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Tae Kim

@firstadopter.bsky.social
4.9K followers 2.1K following 1.6K posts

"Key Context" Substack founder, covering Nvidia, AI and tech. Priors: Barron's, Bloomberg Opinion tech columnist. Subscribe taekim.substack.com

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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
According to a source familiar, President Donald Trump called Jensen Huang this morning. POTUS had seen reports that Jensen wasn't coming and wanted him to join the China trip. Jensen flew to Alaska to meet Air Force One. $NVDA
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
My latest: AMD Stock Soars 15% After Q1 Earnings. CEO Doubles CPU Outlook on Agentic AI $AMD taekim.substack.com/p/amd-stock-...
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
My latest: Jensen Huang - Your Ambition Is ‘Not High Enough’ $NVDA taekim.substack.com/p/jensen-hua...
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
My latest: The State of AI After Google, Meta, Amazon, Microsoft Earnings taekim.substack.com/p/the-state-...
taekim.substack.com
The State of AI After Google, Meta, Amazon, Microsoft Earnings
All four technology companies showed robust growth, demonstrating that the agentic AI megatrend is real.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 25/04/2026
The semiconductor stock index is up 39% month-to-date $SOXX $SMH $NVDA $MU
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
My victory lap on Intel and why it's just the beginning: Intel Shares Soar 27% After Confirming 'Unprecedented' Agentic AI Demand for CPUs. Here Are the Biggest Takeaways from Earnings. taekim.substack.com/p/intel-shar...
taekim.substack.com
Intel Shares Soar 27% After Confirming 'Unprecedented' Agentic AI Demand for CPUs. Here Are the Biggest Takeaways from Earnings.
When most of Wall Street and the mainstream media held a stale, skeptical fundamental view on Intel, Key Context was very bullish on Intel shares.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
My latest: An Interview with OpenAI President Greg Brockman - ‘There’s not going to be enough compute’ taekim.substack.com/p/an-intervi...
taekim.substack.com
An Interview with OpenAI President Greg Brockman: ‘There’s not going to be enough compute’
Key Context spoke with OpenAI cofounder Greg Brockman to discuss the latest model, the company’s AI infrastructure commitments and how AI agents will change everything.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
OpenAI Unveils GPT-5.5. Company Says Expect a Faster Model Release Pace 👀 OpenAI: "We see pretty significant improvements in the short term, extremely significant improvements in the medium term" "I would say the last few years have been surprisingly slow.”" taekim.substack.com/p/openai-unv...
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 19/04/2026
Was forced to upgrade to Tahoe (new M5 laptop). Whoever greenlit the transparency design language is an idiot. Let's make things harder to read for a productivity machine, said no one.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
Newswrap: TSMC Earnings, Nvidia I'm 'No Loser' CEO on Dwarkesh Podcast taekim.substack.com/p/newswrap-t...
taekim.substack.com
Newswrap: TSMC Earnings, Nvidia I'm 'No Loser' CEO on Dwarkesh Podcast
“You’re not talking to somebody who woke up a loser.” - Jensen Huang
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
My latest: "The Best Way to Invest in Memory Chip Stocks" taekim.substack.com/p/the-best-w...
taekim.substack.com
The Best Way to Invest in Memory Chip Stocks
The fundamentals surrounding the memory chip trade have only gotten better.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 11/04/2026
OpenAI holds a massive advantage over Anthropic going forward as larger compute capacity will allow it to generate significantly more revenue. “Anthropic is operating on a meaningfully smaller curve .. our ramp is materially ahead and widening,” OpenAI wrote .. “scale is now a real differentiator"
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
My latest: OpenAI Highlights Massive Compute Advantage Over Anthropic to Investors taekim.substack.com/p/exclusive-...
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Newswrap: Amazon CEO Defiant on AI, Dell CEO Sees Exponential Memory Demand Explosion Read why Dell says memory makers are "scared little puppies" and why that's bullish taekim.substack.com/p/newswrap-a...
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
My latest: "Don't Panic on OpenAI and Nvidia" taekim.substack.com/p/dont-panic...
taekim.substack.com
Don't Panic on OpenAI and Nvidia
My biggest value add to readers over the last few years has been convincing people to trust the underlying fundamentals amid macro and Trump-driven volatility.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
My latest: "Nvidia Wins MLPerf AI Inference Benchmarks While Google Is a No-Show Again" taekim.substack.com/p/nvidia-win...
taekim.substack.com
Nvidia Wins MLPerf AI Inference Benchmarks While Google Is a No-Show Again
On Wednesday, MLCommons revealed the latest data for its industry-standard AI benchmark, MLPerf Inference v6.0. Nvidia once again dominated, setting new performance throughput records.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
My latest: DeepSeek Part Two - Why AI Skeptics Are Wrong. 10 Stocks That Will Win taekim.substack.com/p/deepseek-p...
taekim.substack.com
DeepSeek Part Two: Why AI Skeptics Are Wrong. 10 Stocks That Will Win.
