Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 4hIf Guilfoyle lasted a year, what is the scaling factor? She will be able to say she misses the kids or can't drag them around the country as her honourable discharge. 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 12/10/2026How was the vote arranged? 2000 votes of 200+k members is delegates not 1% turnout? How many of these voters and the motion proposers are 2025/6 influx? 010
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 12/10/2026Electoral Calculus MRP in July had Holborn (59/40% retain probability) as one of three Labour cabinet constituencies still at risk, down from 18 in April. September they gave the odds as 84/14% Some of that risk was Starmer as incumbent. Sigh of relief for Burnham plus enjoy pile-on against Greens. 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Starmer's war stance hammered Holborn Labour in 2024, just as Blair managed with Afghanistan and Iraq. How quickly they rebound with NotStarmer I can only guess. Sagal Abdi-Wali sounded fine in her acceptance speech, ran an oddly elusive campaign, possibly just avoiding any awkward controversy. 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 08/10/2026I can understand why Polanski wants to be in Westminster sooner rather than 2029, Holborn is tough but high profile seat, not fatally wounded if he comes 2nd, he can then settle for an easier target London seat for next GE. 120
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 05/10/2026Jenrick left his defection statement on that Norman photocopier . . . 010
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Yes you have. Leave out the bit in brackets first - it opposes definitions that conflate Israel with Judaism, or anti-Zionism with anti-semitism, wherever they may be written. Brackets give examples locations - IHRA (yes it does), JDA (don't think so) or elsewhere (are there others?). 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 03/10/2026"Aliqui in gramine sunt, putant totum finitum esse; nunc est." 010
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Starmer "eradicated" antisemitism from the Labour Party by expelling around 200, disproportionately Jewish. Smeeth and Hodge both said to camera they were content that some Jews no longer felt welcome in Labour. That will be the "wrong type of" Jew. They want any Zionists over non-Zionist Jews. 010
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 01/10/2026I have now scrolled further right and seen the GE2024 columns. Votes by party pigeonhole have understandably changed over those five years. 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 01/10/2026That's what I assume it means, which will be less than triple lock which ratchets up as CPI and wage growth half wheel each other on different years. It will track the current ratio, and presumably #MagicMoneyTree could have a higher ratio imposed to once again track from. 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Forget that, Lee may have actually done his own different maths, and the answer isn't 30p. What Reform try and avoid admitting is that BurnhamLock will track wage inflation in the long run, and at least CPI every year. Making assumption of real wage growth over medium term, reasonable enough? 100
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Except it's Jenrick's maths and it's based on the dumb presumption that the inflation element of the previous scheme wouldn't have switched from RPI to CPI. So it's already "saved" money he claims, by definition stiffing pensioners in the process. But he opposes further cuts, to get the grey vote. 220
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Thanks - I had found the published reports page of both Convergent Opinion and Persuasion UK but neither contained this poll. * They are using GE19 proportions?? Tories biggest party, Reform are still Brexit/UKIP * Non-voter is a massive chunk of the sample, shifts average enormously 100
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Yusuf doesn't need info to write . . . something. Sky keep mentioning "sources", they were told on Saturday that Fairford security had been hightened and decided against turning up in a big van somewhere near midnight, might *create* incident. Frank Gardner clearly had inside info for Salisbury. 010
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 29/09/2026The party numbers still look weirdly one sided - I assume this is 2026 polling segregated by GE 2024 voting record? I can't track down the actual survey online. 100
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 29/09/2026With six of seven age groups voting 57% or less, how is the average as *high* as 65%? With four out of five parties voting 72% or higher, how is the average as *low* as 65%? 111
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Can we rely on AI being patriotic? Surely whichever AI emerges supreme will hack all the inferior ones, leaving us I'm not quite sure where . . . 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 29/09/2026He agreed "those people". It highlights the hamfisted way "supporting a terrorist organisation" has been handled, particularly the continuing arrests whilst PA case is still under appeal. 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Three vans doing a 200 mile round trip is a lot of sunk cost to recover nicking fuel from a couple of tiny villages. Or were they going to drain something inside the base? 010
