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Francesco Fasani

@ffasani.bsky.social
232 followers 173 following 23 posts

Professor of Economics - University of Milan - DEMM. Migration, refugees, crime, labour economics and politics. Partner, father and step-father. sites.google.com/site/fasani2010/ho…

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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Read our piece for VOX EU CEPR: cepr.org/voxeu/column... And our WP: www.rfberlin.com/network-pape...
cepr.org
The politics of asylum: How local exposure reshaped UK voting
The UK has seen a sharp rise in asylum applications since the Covid-19 pandemic. This column examines how exposure to asylum seekers affects voter behaviour. The authors find that increases in dispersed asylum seekers – who are provided with accommodation but cannot choose their destination – lead to a sizeable rightward shift in local election outcomes. While migration has become more salient for both of the UK’s main political parties, only Conservative MPs appear to effectively channel local discontent, helping explain why these rightward electoral shifts occur despite little observable change in public attitudes.
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Whether this shift will prove durable is unclear, but it suggests that efforts by mainstream parties to channel anti-immigration discontent – previously effective for the Conservatives and recently attempted by Labour – are no longer succeeding, leaving hostile narratives as strong as ever.
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Although our study concludes in 2019, recent UK developments can be read through its lens. The two historically dominant parties are currently commanding only about 35% of the vote combined, while Reform UK is above 30% under Nigel Farage’s strongly anti-immigration platform.
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
While migration has become more salient for both parties over time, only Conservative MPs react to local exposure: those representing areas with more dispersed AS place greater emphasis on migration, whereas Labour MPs do not. There is no effect of non-dispersed AS.
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Looking into mechanisms: we find no impact on British residents’ attitudes, who do not become more hostile to AS when exposed to them. The effect on voting seems to be driven by higher salience of the issue, which we study examining a dataset of all parliamentary speeches from 2004–19.
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Similar rightward shifts appear in the five general elections held during our study period and in British Election Study panel data, which allow us to track within-individual changes in voting intentions. We also estimate higher support for ‘Leave’ in the 2016 Brexit referendum.
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
We find that increases in dispersed AS lead to a sizeable rightward shift in local election outcomes: a one standard deviation rise widens the Conservative–Labour vote-share gap by 3.1 percentage points in favour of the Conservatives. No effect if detected for non-dispersed AS.
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
We deal with this endogeneity by developing an instrument based on pre-determined public housing quality. Our IV has a strong first stage for dispersed AS, while not predicting – as expected – residential choices of non-dispersed AS (which we instrument with a std network IV).
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Although dispersed AS have no-say in choosing the area they are assigned to, we show that there is politics in the allocation: Labour areas persistently receive larger shares.
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
2/n In the UK, AS who need free accommodation are dispersed across Local Authorities on a no-choice basis, but those who can support themselves can choose their areas. This opt-out margin enables us to compare the electoral effects of AS subject to different placement regimes in the same context.
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
WP alert: In new work with S.Ferro, @alessioromarri.bsky.social and E.Pasini we provide the first causal evaluation of the political impact of asylum seekers (AS) in the UK. cepr.org/voxeu/column... (a thread: 1/n)
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Reposted by Francesco Fasani
ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin @rfberlin.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
Next on the program, @ffasani.bsky.social presents “Securing European Borders? Enforcement, Politics and Externalisation”.
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
We look forward to receiving your applications!
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
Contract duration: 2 years Gross annual salary: €38,900 (approximately €26,000 net) Application deadline: November 13, 2025 (12:00 noon) You can find all the details regarding eligibility and application procedures in the official calls available at the links above.
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
JOB ALERT We have opened two post-doc research positions (“Contratti di Ricerca”) at DEMM – Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods, University of Milan: 1. Economics: www.unimi.it/it/ateneo/la... 2. Business Economics and Management: www.unimi.it/it/ateneo/la...
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Reposted by Francesco Fasani
Tommaso Frattini @tomfratti.bsky.social · 29/05/2025
L'8 e il 9 giugno in Italia si vota per cinque referendum. Con @ffasani.bsky.social su La Voce abbiamo spiegato perché il Sì al quesito sulla #cittadinanza beneficerebbe tutti, e ci farebbe fare un passo avanti (anche se riportandoci ad una legge del 1912!). lavoce.info/archives/107...
Grafico che riporta l'evoluzione tra il 1990 e il 2024 del requisito minimo di anni di residenza previsto in ciascun paese europeo per potere accedere alla cittadinanza.
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 09/05/2025
#EuropeDay #gazalastday #ultimogiornodigaza on.ft.com/4jHm6ny
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 06/03/2025
Felicitats!! So well deserved!
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 01/03/2025
Open day at @LaStatale SPES - today we introduce our undergraduate programmes to hundreds of high school students I'll try my best to present our newborn ECON - Behaviour, Data and Policy @DemmUnimi
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
After the #GermanElections, my humble suggestion for left and centre-left parties across the globe... (Credits to #MarioDraghi and ostello bello)
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Reposted by Francesco Fasani
Anna Bindler @annabindler.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
❗ Call for papers: drive.google.com/file/d/16bOU... 📮Submit your papers here: bit.ly/4183vJ8
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 17/02/2025
Let me in, thansk!
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
#econsky junior reserachers apply for #JEM25 May29-30 in Milan! All info below
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
L'Italia, il Bel Paese che tiene in carcere l'attivista curda #MaysoonMajidi per 10 mesi prima di riconoscerne l'innocenza, mentre i suoi ministri si fanno in 4 per evitare la prigione al generale libico #Almasri , accusato di tortura dalla Corte Penale Internazioanle...
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Reposted by Francesco Fasani
ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin @rfberlin.bsky.social · 21/01/2025
📰 "L’intesa con l’Albania e gli altri accordi che non funzionano" – @ffasani.bsky.social and @tomfratti.bsky.social examine the effectiveness of border externalization policies, including the Italy-Albania protocol, in the ECO magazine. #Migration #Policy
rfberlin.com
Fasani and Frattini Examine Border Externalization in ECO
L'intesa con l'Albania e gli altri accordi che non funzionano ('The arrangement with Albania and other agreements that don't work') - an article by Francesco Fasani and Tommaso Frattini on the effects...
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Joël Machado @joelmachado.eu · 08/01/2025
With @jeromevalette.bsky.social & Simone Bertoli, we are thrilled to announce the Call for Papers for the 3rd edition of the Junior Workshop on the Economics of Migration on 23-24 June 2025 @CERDI, Clermont-Ferrand, France. Submit until 23 February 2025 on economig2025.sciencesconf.org
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
Report available at the following link: www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etud...
europarl.europa.eu
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Francesco Fasani @ffasani.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
My first post on Bluesky! "NEW APPROACHES TO LABOUR MARKET INTEGRATION OF MIGRANTS AND REFUGEES" For the EU Parliament, I reviewed over 160 studies from econ, pol science, sociology, migration studies, etc. on #migrant and #refugee #integration
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