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Hugh Lovatt

@hlovatt.bsky.social
341 followers 131 following 110 posts

Senior Policy Fellow, European Council on Foreign Relations. Middle East analysis and European foreign policy, with focus on Israel/Palestine and Western Sahara. Mountain runner. Usual caveats.

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Reposted by Hugh Lovatt
ECFR MENA @ecfrmena.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
Europe possesses the necessary political and economic tools to act against Israel’s settlement expansion. But it needs to deploy them fast, or risk the possibility of an independent and viable Palestinian state disappearing altogether, comments @hlovatt.bsky.social
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Europeans don’t need consensus to challenge Israel and its settlements – European Council on Foreign Relations
Israel is accelerating its settler project and deepening conflict, frustrating many EU member states. The bloc should use its trade and financial tools to impos
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
On 14 May, President Abbas' party began its Eighth General Congress which to (re)elect Fatah's top leadership bodies - the Revolutionary Council and Central Committee. Its main internal battle lines were over patronage and power, not ideology or strategy.
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
European and Arab states should not buy what Trump is selling. Instead, they should work together to develop and fund an alternative positive vision for Gaza’s future that ensures Palestinian political sovereignty and territorial unity remain at the forefront of rebuilding.
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
New @ecfr.eu by @muhammadshehada.bsky.social: Trump’s dystopian economic plan will turn Gaza into a real-estate bonanza for oligarchs, obliterating its historic, cultural and social fabric, and herding Palestinian into heavily surveilled gated communities. t.co/d11lljJPfO
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
Beth Oppenheim @ecfr.eu: Europeans should oppose renewed military intervention and press the case for diplomacy. Together with Arab states, they should play on Trump’s desire for deal-making to show him that more military action will not serve his agenda of regional peace. ecfr.eu/article/sell...
ecfr.eu
Selling peace to Trump: How Europe can prevent the next Middle East war – European Council on Foreign Relations
Israel is agitating for US strikes against Iran, while preparing for renewed war in Lebanon. Europeans should work to contain Trump and Netanyahu to prevent ren
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Trump's economic development plan for New Gaza can be traced back to his first presidency. It also includes ideas from US-Israeli security companies & Egypt. Mega🧵🧵 In 2019, the White House developed a 21-slide PPT presentation with ideas to support Gaza's economic future.
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Reposted by Hugh Lovatt
ECFR @ecfr.eu · 23/01/2026
@hlovatt.bsky.social outlines a Board of Peace structure proposed by Trump in Davos. "The mixture of private investment funds with American power and geopolitics, combined with likely opaque decision-making and is a recipe for kleptocratic oligarchy." 📌 Check out more: bit.ly/4rarkvA
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
My longer read for @ecfr.eu on what Trump's Board of Peace means for Gaza, Europe's quest for strategic autonomy, and the future of the global order: ecfr.eu/article/welc...
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Reposted by Hugh Lovatt
Bitte Hammargren @bitteham.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
Canada’s prime minister on the rupture of the old world order and the need of a new values-based realism: “The powerful have their power. But we have something too – the capacity to stop pretending, to name reality, to build our strength at home, and to act together.” www.pm.gc.ca/en/news/spee...
pm.gc.ca
“Principled and pragmatic: Canada’s path” Prime Minister Carney addresses the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting
Thank you, Larry.It’s a pleasure – and a duty – to be with you at this turning point for Canada and for the world.Today, I’ll talk about the rupture in the world order, the end of a nice story, and th...
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Reposted by Hugh Lovatt
ECFR MENA @ecfrmena.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
Members of the National Committee for the Administration of Gaza (NCAG), which will report to the Board of Peace via High Representative Nikolay Mladenov, were announced last week. For a full breakdown, visit @ecfr.eu's Mapping Palestinian Politics project 👇 ecfr.eu/special/mapp...
