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Harald Winkler

@haraldwinkler.bsky.social
883 followers 654 following 222 posts

Professor at University of Cape Town researching climate change, mitigation, poverty, just transitions, inequality, global stocktake. Views are mine. Repost ≠ endorsement

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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 5h
New working paper on Equitable Transitions Away from Fossil Fuels (ETAFFs) - read it hot off the press here commerce.uct.ac.za/sites/defaul... 🧵👇
commerce.uct.ac.za
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
1/ New PRISM working paper by Sonja Klinsky and Snigdha Nautiyal asks a deceptively simple question: how do we know whether a just transition is actually progressing? Their answer is a new Capabilities and Capacities for Just Transitions framework, applied to South Africa🧵 commerce.uct.ac.za/prism
commerce.uct.ac.za
Welcome to PRISM | University of Cape Town
Policy Research in International Services and Manufacturing (PRISM) is a research and policy unit located within the School of Economics. PRISM provides a lens to focus research and policy work broadl...
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 06/06/2026
global justice report by Thomas Pikkety, @lucaschancel.bsky.social and co-authors - from initial scan, looks like a compelling vision. Very different to current trends. Worth a read and thinkiing together how we might get there globaljusticeproject.wid.world
globaljusticeproject.wid.world
Global Justice Project
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James Bullock @jmbecologist.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
The Global Justice Report shows “people can enjoy a prosperous, healthy life without striving to consume more material possessions that degrade the natural world” “What stands in the way is not technical impossibility but political choice & building a coalition” www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
‘An equal and habitable world is possible’: academics set out sweeping vision for planetary survival
Global report provides an alternative to climate breakdown, political extremism and economic tensions
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
compellnig arguments by Imraan Valodia www.dailymaverick.co.za/opinionista/...
dailymaverick.co.za
Renewable energy transition in SA needs the embrace of both public and private ownership
Renewable energy systems not only have to be clean, they have to be shared through a private/public partnership that ensures that inequalities in our society are not deepened.…
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
Why climate action needs Equitable Fossil Fuel Transitions (EFFTs), not only “TAFF" as in Santa Marta. Equity and justice must shape timing, sequencing and intentional shifts - especially for fossil-fuel dependent developing countries. New op-ed www.engineeringnews.co.za/article/opin...
engineeringnews.co.za
Opinion: Equitable Fossil Fuel Transitions matter for inclusive development
In this opinion article written jointly by Harald Winkler and Andrew Marquard, the case is made for Equitable Fossil Fuel Transitions, whereby equity and justice are structurally integrated into the t...
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
Fascinating proceedings just out from an informal seminar series on "Narratives, Scenarios and Models of Fair Ambition" – wide variety of perspectives on climate equity & ambition. Worth diving into. 🧵 #ClimateEquity #ClimateAmbition doi.org/10.5281/zeno...
doi.org
Informal Seminars on Narratives, Scenarios and Models of Fair Ambition. Proceedings
An informal seminar series on “Scenarios, Narratives and Modelling of Fair Ambition” was held over the course of 2024-2025. The aim was to generate a more shared understanding of complex issues of equ...
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
Go Pope Leo - keep speaking truth to dangerous morons!
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 11/04/2026
A civilisation is dying. Any sense of America’s current leadership being civilised. Every time President Donald J Trump speaks or posts. Death by a thousand cuts.
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
www.instagram.com/reel/DTm_GUu... these guys are amazing 🤩
instagram.com
maestro tv 🔷️ on Instagram
414K likes, 8,397 comments - hisma_rk_ on January 17, 2026
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
www.carbonbrief.org/qa-what-does...
carbonbrief.org
Q&A: What does India’s new Paris Agreement pledge mean for climate action? - Carbon Brief
India has set a new target to reduce its “emissions intensity” – greenhouse gas emissions...
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Great word.seems very 21st century ,though, even 2024
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George Monbiot @georgemonbiot.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Everything we need to do to stop climate breakdown, we also need to do for national security. Energy saving, more renewables, more electricity storage and interconnectors, electrification of transport, heating, cooking and industrial processes, plant-based diets. We win on all fronts.
