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Hussein Ibish

@ibishblog.bsky.social
3.6K followers 3.1K following 861 posts

Senior Resident Scholar at the Arab Gulf States Institute (AGSI), weekly columnist for The National, and writer and speaker at large. Former Bloomberg columnist and New York Times regular contributor, now writing a lot for The Atlantic.

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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
Saudis became skeptical in 2019, when Trump refused to retaliate against Iran for a drone and missile attack on Saudi oil fields. “We start a big fight, then get bored and walk away. It’s like Lucy and the football. They’re feeling like Charlie Brown on the ground.” www.nytimes.com/2026/07/01/u...
nytimes.com
How the Iran War Ignited a Clash Between Trump and the Saudi Crown Prince
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
WELL worth your time!
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AGSI @gulfstatesinst.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
Ending the war became a personal and political imperative for Trump, who seemed almost indifferent to the cost or specifics of the arrangement. As easily as he got into it, he wanted to get out of it. @ibishblog.bsky.social agsi.org/analysis/wil...
agsi.org
Will "Hormuz" be the American "Suez"? - AGSI
The Trump administration has positioned the United States at a crossroads between a new regime of containment against Iran or a historic drawdown of U.S. influence in the Gulf and broader Middle East.
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AGSI @gulfstatesinst.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
The Iranian leadership gauged, and used, Trump’s unwillingness to return to all-out warfare and his mounting frustration to strike a hard bargain. @ibishblog.bsky.social agsi.org/analysis/wil...
agsi.org
Will "Hormuz" be the American "Suez"? - AGSI
The Trump administration has positioned the United States at a crossroads between a new regime of containment against Iran or a historic drawdown of U.S. influence in the Gulf and broader Middle East.
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
Internal correspondence between IDF commanders reveal deep frustration over the absence of a coherent strategy, and Israeli security officials expressed concern that the growing friction would soon lead to harm to both Israeli soldiers and Lebanese civilians. us18.campaign-archive.com?e=68188fb490
us18.campaign-archive.com
https://us18.campaign-archive.com/?e=68188fb490
____ / ___M ]__ C{ ( o o )} { •• \___ ––––´ You probably found this page because one of our subscribers used Mailchimp to send you an email campaign and you traced a link in th...
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AGSI @gulfstatesinst.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
Will “Hormuz” be the American “Suez”? @ibishblog.bsky.social agsi.org/analysis/wil...
agsi.org
Will "Hormuz" be the American "Suez"? - AGSI
The Trump administration has positioned the United States at a crossroads between a new regime of containment against Iran or a historic drawdown of U.S. influence in the Gulf and broader Middle East.
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Rima I Anabtawi @rimaanabtawi.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
One of the most lucid, sharpest, and insightful analyses you’ll come across by @ibishblog.bsky.social. Requisite reading for anyone with a, serious, interest in the region.
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
The Trump administration has positioned the United States at a crossroads between a new regime of containment against Iran or a historic drawdown of U.S. influence in the Gulf and broader Middle East. I argue this in my latest essay here: agsi.org/analysis/wil...
agsi.org
Will "Hormuz" be the American "Suez"? - AGSI
The Trump administration has positioned the United States at a crossroads between a new regime of containment against Iran or a historic drawdown of U.S. influence in the Gulf and broader Middle East.
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Deceiving the Deceivers: Philby, Maclean, and Burgess by S.J. Hamrick makes a fascinating case that UK intel knew about the Cambridge spies much earlier than admitted and MI6 and the KGB effectively colluded in creating a myth of Kim Philby super spy, who was nothing of the kind.
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AGSI @gulfstatesinst.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
VIDEO – Inside Iran’s Wartime Leadership: Power, Succession, and Regime Stability with @alfoneh.bsky.social, Ali Ansari, and @ibishblog.bsky.social. agsi.org/events/insid...
agsi.org
Inside Iran’s Wartime Leadership: Power, Succession, and Regime Stability - AGSI
On April 21, AGSI hosted a discussion on the evolution of Iran's leadership during the war.
