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FPL Draft Rank

@fpldraftrank.bsky.social
60 followers 97 following 84 posts

Forecasts and analysis for the official FPL Draft game played on the Premier League app.

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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
#FPL DRAFT RANKINGS GW5 Switching to showing availability across a sample of leagues in these tables, to make it easier to focus on realistic waiver targets. Send me a screenshot of your league table for inclusion in the availability sample! #FPLcommunity
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
PREMIER LEAGUE MARKET RATINGS #FPL GW5 - Arsenal back top, potentially hurt by travel issues last week? - Pool and Chelsea’s (continuing) poor performances move them down - Biggest risers: Arsenal, Brighton, Sunderland, Hull - Biggest fallers: Brentford, Pool, Chelsea, Bournemouth #fplcommunity
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
#FPL DRAFT RANKINGS GW4 Potential waiver targets: - D Silva BOU - D Van Hecke TOT - M Rayan BOU - D Ballard SUN - D Thomas COV - M Hinshelwood #FPLcommunity
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
PREMIER LEAGUE MARKET RATINGS #FPL GW4 - Signs of life from Pool - Arsenal hurt by (apparent) inability to win by margin - Biggest risers: Pool, Fulham, Bournemouth - Biggest fallers: Arsenal, Sunderland, Villa #fplcommunity
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
#FPL DRAFT RANKINGS GW3 Rankings now include data from the new season, with a heavy weighting still going to pre-season priors. #FPLcommunity
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
PREMIER LEAGUE MARKET RATINGS #FPL GW3 - Market fully in on Arsenal’s defence - Brentford favoured away to Bournemouth next week - Biggest risers: Brentford, Chelsea, Sunderland - Biggest fallers: Palace, Everton, Coventry #fplcommunity
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
#FPL DRAFT RANKINGS GW2 Just minutes forecasts and market ratings updated from the pre-season rankings, no 2026/27 event data feeding in yet. #FPLcommunity
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
PREMIER LEAGUE MARKET RATINGS #FPL GW2 - Arsenal and City 1A and 1B - One third of a goal separating Brighton in 7th and Fulham in 16th - Buys: Chelsea, Leeds, Hull - Sells: City, Pool, Utd #fplcommunity
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
BONUS: SEASON-LONG GOAL MARKETS Building FPL projections has some other uses! Here are some bets I like at current SpreadEx lines. See if you can spot a trend. Please don’t bet more than you can afford to lose. 🧵
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
#FPL DRAFT 2026/27 QUALITATIVE TOP 24 In the early rounds you should rely more on human intuition and consensus. Soft factors matter, the average drafter is knowledgeable and one mistake can derail your season. My take on the top 24 by value for an eight-team league. 🧵
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
#FPL DRAFT RANKINGS 2026/27 SEASON My top 120 players (eight-team league) with official scoring. Rankings are driven by projected points per game above replacement, using my own models only. Mins = projected minutes per Premier League game. Plenty of disagreements with consensus. 🧵
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
It’s #FPL Draft season again. Last year I won my eight-team league for the first time, going from worst to first. I did it by carefully ranking players week by week, and along the way I realised that it would not be much additional work to share these rankings publicly. 🧵
FPL Draft 26/27 - what's changed?
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 24/05/2026
#FPL DRAFT RANKINGS GW38 GKP / DEF ratings down with most games expected to be high scoring. Plan accordingly!
