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Greg Raymond

@gregoryvraymond.bsky.social
333 followers 179 following 48 posts

Senior Lecturer, Strategic & Defence Studies Centre, Australian National University. Mainly SE Asia, mostly Mekong, a lot on Thailand. AMSEAS President. IR editor Asian Studies Review. researchportalplus.anu.edu.au/en/pe…

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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
"Withai said these trench constructions ...constitute a violation of the 2000 Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) between Thailand and Cambodia. The MOU states that undemarcated areas must be jointly used for patrols, without altering the landscape www.nationthailand.com/news/general...
nationthailand.com
Thai military releases aerial evidence of Cambodian military buildup before border clash
The images show that, for over 70 years, neither side had settled or actively used the disputed area — contradicting Cambodian claims of long-standing occupation.
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 06/06/2025
In this piece I look at recent Thai-China activity following the kidnapping of a Chinese celebrity on the Thai-Myanmar border. The measures are unlikely to arrest the growth of the scam centres. @anubellschool.bsky.social eastasiaforum.org/2025/05/22/c...
eastasiaforum.org
Crime networks persist on the Thai–Myanmar border
The Thai–Myanmar border is the home of a multi-billion-dollar transnational crime empire that thrives on state complicity.
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 01/06/2025
www.journalofdemocracy.org/online-exclu...
journalofdemocracy.org
Beijing Wants to Erase Tibet’s Name. Don’t Let Them. | Journal of Democracy
The Chinese Communist Party is attempting to rename the Tibetan people’s homeland, part of a wider effort to eradicate Tibet’s cultural identity. For Tibet, it’s more than just a name.
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Reposted by Greg Raymond
Yuliya Komska @ykomska.bsky.social · 29/05/2025
The US has never interfered more brazenly and directly in E Europe’s politics than it’s doing now. All the CIA-sponsored ops from the Cold War era are peanuts by comparison—and they were more or less covert or had a front!
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
In this new article I investigate two research questions: firstly, whether small state hedging can be compatible with alliances, and secondly, what Thailand’s troubled alliance with the United States portends for regional order. @anubellschool.bsky.social www.tandfonline.com/eprint/VAYEW...
tandfonline.com
Cobra Gold over four decades: hedging, alliances and a United States–Thailand multilateral military exercise
This article investigates two research questions: firstly, whether small state hedging can be compatible with alliances, and secondly, what Thailand’s troubled alliance with the United States porte...
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 20/05/2025
Joseph Nye - always worth reading. RIP. tnsr.org/2019/11/what...
tnsr.org
What Is a Moral Foreign Policy? - Texas National Security Review
How should we judge the morality of a president's foreign policy? Joseph Nye suggests a rubric that is based on a three-dimensional ethics of intentions, means, and consequences and that draws from re...
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
".....we should be ruthless toward oppressive systems and compassionate toward actual people.” Nice.
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 25/04/2025
Thanks to Natcha Sinkiri ณัชชา สินคีรี and 101 world for translating my article 'Explaining Grey Capital' into Thai. 🙏🙏 www.the101.world/grey-capital...
the101.world
สังคมแบบใดเปิดทางให้ 'ทุนจีนสีเทา' ? เครือข่ายอำนาจจีน-ไทย ระบบอุปถัมภ์ และอาชญากรรมในคราบความร่วมมือ
สังคมแบบใดเปิดทางให้ ‘ทุนจีนสีเทา’ ? วันโอวันสรุปงานวิจัย Explaining ‘Grey Capital’ โดย Gregory V. Raymond ชวนทำความเข้าใจว่าทุนจีนสีเทาทำงานอย่างไร ภายใต้ระบบอุปถัมภ์ที่แน่นแฟ้นระหว่างเจ้าหน้าที่รัฐก...
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
aus01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com?url=https%3A...
aus01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com
Making Mainland Southeast Asia safe for autocracy - New Mandala
How regional elites built an “authoritarian security community”
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 10/04/2025
This is a relief, but only temporary. The charges have not been dropped, so the possibility of up to 15 years in jail still remains. I'm hoping the fact that Paul Chambers did not write the offending text will be enough to get the charges thrown out.
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
Excellent piece from @liamgammon.bsky.social contemplating an historically unprecedented event - the fall of a rich established democracy into outright authoritarianism. eastasiaforum.org/2025/04/06/t...
eastasiaforum.org
Trump white-ants US democracy and opens a values gap with allies
The Trump administration is battering and bruising US democracy, proving that even the Land of the Free is susceptible to an authoritarian turn.
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
Terrible news.
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 05/04/2025
Distressing news. Timing is interesting coming after the US tariffs. Certainly a sign of SE Asia's growing disinterest in freedom of expression. Key takeaway for Thai studies scholars- English is no longer a protection. Thoughts with Paul. www.bbc.com/news/article...
bbc.com
Thai arrest warrant issued for US academic under ban on insulting royalty
Paul Chambers, a university lecturer, to face police interview on Tuesday under lese-majeste and computer crime laws.
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 04/04/2025
Couldn't help but check if Thailand was a member of the International Criminal Court....unfortunately, no, we won't be seeing MAL bundled onto a plane to the Hague a la another mass murderer.
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Reposted by Greg Raymond
Tom Pepinsky @tompepinsky.com · 03/04/2025
I sincerely believe that the current administration is not stupid about tariffs, and that they know exactly how chaotic this will be. They also understand that this allows them to dispense extremely valuable favors to businesses--in the U.S. and globally--who will really need them.
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 26/03/2025
Thailand sold electricity produced by Laos hydrogen...back to Laos at a higher price. #ingoodcompany
laos.at
