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Yep. The problem is that having exactly the required number of TDs to form a government will result in a very unstable one. They’ll need a buffer of 5+ TDs at least, so they’ll be looking for around 7/8 people in total.

Interesting to see that Fianna Fáil have the lowest vote share in history in the #GE24, yet they’re the largest party. We need a plan and we need to get young people voting again. Make Youngins’ Vote Again! MYVA doesn’t really have a ring to it, though, does it?

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These next few years could very well be a turning point in Irish politics. A strong opposition from SF, SD, LAB, etc could pave the way for a realistic government without FFG. In 2016 SF, SD and LAB had a combined total of 33 seats. Today they’ll have 59. Change takes time, but it’s coming.

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With the Soc Dems performing well, and Labour having a great election, the possibility of an actual alternative to government is looking promising. Sinn Féin will need to engage in an actual strategy with the left the next time around. Vote Left Transfer Left isn’t enough.

I know this isn’t the result that most of us wanted, but I’m feeling oddly positive about the lay of the land after that election. The far right have been annihilated. We’ve lost some good TDs, but we’ve gained some good ones, too. The left is beginning to take a more solid shape. #GE24

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Agreed. I don’t agree with him on most things, but I moved from X to get away from the childish insults. People can disagree without being horrible about it.

Saying unity could be achieved by 2030 is very different from prioritising unity over other important issues. I am a Sinn Féin member, and I can assure you that none of us were told that. SF is a republican party. Unity will always be important, but not at the expense of important social issues.

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I’m not sure there’ll be much disappointment in the Sinn Féin camp tbh. Of course, they would have liked an overwhelming mandate, but comparing this to the Locals and Europeans just a few months ago, where they struggled for 11% of the vote, this was a solid performance.

With context, there will always be excuses. The fact remains, seats are what matters and Sinn Féin look set to be the second largest party in the Dáil. Does that mean it’s been a good election for them? Not necessarily, but that same logic has to apply across the board.

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Jordan @foreire.bsky.social · 01/12/2024

Irish unity wasn’t a message at all in their campaign to be fair. They focused on housing, healthcare and making life easier for low and middle income earners. There’s plenty of things that SF can improve on, but I really don’t think the Irish unity message is one of them.

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I don’t think so, personally. I feel like Sinn Féin took the brunt of the far right, and despite the warnings, people have now realised that a vote for the far right is a vote for FFG. I can see SF gains next time, but I’d like to see a solid left bloc, too.

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Jordan @foreire.bsky.social · 01/12/2024

Im predicting Sinn Féin ending on 39 or 40 seats. If that pans out, this will be their record: 2016: 23 seats. 2020: 37 seats. 2024: 39-40 seats. Fine Gael? 2016: 47 seats. 2020: 35 seats. 2024: 35-36 if they’re lucky. Tell me again who’s losing here? #GE24

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Jordan @foreire.bsky.social · 01/12/2024

Do I get a cookie for being right? 🤔

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Jordan @foreire.bsky.social · 30/11/2024

I’m calling it for Ann Graves and Duncan Smith.

Here’s my game plan: Exit poll shows Sinn Féin and the left having an incredible election. Me: Yes, I knew the Irish people would come through! Exit poll shows Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil having an incredible election. Me: The exit polls aren’t accurate. Never believe the polls. #GE24

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Just back from the polling station in Fingal West. Busier than I’ve seen it in any election before. Seems like turnout is increasing with people returning from work. Get out and vote if you haven’t already!! #GE24

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Stop voting for the parties that are making this happen! #GE24

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Hear me out. Holly should seriously consider naming her baby: General Election Cairns. Jenny for short. Gen-E. That’ll be all. Thanks. #GE24

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I bumped into a fella I knew from school on the way to the polling station this morning. “Ah” says he “I voted for your man from the Freedom Party”. “Right” says I. “Yeah, handy that you can do it online now”. “Can you?” “Yep. Elon got it sorted on X”. “Ah” says I, “that’s nice”. #GE24

Jesus, that’s disgusting. Sorry you’ve had to deal with that.

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richardboydbarrett.pbp.ie @richardboydbarrett.pbp.ie · 28/11/2024

Waking up at 5am due to election day excitement/nerves. Should I wake the mother to go downstairs or is it too early? #GE24 #votelefttransferleft

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Reposted by Jordan

Share and help us with one last push to get as many out to vote tomorrow as possible! Vote Richard Boyd Barrett 1 #anotherirelandispossible #votepbp #ge24

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I have blisters on my feet from canvassing over the last three weeks. I will now be spending the next 3 days eating copious amounts of food and frantically refreshing BlueSky with RTÉ in the background. Bliss.

I wouldn’t be surprised if the Labour candidate in Fingal west took the Green’s seat or potentially the FF one.

Gavan Reilly @gavreilly.com · 28/11/2024

Reposted by Jordan

Reminder: Ireland’s PR-STV electoral system not only allows you to support the candidates you like - but also to punish the ones you don’t. If there’s a candidate(s) you despise, you can promote *literally everyone else* ahead of them by giving those rivals all the preferences on your ballot paper.

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It’s time to get rid of Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil. Let’s be the change we want to see in the world. Let Sinn Féin lead a government of parties who care about us, not themselves. #VoteLeftTransferLeft #GE24

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You’re a national treasure, Paul. If you’re not reelected, I’m going on strike. #KeepPaulinTheDáil

Jordan @foreire.bsky.social · 27/11/2024

They can arrive to government in the stocking!

Jordan @foreire.bsky.social · 27/11/2024

Dear Santa Claus, All I want for Christmas is a government made up of Sinn Féin, The Social Democrats and People Before Profit. I’ve been very good this year. P.S If Simon Harris and Michaél Martin lost their seats, I wouldn’t be upset, either. Thanks. #GE24

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Correct. The idea is that you give preferences to everybody who you can stomach. So, even though I can’t stand the Fine Gael candidate in my area, I’ll give her a very low preference and leave the far right candidate blank, because I’d still rather her than him.

Yes. If there’s a candidate that you absolutely do not want your vote to go to, leave them blank. Even though it’s unlikely, people have been elected on the 15th/16th count, so it’s not impossible that your vote could elect somebody you don’t like if you give them a preference.

I’d argue that you’re better off voting SF #1 if the candidate is popular in the area. With any luck, they’ll be elected early on, and transfers will go to the smaller candidate who will benefit in later counts.