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Florian Trauner

@ftrauner.bsky.social
1.2K followers 760 following 82 posts

Professor of political science at the #VUB and Dean of the VUB’s @bsog.be | working on #EuropeanGovernance; #migration; #asylum; #InternalSecurity | teaching also at the @collegeofeurope.bsky.social

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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
The #EUIA conference is back. Already in its 10th edition. Please spread the word.
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
It may also be worthwhile mentioning that #Ceuta and #Melilla have a special status in Schengen. People arriving there cannot simply move on freely to other states but have additional border controls.
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Other states cannot kick out a member. There is a possibility that others temporarily reintroduce border controls against a participating state, but only if there are "persisting and series deficiencies" and only after a formalized procedure....
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Schengen is now part of the EU's legal framework (and no longer an international agreement) so a state cannot simply opt out - if a state wants to leave, it would have to leave the EU altogether.
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Italy may call for Spain to be kicked out of #Schengen over rising migration numbers but this is legally not possible. What are actually the Schengen rules in such a situation?
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
New article out 📘 How do Dublin transfers redistribute asylum responsibility across the EU? Our findings challenge common assumptions: Dublin transfers modestly reduce unequal distributions of asylum responsibilities. #EU #Asylum #Migration #DublinRegulation journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Reposted by Florian Trauner
LSE European Politics @lseeuroppblog.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
The EU’s Dublin system is widely seen as unfair, but new research suggests the system has produced surprisingly fair outcomes in practice. ✍️ @lutzphilipp.bsky.social @ftrauner.bsky.social & Philipp Stutz @eupthejournal.bsky.social blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...
blogs.lse.ac.uk
The EU’s Dublin system is widely seen as unfair – but official statistics tell a different story
The EU’s Dublin system for processing asylum claims has been widely criticised. Yet new research shows the system produces surprisingly fair outcomes.
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Reposted by Florian Trauner
Brussels School of Governance @bsog.be · 09/04/2026
We look forward to welcoming you to the Policy Forum, “Communicating migration in a polarised world: What works and what fails.” 💬 🗓️ 15 April, from 17:00 to 18:30 📍BSoG, Lisbon and Rome meeting rooms -1, Pleinlaan 5 👉 Register here: lnkd.in/eMGsfWiw #BSoG #migration
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
@gaiaromeo.bsky.social and I also published an article in this Special Issue dealing with the role of human rights norms in the implementation of the EU-Turkey statement. Check directly here: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
The power of human rights norms: understanding Greek non-deportations under the EU-Turkey statement
When migrants cannot be deported, the EU often puts the blame on the non-cooperation of countries of migrants’ origin and transit. This article questions this outward-looking focus by deconstructin...
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Publication alert 👉 new Special Issue on international norm dynamics in return and readmission published with @scmrjems.bsky.social ✅how does the EU establish new international norms in this field? ✅how and why do third countries contest them? Check at: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
International norm dynamics in return and readmission: a research agenda
The EU has struggled to achieve its objectives in the field of return and readmission, most commonly assessed through the number of returned migrants. One reason for this is the unwillingness of no...
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
📢 New publication in the @jeppjournal.bsky.social 📚 @federicazardo.bsky.social and I examine how the European Commission has responded to national emergency regimes within the EU’s asylum policy over time and in different cases 🇪🇺 #openaccess #EU; #asylum; www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
The European Commission’s response to national emergency regimes within the EU’s asylum policy: from rejection to accommodation
National emergency laws restricting the entry of asylum seekers have become increasingly common across the European Union. This article investigates how the European Commission responds to such eme...
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
Their full article can be accessed here: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
The Limits of EU Market Power in Migration Externalization: Explaining Migration Control Provisions in EU Preferential Trade Agreements
The European Union (EU) increasingly seeks cooperation with transit and sending countries to prevent irregular migration and enforce returns. Yet, these countries have little incentives to engage in ...
