Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 12hRepublicans are concentrating resources on fewer battlegrounds, while Democrats are still playing offense across a broader map. That does not decide the election but it is exactly the kind of late-cycle signal worth watching. 000
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 12hLatest DDHQ outlook: 🏛️ House: 76% D Median: 235 D – 200 R 🏛️ Senate: 57% D Median: 51 D – 49 R Those numbers are only slightly different from the last briefing, so today’s real story is strategic allocation, not a major model jump. 100
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 12hThere’s a similar signal in the House. In Nebraska’s 2nd District, the Republican-aligned Congressional Leadership Fund pulled about $1.1M in reserved ads. The Democratic side also cut spending there, suggesting both camps may increasingly see the race as less competitive than before. 100
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 12hRepublican Michael Whatley’s campaign has now paused TV advertising, after GOP outside groups had already redirected major spending elsewhere. Roy Cooper (D) still leads by roughly 9 points in polling averages, and DDHQ has the race at about 83% D. NC is looking increasingly difficult for GOP. 100
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 12h🧵🇺🇸 MIDTERMS UPDATE Oct. 8 Two new campaign-spending signals today both point in the same direction: Republicans are getting more selective about where they spend. The biggest one is North Carolina Senate. 100
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 12hartificial intelligence artificial intelligence artificial intelligence artificial intelligence artificial intelligence artificial intelligence artificial intelligence artificial intelligence artificial intelligence artificial intelligence artificial intelligence artificial intelligence 000
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Turns out he's not 47, but number 147 in the ranking of Wharton School of Business, scoring in the lower half of his year. 000
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 08/10/2026France sent a statue to the USA some time ago. Europe will repeat that in 2027. youtu.be/zyiLs7IlDds?...youtu.beGolden statue of naked Trump called 'Orange Plague' appears at European ParliamentYouTube video by The Independent 000
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Current DDHQ outlook: 🏛️ House: 75% D Median: 234 D – 201 R 🏛️ Senate: 56% D Median: 51 D – 49 R The House barely moved. The real story is Senate. More Democratic pickup routes, fewer Republican escape routes, and Kansas now officially in play. 000
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 07/10/2026And Iowa remains very much alive. New Suffolk poll: 🔵 Josh Turek 48% 🔴 Ashley Hinson 44% The polling average still says pure Toss Up territory but Iowa clearly isn’t functioning as a Republican firewall. 122
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 07/10/2026At the same time, two possible GOP opportunities are fading: New Hampshire now has fresh polls showing Chris Pappas ahead by 7–8 points. North Carolina has hardened further toward Democrats, with Roy Cooper now around 83% in DDHQ’s model. That improves the map from both directions. 100
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Kansas is the headline. A state that hasn’t elected a Democratic senator since 1932 is now officially a Cook Toss Up. DDHQ is still more cautious, but its polling average has Democrat Adam Hamilton essentially tied with Roger Marshall. Kansas is now part of the real battlefield. 100
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 07/10/2026🧵🇺🇸 MIDTERMS UPDATE Oct. 7 The Senate map moved again and this time Cook made three meaningful shifts toward Democrats: 🟣 Kansas: Lean R → Toss Up 🔵 New Hampshire: Toss Up → Lean D 🔵 North Carolina: Lean D → Likely D That is a significant improvement in the Democratic path to control. 100
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 05/10/2026Current projection for January 2027: 🏛️ House: 235 D – 200 R 🏛️ Senate: 51 D – 49 R Nothing changes in Washington today. But the trend line is clear: Democrats are still gaining ground, and Republicans are having to defend more of the map than they wanted to. 000
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 05/10/2026The House picture is also getting harder for Republicans. Democrats are expanding their offensive map into more GOP-held territory, while DDHQ’s median has now moved from 234–201 to 235–200. Small shift, but in the same direction as the recent Cook moves. 100
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 05/10/2026The Senate map is still the wild part: 🟣 Toss Up: Iowa, Ohio, Maine, Texas 🔵 Lean D: Alaska, Michigan 🔵 Likely D: North Carolina 🔴 Lean R: Kansas That is a remarkably broad battlefield this late in the cycle. 110
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 05/10/2026🧵🇺🇸 MIDTERMS UPDATE Oct. 5 Another small but real move toward Democrats in both chambers. DDHQ now has: 🏛️ House: 76% D / 24% R 🏛️ Senate: 56% D / 44% R And the House median just moved to 235 D – 200 R. 100
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 05/10/2026Current DDHQ projection remains: 🏛️ House: 75% D Median: 234 D – 201 R 🏛️ Senate: 55% D Median: 51 D – 49 R Nothing changes in Congress today. But for January 2027, the Democratic Senate path is becoming more concrete and less dependent on a single must-win state. 000
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 05/10/2026Why this matters: Democrats currently have a 47-seat caucus and need 51 for control. A plausible path is now: ✅ North Carolina ✅ Alaska ✅ Ohio ✅ Texas That gets them to 51 without needing Maine, Iowa or Kansas. That is a much healthier map than Democrats had earlier in the cycle. 100
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 05/10/2026Elsewhere: 🇺🇸 Texas 🔵 Talarico 51 🔴 Republican 45 🇺🇸 Ohio 🔵 Sherrod Brown +3 🇺🇸 Iowa 🔴 R +1 🇺🇸 Kansas 🟣 Tied The Senate battlefield remains broad but Democrats now have multiple realistic pickup routes. 110