laos.at - This website is for sale! - laos Resources and Information.
This website is for sale! laos.at is your first and best source for all of the information you’re looking for. From general topics to more of what you would expect to find here, laos.at has it all. We...
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 26/03/2025
What role do transnational factors play in the decline of democracy in mainland Southeast Asia? Here I argue that its wrong to look only at China. Instead, we should note that Mekong states and their security forces put regime security ahead of traditional concerns. Article is free to download.
aus01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com
An authoritarian security community in mainland Southeast Asia: regional dynamics in an actor-centred theory of transnational authoritarianism
This article presents a novel actor-centred theory of transnational authoritarianism that puts the nexus between security and authoritarianism at the heart of its explanation of how and why neighbo...
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
Rule OF law well on the way to becoming rule BY law.
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 03/03/2025
NEW ARTICLE: Surreal to be worrying about SE Asian authoritarianism currently. But it should be understood on its own terms. Open access and part of a forthcoming SI edited by Aim Sinpeng and I on Thailand's 2023 election. @anubellschool.bsky.social dx.doi.org/10.1177/1868...
dx.doi.org
Authoritarian Securitisation and Moral Panic: The Discourse and Role of the Senate in the 2023 Thai Election - Gregory V. Raymond, 2025
In Thailand's 2023 election, an appointed Senate controlled who became prime minister. To better understand the thinking of key actors in this critical moment, ...
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 11/02/2025
My review of Thai politics in 2024 and prospects for 2025. @anubellschool.bsky.social eastasiaforum.org/2025/02/11/t...
eastasiaforum.org
Thailand's ongoing struggle for democratic stability
Thai politics continues to be a fierce battle for power and control, with the monarchy and military firmly opposed to any attempts to deliver genuine democracy.
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
Much coverage of new agreements between Thailand China re:cracking down on scam centres of eastern Myanmar. Meanwhile, Thai MP Rome says BGF commander and Shwe Koko kingpin Saw Chit Thu has bribed Thai officials who would be exposed were he arrested.
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
Chilling.
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Reposted by Greg Raymond
Susannah Patton @susannahpatton.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
Is Timor-Leste joining ASEAN this year? It really wants to. en.tatoli.tl/2025/01/27/t... 1/6 🧵
en.tatoli.tl
Timor-Leste’s accession to ASEAN expected to take place in May 2025 - TATOLI Agência Noticiosa de Timor-Leste
DILI, 27 january 2025 (TATOLI) – Timor-Leste’s accession to the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) is expected to take place in May 2025. “Timor-Leste’s full membership of ASEAN is ‘a prio...
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 05/01/2025
"the contrast between the approaches of PAS and Anwar provides a study in strategic communications, including the question of whether political competitors should compete on the same ground, directly rebutting each other, or stake out separate territories and discourses"
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
Happy Year of the Snake, friends and colleagues.
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 18/12/2024
Doesn’t he care about the difficulties in revising the constitution in order to be able to serve a third term? A: He doesn’t care. He didn’t care about laws, for a very long time, as a business person. So how to defeat these figures is very tricky. asia.nikkei.com/Editor-s-Pic...
asia.nikkei.com
U.S. could be headed toward 1-party system under Trump: Yale professor
Jason Stanley says incoming president fits the label of 'fascist'
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
Odd, and may explain why there was so little communication until 'ANU Renew' exploded ... www.afr.com/work-and-car...
afr.com
ANU boss Genevieve Bell on Intel salary until last month
Genevieve Bell, who asked staff to take a 2.5 per cent pay cut, has also been on Intel’s payroll since she arrived at ANU in 2017.
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 07/12/2024
On opposing the PAP in Singaporean democracy: "the lack of family support that potential opposition candidates have to deal with "largely stem from witnessing opposition figures land on the receiving end of lawsuits, jail terms and other tools of disempowerment"."
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 04/12/2024
Mount Fuji this morning.
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 29/11/2024
I seem to remember a certain political party promising to break up monopolies....
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 28/11/2024
Richly deserved. We all look up to Marcus' scholarship, and his incredibly dry wit.
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 28/11/2024
Japan maybe behind on EVs but thankfully they don't have the oversize vehicle fetish apparent in Australia.
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 27/11/2024
A. A pretty long way by the looks....
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Reposted by Greg Raymond
Tommy Walker @tommywalker.bsky.social · 27/11/2024
Myanmar: How far will China go to keep junta afloat? My latest with DW Asia about how China is stepping up its involvement in Myanmar Comments Jason Tower, Khin Ohmar @zachabuza.bsky.social www.dw.com/en/myanmar-h...
dw.com
Myanmar: How far will China go to keep junta afloat? – DW – 11/26/2024
Beijing has pitched a joint security venture to the Myanmar junta with China's geo-strategic assets at stake. The apparent alliance has soured ties with rebel groups, who now control most of the count...
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 24/11/2024
At my talk this week I’ll make 3 arguments: 1. Democracy decline has been worse in mainland than maritime SE Asia; 2. Transnational factors are part of the problem; 3. China’s not the only transnational factor- Mekong states learn from & support each other, including through transnational repression
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Greg Raymond @gregoryvraymond.bsky.social · 24/11/2024
The air seems a bit cleaner over here.
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