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
With major Arab and Muslim states backing the BoP, Europeans are now grappling with the dilemma of whether to join, given concerns over its undermining of the UN and issues with its mandate/scope; vs the desire to get the US back onside, avoid tariffs, stay in the mix, etc. This is a false choice.🧵
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Richard Burden @richardburden.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Trump’s Board of Peace violates the Palestinians’ right to sovereignty in their own land. But it’s not really about Gaza at all . It is about Trump giving himself imperial power to replace the UN globally with his hand-picked friends and family, to make money and to even choose his own successor
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
My best effort at understanding Trump's Board of Peace and its constituent parts. This is the Trump Organisation that the UK, Europe and Arab countries are being asked to buy into as an alternative to the UN. Understandably, many are hesitant.
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 18/01/2026
What to make of the Palestinian National Committee for the Administration of Gaza? Its members are technocrats through and through drawing from the business, academic and NGO sectors, and the PA administration. Many come from notable Gazan families. t.co/AKofZ3qvR7
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Ulrike Franke @rikefranke.eu · 17/01/2026
“Palantir is working on a tool for Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) that populates a map with potential deportation targets, brings up a dossier on each person, and provides a “confidence score” on the person’s current address,”
eff.org
Report: ICE Using Palantir Tool That Feeds On Medicaid Data
ICE is using a Palantir tool that uses Medicaid and other government data to stalk people for arrest. This is exactly the kind of data privacy abuse that EFF has been warning about.
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 17/01/2026
The focus is currently on the Trump-run Board of Peace. Here is the Palestinian dimension, with 11/15 names of the new National Committee for Gaza which I have so far visually confirmed*: t.co/AKofZ3qvR7
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ECFR MENA @ecfrmena.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
🎧 Following early December's Doha Forum, Mark Leonard brings together Ellie Geranmayeh and @hlovatt.bsky.social to discuss the geopolitical changes and diplomatic efforts shaping Middle Eastern politics, from Gaza's fragile future and Iran's nuclear conundrum. ecfr.eu/podcasts/epi...
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After Doha: What’s next for the Arab world?  – European Council on Foreign Relations
Mark Leonard welcomes Ellie Geranmayeh and Hugh Lovatt, fresh from the Doha Forum, to unravel the geopolitical changes and diplomatic efforts shaping Middle Eas
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Jeremy Shapiro @jyshapiro.bsky.social · 06/12/2025
In case you need them, here are some reasons not to read the new national security strategy open.substack.com/pub/blueblaz...
open.substack.com
The Thinker VI
The Unbearable Lightness of Strategy
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ECFR MENA @ecfrmena.bsky.social · 27/11/2025
✍️ Squeezed by a brutal occupation, the dysfunctionality of the PA and the broader political system is apparent to all and each want a different fix. What is often ignored in this is what Palestinians want. @hlovatt.bsky.social & @tahanimustafa.bsky.social for @ecfr.eu ecfr.eu/publication/...
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Averting West Bank collapse: How to revive Palestinian politics | ECFR
Hollowed out by violent Israeli control and Mahmoud Abbas’s personal rule, the Palestinian Authority is losing its grip on the West Bank. European and Arab stat
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 22/11/2025
Political renewal is needed to argue Palestinian positions internationally, build consensus and apply pressure on actors that deviate from this. Until Palestinians have legitimate institutions that speak for them, some will be driven to violence to make themselves heard. ecfr.eu/publication/...
ecfr.eu
Averting West Bank collapse: How to revive Palestinian politics
Hollowed out by violent Israeli control and Mahmoud Abbas’s personal rule, the Palestinian Authority is losing its grip on the West Bank. European and Arab states must intervene to rebuild legitimate…
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
Backed by far-right ministers such as Itamar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich, the settler movement seeks to incorporate the West Bank, Gaza and, at its most extreme interpretation, parts of Syria, Lebanon and Jordan, into Israel. ecfr.eu/publication/...