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 24/05/2026
PREMIER LEAGUE MARKET RATINGS #FPL GW38 - City clear at the top, now to take a large sip of water and check who won the league - Good "on the beach" indicator to be honest - Biggest risers: Bournemouth, City, Palace - Biggest fallers: Arsenal, Utd, Leeds
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
#FPL DRAFT RANKINGS GW37-38
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
PREMIER LEAGUE MARKET RATINGS #FPL GW37 - City and Arsenal on an island, in part as they both have something to play for - Will Burnley make me extend the axis next week - Biggest risers: Man Utd, Wolves, West Ham - Biggest fallers: Liverpool, Crystal Palace, Burnley
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
#FPL DRAFT RANKINGS GW36-38
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
PREMIER LEAGUE MARKET RATINGS #FPL GW36 - City still top but big swing toward Arsenal in the title race - Also a big gain for Liverpool, playing Villa just before the Europa final - Market likes Spurs to stay up - Biggest risers: Liverpool, Arsenal, Spurs - Biggest fallers: Man City, Fulham, Wolves
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
#FPL DRAFT RANKINGS GW35-38
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
PREMIER LEAGUE MARKET RATINGS #FPL GW35 - Motivation becoming a key factor - Market confident on City as top dog - Biggest risers: Bournemouth, Leeds, Man Utd - Biggest fallers: Spurs, Villa, Forest
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
#FPL DRAFT RANKINGS GW34-38
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
PREMIER LEAGUE MARKET RATINGS #FPL GW34 - Spurs barely underdogs away to Villa in GW35 after one (1) OK performance - Market doubting Arsenal’s ability to win by margin against some weak opponents - Biggest risers: Spurs, Sunderland, Villa - Biggest fallers: Burnley, Man Utd, Palace
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
#FPL DRAFT RANKINGS GW33-38 Fixed an issue where GW31 blanking players were undervalued... we regret the error.
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
PREMIER LEAGUE MARKET RATINGS #FPL GW33 - Market totally bought in on City—seen this film before. - Wolves no longer playing for pride. - Biggest risers: City, Forest, Sunderland - Biggest fallers: Wolves, Liverpool, Burnley
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
#FPL DRAFT RANKINGS GW32-38
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
PREMIER LEAGUE MARKET RATINGS #FPL GW32 - City go top and difficult to disagree - Bottom falling out for the relegated sides - Biggest risers: Fulham, Spurs, Everton - Biggest fallers: Burnley, Chelsea, Arsenal
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
#FPL DRAFT RANKINGS GW31-38 Again too busy for commentary. Forecasts widely up slightly, correcting last week's issue.
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
PREMIER LEAGUE MARKET RATINGS #FPL GW31 - Arsenal and Everton gaining after both taking something from their performance. - Market down on Slot's Liverpool after weird lineup, disappointing result. - Biggest risers: Arsenal, Everton, Burnley - Biggest fallers: Liverpool, Sunderland, Newcastle
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
#FPL DRAFT RANKINGS GW30-38 Busy period at work so no commentary for this gameweek. Forecasts are generally down due to lower market attack ratings relative to GW29.
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
PREMIER LEAGUE MARKET RATINGS #FPL GW30 - Massive move against Arsenal, probably mostly the market lacking confidence in them winning by margin. - Spurs are a bottom three market-rated team. - Biggest risers: Bournemouth, Chelsea, West Ham - Biggest fallers: Arsenal, Crystal Palace, Spurs
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
#FPL DRAFT GKP RANKINGS GW29-38 - More fallers than risers following a gameweek with just two cleans and one expected clean (Man Utd defence vs Palace). - Kelleher's absence was unexpected but he should bounce back. - Darlow unranked but an interesting shout with Leeds in the relegation battle.
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
PREMIER LEAGUE MARKET RATINGS #FPL GW29 - Liverpool rise above City into second place - Newcastle down after losing at home to Everton - Intrigued by consitently high market ratings for Forest - Biggest risers: Arsenal, Brighton, Chelsea - Biggest fallers: Newcastle, Bournemouth, Burnley
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
#FPL DRAFT RANKINGS GW28-38 Switching to a simpler and more straightforward outright points-per-game forecast for these tables. Will be back with w/w changes and commentary from next week!
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
PREMIER LEAGUE MARKET RATINGS #FPL GW28 - Biggest teams all move down but maintain their relative ranking - Huge drop for Chelsea, not sure if it’s horrendous performances, Arsenal on deck or “man age” - Biggest risers: Newcastle, Bournemouth, Brighton - Biggest fallers: Chelsea, Spurs, Arsenal
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
#FPL DRAFT GKP RANKINGS GW27-38 - Alisson rises again after another good defensive display from Liverpool. - Hermansen back to earth but could be a shout apparently keeping his place over Areola. - No ranking yet for Ortega, we will see how Forest perform under Vitor Pereira.
