iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Destroying oil refining capacity inside Russia will not have much impact on its ability to export crude oil.

152

I completely agree that Trump is lying (or deeply confused) in blaming Ukraine for the increased prices of crude oil and refined diesel. However, I am skeptical of the conclusion about Iran, where there appears to be a partial power vacuum, allowing unpredictable actions by various parties.

030

Any actual slowdown that occurs will likely be caused by business models and infrastructure. Business models: LLMs are becoming commoditized. The successful ones will profit from revenues other than subscriptions. Infrastructure and chips will likely fail to keep up with growth.

100

Anthropic's CEO published a proposal for an AI slowdown, and rival leaders have backed it. I am cynical about their intentions. I am skeptical that even the rational voices backing a reevaluation of AI development will successfully shape the conversation.

100

Evidence-based skepticism has never been lucrative. You don't suck, and your writing is very good. Post as if nobody is listening. Publish as if nobody is reading.

Signal & Skeptic @gtuck5.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

Lol, okay, I almost did. Good satire is taken literally by one-quarter of the readers. It's a tough balance.

Signal & Skeptic @gtuck5.bsky.social · 15/07/2026

I will grant that no wise man wagers what Trump will do next.

000

I suspect 9 out of 10 Russian nukes are duds due to poor maintenance. The world suspects this but it’s better for Russia if the world doesn’t know for certain. Still, 1 out of 10 are bad days for those near their limited blast areas.

000

The Russo Ukraine war won’t come to Russia using tactical nukes. Japan, Germany, Poland, and likely Ukraine would all come out as nuclear states within six months of the attacks. Emperor Xi would disallow Russia’s use of nukes.

100

New York Times Accuses Federal Employment Agency of Retaliation (Gift Article)

Another gift share. Anyone can accuse anything in a lawsuit, but this one feels like it’s true. New York Times Accuses Federal Employment Agency of Retaliation www.nytimes.com/2026/07/10/b...

nytimes.com

A May lawsuit by the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission claims the newspaper discriminated against a white male employee who did not get a promotion.

No. Trump never threatened Iran with nukes and never considered using them.

100

I believe Trump is the one with the fewest cards to play.

000

No probably needed. They already claimed Okinawa, Guam, and Hawaii.

020

New Air Force One Lacks Defensive Countermeasures of Previous Model, Officials Say (Gift Article)

This is the article over which the Trump Administration is attempting to intimidate journalists. So I make it one of Gift Articles. - New Air Force One Lacks Defensive Countermeasures of Previous Model, Officials Say www.nytimes.com/2026/07/09/u...

nytimes.com

Experts said the lack of such capabilities poses a potential risk when the president travels overseas. The White House defended the aircraft’s safety.

022

Signal & Skeptic @gtuck5.bsky.social · 06/07/2026

Russia may finally be calling their "Special Military Operation" in Ukraine a war. It is either a signal of desperation or represent a genuine escalation. #ukraine geopoliticalfutures.com/a-strange-ar...

geopoliticalfutures.com

A Strange Article From Tass - Geopolitical Futures

We normally never publish articles written by others, but we must make an exception in this case. The BBC Monitoring service reported on an article

000

Signal & Skeptic @gtuck5.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

I wager you the Idaho governor pardons her after pressure from MAHA loyalists.

2240

Signal & Skeptic @gtuck5.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

Here is the report detailing how Trump siphoned public funds from the non-partisan America250 to his shadow Freedom250 organization and hijacked the 250th anniversary celebrations. democrats-naturalresources.house.gov/imo/media/do...

democrats-naturalresources.house.gov

000

Signal & Skeptic @gtuck5.bsky.social · 01/07/2026

I have considered this too. But I worry 50 years is not enough time to undo the damage they are causing.

000

Signal & Skeptic @gtuck5.bsky.social · 01/07/2026

Date yourself with a snap of your first ever computer.