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
1/ New working paper by Greg Muttitt and me, on equitable fossil fuel transitions. GST called for nationally determined contributions to global efforts, incl “transitioning away from fossil fuels in energy systems, in a just, orderly and equitable manner”. commerce.uct.ac.za/sites/defaul...
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
1/ Concept of SD-PAMs — starting from development priorities rather than climate targets to unlock action in developing countries — never made it into the regime as intended. V short thread doi.org/10.3763/cpol.2007.0433
doi.org
Methods for quantifying the benefits of sustainable development policies and measures (SD-PAMs)
How can the concept of sustainable development policies and measures (SD-PAMs) be operationalized in a multilateral climate regime? The strategic approach is to focus on policies and measures that...
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
What's striking about current geopolitics - multilateralism under serious threat, US wild card, fragmentation very much a live scenario - is that this 2010 paper mapped exactly these risks and what fair and effective multilateralism looks like. Still worth reading doi.org/10.3763/cpol.2010.0130
doi.org
Fair and effective multilateralism in the post-Copenhagen climate negotiations
Copenhagen failed to agree a new legal treaty, and fragmentation is now a possible scenario. What options exist for a fair and effective multilateralism that might bring about the next turning poi...
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
1/ New paper in @PLOSClimate worth reading: Pachauri et al. 2026, "Advancing representations of equity and justice in climate mitigation futures." Congrats Shonali Pachuair, @joerirogelj.bsky.social @gidden.bsky.social @wflamb.bsky.social and author team doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000763 🧵
doi.org
Advancing representations of equity and justice in climate mitigation futures
In this work, we conduct a narrative review of pressing equity and justice issues within global modelled scenarios and propose a new research agenda to strengthen their consideration in future model d...
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
Clear and compelling analysis of American imperialism , historical continuity and rupture, and reflections on Iran and the ME region. Well worth a listen  podcasts.apple.com/za/podcast/o...
podcasts.apple.com
America’s Threat to the World
Podcast Episode · On the Nose · 5 March · 59m
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/m... this just beggars belief. Drop lots of bombs and then figure out why. It’s unconscionable
theguardian.com
Trump administration has still not settled on reasons for going to war with Iran
The rationale keeps changing – from Iran planning a preemptive strike to lobbying by Israel
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George Monbiot @georgemonbiot.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
"One should not give a poisoner medicine, A conjurer fine apparatus, nor A rifle to a melancholic bore." WH Auden Not to mention the biggest arsenal in the world to a narcissistic attention-seeker.
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
Minister Godongwana: Strengthen SA's carbon tax, don't weaken it. Suspending shifts pollution costs to poor households. Use revenues for energy efficiency for the poor & transition support for firms. We're in a climate crisis—polluters must pay. #TipsForMinFin #Budget2026 #ClimateAction
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
Tip for SA Finance Minister Godongwana: Retain and strengthen the carbon tax. Suspending or weakening tax would shift cost of pollution from SA’s big emitters to poor households. a visionary Finance Minister must position our country in future global economy. #TipsForMinFin #Budget2026
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
“To me, the grounds for hope are simply that we don’t know what will happen next, and that the unlikely and the unimaginable transpire quite regularly. ” — Rebecca Solnit
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
Still salient: equity needs to be built into climate scenarios, yet they're unfortunately dominated by modeling. Scenarios should be stories told in words and numbers. Key to climate development economics - and our common future doi.org/10.1098/rsta... @ipcc.bsky.social @royalsocietypublishing.org
doi.org
Building equity in: strategies for integrating equity into modelling for a 1.5°C world
Abstract. Emission pathways consistent with limiting temperature increase to 1.5°C raise pressing questions from an equity perspective. These pathways woul
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De Morgen @demorgen.be · 22/11/2025
Sekoetlane Phamodi is directeur van de New Economy Hub van de African Climate Foundation in Zuid-Afrika. Volgens Phamodi is er dringend nood aan meer economische rechtvaardigheid op mondiale schaal.
demorgen.be
Vermogensbelasting voor ultrarijken en eerlijke klimaatfinanciering komen niet vanzelf
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
backchannel1.substack.com/p/hurricane-... Adaptation will be key at #COP30 Must have a practical set of indicators to track adaptation - and the money!
backchannel1.substack.com
Hurricane Melissa: Proof climate adaptation is key
As 'storm of the century' hits Jamaica and heads for Cuba, it's time to ask: will we finally treat adaptation as a global mission, not a side project?