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Julien Barnes-Dacey @jbdacey.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
Big & important new @ecfr.eu read: Averting West Bank collapse: How to revive Palestinian politics - by @hlovatt.bsky.social & @tahanimustafa.bsky.social ecfr.eu/publication/... @ecfrmena.bsky.social
ecfr.eu
Averting West Bank collapse: How to revive Palestinian politics
Hollowed out by violent Israeli control and Mahmoud Abbas’s personal rule, the Palestinian Authority is losing its grip on the West Bank. European and Arab states must intervene to rebuild legitimate…
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Reposted by Hugh Lovatt
Paul T. Levin @paultlevin.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
A very interesting new @ecfr.eu report about countering Russian hybrid warfare in Africa by @willbrownecfr.bsky.social. I am glad to see that the report really underlines one of my recent pet peeves: The need to go on the offensive on cyber.+
ecfr.eu
The bear and the bot farm: Countering Russian hybrid warfare in Africa
Russia has many quiet enemies in Africa. Working together, like-minded Africans and Europeans can roll back its troublesome influence.
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ECFR MENA @ecfrmena.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
✍️ Europeans should capitalise on the Polisario’s willingness to engage in renewed negotiations that would preserve the current economic interests of Morocco relating to Western Sahara’s natural resources, writes @hlovatt.bsky.social buff.ly/9ducliL
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Western Sahara shuffle: Trump’s foray could make or break peace | ECFR
President Donald Trump’s quest for a peace prize has led him to Western Sahara, where American diplomacy risks either sparking more violence or seizing a rare c
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Wolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
Part of the background to the fall of El Fasher and RSF atrocities there is the sustained airlift from the UAE to the RSF via Libya - sixty Il-76 flights during October alone. For the past six months, Haftar-controlled eastern Libya has supplanted Chad as the RSF's most important supply route.
Tweet by Taha Hadeed (@t-hadeed.bsky.social) on X listing cargo flights between UAE and Libya during October 2025
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
Pleasure to be at ISPI's MED Dialogues on a panel moderated by @martinkonecny.bsky.social talking about the future of Palestinian governance with Obada Shtaya and Hiba Husseini Watch what we had to say 👇 events.ispionline.it/the-future-o...
events.ispionline.it
The Future of Palestinian Governance
The events of the past two years represent one of the darkest pages of the history not only of Israel-Palestine, but of the entire Mediterranean region. In Gaza, where more than 60,000 lives have been...
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
New @ecfr.eu by @muhammadshehada.bsky.social: "The question is not whether Hamas will change overnight, but whether diplomacy can evolve fast enough to meet Hamas at its most flexible before it returns to the logic of perpetual war." t.co/LPBLj4qNV8
t.co
https://ecfr.eu/article/diplomacy-next-the-internal-politics-of-hamas-and-the-power-of-european-engagement/
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
Positive news to see Polisario updating its 2007 peace proposal -- long overdue and something we @ecfr have been advocating for the past 4 years. On why this is needed, and how it can advance a Trump deal, here is my most recent piece: cidob.org/en/publicati...
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ECFR @ecfr.eu · 30/09/2025
European states should offer support for the broad principles of the plan conditioned on a clear Israeli commitment to a full withdrawal from Gaza, write @hlovatt.bsky.social @jbdacey.bsky.social @ecfrmena.bsky.social bit.ly/42YPEqn
ecfr.eu
Trump’s Gaza plan: How Europe can help make it happen
European states should offer support for the broad principles of the plan conditioned on a clear Israeli commitment to a full withdrawal from Gaza.
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ECFR @ecfr.eu · 13/09/2025
European governments need to recognise the destabilising effects of ever-escalating Israeli actions on European interests. Europe must do much more, write @jbdacey.bsky.social @hlovatt.bsky.social and Ellie Geranmayeh @ecfrmena.bsky.social bit.ly/3IhltUe
bit.ly
Qatar quake: Israel blows another hole in Middle East security
The Doha strike risks deepening regional scepticism of Western security partnerships in the Middle East. Europe needs to do much more to pressure Israel into ending the war in Gaza and curbing its reg...