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
Israel would be advised to be patient with this delicate situation. But ever since the October 7, 2023, it has taken a hyperaggressive approach toward armed nonstate actors on its borders. My latest for ⁦‪The Atlantic‬⁩ www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
theatlantic.com
Israel Could Have What It Most Wants in Lebanon
It just has to give up territorial ambitions and work with the Lebanese government to disarm Hezbollah.
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
Can Qatar Still Mediate After Becoming a Target? From ⁦‪AGSI‬⁩ and by Faisal Al-Hanzab agsi.org/analysis/can...
agsi.org
Can Qatar Still Mediate After Becoming a Target? - AGSI
With Iran, Qatar is balancing dialogue with deterrence.
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
The thing about being a normal person cosplaying as a superrich one is that eventually you have to return to earth. I was warned about this painful jolt to the system, akin to taking a single, blissful hit of the best drug and being told you can never have it again. www.nytimes.com/2026/04/06/t...
nytimes.com
No Lines, No ‘Regular’ People: Flying Ultra-Luxury From Paris
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
Based on the principle of typical inverse proportionality wherein outrageous rhetoric disproportionately elides desperate circumstances the gobbledygook in Iran’s statement accepting the ceasefire suggests they’re in even worse condition than I thought. www.tasnimnews.ir/en/news/2026...
tasnimnews.ir
SNSC Issues Statement about Iran’s Victory over Enemies - Politics news - Tasnim News Agency
TEHRAN (Tasnim) - The Supreme National Security Council issued a statement regarding the US's acceptance of Iran's conditions to end the war.
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Rubio does NOT mention: 1) enriched uranium or anything about nuclear weapons; 2) Iranian-backed armed gangs in the Arab world; 3) securing freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormoz into the foreseeable future with real consequences; 4) regime change. 5) REALLY? www.state.gov/releases/off...
state.gov
Secretary of State Marco Rubio with George Stephanopoulos of ABC Good Morning America - United States Department of State
QUESTION:  Let’s talk more about this with the Secretary of State, Marco Rubio.  Mr. Secretary, thank you for joining us this morning.  Let’s talk about the President’s comments overnight, talking abo...
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Rubio: “Our clear objectives (write them down): 1) destruction of the air force; 2) destruction of the navy; 3) severe diminishing of missile launching capability; 4) destruction of factories so they can’t make more missiles and more drones.” That’s new. Ok, written! www.state.gov/releases/off...
state.gov
Secretary of State Marco Rubio with George Stephanopoulos of ABC Good Morning America - United States Department of State
QUESTION:  Let’s talk more about this with the Secretary of State, Marco Rubio.  Mr. Secretary, thank you for joining us this morning.  Let’s talk about the President’s comments overnight, talking abo...
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
What have we been saying all along? The military at a classified Congressional briefing on Wed:“confirmed once again that THERE IS NO PLAN. They don’t know what they’re doing. They cannot connect their military goals with their strategic goals.” x.com/sethmoulton/...
x.com
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
I tell the Wall Street Journal that attacks on Lebanese Amana gas stations are designed to undercut “Hezbollah by both cutting off its revenue and straining its supporters.“ They’re owned and run by a supporter of the organization and many consider it a front or asset. www.wsj.com/livecoverage...
wsj.com
Why Is Israel Blowing Up Gas Stations in Lebanon?
Israel’s military said it carried out a second wave of strikes targeting gas stations controlled by Hezbollah in Lebanon, escalating attacks on infrastructure it says is used by the Iran-backed milita...
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
American Stalinism: Somebody from the HHS communications team said, “Well, don’t you do this every four years, changing the priorities and things like that?” I said, “Science doesn’t change based on who is in office.” O’Brien will teach you that 2+2 = 5. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
nytimes.com
Inside the Turmoil at RFK Jr.’s CDC, as Told by Current and Former Employees
Forty-three current and former C.D.C. employees on the changes they say are replacing science with ideology — and making Americans more vulnerable.
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
American Stalinism: Trump issued a flurry of executive orders. No more federal diversity, equity & inclusion, “gender ideology extremism.” identifying pronouns,” “transgender” and “pregnant people.” Hundreds of words flagged and entire pages quickly taken offline. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
nytimes.com
Inside the Turmoil at RFK Jr.’s CDC, as Told by Current and Former Employees
Forty-three current and former C.D.C. employees on the changes they say are replacing science with ideology — and making Americans more vulnerable.
