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Guohui Jiang

@gjiang.bsky.social
512 followers 201 following 11 posts

PhD candidate in economics at the University of Zurich. gjiang-economics.github.io

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Guohui Jiang @gjiang.bsky.social · 10/11/2024
Could you pls include me? Thanks!
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Guohui Jiang @gjiang.bsky.social · 10/11/2024
Would love to hear your thoughts! Tagging @jvoth.bsky.social @essobecker.bsky.social @saumjha.bsky.social @nathannunn.bsky.social @david-schindler.de @dinapomeranz.bsky.social @hmmlowe.bsky.social @vcharnysh.bsky.social @guoxu.bsky.social @heycheckthisout.bsky.social
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Guohui Jiang @gjiang.bsky.social · 10/11/2024
Full paper: ssrn.com/abstract=5007109 Want a quick overview? Check out this 12-min AI-generated podcast! podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/guo... See more on my website: gjiang-economics.github.io #EconJobMarket
ssrn.com
No Fairness, No Cooperation: Draft Dodging by the Rich and Voluntary Enlistment in World War II
Conscription in the US during World War II favored the rich. This paper first documents this fact and then examines its effects on voluntary enlistment through
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Guohui Jiang @gjiang.bsky.social · 10/11/2024
🚨 Why this matters: 🚨 When govts ask citizens to contribute, perceived fairness is essential - not optional. See a recent example in Ukraine (www.reuters.com/world/europe...) This is why inclusive institutions that treat everyone fairly are crucial (as the 2024 econ Nobel laureates argue) [8/8]
reuters.com
Ukraine's prosecutor general resigns amid draft-dodging scandal
Andriy Kostin took responsibility for a scandal in which dozens of officials are alleged to have abused their position to receive disability status and avoid military service.
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Guohui Jiang @gjiang.bsky.social · 10/11/2024
How large is the impact? If the draft had been fair (no poorer-richer draft gap), volunteering would've jumped approximate 1/3!! [7/8]
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Guohui Jiang @gjiang.bsky.social · 10/11/2024
Endogeneity? Instrumental var: lottery number gaps between individuals' poorer vs richer neighbors 🎲 🎲 (Random lottery nums, lower = higher draft chance) Higher nums for richer neighbors (in B's circle) ➡️ fewer richer drafted ➡️ bigger poorer-richer draft rate gap [6/8]
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Guohui Jiang @gjiang.bsky.social · 10/11/2024
2️⃣ Did the lower drafting of higher-income neighbors affect volunteering? Main spec: ▶️ Dependent var: binary indicator for individual volunteering ▶️ Independent var: draft rate gap between individuals' poorer vs richer neighbors [5/8]
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Guohui Jiang @gjiang.bsky.social · 10/11/2024
For example: ▶️ Doctor connections ➡️ 11% higher health exemptions ▶️ The richer had more doctor connections If lower drafting of the rich was observed, esp. among neighbors, it was perceived as unfair [4/8]
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Guohui Jiang @gjiang.bsky.social · 10/11/2024
1️⃣ These fairness concerns in Gallup polls were well-founded: ▶️ Highest income group's draft rate = *half* that of lowest income group ▶️ Rich more likely to get exemptions Their exemptions? More questionable... [3/8]
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Guohui Jiang @gjiang.bsky.social · 10/11/2024
Key context: ▶️ 12 million draftees and 6 million volunteers during WW2 ▶️ 20% of Gallup respondents perceived the draft as unfair ▶️ Main complaints: ‘favoritism’, ‘money talks’, and ‘some use pull to get out of draft’ Based on newly digitized military records, I show 🧵 [2/8]
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Guohui Jiang @gjiang.bsky.social · 10/11/2024
🚨 Job Market Paper 🚨 If 6 million individuals *voluntarily* put themself in a life-and-death situation, what drove them to make that choice? My job market paper examines how perceived fairness affected the decision to voluntarily enlist in the US during WW2 #EconJMP #EconJMC #EconTwitter [1/8]
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