000

Signal & Skeptic @gtuck5.bsky.social · 26/06/2026

So rent goes up for everyone else because there is no incentive to build new residential housing?

000

Signal & Skeptic @gtuck5.bsky.social · 26/06/2026

Totally correct, but so much of my favorite Sci Fi feels dated because their 200 year vision is really lacking just 10 years later. WRT WarGames, at that time I thought “computers can’t do that” but it has finally aged into reality.

000

Just rewatched War Games (1983) and was shocked at how well it aged. Naturally language interfaces, Agentic AI, feedback loops, and adversarial networks. Go check it out if you haven’t lately. #ai #llm #agentic

100

Is anyone else bored with the constant coverage of Reflecting Pool algae? NYT covers it daily and it consumes half my SNS feed.

000

Yay, a conspiracy theorist just blocked me. Their skins are so thin…

000

I am still confused why the FSB has allowed Gabbard to resign as head of DNI. Were they simply too strapped for cash to continue paying her salary?

000

Add it to the long list of war crimes you are tracking…

It’s starting… When will the round ups reach Moscow?

Stuff like this makes me think on bad days “maybe humanity doesn’t deserve to survive the century…”

080

This ad hominem finally gets to the core of your fringe conspiracy. My acceptance of the widely accepted evidence that the 9/11 attacks were carried out by Islamists motivated by Jihadist doctrine makes me a shill for Zionism. Brilliant. And I am not even Jewish…

000

Priors means pre-existing beliefs, assumptions, or worldviews that shape how people interpret evidence. My usage was consistent with the accepted meaning. Implying I think you are engaging in motivated reasoning. Did you think I meant the criminal concept implying prior convictions? No.

000

What “issues” am I muddying up? Announcing my skepticism over your unprovable claims of prior knowledge by close family members you suspect of being part of a Jewish cabal? Come on, do better.

000

Blaming 9/11 on the Jews… how original! Those conspiracies started circulating literally on 9/11, starting with the lies about no Jewish casualties from the attacks. Surprise, surprise, I have to buy your great new book to uncover your unique new insights. Also so very original…

000

Democrats say Bush masterminded the 9/11 attacks. Republicans say the Democrats were behind them. They disagree perfectly and consistently with their priors. I question the sincerity of any claims they make. I apologize I don’t know enough about your issue to attempt confusing it.

000

I heard the new paint job is already peeling. Have you heard more?

000

I thought the military would always have priority. In any case, regional outages are partially caused by logistical issues, which will also constrain the efforts to limit the impacts of supply shortages near Moscow.

I know Russia undertakes false flag attacks all the time Part of my problem with that interpretation of 9/11 is the attribution of blame always echos the priors of the authors, reducing the credibility of the claims.

000

Definitely looks delicious, based on web searches. I would like to try it soon.

Signal & Skeptic @gtuck5.bsky.social · 16/06/2026

I have never eaten ratatouille, to my knowledge.

220

Signal & Skeptic @gtuck5.bsky.social · 30/05/2026

Rosatom claims a Ukrainian suicide drone struck the turbine hall of reactor unit #6 of the Zaphorizhia nuclear power plant. A few of Russia’s useful idiots are reporting. ekstrabladet.dk/nyheder/krig...

ekstrabladet.dk

Rusland bekræfter: Atomkraftværk ramt

Læs mere her

100

Signal & Skeptic @gtuck5.bsky.social · 29/05/2026

Strongly recommend joining me in supporting @malcontentnews.bsky.social on Patreon. Excellent distillation of open-source intelligence on the Russo-Ukraine war and allied efforts. Check out the latest report available for free.

000

Signal & Skeptic @gtuck5.bsky.social · 29/05/2026

Watching @malcontentnews.bsky.social for continued updates. Little will come of this in the short-term: NATO will assess if the drone was redirected by Ukrainian jamming; NATO stocks are already thin. Doctrine will likely shift towards more proactive destruction of Russian drones over allies.