The market feels eerily similar to last year's panic over Trump's tariffs and the misplaced worries about DeepSeek.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
My latest: Arm Unveils New AI CPU and Highlights Massive Demand. Good News for Intel and AMD taekim.substack.com/p/arm-unveil...
taekim.substack.com
Arm Unveils New AI CPU and Highlights Massive Demand. Good News for Intel and AMD.
Arm CEO confirms the megatrend of soaring demand for server CPUs driven by AI agents.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
My latest: Nvidia's Bill Dally and Google's Jeff Dean on GPUs vs. TPUs, Future of AI Agents, and Importance of Inference. "90% of the power in data centers is going into inference" taekim.substack.com/p/nvidias-bi...
taekim.substack.com
Nvidia's Bill Dally and Google's Jeff Dean on the Future of AI and the Importance of Inference
Dally declared: '90% of the power in data centers is going into inference'
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
My latest: An Interview with Nvidia’s Ian Buck - Why AWS Is Buying a Million GPUs taekim.substack.com/p/an-intervi...
taekim.substack.com
An Interview with Nvidia’s Ian Buck: Why AWS Is Buying a Million GPUs
Amazon Web Services will purchase more than 1 million Nvidia GPUs by year end 2027.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
Thanks for the shoutout Josh! “Tae wrote basically the Bible of the Nvidia story .. he is the world’s foremost authority on Nvidia” - @Downtown podcasts.thecompoundnews.com/show/TCAF/nv...
podcasts.thecompoundnews.com
Nvidia GTC Highlights, Uber Is Too Cheap, Cliffwater and the Pri…
Join ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Downtown Josh Brown⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Michael Batnick⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ for another episode of What Are Your Th…
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
My latest: Nvidia GTC Day Three - Groq Integration and Vera CPU taekim.substack.com/p/nvidia-gtc...
taekim.substack.com
Nvidia GTC Day Three: Groq Integration and Vera CPU
Nvidia senior executive Ian Buck explains how the Groq chip and Vera CPU are game changers.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
My latest: Nvidia GTC Day Two Jensen Q&A - 7 Key Takeaways taekim.substack.com/p/nvidia-gtc...
taekim.substack.com
Nvidia GTC Day Two: Jensen Q&A - 7 Key Takeaways
Jensen Huang discussed AI disruption risk, stock buybacks and Taiwan.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
My latest: Nvidia GTC Day One - Groq Will Be a Grand Slam Homerun taekim.substack.com/p/nvidia-gtc...
taekim.substack.com
Nvidia GTC Day One: Groq Will Be a Grand Slam Homerun
From what I heard from Jensen Huang and founder Jonathan Ross, it looks like the Groq deal is going to deliver.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
Nintendo stock is up 15% in TWO DAYS after I was the first to call out the Pokopia thesis Monday morning ahead of Wall Street. Here's what I wrote:
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
BOOM. LFG! via @zhugeex.com
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
Nintendo was a Vinik-type play, a positive fundamental inflection point driven by Pokemon Pokopia mania that surprised even Nintendo itself. Vinik: "look for the change in fundamentals (earnings). Sell when the fundamentals deteriorate, valuations get high or you have better ideas"
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
Nintendo stock up another 3.9% today, following yesterday's 5.9% gain. You can see exactly when my Nintendo post was published on the chart yesterday morning at 10:27AM. Best-in-class fundamental analysis email newsletter and market-moving -> taekim.substack.com
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
I was up all night writing this. Enjoy! My latest: Nintendo Stock Is a Buy on This New Upside Surprise taekim.substack.com/p/nintendo-s...
taekim.substack.com
Nintendo Stock Is a Buy on This New Upside Surprise
Everything changed this weekend. Reports of Nintendo's demise are greatly exaggerated.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
What I wrote LAST WEEK on what Anthropic's exponential warp speed growth means for the industry, AI chips and Nvidia: "I don’t think these figures were covered enough in the media." "if Dario is accurate, the potential upside is MUCH larger" $NVDA taekim.substack.com/p/citrini-se...
