Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 10/10/20265 of 5 thoughts for the weekend One key to risk appetite is energy. As the SoH oil flows normalize to pre-war levels, though expensive as transit is said to be as much as $15-20/bbl, $XLE is testing resistance, though below relative resistance. 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 10/10/20264 of 5 thoughts for the weekend If the semis lose support, is it game over for the bulls? $SOX $NVDA 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 10/10/20263 of 5 thoughts for the weekend The usually reliable ITBM flashed a tactical buy signal when its RSI recycled from oversold to neutral 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 10/10/20262 of 5 thoughts for the weekend How worried should you about about negative #breadth divergences? Is the less worse trend in NH-NL a sign of bullish improvement? 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 10/10/20261 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Dashboard for the week: $SPX up marginally, 10-year Treasury yield has moderated 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 03/10/20265 of 5 thoughts for the weekend The first time in a while that insider buying > insider selling 210
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 03/10/20264 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Zweig Breadth Thrust watch: The ZBT Indicator has 10 trading days to reach an overbought condition from oversold. Oct 1 (Thu) was day 1. Not holding my breath for a buy signal. 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 03/10/20263 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Cyclicals are holding relative support (bottom panel) 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 03/10/20262 of 5 thoughts for the weekend What happened when $NYSI fell below -750 in the last 20 years It can get more oversold, but... 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 03/10/20261 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Dashboard: A tale of two markets $NDX breaking out $SPX range bound $SPXE and $IWM breaking or testing support 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 26/09/20265 of 5 thoughts for the weekend As Xi visits the White House, a reminder that the Chinese stock market is not representative of the Chinese economy. The US, Europe, and Japan have risen steadily since the GFC while $FXI has been choppy and flat. 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 26/09/20264 of 5 thoughts for the weekend The animal spirits are back (2)! $BTC and the relative performance of speculative growth $ARKK are gaining bids 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 26/09/20263 of 5 thoughts for the weekend The animal spirits are back (1)! Relative performance of momentum factor showing higher highs (at least in September) $MTUM $JMOM $PDP $OMOM $FDMO 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 26/09/20261 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Dashboard (from best to worse) $QQQ testing resistance $SPX $ACWX (ACWI ex-US) range-bound, holding above support $SPXEW $IWM testing/breaking support 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 26/09/20262 of 5 thoughts for the weekend TACO or TALO (Trump Always Lashes Out)? 10-year Treasury yield and $MOVE argue for an Iranian TACO, but... $SPX and $VIX are tame and point to TALO 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 19/09/20265 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Arbitrage opportunity? BAML Fund Manager Survey consensus has consistently called for an R controlled Senate and D controlled House, while Polymarket consensus calls for a D sweep. 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 19/09/20264 of 5 thoughts for the weekend As Warren Buffett steps away from Berkshire Hathaway, here is the relative performance of BRK.B against the S&P 500 and the Russell 1000 Value Index since the Dot-Com Bubble top in 2000 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 19/09/20263 of 5 thoughts for the weekend As the 10-year Treasury yield hovers around 5%, shouldn't the forward P/E on the $SPX be a lot lower on a fair value basis? 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 19/09/20262 of 5 thoughts for the weekend A divergence between the 10-year Treasury yield and the US Economic Surprise Index 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 19/09/20261 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Did the $SPX break out of a bull flag while exhibiting a minor bullish divergence on % of stocks above their 20 dma? 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 12/09/20265 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Time for a rally? 2 of my 5 bottom spotting indicators flashed simultaneous buy signals $VIX spiked above its upper BB $NYMO became oversold 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 12/09/20264 of 5 thoughts for the weekend So bad that it's good? The Zweig Breadth Thrust Indicator reached an oversold reading on Thursday (dotted blue lines are ZBT buy signals) 011
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 12/09/20263 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Breadth looks ugly as $SPX tested support 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 12/09/20262 of 5 thoughts for the weekend #Inflation expectations are risiing and $USD is falling 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 12/09/20261 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Market Dashboard $SPX consolidating 10-year yield rising sharply to levels not seen since the October 2023 peak 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 05/09/20265 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Strong August #NFP report, but average hourly earnings is losing pace to inflation 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 05/09/20264 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Keep an eye on $NVDA and $SOX in light of the latest Economist cover #sentiment 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 05/09/20263 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Rising term premiums have accounted for most of the increase in Treasury yields 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 05/09/20262 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Equity risk appetite factors are giving mixed signals 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 05/09/20261 of 5 thoughts for the weekend No more broadening breadth: As the $SPX remains range-bound, the equal-weighted index violated a rising trend line 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 29/08/20265 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Liquidity is still range-bound 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 29/08/20264 of 5 thoughts for the weekend The price momentum factor continues to weaken, though no sign of a lower low yet 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 29/08/20263 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Watch if that $NVDA downside gap gets filled! $SOX 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 29/08/20262 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Fed Funds rate (red) vs. standard Taylor Rule (blue): Monetary policy looks accommodative 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 29/08/20261 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Fed Funds consensus expectations change from 1 to 2 hikes in 2026 after the Warsh speech 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 22/08/2026$QQQ: A tale of two gaps. Which gets filled first? 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 22/08/20265 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Equity risk appetite factors not looking great 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 22/08/20264 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Watch the semis! $SOX rally stalled when it tested the 50% retracement level and it's potentially tracing out a H&S top, with the caveat that H&S formations are incomplete until the neckline breaks. 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 22/08/20263 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Cyclicals are misbehaving. The bottom penal, which reduces the effect of megacap growth stocks, is especially concerning. 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 22/08/20261 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Dashboard: 10-year Treasury yield at is highs after Bessent's buyback/twist $SPX pulled back and consolidating after reaching ATHs 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 22/08/20262 of 5 thoughts for the weekend The markets have reacted with "Sell America" after Bessent's Treasury buyback/Twist Global stocks and bonds are outperforming US counterparts $USD is weakening 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 15/08/20265 of 5 thoughts for the weekend What about the long Treasury? $TLT total return is testing key support but price-only $TLT has broken support 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 15/08/20264 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Fear & Greed Index in greed zone, but index is an inexact market timing indicator 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 15/08/20263 of 5 thoughts for the weekend With national gasoline prices above $4 and the odds of Dems taking the Senate rising... any hint of a TACO pivot in the Iran war would be risk appetite bullish 021
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 15/08/20262 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Semiconductors get a second wind $SOX 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 15/08/20261 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Market Dashboard $SPX breakout & consolidation Eq Wt $SPX in uptrend $NDX testing resistance $RUT and $ACWI ex-US breaking out 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 08/08/20265 of 5 thoughts for the weekend The market saw a surprisingly weak #NFP report. Is that all the bond market can do as a reaction? 000
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 08/08/20264 of 5 thoughts for the weekend Keep an eye on $SOX: For the momentum recovery to be convincing, it needs to break up through absolute and relative resistance. 010
Cam Hui @humblestudent.bsky.social · 08/08/20262 of 5 thoughts for the weekend The market rebound was driven by a price momentum factor recovery, but momentum relative returns are still exhibiting lower lows and lower highs. 010