Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Jake Sullivan had his spokesperson call into NPR *during @akbarshahidahmed.bsky.social's interview* to complain he was treated unfairly in Ahmed's book about how the Biden administration fathered the Gaza genocide. Sullivan wants us to know he was in fact "working tirelessly" to help Gaza. 3104
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 07/09/2026"From the perspective of Tehran, this is not over." Yes, Trump has somewhat mitigated energy disruptions, but Iran has more cards to play, I told @audiecornish.bsky.social . And it seems that while we were on air, the Houthis attacked a Saudi refinery again. 041
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 16/07/2026Supporting Israel is as much of a fringe position among Democratic voters as banning abortion (~15%)... ...a full half of House Dems still voting to arm Israel is a fundamentally undemocratic outcome. 030
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 16/07/2026~100 Dems voting against military aid for Israel yesterday is a milestone. It doesn't mean all our reps suddenly 'found religion' but it does mean many of them are, for the first time, more afraid of their voters than pro-Israel donors and AIPAC 110
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 11/06/2026Re strikes on Iranian reservoirs: We've seen Trump repeatedly threaten to do war crimes - it's a big part of his "strategy" - so unfortunately, it's very plausible we have US pilots deliberately striking civilian infrastructure. 130
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 11/06/2026"'Dual-use' doesn't apply to drinking water for a civilian population." Trump's repeated threats against Iranian civilian infrastructure don't leave much room for speculation about why reservoirs were bombed. 1162
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 03/06/2026I think Trump will take a "win" on Iran when he feels like it. The problem isn't that he can't find an impressive enough deal, it's that he doesn't feel enough pressure to progress from the double-blockade status quo. 121
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 03/05/20261/2 I said Thursday the "good news" is Iran won't become another quagmire because, unlike other countries the US has picked on in the region, Iran can actually hurt us back. In this case via economic warfare which won't be sustainable for Trump in the long run. 172
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 20/04/2026Talking w/@audiecornish.bsky.social this AM: "These targets have no military value, that's what they haven't been blown up yet 6 weeks into the war" = Trump's threats would be war crimes He's on "a very slippery slope" toward the Israeli model of justifying attacks on civilian infrastructure 043
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 10/04/2026"I served under Trump, and it's pretty disturbing to understand someone like that will decide whether you live or die" 031
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 10/04/2026"I'm surprised the Iranian delegation would leave the safety of their bunkers and risk assassination by Israel." With Netanyahu defying Trump in Lebanon I told @outfrontcnn.bsky.social that if Trump doesn't prove he can rein in Israel, negotiations are meaningless. 042
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 07/04/2026Today's US strikes on Kharg were intended as a threat to occupy the island, but intense effort/valor/lost aircraft needed to extract just 2 aviators from Iranian soil over the weekend should make us wary of risks of infil/exfil for an entire 800-man battalion. 000
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 07/04/2026On Trump + Israel targeting civilian infrastructure in Iran: "If that happened here, we would call it terrorism. We would know it was a war crime." 153
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 07/04/2026On Trump's renewed threats to commit war crimes: Military officers "need to think hard about whether they're willing to do the right thing now and take the licks that come with that, or live with the stain" (and potential legal consequences) 140
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 03/04/2026Trump has made himself impossible to negotiate with by bombing Iran during previous negotiations and now threatening to resume bombing even if he declares victory. Of course Tehran says it won't accept a ceasefire. 162
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 20/03/2026Like every Hormuz "plan," this one has the big asterisk of "we just need to win the main part of the war first." If the US could destroy all of Iran's strategic offensive capabilities, it would have incredible leverage whether or not it took Kharg Island! 100
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 20/03/2026Objective: Reopen Strait of Hormuz Plan B: Blockade the Strait of Hormuz Plan A: Infantry suicide mission www.axios.com/2026/03/20/i... 100
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 20/03/20266/6 Turns out fmr CENTCOM commander Joseph Votel agrees: Securing Hormuz = destroying Iran's offensive military capabilities. He's just more optimistic than I am and thinks it's doable in a few weeks. Hopefully this war ends before we can find out who's right. www.twz.com/news-feature... 011
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 20/03/20265/6 In conclusion, we have no choice but to sail our navy into this deathtrap, because China. 101