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
PREMIER LEAGUE MARKET RATINGS #FPL GW27 - A lot of “Arsenal in crisis” discourse but they are big favs over Spurs and Chelsea - Liverpool get a big bump after putting up 2.5 xG away to Sunderland - Biggest risers: Liverpool, Arsenal, Bournemouth - Biggest fallers: Crystal Palace, Fulham, Sunderland
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
#FPL DRAFT RANKINGS GW26-38 Struggled with the short turnaround. Rankings to follow without commentary for this gameweek, just about in time for the waiver deadline.
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
PREMIER LEAGUE MARKET RATINGS #FPL GW26 - Arsenal and Wolves move down ahead of presumed double gameweek rotation - Market impressed by City’s big comeback and they take top spot - Biggest risers: Man City, Crystal Palace, Chelsea - Biggest fallers: West Ham, Man Utd, Wolves
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
#FPL DRAFT GKP RANKINGS GW25-38 - Kelleher bumped up to third after his big 10-man clean. - Alisson also rises as Liverpool held Newcastle to just 0.4 xG. - Petrović hauls after Bournemouth clean Wolves, but they conceded less xG against Liverpool!
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
PREMIER LEAGUE MARKET RATINGS #FPL GW25 - Arsenal highest-rated and top of the league… what could go wrong? - Newcastle’s big defeat sees a breakaway big five forming… it does not include Aston Villa - Biggest risers: West Ham, Chelsea, Crystal Palace - Biggest fallers: Fulham, Brighton, Newcastle
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 01/02/2026
Coming off my bench for Ollie Watkins! #FPL
The Kombucha Girl meme making fun of Cody Gakpo not being involved in Liverpool's last 10 goals in all comps and yet hitting DefCon in his pity minutes on Saturday
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
#FPL Draft FWD rankings GW24-38 - Haaland still king despite the poor run of form. - Promising start at West Ham for Taty, and Wolves' Mané also a viable pick. - No ranking for Wissa with competition and so far lacking output and minutes. - Big introduction is Abraham, but too early to rank here.
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
#FPL Draft MID rankings GW24-38 - Bruno F out from the pack and second-best pick in the game. - Still largely a list of attackers despite the introduction of DefCon. - Cole Palmer conspicuous by his absence… goal output has been OK, but just not enough minutes. - Ødegaard also having a poor season.
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
#FPL Draft DEF rankings GW24-38 - Gabriel and Timber in the best defence with secure minutes and attacking threat. - Still backing Muñoz, but we’ll see how long that survives contact with reality. - Forest boys appearing and you would think likely to climb with Dyche in a relegation battle.
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
#FPL Draft GKP rankings GW24-38 - Nine above-replacement-level picks. - Raya still king in draft, albeit there have been grumblings in the main game. - Not the most finished part of the model, but fairly limited value available also.
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FPL Draft Rank @fpldraftrank.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
I am creating this account due to a total absence of content and public-facing analysis (as far as I’m aware) for the official FPL draft game, played on the Premier League app.
The forecast values presented are based on the concept of WAR (wins above replacement), which originated in the sabermetric study of professional baseball. They are defined as the difference between the value of a given player and a replacement-level player at the same position (IE the highest-quality player available once your wider league has filled their squads). Technically the values represent the difference between a given player and the average of a replacement-level player and a substitute in a 4-4-2 formation in an eight-team league. For instance, the forecast presented for a midfielder or defender is their value minus the average of the values of the 32nd and 40th best players in those positions as per the rankings.
I will aim to update these rankings between gameweeks, although it will not be possible in cases of extremely short turnarounds, and life events may also occasionally get in the way. The rankings will always be a work in progress, so please be patient as data issues, methodology changes and fixes crop up along the way.
The rankings aim to capture the long-term value of each player and should not massively fluctuate week to week. They do incorporate the latest injury data where possible. They do not use any forecasts from subscription sites such as FPL Review or Solio Analytics.
I have made the decision not to post any rankings or analysis on the site formerly known as Twitter, despite the vast majority of FPL content still appearing there. This is due to well-publicised issues with leadership and harassment on that site.
A note on variance. FPL takes an already low-scoring sport and squeezes this further. The purpose of these rankings is to limit the human element—hold ranking players, drop others and make calls where differences are marginal...
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