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
However, as the authors write, the inclusion into all types of agreements 'does not follow a strategic selection logic based on trade or migration interdependence'. In other words, by having migration control clauses into most agreements including trade, the EU undermined their actual relevance.
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
@pzlotnik.bsky.social @lutzphilipp.bsky.social and Sandra Lavenex did research on this issue and traced the first migration control clauses in preferential trade agreements to the mid-1980s. They then became almost standard in different external agreements of the EU.
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
@politico.eu reports that the EU considers withdrawing trade benefits if a third country refuses to cooperate on readmission. While the EU seems to be more determined this time, this line of thinking is actually not new at all from a longitudinal perspective.
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 27/11/2025
🚨 New analysis of #Pact and #EU asylum governance 🚨 Which lessons to be drawn from the Dublin system for the implementation of the New Pact’s solidarity mechanism? This paper analyses all transfers that took place between 2008 and 2024 in the EU. www.epc.eu/publication/...
epc.eu
Towards a Fairer EU Asylum Policy: Lessons from the Dublin system for the EU’s Solidarity Mechanism
On 11 November 2025, the European Commission released its first European Annual Asylum and Migration Report as part of the new policy cycle introduced by the EU’s Pact on Migration and Asylum. The Commission examined the asylum, migration and reception situation across the EU and found that four member states are under ‘migratory pressure’, and 14 others either ‘at risk’ or facing a ‘significant migration situation’.
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
Curious about how fairness and solidarity can reshape EU asylum policy—and what the Dublin system teaches us for the new solidarity mechanism? Join my talk on Monday, 24 Nov at 16:00 in Vienna (in English, online access available). Register and take part! eif.univie.ac.at/downloads/ve...
eif.univie.ac.at
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
Hey Saskia, the Press Release of the Commission summarizes the categories of the different countries in a precise way: ec.europa.eu/commission/p...
ec.europa.eu
Commission launches first Annual Migration Management Cycle under the Pact on Migration and Asylum
Today, the European Commission is taking a further step in implementing the Pact on Migration and Asylum by launching the first Annual Migration Management Cycle.
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
I had a bit of a mix up with countries so I created a new one today. It also includes new information...
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
👀 Let’s hope this outcome is avoided. The next steps in operationalising the Solidarity Mechanism will require close attention and political finesse. The stakes for EU asylum responsibility-sharing are high. 🇪🇺✨
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
🔁 Some capitals have floated another condition: they might only accept relocations if 🇮🇹 Italy and 🇬🇷 Greece resume taking more Dublin transfers. This could lead to zero-sum exchanges of migrants rather than genuine burden-sharing — hardly the goal of solidarity. ⚖️
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
➕ All in all, 18 Member States are experiencing some form of pressure — while 9 are not. But here comes the political crunch: several governments, notably 🇭🇺 Hungary, strongly oppose relocations. So will the Council be able to assemble meaningful solidarity pledges? 🧠
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
So who remains? 🟢 Nine states are reported to have no migratory pressures: 🇩🇰 Denmark, 🇭🇺 Hungary, 🇱🇺 Luxembourg, 🇲🇹 Malta, 🇵🇹 Portugal, 🇷🇴 Romania, 🇸🇰 Slovakia, 🇸🇮 Slovenia, 🇸🇪 Sweden.
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
🔄 Four countries sit in both categories: 🇧🇬 Bulgaria, 🇪🇪 Estonia, 🇭🇷 Croatia and again 🇵🇱 Poland. They are simultaneously “at risk” and already facing “significant” challenges. These states can seek deductions and qualify for financial support. 🧰
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
🧮 Six Member States — among them 🇦🇹 Austria and 🇨🇿 Czechia — are classified as facing a significant migratory situation. They can request deductions from their contributions to the Solidarity Pool. That means that they may not offer relocations, but financial contributions remain expected. 💼
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
💶 These states may access financial support, and their situation will be reassessed relatively quickly.