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ECFR MENA @ecfrmena.bsky.social · 17/09/2025
📰 “A far more significant shift is happening among long-standing supporters of Israel, predominantly on the political Right, who are also becoming increasingly critical." comments @hlovatt.bsky.social for @telegraphnews.bsky.social. For more 👇 buff.ly/vAddSsv
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Netanyahu: Boycotts will force Israeli economy to become self-reliant
PM’s declaration comes as European nations harden their attitude to country over its war in Gaza
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 26/08/2025
Wonderful @telegraphnews.bsky.social obituary of my (soon to be) father-in-law Byron Rogers, Welsh writer & journalist. "His interviewees included Helen Mirren – whose convivial boyfriend, Liam Neeson, got him so drunk that he fell off his bicycle on the way home" www.telegraph.co.uk/obituaries/2...
telegraph.co.uk
Byron Rogers, brilliant Telegraph journalist and author who was Prince Charles’s first speechwriter
A connoisseur of the offbeat, he interviewed the last human cannonball and wrote a superb biography of the eccentric poet RS Thomas
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 21/07/2025
New for @ecfr.eu by @muhammadshehada.bsky.social: Hamas is battered but unbroken. The group is now quietly opening up to decommissioning. European leaders, long sidelined in the diplomatic arena, now have a real chance to help chart a new course away from perpetual war. ecfr.eu/article/deco...
ecfr.eu
Decommission, not disarm: How Europe can help nudge Gaza toward peace
As Israel and Hamas edge toward a ceasefire, shifts are under way in both: Hamas is quietly opening up to decommissioning and Israel’s security elite is realising military victory is a myth.
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
A few thoughts ahead of tomorrow's EU Foreign Affairs Council meeting to discuss possible restrictive measures against Israel, including suspension of preferential trade tariffs and Horizon Europe, arms embargo and a settlement trade ban... 🧵
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 21/06/2025
Here are the 30+ Israeli international law violations in Gaza and the West Bank, identified in the EU's review. The EU review has concluded Israel is in breach of its human rights obligations under Article 2 of the EU-Israel Association Agreement. 🧵🧵🧵
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ECFR MENA @ecfrmena.bsky.social · 20/06/2025
🧵In new @ecfr.eu piece @jbdacey.bsky.social, Ellie Geranmayeh & @hlovatt.bsky.social argue that Israel's destabilising regional role threatens Euro interests, including by trying to draw the West into an unnecessary & dangerous war with Iran focused on regime change as much as nuclear issues
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Nathalie Janne @natjanne.bsky.social · 19/06/2025
Maxime Prévot annonce qu'avec 8 autres Etats membres (🇫🇮 🇮🇪 🇱🇺 🇵🇱 🇵🇹 🇸🇮 🇪🇸 🇸🇪), la 🇧🇪 a adressé une lettre à la Commission 🇪🇺 lui demandant une analyse sur les implications pour l'UE de l'avis de la CIJ sur le commerce avec les colonies israéliennes. Spoiler alert : ce commerce est ILLÉGAL et doit CESSER.
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Julien Barnes-Dacey @jbdacey.bsky.social · 19/06/2025
Our latest: Enough is enough: Europe needs to oppose Israel’s aggression, with @hlovatt.bsky.social & Ellie Geranmayeh At this pivotal moment European gov supporting Israeli strikes as “doing our dirty work” must come to their senses ecfr.eu/article/enou... @ecfr.eu
ecfr.eu
Enough is enough: Europe needs to oppose Israel’s aggression
Israel has become the Middle East’s leading destabiliser, threatening key European interests. Europe must avoid the mistakes that led to the 2003 Iraq invasion, prioritise diplomacy and urge the US…
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 19/06/2025
'If European leaders want to seriously address the escalating insecurity and retain any political credibility in the region, they need to enforce some form of accountability on Israel for its actions that clearly violate EU’s human rights standards and long-standing red lines.'
