iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 30/04/2026

🚨Political economy workshop at BI - May 28 🚨 👉 send me an email if you would like to attend Presenters: Sophie Hatte, @siggi-econ.bsky.social, Laura Barros, Nicola Mastrorocco, @moritz-marbach.com, @bcegerod.bsky.social, @oskorge.bsky.social, @alicirone.bsky.social, @maxemilking.bsky.social

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 24/04/2026

Very happy to see our APSR paper out today. Figure 2 tells the main story: in Norway, criminal backgrounds become rarer at each step from citizens to candidates to elected officials. Additional analyses point to political parties as key gatekeepers. cup.org/3OKSdbH

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 28/08/2025

Norway votes in 11 days 🇳🇴 More than a century after PR was introduced, women still hold under half the seats. In Norway’s closed-list system, nomination order is decisive—women are projected to occupy ~44% of seats in 2025 (based on 2021 party seat shares across districts).

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 27/08/2025

Utjevningsmandatene i Norge deles ut i runder til partiene som "mest fortjener det". Her er hvordan det så ut i 2021 (tror jeg, med forbehold om feil😅).

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 27/08/2025

MDG ber velgere stemme taktisk for å passere sperregrensa (mdg.no/taktisk). Illustrasjonen 👇 er litt optimistisk, men viser en viktig diskontinuitet i valgsystemet. I 2021 ville 1720 flere stemmer til MDG gitt 4 ekstra mandater – tatt fra FrP (2), SV og H.

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 23/06/2025

Det er en relevant innvending. Her er noen figurer fra et foredrag jeg holdt i forrige uke. Som du ser er det også svært få treff på «sykepenger». Røde sirkler: R, SV, AP Grønne firkanter: SP, KRF, V Blå trekanter: H, FRP

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 23/06/2025

Re (2) - her er en figur som viser sykefravær i Norge sammenlignet med andre Nordiske land (data via SSB, se link):

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 21/06/2025

In Oslo this Monday? We're running a Political Economics Mini Workshop—reach out if you'd like to attend. Presentations by Enrico Cantoni, @annkristinkolln.bsky.social, Sara Cools, Stine Hesstvedt, and @siggi-econ.bsky.social.

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 17/06/2025

The newly released 2025 election lists reveal a persistent pattern: in Norway, women remain underrepresented at the top—despite 100+ years of proportional representation.

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 13/05/2025

That's interesting. Using a failed re-nomination design, @nedregardoda.bsky.social and I find that lame-duck status has a strong negative effect on legislative effort.

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 13/05/2025

We also study longevity using a RD design on close parliamentary elections (1921-1981). Unlike U.S.-based studies claiming big lifespan gains from winning office, we find no RD jump. Lines up w. @statmodeling.bsky.social’s skepticism: 🔗 statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/07/02/n...

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 13/05/2025

Could mayors just be delaying care while in office? We checked. Comparing one-term to multi-term mayors, we see no spike in GP visits after leaving office.

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 13/05/2025

What do we find? ✅ Mayors get a big income boost when elected. 🩺 But contrary to common narratives, winning office reduces visits to general practitioners—especially for psychological and musculoskeletal issues.

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 14/01/2025

Action photos from @maxemilking.bsky.social great PhD defense today at the Norwegian Business School. Many thanks to the excellent committee, @johannarickne.bsky.social, Guido Friebel, and @hsigstad.bsky.social.

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 28/11/2024

Excited to be back at my alma mater @ntnu-econ.bsky.social to present "Vetting for Virtue: Democracy’s Challenge in Excluding Criminals from Office" (w/ siggi1.bsky.social and R. Sørensen) at #Forskermøtet. Here is a graph giving the big picture:

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 26/11/2024

In @alicirone.bsky.social et al. (2021), we find that that 15% of winnable spots are contested. In contrast, about 75% of open nominations in the US House are contested. Nomination fights typically occur between individuals with equal seniority within the party. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 26/11/2024

These figures show the fraction of legislators voting in Parliament on a given day by quarters from the nomination meeting. - Left: Nomination fight losers. - Right: All other incumbents.

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 16/11/2024

#SaturdayGraph: While most Norwegian political parties select positively on lawfulness, two parties stand out, the anti-establishment parties on the far-left (R) and far-right (FrP)

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 21/10/2024

We find that in municipality-years where the local party organization was already active (i.e., they ran a list in the previous election cycle), candidate vetting appears particularly strong.

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 21/10/2024

Through a series of counterfactual exercises, we demonstrate that the most significant reduction in criminal involvement occurs already at the nomination stage. Voter influence in excluding candidates with criminal histories is small.

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 21/10/2024

Using admin data from Norway, we demonstrate that electoral processes can indeed effectively screen out individuals with criminal backgrounds from elected bodies.

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 21/10/2024

Previous studies show that voters may be reluctant or unable to remove candidates who prioritize their own interests over the public good. Trump is a prominent example

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 21/10/2024

The belief that democratic processes are sufficient to keep dishonest individuals out of office has deep historical roots. For example, in defense of the electoral college, Alexander Hamilton, the likely author of the 68th essay of The Federalist Papers, wrote:

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 08/10/2024

Group Identities and Parliamentary Debates New updated version of my paper with @nedregardoda.bsky.social and Henning Øien www.jon.fiva.no/docs/FivaNed...

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 23/10/2023

Bound by Borders: Voter Mobilization through Social Networks New CESifo wp. with Gary Cox and @maxemilking.bsky.social www.cesifo.org/en/publicati...

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 26/09/2023

The party is on, get in line. Oda Nedregård defends her thesis today with awesome discussants Elliot Ash and Pauline Grosjean.

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 22/09/2023

Paper with Max-Emil King www.jon.fiva.no/docs/FivaKin...

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 22/09/2023

The weekend starts here! EJ Data Editor is happy:

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 20/09/2023

Workshop program is 🔥🔥🔥

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Jon Fiva @fiva.no · 20/09/2023

Hello Bluesky! I am excited to be going to Paris tomorrow to present new research with @alicirone.bsky.social, Gary Cox, @profdansmith.bsky.social, and Dawn Teele.

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