graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Not for nothing, banks have obligations to meet the needs of the communities they serve--meaning ALL members of the community. Admittedly, the requirements are somewhat weak and banks often haven't met them. Nonetheless, it's a legal *obligation,* not some socially conscious "DEI" program 011
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 04/10/2026The purported logic of this statement is truly baffling. Powell, who has protected the Fed independence's from President Trump's political pressure, should demonstrate the Fed's independence by resigning in response to President Trump's political pressure? What? 66311
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 30/09/2026During the first Trump administration, Lael Brainard played the role of dissenting voice at the Fed, voting against rules or orders 23 times in 3 years. Barr has already matched her total in less than 2 years. www.yalejreg.com/nc/agency-in... 000
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 30/09/2026The Fed today voted to weaken its bank stress testing regime. I disagree with the substance of the rule, but I want to focus on Governor Barr's dissenting vote. By my count, that's 14 dissents of the 47 rule or order votes taken by the Fed this year. No one else is anywhere close. 100
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 27/09/2026Old Glory's issues aren't new. Its CEO testified before the Senate in 2025 about so-called 'conservative debanking.' Old Glory was *already* under a consent order with state and federal regulators from 2024. One senator asked about that ... and blamed the regulators. www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/... 000
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 27/09/2026Regulators had notified Old Glory it was having issues and requested a plan to address its capital problems. The bank... just didn't respond. (That is a huge no-no.) You can find the full enforcement action here: orders.fdic.gov/s/press-rele... 101
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 22/09/2026Agree completely. This was how I put it at the time... home.treasury.gov/news/press-r... 043
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 21/09/2026I should add that the report concedes a point that's incontrovertible: the 2018 legislation and "tailoring" regulations weakened rules applicable to banks like SVB. The report treats this as unfair "framing," but many of the more stringent rules would have led to earlier supervisory intervention. 1307
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Finally, I found this passage about the consensus that failure of a bank of SVB's size would not be systemic ironic. A month before SVB failed, Quarles and I debated this point. I thought it could but he disagreed. In other words, it was foreseeable to some. washingtonmonthly.com/2024/03/15/r... 1141
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 21/09/2026The report spends 4 1/2 pages uncritically recounting an interview with Quarles himself. The claim here that tailoring was never about reducing "burden" is simply inaccurate. Several Fed policymakers including the Chair and Vice Chair said explicitly and repeatedly it was about reducing burden. 191
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 21/09/2026It also doesn't refute actual critiques of how tailoring contributed. These points about how it created "step functions" are consistent with my observations at the time about the slow phase-in of liquidity, stress testing, and resolution planning as banks grow: home.treasury.gov/news/press-r... 2133
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 19/09/2026To the extent SCOTUS is concerned about pretextual firings, Barr is in a strong position, since it's been an open secret the administration wants him gone so the president can have more influence over the board of governors. news.bloomberglaw.com/banking-law/... 141
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 19/09/2026The WH may well try to make the case, but it's not clear mere disagreement about some of the causes of SVB's satisfies the (admittedly vague) standard in Cook. Nor do the bank failures themselves suggest any "misconduct" warranting removal 3 years later. www.yalejreg.com/nc/the-uncer... 121
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 19/09/2026Yes, seems like that’s the White House’s intention, at least. 111
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 18/09/2026“We don’t want to cross any red lines but we don’t know what the red lines are” seems like a tough needle to thread. 020
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 17/09/2026As I was saying... www.politico.com/news/2026/09... 010
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 15/09/2026This may not be the end of the CLARITY Act crypto legislation (there's always the lame duck session). In the meantime, the SEC is already trying to step in with crypto-friendly rules. But under West Virginia v EPA, courts should be skeptical when agencies enact regulations Congress has rejected. 331
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 15/09/2026I continue to believe that succumbing to political pressure is not the best way for the Fed to preserve its independence. 141
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 15/09/2026Alito joined decisions blocking EPA from regulating power plant emissions, ED forgiving federal student loans, and HHS imposing a pandemic eviction moratorium. Now he says USPS has "broad authority" to regulate mail-in ballots. This is why people don't take the major questions doctrine seriously. 1132
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 14/09/2026I found this detail remarkable. I can't even think of what the Dem equivalent to this would be, but it's not normal Treasury Secretary behavior. And yet, there's seemingly no attempt to have Treasury explain why a Pizzagater was traveling with the Secretary? 2408
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 03/09/2026JPMorgan reportedly cut back its financing for hedge funds that are capturing increasing market share in the bond market. It illustrates one of the conflicts--the Supreme Court called them "subtle hazards"--of banks lending and trading and why Congress enacted the Glass-Steagall Act in 1933. 150
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 28/08/2026Warsh also says loan underwriting standards are "on the easier end of their historical range." Micro- or macroprudential regulation can be a 'scalpel' to address potential risks, relative to the monetary policy 'sledgehammer.' Instead, the Trump administration is deregulating the financial sector. 110
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 28/08/2026Two observations about the parts of Warsh's speech touching on my world. First, I agree "money matters." The problem with current policy is the Fed and Trump administration are encouraging the creation of private digital money. This will make inflation and financial stability harder to manage. 120
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 27/08/2026This is basically the New Yorker cartoon come to life. 15519