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 20/03/20264/6 More destroyers doesn't make them any less of a magnet for drones and missiles, why would any tanker want to sail next to that? 100
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 20/03/20263/6 Diving for mines is even more dangerous when an exploding drone is attacking you; again it seems we’re assuming nearly all of the drones in Iran (pop. ~93 million, 2.4x the size of Texas) have been located and destroyed. 100
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 20/03/20262/6 Luckily, the only real problem is sea mines (if we assume away all the weapons Iran is using *right now* to attack shipping). Iran must still be launching missiles/drones on week 3 of the war because nobody's thought of "hitting hard" yet. 100
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 20/03/20261/6 Turns out the One Weird Trick to beat Iran is just to keep the Strait of Hormuz open by force, which would only require destroying 100% of Iran’s current and future military capabilities. Why hasn’t anyone thought of that? 123
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 13/03/20263. Not updating CENTCOM’s no strike list to include a school you could have found on Google Maps 121
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 13/03/20262. Not surging additional mine clearance vessels/aircraft + Navy EOD to the region, despite risk of Strait of Hormuz + Bab al Mandeb being mined. 212
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 13/03/2026At @niacouncil.org ‘s Hill briefing, I note some failures of the Iran war look less attributable to clueless Trump/Hegseth than to career military planners and commanders who should know better: 1. Not providing troops with overhead cover to protect from drones 211
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 11/03/2026Sign of limited options: Europeans offer naval escort to protect ships from war as soon as there’s not so much war going on. 131
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 16/02/2026Jake Sullivan going to bat for the real victims of the Trump administration - former Biden officials who've been unfairly deprived of the opportunity to cash in on their government service. 020
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 04/02/2026Did fmr senior Biden Gaza advisor Jon Finer already have a job with this pro-Trump, Peter Thiel-allied, self-described "radical Zionist" defense/DHS contractor when he penned these heartfelt op-eds about Gaza and the dangers of Trump? The last one came out just a month ago. 010
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 04/02/2026DOD funding (that your members of Congress likely rubber-stamped) helps train & equip these units. Here's Army special forces (right) training an agent (left) from the CBP unit involved in the murder of Alex Pretti on an 81mm mortar (fires shells killing anyone in a 115 ft radius). 0127
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 17/07/2025Here’s how stupid former Secretary of State Antony Blinken thinks you are: Watch him tell Amanpour that the war could have ended if pro-Palestinian protestors had just called for Hamas to disarm and release the hostages. 120
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 14/07/2025Check on your hometown. I recently spoke with a group of Georgia elected officials who were surprised to learn their state had loaned $25 million to Israel, including $10 million Governor Kemp committed after Israel began carpet bombing Gaza post-October 7. 021
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 26/06/2025Trump using his leverage to choose Israel’s ruler (like Biden did in Lebanon last year). The tacit threat here is that Trump could reduce military support if Israel’s judiciary prosecutes Netanyahu. I wonder if this statement was one of Netanyahu’s conditions for a ceasefire with Iran. 022
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 06/06/2025I wish @schumer.senate.gov had considered the very real risk of collective blame BEFORE he spent 19 months breathlessly equating American Jews with a genocidal foreign state. 011
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 11/03/20252 weeks after I wrote @harvard.edu shouldn’t reputation launder the “Kissinger knock-offs” responsible for atrocities in Gaza, Harvard ups the ante and names Jake Sullivan as inaugural “Henry A. Kissinger Professor of Statecraft and World Order.” 020
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 24/02/2025McGurk was principle evangelist for a US-Saudi defense pact, a proposition as worthless as it sounds if assessed from an *American* perspective. One of his last acts at the NSC was to lie to @chrisvanhollen.bsky.social that the UAE was no longer arming the RSF in Sudan. H/t @jeremyscahill.com 010
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 06/02/2025Jewish state adopts poison gas as weapon of choice. @972mag-rss.bsky.social: The IDF killed Israeli hostages and countless Palestinians through doctrinal carpet bombing that “intentionally weaponized toxic byproducts of bombs to suffocate militants in their tunnels.” 021
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 24/01/2025She also candidly admits that Biden admin’s push last summer for a pan-Arab peacekeeping force in Gaza was “magical thinking” 000
Harrison Mann @harrisonmann.bsky.social · 24/01/2025On the Saudi-Israel normalization cure-all that Biden was hawking as recently as last October: The Biden admin had never actually gotten buy-in from Israel even *before* the Oct 7 attacks. 000