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
Twelve others — including major players like 🇩🇪 Germany, 🇫🇷 France and 🇵🇱 Poland — are labelled at risk of migratory pressures. This can stem from high arrivals, overstretched reception systems, or concerns about the weaponisation of migration. ⚠️
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
🌊 Four states are officially under migratory pressure: 🇬🇷 Greece, 🇨🇾 Cyprus, 🇪🇸 Spain and 🇮🇹 Italy. They can tap into the full set of EU solidarity tools: relocations, financial aid, and operational or technical assistance. 🤝
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
🇪🇺📊 The @ec.europa.eu has released its first European Annual Asylum and Migration Report. It maps the migratory situation across all Member States and outlines who may receive support — and who is expected to provide it. The key question: can the system work in practice? 🧩
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
I have to correct myself here: Bulgaria, Estonia, Croatia and Poland are counted for both categories (risk and significant situation). The total is then not 22 but 14. Apologies for the error.
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
Here is the link to the full report: home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/document/dow...
home-affairs.ec.europa.eu
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
If that happens, solidarity stays a paper tiger 🐯 — more rhetoric than reality.
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
Next up: turning solidarity into action. ⚙️ But here’s the catch — real, tangible support will rely on a small group of states carrying most of the weight. Two big risks ahead: 1️⃣ Solidarity contributions may fall short of making a real difference 💶 2️⃣ Key member states might refuse to play along ❌
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
That’s very likely far more than the Commission initially hoped for — reflecting intense 🇪🇺 lobbying by governments eager for formal recognition of migratory pressures. Who is exactly on the list was probably a main reason why the publication of this report was delayed for about a month.
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
🟡 18 others face the "risk of migratory pressures" or a "significant migration situation". ➡️ That’s 22 member states entitled to solidarity or to reduce their contributions regarding solidarity for others.
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
📊 4 countries officially under “migratory pressure”: 🇬🇷 Greece, 🇨🇾 Cyprus, 🇪🇸 Spain, 🇮🇹 Italy
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
Es freut mich, einen Beitrag für @bpb.de zum Thema EU-Informationskampagnen zur Abschreckung irregulärer Migration verfasst zu haben. Frei online abrufbar👇 www.bpb.de/themen/migra...
bpb.de
EU-Informationskampagnen zur Abschreckung irregulärer Migration | EU-Migrations- und Asylpolitik | bpb.de
Informationskampagnen sollen „aufklären“, häufig auch mithilfe abschreckender Geschichten und Bilder. Das soll irreguläre Migration verhindern. Funktioniert das?
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 04/09/2025
🚨 New publication out! Together with @linavosyliute.bsky.social, we examine the EU’s risk of falling into a far-right trap in the negotiations on the Return Regulation. 📄 Published as an open-access Policy Brief by @birmm.bsky.social l — free to read & share! zenodo.org/records/1696...
zenodo.org
The EU's Return Regulation: Negotiating on the Basis of Evidence, not Narratives
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 25/08/2025
Our article on the impact on Russia's war against Ukraine on the reform of the Common European Asylum System has finally ended its "early view"-status. It found a home in the current issue of European Politics and Society - and is still freely accessible to all. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
The impact of the Russian war against Ukraine on the reform of the common European asylum system
This article analyses how the Russian invasion and the mass influx of Ukrainians have impacted the Europeanisation dynamics in EU asylum policy, notably the process of reforming the Common European...
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 21/08/2025
Happy to have engaged with the 'Foundation for Family Businesses and Politics' on the subject of migration, skills shortages and Europe's strive to attract talent. #SkillsShortage #EuropeanTalent #FamilyBusinesses youtu.be/0CWWsldfufg?...
youtu.be
Spotlight Brussels with Prof. Florian Trauner: How Can Europe Attract Top Talent?