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 05/10/2026The biggest move is Alaska: 🔵 Mary Peltola 50% 🔴 Dan Sullivan 43% Siena had Sullivan ahead by 2 in June. That is a 9-point swing with the same pollster, and Peltola is now at 50%. Alaska is no longer just theoretical. 110
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 05/10/2026🧵🇺🇸 2026 MIDTERMS UPDATE Oct. 4 The Democratic path to a Senate majority just became clearer. New NYT/Siena polling shows Democrats leading in Alaska, Texas and Ohio, three Republican-held seats that could decide control of the chamber. 110
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Classical depictions of demons are incorrect. This is what they truly look like. 000
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Experts describe it as an exceptionally complicated situation. America experts describe it simply as: America. Satire, adapted from a Dutch piece published Oct. 1, 2026. 000
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 04/10/2026The state tries to kill you. The attempt goes wrong. Doctors save you. You receive a six-figure bill for surviving. You can’t pay it. So you may end up in prison 100
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 04/10/2026“So now I’m personally responsible for the hospital costs. Obviously I can never pay $300,000, so there’s a pretty good chance I’ll end up behind bars.” Which would admittedly simplify the logistics. 100
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 04/10/2026After waking up from anesthesia, Pike discovers that the emergency treatment that kept her alive came to more than $300,000. “I apparently wasn’t insured for this,” she says, “and unfortunately neither was my Tennessee prison.” 100
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Sometimes satire doesn’t exaggerate reality very much. It just rearranges the words until the contradiction becomes impossible to ignore. Satirical adaptation of a Dutch piece published Oct. 2, 2026. 000
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 04/10/2026And that’s the grotesque paradox: Society mobilizes doctors, medicine and emergency care to preserve a human life… …so the government can deliberately end that same life later. 100
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 04/10/2026The spokesperson waits anxiously outside the hospital: “Doctors are doing everything in their power to save her life so she can eventually receive a proper execution.” Maybe a firing squad. Maybe hanging. Anything, apparently, as long as the state gets to kill her “the right way.” 100
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 04/10/2026After Pike reportedly survived two lethal-injection attempts, doctors are now doing everything they can to keep her alive. A Tennessee spokesperson says: “We’re all praying for Christa. We really hope she pulls through, so next time we can execute her correctly.” 110
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Doctors are fighting to save death-row prisoner Christa Pike’s life so the state of Tennessee can execute her properly later. 100
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Dear next POTUS, please make Jack Smith AG. 000
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Current DDHQ outlook: 🏛️ House: 75% D / 25% R Median: 234 D – 201 R 🏛️ Senate: 54% D / 46% R Median: 51 D-caucus – 49 R 000
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Elsewhere, I am very concerned about Maine. A new CBS/YouGov poll has: 🔵 Troy Jackson 50% 🔴 Susan Collins 50% Maine remains a pure Toss Up. 100
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 03/10/2026That does not mean Kansas is about to flip. But it does mean GOP resources are being stretched into territory they would normally expect to hold comfortably. That matters in a year where Senate control could come down to just one seat. 101
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 03/10/2026In North Carolina, DDHQ currently has the race at: 🔵 82% D 🔴 18% R That is now a Likely D race in its model. Kansas, meanwhile, is still Likely R, but Republicans are suddenly spending heavily there to defend Sen. Roger Marshall. 110
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 03/10/2026🧵🇺🇸 2026 MIDTERMS UPDATE Oct. 3 A notable shift in the Senate battlefield today: The GOP’s main Senate super PAC is pulling back in North Carolina and redirecting millions into Kansas. That says a lot about where Republicans now feel pressure. 110
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Federal outlook: 🏛️ HOUSE 🔵 D 75% 🔴 R 25% Median: 234 D – 201 R 🏛️ SENATE 🔵 D 55% 🔴 R 45% Median: 51 D – 49 R The headline: Republicans are now defending territory that was supposed to be safe. 000
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Meanwhile, the Senate battlefield remains brutal: 🇺🇸 Texas Senate 🔵 Talarico 51 🔴 Paxton 49 🇺🇸 Iowa Senate 🔵 Turek 49 🔴 Hinson 47 Both were already battlegrounds, so this confirms rather than redraws the map. 100
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 02/10/2026FLORIDA: same story. Republican Byron Donalds remains favored, but recent polling has Democrat David Jolly close enough that Cook no longer considers the race comfortably Republican. Florida is now Lean R. 100
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 02/10/2026TEXAS: Gov. Greg Abbott is still favored, but Cook says Democrat Gina Hinojosa has closed the gap enough to force a rating change. That is not a Democratic pickup projection. But “Likely R” becoming Lean R is a real warning sign for Republicans. 110
Trump is a Russian asset @flannk.bsky.social · 02/10/2026🧵🇺🇸 MIDTERMS ALERT Oct. 2 The GOP governor map just got worse. Cook Political Report moved TEXAS and FLORIDA from Likely R → Lean R. Yes: Texas. And Florida. Two states Republicans normally expect to bank are now officially more competitive. 241