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 28/09/2026This is the guy who wrote "island of strangers"? Should he influence Burnham's outcome as much as he did Starmer's? 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 27/09/2026Starmer's leadership was tone deaf. Decrying "gesture politics” resulting in being dragged kicking and screaming towards e.g criticism of Israel. “returned to the service of working people” could have been laudable if it hadn't meant triangulating to racism #IslandOfStrangers. 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 27/09/2026Precisely the phrase he doesn't want used to describe his pronouncements so far. It will hit harder than a Vicky Pollard meme. 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 27/09/2026I'm guessing that Brian Cannon has copyrighted his handwriting? Reminding people of the phrase Definitely Maybe is probably not wise. Morning Glory? Don't Believe the Truth? aren't much better. 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 27/09/2026If they've gone the full Brian Cannon "font" then this may backfire on them. (that's not a cannon joke). Whilst googling I discovered that there are official "Definitely Maybe"s on sale, obviously handwritten by the man himself, curiously illustrated with one with the i dots a bit wonky. 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 27/09/2026Boris Johnson never did a "Have Your . . . and Eat It" cake as merchandise. Or was that the one that got him his Covid FPN? 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 27/09/2026It's a big carve-up to do properly in short order, which is why successive govts have done bugger all. I suspect the outline will come before the manifesto. Maybe wait at least until you have heard the conference speech. 120
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 27/09/2026A quick and easy £400k for BBC to save. I make a point of praising the Kuenssberg show on the weeks that Vic Derbyshire stands in. 040
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 27/09/2026FFS, a different CPA stands in Holborn when Feinstein doesn't. Passing off? 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 26/09/2026That doesn't explain 1 vs 2 gloves, or the red carpet, or Natalie's shoes and hair. There must be some video of the whole sequence to help bottom this out. 100
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 26/09/2026There's a Two Ronnies sketch with a library organised by book colour (yes sir that will be amongst the blue books). Or you could go for size . . . CDs have to be alphabetical, surely? www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-engl...bbc.co.ukCoronavirus: Library books rearranged in size order by cleanerThe well-meaning cleaner gave librarians a giggle when they discovered the neatly rearranged tomes. 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 24/09/2026This post brings up two potential courses of action. 1) Balaclavas with Free Palestine knitted into them 2) Dispersing boat protestors by lobbing in a couple of Free Palestine placards 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Ending it by furloughing the slave traders and no liberation or compensation for the enslaved rather defines our attitude then, and for Daniel and Andrew still now. 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 24/09/2026The original concern expressed back in 1965. Relinquishing as one entity was gazumped by US desire for an airbase. Current deal is to legally extend the current situation rather than lose entirely. French before us populated both areas with "their" African subjects, likewise adminstered as one? 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 24/09/2026I think the current focus on English by racists is that "not British" is too difficult an argument with which to label people they don't like. If our footy (and rugby?) teams merged then we could all chant Britain in a trisyllabic manner and no-one would ever bother with Inn-guh-lund again. 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 23/09/2026I think he simply regards Britain as entirely English in nature, Scotland Wales & NI no more than additional counties that follow the whim of Westminster. 011
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 22/09/2026Highly appropriate, as our safety depends on a Stupid Idiot. 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 21/09/2026I believe the legal phrase you need is "genuinely held personal opinion". Dan Neidle has written a lovely thread about how ChatGPT is by far the most sycophantic AI. So people have been putting that to the test - this one is pasted from Twunter though there's similar on his Bluesky too. 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 21/09/2026I hope that before you reached that disputable conclusion you have heard both * Whiter Shade of Pale to the music of The Muppet Show * Psychokiller to the music of Queen's Navee (HMS Pinafore) Have they ever done song pairings both ways round? How do they choose? 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Have to rely on a siege then. Only so many BigMacs and Cokes you can physically store in the White House. 010
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 20/09/2026A few months back Trump was "weaving" and asked someone to pass across his B2 bomber desk ornament. As he extolled the plane's capability, he felt the need to clarify that the actual plane was bigger, much much bigger. 030
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Farage and Tom Homan should get on famously given past form. www.reuters.com/world/us/tru...reuters.comTrump aide Homan accepted $50,000 in bribery sting operation, sources sayIn the alleged scheme, Tom Homan promised immigration-related government contracts when he joined the Trump administration in exchange for the money. 112
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 19/09/2026No councillor elected, other than unopposed, for around a decade. McNally definitely not whipping up of fear and hate by claiming that children will have their lives snuffed out if the facility proceeds. Also thinks Westminster and Davos are in opposite geographical directions. 010
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 19/09/2026International law is based on the increasingly impossible assumption (courtesy of Israel) that there can be two viable states. Amery foresaw Palestine alongside an Israel which wasn't an apartheid ethnostate. If a single state is a forced conclusion, it cannot be Israel in its current form. 000
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 19/09/2026Now, if just ONE picture in the Google search for Christopher Walken had been from the Deer Hunter, the truth would have been more apparent - a 1/6 scale promo doll for the film (were there others for the remaining stars in the cast?) 030
Jon Wood @iandubitably.bsky.social · 19/09/2026Presumably in the article they spell out which one of the inventors has the hots for Christopher Walken. Can't be a coincidence - it's mole perfect. 151