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 25/10/2025
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...  South Africa’s second Nationally Determined Contribution under the Paris Agreement (NDC2)
unfccc.int
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Climate Policy Journal @climate-policy.bsky.social · 05/09/2025
📣 The deadline for applications to our Associate Editor role has been extended to 14th September 🕑 ❗ ⚡ Don't miss this opportunity to join the world-leading journal on #climatepolicy ⬇️ Check out full details below ⬇️
climatepolicyjournal.org
Climate Policy is recruiting new associate editors
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
Exciting opportunity to become an Associate Editor, in the fantastic journal Climate Policy. ‪@climate-policy.bsky.social‬
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 30/07/2025
My take on the ICJ advisory opinion on state obligation on cliamte change www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2025...
dailymaverick.co.za
International Court of Justice advisory opinion gives legal muscle to climate accountability
The advisory opinion from the International Court of Justice is a legal milestone. Conceived by law students from small islands, it gathered wider support and makes a very strong legal case for climat...
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Esteve Corbera @estevecorbera.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
Political Ecology Network (POLLEN) Conference in Barcelona, June 2026. Help us disseminate the event and submit your articles, please! @icta-uab.bsky.social @pollenetwork.bsky.social pollenpoliticalecology.network/pollen-2026/
pollenpoliticalecology.network
POLLEN Conference 2026 - POLLEN
To learn more about our rational and purposes, then please look at this page , or download this document. If would like to participate then the first step is to propose a panel, or some other contribu...
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Sustainable Futures Collaborative @sustainablefutures.org · 23/07/2025
1/2 @aruneshkarkun.bsky.social is a Research Lead in the Environmental Governance & Policy team. His work focuses on researching air quality governance, policies on electric mobility and climate change. He also works on understanding emergent environmental governance issues like geo-engineering,
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Sustainable Futures Collaborative @sustainablefutures.org · 24/07/2025
1/4 #Netzero targets are now central to global climate ambition. However these targets vary in scope and timelines, reflecting differences in historical responsibility, development needs, domestic capabilities, political realities, and economic structures.
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
1. 📖 Discover how two dynamic dialogues, "Reflections on global enablers of just transitions to net zero emissions" provides timely insights into advancing equitable climate action amidst global uncertainty. www.iddri.org/en/publicati...
iddri.org
Reflections on global enablers of just transitions to net zero emissions
PresentationDrawing on two dynamic dialogues, this Note provides timely insights into advancing equitable climate action amidst global uncertainty. Discussions tackled critical areas, including naviga...
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Greenpeace International 🌍 @greenpeace.org · 11/07/2025
🚨Trump shut down a federal website on climate change in the SAME WEEK climate-fuelled floods killed at least 120 people in Texas. His anti-environment agenda is funded by the fossil fuel industry It’s time to make polluters pay for loss and damage. Join the #PollutersPayPact today 👉🏽 act.gp/3FccTES
Two contrasting news headlines: Last week, Trump administration shuts down US website on climate change. This week, at least 100 people are dead in Texas due to climate fuelled floods
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
Toyota insurers sue Transnet MEC and Durban over losses from climate induced floods For ca R6.5 billion (ca USD 325 million). Claim failure to have maintained critical flood prevention infrastructure and neglect in repairing after earlier floods. www.linkedin.com/posts/celest...
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Caroline Brouillette @carobrouillette.bsky.social · 07/07/2025
Lots to unpack about the Rio #BRICS Summit, but noteworthy how much more this Leaders' Declaration had to say regarding the importance of combating climate change and upholding multilateralism to do so than the #g7 (which literally didn't even utter the word climate) brics.br/en/documents...
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 12/06/2025
New paper: The Care-Climate Nexus - A Conceptual Framework, from Wits Southern Centre for Inequality Studies wiredspace.wits.ac.za/items/c03eb8...
wiredspace.wits.ac.za
The Care-Climate Nexus - A Conceptual Framework
As is widely acknowledged and evidenced, climate change threatens food security and sovereignty; water availability, accessibility and quality; health and livelihoods. Where women bear the primary res...