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 21/08/2026Here’s the explanation of how the distinctions between Treasury and Fed operations mean expanding buybacks to reduce stress would actually drive *up* borrowing costs. 022
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 15/08/2026It’s clear that the Trump administration lacks a coherent worldview of US financial power. Some want to retrench from it, others want to expand it, and none really appreciate what it takes to maintain the integrity of a dollar-based global financial system. www.justsecurity.org/125738/what-... 061
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 13/08/2026We have endured more than a decade of specious complaints about "political debanking" of fossil fuels, crypto, and January 6ers. And now the Trump administration has constructed a financial dragnet to investigate labor and climate groups engaged in protected First Amendment activity. 13816
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 07/08/2026FWIW, this was my take on the the unresolved issues (both legal and practical) after the Supreme Court's decision. www.yalejreg.com/nc/the-uncer... 012
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 05/08/2026The Treasury Secretary comes to the defense of the Fed Chair and criticizes "stenographers posing as journalists," including one of the best Fed reporters working today. 250
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 04/08/2026FIMA is a useful illustration of the issues with Warsh's view that the Fed's non-monetary policy functions aren't independent. Is FIMA monetary policy? Financial stability? International finance? "Public monies" (bc it involves the Treasury market)? These functions aren't always clearly separable. 021
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 01/08/2026Some truly amazing polling results about the unpopularity of crypto. Completely out of step with how much attention crypto gets in DC. 063
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 17/07/2026This under-counts how many members of Treasury leadership have left/been forced out. The department’s top sanctions and money laundering official was also forced out over a rule requiring banks to collect immigration information. Very bad sign about the state of things at Treasury right now. 083
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 14/07/2026This administration is trying further their deportation by using bank regulators to pressure banks to shut certain immigrants out of the financial system. It’s akin to a modern form of redlining against immigrant communities. 2103
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 10/07/2026Once upon a time, the Fed’s task force on “productivity and jobs” would’ve included a labor representative. It speaks volumes about the current Fed leadership that the task force instead includes Trump-supporting, AI-boosting venture capitalist Marc Andreessen. 1102
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 07/07/2026Yes, I also noted this dynamic last year. Importantly, this isn’t pure speculation. We have precedents where R holdovers have made mischief and D nominees have been blockaded by the Senate. www.yalejreg.com/nc/the-real-... 020
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 01/07/2026This is well put. Here's how I framed it in this blog post. www.yalejreg.com/nc/inconsist... 3142
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 29/06/2026Importantly, the practical import of the Cook decision's Fed exception remains to be seen. That's because Trump's Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh, has said he believes--contra most Fed chairs before him--that the Fed is *not* entirely independent in all its functions. www.banking.senate.gov/imo/media/do... 020
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 29/06/2026An especially strange take because Warsh has said that he believes, contra most chairs before him, that the Fed is *not* entirely independent in all its functions. www.banking.senate.gov/imo/media/do... 010
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 29/06/2026I think Thomas's dissent is actually right insofar as he argues that the Court's decision in Slaughter *should* be applicable to the Fed, which exercises a significant amount of regulatory power. Instead, the majority relies on an "ahistorical analogy" to create a special Fed exception. 210
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 29/06/2026Justice Kavanaugh gives a nod to the historical arguments, but his concurrence is (unsurprisingly) pretty clearly motivated by the economic consequences of diminishing Fed independence. 232
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 29/06/2026Some might say it's cynical to think SCOTUS is protecting the Fed because of its affect on financial markets and capital. But the majority says pretty clearly in Cook that it needs to get to the merits to avoid "sow[ing] doubt" about one of the world’s "most important financial institutions." 283
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 26/06/2026Recalling how the Chief Justice once used the shadow docket to block an EPA rule because he was offended by EPA officials’ press statements. So according to SCOTUS, the President’s personal animus isn’t relevant to the government’s motivations but bland statements by bureaucrats are. 1114
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 20/06/2026I've said it before, but the renovation was the chosen line of attack against Powell because Republicans had run that play against the CFPB in its early years to some success. Important lesson about the need to nip bad-faith attacks in the bud because you never know where they'll lead. 092
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 05/06/2026A remarkably candid assessment from Janet Yellen of the Fed’s regulatory and supervisory failures from a retrospective on Jay Powell’s tenure. She says “crisis management is not a substitute for prevention” which “requires strengthening both bank supervision and broader financial regulation.” 1125
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 22/05/2026Unsurprisingly, the previous administration took a different view of this issue. home.treasury.gov/news/press-r... 010
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 20/05/2026It’s here. The Trump Administration has issued an Executive Order that includes a requirement for banks to collect customers’ citizenship information. www.whitehouse.gov/presidential... 33941
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 19/05/2026I’d like to understand the thought process behind going out of his way to praise crypto. There are no votes to be won from it, he has a background in finance so presumably knows better on the substance, and he’s self-funding so doesn’t need to worry as much about super PAC spending. Why do this? 290
graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 17/05/2026In 2024, the CFPB issued an “open banking” rule that would have given consumers the power to prevent this kind of third-party data harvesting. But Trump’s CFPB repealed that rule, so here we are: AI companies are scraping data from people’s bank accounts. 31012