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
Scandalous lack of accountability, typical approach to policing in our benighted country.
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
And you have to burn down the village in order to save it. This man is a genius.
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
Just about everybody attached to this administration is a clear cut racist to one extent or another. Not everybody, but pretty close.
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
I’m relieved that he was so careful to distinguish between the regime and the people of Iran.
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
You have to read this RIDICULOUS @WSJ unsigned editorial aloud in a super-thick Israeli accent. www.wsj.com/opinion/iran...
wsj.com
Opinion | Iran Attacks the Gulf Arabs. Will They Fight Back?
These states can do more to help as Tehran blocks and targets their energy.
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George Conway ⚖️🇺🇸 @gtconway.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
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DJ @darnich.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
Even FOX news...
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Trump said, "I can't tell you what we're doing." Because HE doesn’t know what he’s doing. So obvious. The ad hoc, ad lib war. Pathetic. Worse than 2003. I never thought I’d see something that dumb. But here we are. www.haaretz.com/middle-east-...
haaretz.com
Report: U.S. and Israel strike Iranian missile tunnels to block launchers
One Expert Told CNN That Sealing the Entrances to the Bases and 'Burying' the Launchers Inside Them Has 'Significantly Affected Iran's Ability to Carry Out Launches at a High Rate.' Iranian Reconstruc...
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AGSI @gulfstatesinst.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Gulf Diplomacy: As bombs continue to drop, many countries are pursuing a peaceful resolution as soon as possible, especially the Gulf Arab states, who will likely play a major role as mediators between the warring parties. @ibishblog.bsky.social covered their efforts: agsi.org/analysis/cau...
agsi.org
Caught in the Crosshairs, Gulf Arab Countries Remain Crucial to Peace - AGSI
Though they were unsuccessful in preventing the current conflict, and, as expected, have been dragged into the U.S.-Israeli confrontation with Iran, Gulf Arab countries remain crucial to hopes for…
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AGSI @gulfstatesinst.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Hezbollah: The war has pushed Lebanon to take unprecedented measures against Hezbollah within its own borders. @ibishblog.bsky.social offered a crucial analysis: agsi.org/analysis/ira...
agsi.org
Iran War Provides Decisive Test for Lebanon to Assert Authority Over Hezbollah - AGSI
After decades of tolerating Hezbollah’s warmaking independence, the current crisis has compelled Lebanese leaders to ban its military activities; this project will do much to determine the reach Iran…
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Trump Friend Asked ICE to Detain the Mother of His Child Paolo Zampolli, a former modeling agent and a longtime Trump ally, was in a custody battle over his son. An ICE official agreed to help. SO fucking corrupt. Insane! www.nytimes.com/2026/03/20/u...
nytimes.com
Trump Friend Asked ICE to Detain the Mother of His Child
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Bestial www.nytimes.com/2026/03/18/w...
nytimes.com
Palestinian Man Recounts Brutal Sexual Assault by Israeli Settlers
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Simon Rosenberg @simonrosenberg.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
"State failure and social collapse in Iran is clearly an acceptable outcome for Israel. The Israelis are ecstatic that they finally got the US to attack Iran ...Trump is being led by Netanyahu" @ibishblog.bsky.social And Anthony Albanese is led by Trump. #auspol podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/i...
podcasts.apple.com
Is Israel trying to make Iran a failed state?
Podcast Episode · ABC News Daily · 18 March · 16m
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
Israel has a remarkable opportunity for a diplomatic breakthrough in Lebanon. You’d be forgiven for not knowing about this, because both Israel and Hezbollah seem committed instead to a spiraling conflict. My latest for ⁦‪The Atlantic‬⁩ www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
theatlantic.com
Israel Is Missing Its Big Chance in Lebanon
The Lebanese are furious with Hezbollah, but Israel keeps giving it more reasons to fight.