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
www.c2es.org/2025/05/refo... thought-provoking piece. easy to see problems with UN climate regime. But what would work better?
c2es.org
Reforming the United Nations for the Future of the Global Climate Regime
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
www.waterstones.com/book/the-cli... Pete Betts!
waterstones.com
The Climate Diplomat by Peter Betts | Waterstones
Buy The Climate Diplomat by Peter Betts from Waterstones today! Click and Collect from your local Waterstones or get FREE UK delivery on orders over £25.
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 09/05/2025
Some insights from webinar on IRP2025, SA's electricity plan. Current draft is 'policy-based evidence-making' - as I said, opposite of what we need. Other speakers demonstrated the failure to derive plans from evidence www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2025...
dailymaverick.co.za
Nuclear and gas ‘forced in’ SA’s draft updated electricity masterplan – experts
South Africa’s draft Integrated Resource Plan 2024 (IRP) is ‘deeply flawed’ in both process and outcome, according to a panel of independent energy economists, climate policy specialists and engineers...
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 05/05/2025
Invitation: Webinar: Policy and planning considerations for energy and electricity in South Africa in the years to 2050.: conta.cc/4iDbkNS Chris Yelland is organising, on IRP 2024/25
conta.cc
Invitation: Webinar: Policy and planning considerations for energy and electricity in South Africa in the years to 2050.
Email from EE Business Intelligence (Pty) Ltd Energy and ICT sector news and announcements from EE Business Intelligence   Energy, electricity and ICT for Africa News and announcements from EE Busines
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
Am grateful that my research on development, climate and social justice has been recognised by NRF A1 rating. In doing research on the crises of climate, poverty, inequality and unemployment, only groups of people can make a difference when knowledge is produced by teams and through collaborations
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 25/04/2025
Which century is Scott Bessant living in? Apparently one in which baseload is a thing, there is no climate crisis, and the WB / IMF follow US orders, rather than devoting “ disproportionate time and resources to work on climate change, gender, and social issues” OMG www.msn.com/en-us/money/...
msn.com
Bessent says IMF and World Bank need reform and there's an 'opportunity for a big deal' with China
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 25/04/2025
Hard to believe ones eyes when reading news coming out of the Trump administration. Closing down teh office in US State Dept that leads climate negotiations. One official is quoted as calling this “strategically fucking dumb”. Yes, exactly. subscriber.politicopro.com/article/eene...
subscriber.politicopro.com
E&E News: Rubio eliminates office that oversees climate talks
The Office of Global Change was notified Thursday that it would be shuttered.
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Stuti Mishra @stuti.bsky.social · 23/04/2025
More than 80% of the world’s coral reefs have now been hit by bleaching-level heat stress in what scientists say is the most extensive global coral bleaching event ever recorded. 🌍🌊 www.independent.co.uk/climate-chan...
independent.co.uk
More than 80% of world’s coral reefs hit by worst bleaching event in history
‘We're looking at something that's completely changing the face of our planet,’ scientists warn
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 24/04/2025
🧵 Been wondering about the hype on hydrogen? New paper provides a reality check, esp on potential role of H of various shades in decarbonisation energy systems. www.nature.com/articles/s44... (1/7)
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Harald Winkler @haraldwinkler.bsky.social · 23/04/2025
Africa has immense untapped potential: 60% of global solar resources, 30% of transition mineral reserves, and wind energy capacity that could power the continent 250 times over. Read this IEJ report iej.org.za/g20-and-exte...
iej.org.za
IEJ - The G20 and External Debt Service Burden in Africa
Africa’s debt crisis is derailing development. A new report calls on the G20 to deliver real debt relief and reform the failing Common Framework.
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IDDRI @iddri.bsky.social · 26/03/2025
Le partenariat pour une transition énergétique juste en Afrique du Sud #JETP vise à soutenir l'abandon du charbon. Comment renforcer la dimension sociale de cette trajectoire vers un avenir bas-carbone ? 👉 urls.fr/GTASsy Elisabeth Hege, Youba Sokona et Phemelo Tamasiga
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Carolyn Deere Birkbeck @carolyndeere.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
Pleased to share this Synergies article by Kennedy Mbeva, @cser.bsky.social on: ➡️ the role of regional initiatives in driving the #GlobalTrade & #climateagenda ➡️ #Africa as an example of the potential of regional initiatives as a means to confront climate and developmental challenges
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