ⚡ 3rd Down Conversion (2 yds): 53.5% historical conversion rate (3531 samples)

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ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social @ironvaultanalytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🔥 [TOUCHDOWN] ATL@NO 📍 Q2 | 8:59 | 3rd & 2 at NO 4 | Score after play: ATL 20 - NO 7 Play: Br.Robinson right guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. #ATLvsNO #NFL · ivsa.app/live

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