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 19/06/2025
.@tahanimustafa.bsky.social for @ecfr.eu: As Europeans focus on Israel’s intensifying conflict with Iran, the country is continuing its expansionist project in the West Bank. After its failed engagement policy, the EU should finally act against Israeli violations. t.co/AhCJ2x8ny6
t.co
https://ecfr.eu/article/expansion-in-the-shadows-the-dangers-of-israeli-aggression-in-the-west-bank/
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
Israel has become the biggest destabiliser in the Middle East, overstepping its right to self-defence, ethnically cleansing Gaza, undermining western-orientated governments in the Levant, and fuelling war with Iran. None of this is in Germany's interest. 👇 internationalepolitik.de/de/warum-deu...
internationalepolitik.de
Warum Deutschland die Staatsräson (neu) definieren muss
Nein zu einem Freund zu sagen, ist nie einfach. Doch die Haltung der Bundesregierung gegenüber dem Vorgehen Israels in Gaza und der Region entspricht längst nicht mehr den eigenen strategischen Intere...
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
With Hannah Lettl for @internationalepolitik.de: "Saying no to a friend is never easy. However, the German government's attitude towards Israel's actions in Gaza and the region has long since ceased to reflect its own strategic interests. A change of course is needed."
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
"Anstatt zur Stabilisierung beizutragen, schafft Israel Bedingungen für neue Gewalt und Staatszerfall in der Levante – mit sicherheitspolitischen Folgen für Deutschland." Hannah Lettl und ich fordern einen Kurswechsel der deutschen Nahostpolitik:🔗 internationalepolitik.de/de/warum-deu...
internationalepolitik.de
Warum Deutschland die Staatsräson (neu) definieren muss
Nein zu einem Freund zu sagen, ist nie einfach. Doch die Haltung der Bundesregierung gegenüber dem Vorgehen Israels in Gaza und der Region entspricht längst nicht mehr den eigenen strategischen Intere...
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 14/06/2025
Several factors contributed to Israel’s war against Iran, incl a desire to fully exploit its perceived regional weakening and thwart a U.S. nuclear deal — as @ecfr.eu has consistently warned. But the spectre of Netanyahu’s quest for political survival also looms large.🧵
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
Ellie Geranmayeh: Israeli aggression against Iran is a threat to regional peace and security, derailing hopes of a diplomatic pathway to resolve Iran’s nuclear crisis and risking a deep regional war, both of which directly threaten core European interests. ecfr.eu/article/euro... @ecfr.eu
ecfr.eu
Europe must act now to prevent a major war between Israel and Iran
Israel’s unprecedented strikes across Iran have shattered nuclear diplomacy and paved the way for regional war. As America scrambles to respond, Europeans can help curb dangerous escalation…
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DAWN @dawnmenaorg.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
Join our online panel, Thurs, June 12, 1 PM ET — “French-Saudi Two-State Solution Conference: Game Changer or Too Little, Too Late?” Experts: @hlovatt.bsky.social, @claudiofrancavilla.bsky.social, @omerman.bsky.social, Raed Jarrar, @sarahleah1.bsky.social Register: us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
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Bitte Hammargren @bitteham.bsky.social · 24/05/2025
A full suspension of EU’s Association agreement with Israel is unlikely due to lack of unanimity among member states. However a qualified majority could suspend parts of the agreement, blocking Israel's access to preferential trade tariffs and important EU funding under projects like Horizon Europe.
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Erik Svanberg @eriksvanberg.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
Great summary and analysis of European policy changes towards Israel brewing
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Hugh Lovatt @hlovatt.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
The tide is turning, as the reality of Israel's ethnic cleansing of Gaza and growing public anger finally catch up with Europe's leaders. The EU aspires to be a geopolitical power. It must now demonstrate to Israel that its actions come with a cost. dawnmena.org/is-europe-fi...
dawnmena.org
Is Europe Finally Shifting its Stance on Israel?
Game changers are few and far between in the long-running Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Yet what has played out in European capitals over the past few weeks may mark the beginning of one of those rare...
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