YouTube video by Stiftung Familienunternehmen und Politik
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 29/07/2025
Before the 2015 refugee crisis, the cash-strapped World Food Programme had to drop 1/3 of its Syrian refugees from food vouchers in its Middle Eastern programme. A few months later, arrival numbers in Europe increased. Now, 10 years later, all of this seems forgotten... www.ft.com/content/976f...
ft.com
Aid cuts are driving migrants to Europe, warns UN refugee chief
Filippo Grandi calls on EU countries to support existing asylum facilities in Africa rather than create new schemes
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 20/06/2025
On #WorldRefugeeDay, we reflect on the EU’s asylum system—strained by growing use of national emergency powers to control migration. Is this eroding EU asylum standards? 📘 Read our new @birmm.bsky.social Policy Brief: zenodo.org/records/1565... #Refugees #EUAsylum #MigrationPolicy
zenodo.org
World Refugee Day 2025: don't let national emergency measures become the new standard of EU asylum policy
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Reposted by Florian Trauner
Brussels School of Governance @bsog.be · 17/06/2025
🎓👏 We are thrilled to share that on 16 June 2025, Folashade Ajayi successfully defended her PhD thesis entitled "Between making sense of and sensing Black activism in Germany". The BSoG would like to congratulate Dr. Ajayi on this wonderful achievement! #PhD #BSoG #VUB #research #BlackActivism
🎓 We are pleased to announce that on 16 June 2025, Folashade Ajayi successfully defended her PhD thesis entitled "Between making sense of and sensing Black activism in Germany".

The BSoG would like to congratulate Dr. Ajayi on this wonderful achievement! 👏

#PhD #BSoG #VUB #research #BlackActivism
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
Speech of Commissioner Marta Kos at #EUIA25 is now published ec.europa.eu/commission/p...
ec.europa.eu
Speech by Commissioner Marta Kos at the EU International Affairs Conference
All Member States are faced with three great challenges: the challenge of peace, the challenge of freedom and the challenge of prosperity, and it seems clear that they can only be met through the Euro
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
“Enlargement remains the greatest geopolitical success of the EU”. Enlargement commissioner Marta Kos at #EUIA25
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
#EUIA25 has started. Interesting discussion in the EU’s international role. A first panel is chaired by Julien Jeandesboz and concerns liberalism, borders and sovereignty.
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
📢 Join us at BIRMM/VUB for a guest lecture by Prof. Marie-Laure Basilien-Gainche @mlbg.bsky.social: “Bordering, Ordering, Othering: The Legal Thickening of EU Frontiers” 🗓️ 27 May, 🕛 12:00 PM. Open to all – register here 👉 birmm.research.vub.be/bordering-or... #Migration #EUlaw #BIRMM #VUB
birmm.research.vub.be
Bordering, ordering, othering, ordering: the legal thickening of EU
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 23/04/2025
Ich freue mich sehr, dass mein Beitrag diese neue Blogreihe des Netzwerks @fluchtforschung.bsky.social eröffnet. Er behandelt, wie Mitgliedstaaten anhand von nationalen Notfallmaßnahmen die EU-Asylpolitik mehr und mehr beeinflussen.
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 17/04/2025
Pleased to announce our new publications on the role of narratives in migratory decision-making in the Gambia. A particular focus is on whether EU-promoted narratives can compete with local ones and actually influence migratory decision-making. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
The role of EU‐promoted versus local narratives in migratory decision‐making in the Gambia
The EU tries to dissuade potential migrants from coming to Europe irregularly. However, can EU-promoted narratives compete with local ones and actually influence migratory decision-making? This artic....
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Florian Trauner @ftrauner.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
A great article to understand what Trump is doing to America beyond economic damage. It's about destroying cosmopolitism and installing a security mind-set. www.nytimes.com/2025/04/03/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | How to Destroy What Makes America Great
Trump’s tariffs erect a wall between Americans and other people, obstructing the flow not only of goods but also of ideas, contacts, technology and friendships.
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