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
My conversation with Ksenia Svetlova for ROPES on the perspective of about the war from Beirut, where I have been for the past two months and I still am youtu.be/6XEPI9mpWDQ
youtu.be
ROPESCAST - Episode 45 | From the Heart of Beirut: Hussein Ibish on Israel-Lebanon Relations
YouTube video by ROPESorg
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
More bombs falling on Beirut right now
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
The nationalistic/imperial arrogance that informed the 2003 Iraq war blunder has been replaced by a personalized/patrimonial arrogance that is shaping this insane adventure with Iran, best defined as “Trump’s master plan is precisely to have no plan at all, and loving it.”
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JanPieter 🇪🇺 @janpieter.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
The US-Israeli war on Iran is far worse than Gulf states feared, prompting rage against Iran, dismay with Washington, and deep and growing suspicion of Israel's regional ambitions. My oped today for ⁦‪Haaretz, because someone has to tell Israelis such things. www.haaretz.com/opinion/2026...
haaretz.com
Gulf states now view Israel as an agent of chaos equal to Iran | Opinion
The U.S.-Israeli War on Iran Is Far Worse Than Gulf States Feared, and There's Plenty of Blame to Go Round: Rage Against Iran, Dismay at D.C. and Deep Suspicion of Israel's Regional Ambitions
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Q₉ @q9f.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
What he outlined was nothing less than the framework for all Israeli military activities between March 1948 and the end of the war in 1949. He demonstrated that it had the ethnic cleansing of much of the Palestinian population in the targeted areas essentially hardwired into its implicit logic. The expulsion was no inadvertent happenstance or collateral damage of warfare. It was part of a deliberate plan, and he was the first to demonstrate that conclusively.
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Rima I Anabtawi @rimaanabtawi.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
"If you live, live free or die like the trees, standing up", wrote Mahmoud Darwish. Walid Khalidi did just that, to the very end. A moist poignant and fitting obituary by @ibishblog.bsky.social
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
Major Israeli bombing attacks in Beirut tonight. Really big ones.
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
Big Israeli bombs going off in Beirut, very loud and quite intense. Obviously time to go along with the major offensive in the south that is still not being reported on, but is definitely happening as I type.
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
The Israeli Air Force is extremely active over Beirut tonight, in a very negative way
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
Here’s audio of my interview today with The Current, CBC radio’s excellent national morning news show. My segment begins at about the 8:45 minute mark, but the whole thing is well worth listening to. On the ground in Lebanon youtu.be/ZOaIQtm-VPo?...
youtu.be
On the ground in Lebanon | The Current
YouTube video by CBC News
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
Oh good
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
Thanks Tom Friedman‬⁩ for this in today’s NYT‬⁩: Ibish summed up Trump’s strategy: “It goes like this: US &Israel bomb and destroy. Then (fill in the blank) Iranians will secure (fill in the blank) political change that will achieve (fill in the blank) US war aims.” www.nytimes.com/2026/03/09/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | Trump Has No Idea How to End the War With Iran
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
Superb analysis from my brilliant colleague Kristin Smith Diwan: Gulf States Play Defense For AGSI agsi.org/analysis/gul...
agsi.org
Gulf States Play Defense - AGSI
Caught between Iranian strikes and U.S.-Israeli pressure to join the fight, Gulf Arab states strive to maintain their autonomy over decision making, playing defense and preserving the space to maneuve...
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
My obituary of the GREAT Walid Khalidi, Arab historian instrumental in revival of Palestinian national consciousness For ⁦‪The National www.thenationalnews.com/opinion/obit...
thenationalnews.com
Arab historian instrumental in revival of Palestinian national consciousness | The National
After being rejected by Israeli apologists for years, his detailed works on the Nakba are now widely accepted as ahead of their time
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Hussein Ibish @ibishblog.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
Thanks Tom Friedman‬⁩ for this in today’s NYT‬⁩: Ibish summed up Trump’s strategy: “It goes like this: US &Israel bomb and destroy. Then (fill in the blank) Iranians will secure (fill in the blank) political change that will achieve (fill in the blank) US war aims.” www.nytimes.com/2026/03/09/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | Trump Has No Idea How to End the War With Iran
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