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 01/03/2026
Most of my internet media consumption has moved to email newsletters (yes, I may be a little biased here). The signal-to-noise ratio of the best Substacks is unmatched compared to legacy media. Here's my recommendation list: taekim.substack.com/p/taes-recom...
taekim.substack.com
Tae’s Recommended Newsletters
Best of the best.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
My latest: Nvidia's Earnings - 3 Surprising Reasons They Were Incredibly Bullish taekim.substack.com/p/nvidias-ea...
taekim.substack.com
Nvidia's Earnings: 3 Surprising Reasons They Were Incredibly Bullish
The market so far is not impressed, but it should be.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
My latest: Citrini Selloff and Why OpenAI, Anthropic SHOULD Lose Money to Be Successful. open.substack.com/pub/taekim/p...
open.substack.com
Citrini Selloff and Why OpenAI, Anthropic SHOULD Lose Money to Be Successful.
The market puked on Citrini, plus thoughts on OpenAI's and Anthropic's business model.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
WOW. Michael @michaeljburry just shared his thoughts on why Korean stocks trade at a discount and his adventures investing in Korea. This is the kind of incredible discourse you'll find exclusively in my Key Context Substack chat room. Subcribe here: taekim.substack.com
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
"Key Context has learned that Google has not submitted its current-generation AI chip, TPU v7 Ironwood, for the latest MLPerf Inference v6.0 performance benchmark managed by MLCommons, according to three sources familiar with the matter." taekim.substack.com/p/did-google...
taekim.substack.com
Did Google Chicken Out on the 'Gold Standard' AI Performance Benchmark Again?
Three sources say Google has not submitted its latest AI TPU chip for MLPerf Inference v6.0.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
HOLY CRAP. A six-figure run rate ONE day after launch. Absolutely bonkers. I'm so grateful and overwhelmed. Thank you, everyone. Subscribe here: taekim.substack.com
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
I be wrong again and again, so my subscribers can make money. "I Was Wrong Again on Memory Chip Stocks Here's how to play it" taekim.substack.com/p/i-was-wron...
taekim.substack.com
I Was Wrong Again on Memory Chip Stocks
Here's how to play it
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
LFG! #1 new bestseller on Substack. #1 rising bestseller in Finance.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
Big news. I’m now FULLY independent. My new Substack “Key Context by Tae Kim” LAUNCHES TODAY at taekim.substack.com. It will cover Nvidia, AI and tech. For a limited time, there is a GRAND OPENING DEAL: 60% off for the first 2,000 subscribers. Subscribe here: taekim.substack.com
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
[LOL. Dario just said Anthropic may be able to grow revenue 3X a year at a HUNDREDS OF BILLIONS OF DOLLARS runrate level] Dario Amodei on @dwarkesh_sp www.youtube.com/watch?v=n1E9...
youtube.com
Dario Amodei — “We are near the end of the exponential”
YouTube video by Dwarkesh Patel
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Recommending Vertiv in a December 2023 cover story remains one of my all-time great calls. The stock has more than quintupled since then. "4Q25 Orders came in at about $8.4bn, +252% y/y and +117% q/q vs. expectations closer to ~$4bn." h/t @Shanu Mathew
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
The definitive list of the best newsletters on the internet. Congrats to all who made it.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
Amazon Web Services CEO Matt Garman said today there is so much demand they have NEVER retired an Nvidia A100 GPU. The A100 is nearly SIX YEARS OLD. And you're still bearish?
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Kevin Warsh on the importance of stable prices: "Somehow, after the great inflation that served many of us well [wealthly owners of financial assets] and did great harm to our fellow citizens, barely a peep" from politicians.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang: "The entire supply chain is challenging this year because demand is so much more. The supply has been growing 100% every year, but supply's demand is going faster than that. And so, we're gonna have a very good year." $NVDA
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
Wow. China is dumping insanely cheap bubble tea and flooding the U.S. with delicious, affordable ice cream now. The key stronghold Time Square has fallen. Our trade defenses are crumbling!
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Welp, at least on a day like today you can see what the podshops are long and short as they degross after the risk managers tap their shoulders.
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
A Churchillian speech. “The middle powers must act together because if we’re not at the table, we’re on the menu” - Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney www.youtube.com/watch?v=dE98...
youtube.com
Davos LIVE: Canadian PM Mark Carney speaks at World Economic Forum
YouTube video by Associated Press
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Christopher Hohn had a good year. www.barrons.com/articles/chr...
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Tae Kim @firstadopter.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Former CEO of Amazon Worldwide Consumer just vibecoded a custom CRM for his company over the weekend. Well, alrighty then.
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