iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

So I see #CFL fans are saying "the crossover is the easier path!" Let's not let actual stats get in the way of that 🙃 Since 1997: West 3rd place: 3 Grey Cups Crossover: 0 for 13, and 0-5 in the East Final Both win about 1 in 3 semi-finals. After that, it's not close.

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Upset Saturday in Southwestern Ontario!!! #OUA #OUAFootball

If there were "lines" for #OUAFootball #OUA ... these are what they would be!

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Mark Fulton @fenderguy69.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

And before anyone asks ... here's what it can & can't do & it's limitations & caveats!

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And that then gives us this ... 1. Team Rankings 2. Remaining Game Forecast 3. Standings & Playoff Matchups/Playdowns 4. Simulation Odds

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Mark Fulton @fenderguy69.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

#CFL Power Rankings, Predictions & Simulations 🧵👇 How does a 20,000-season Monte Carlo simulation view the CFL playoff chase? We built a data-driven model using team stats, 34 key differentials, and 65 played games to project the stretch run. Here's how it works 📊

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Mark Fulton @fenderguy69.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

#CFL Attendance Forecast/Predictions: Week 18 (Edit: Used former AI calc & image generator)

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Mark Fulton @fenderguy69.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

When they showed it to me when I was first coming out from the sedation I asked if I could keep it! And now you get to see it as well!!!

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Mark Fulton @fenderguy69.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

#CFL Week 18 Scores/Margins/Totals Predictions 62 Factor Statistical Model.

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Mark Fulton @fenderguy69.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

#OUAFootball #OUA Week 6 Preview, Predictions & Playoff Races

Mark Fulton @fenderguy69.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

#CFL Week 17 Attendance Audit & Summary

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Mark Fulton @fenderguy69.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

#CFL Week 17 Predictions Audit & Analysis

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Mark Fulton @fenderguy69.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

#OUAFOOTBALL #OUA Prediction Model Audit. Week 5 Overall, there was a pretty interesting split: the model was quite good at identifying the winners and several game totals, but it underestimated how lopsided some games would become. Totals were too conservative.

Princess Auto does not miss! Rider Nation’s second trip to BC Place is not the first. Week 12 was 30,083. Last night was 24,183. We treated the 29–31k band as the floor. It was the ceiling. Repeat visit tax is real.

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#OUAFootball #OUA Week 5 Predictions & Outcomes. All calcs based on Pyth Expectation, RPI & SoS. Statistical Score, Margin & Totals Projections. "What If" scenarios for playoff probabilities & seedings.

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Model is running very good! If it's this accrate again tomorrow, I think we have the right recipe by regression on the 62 factor correlations!

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Circle K/Couche Tard defintely has them! Don't think Shopper's does. (Side Note: I'm up 3,997% on Couche-Tard since 2005 ... so please buy your drinks there since it helps my retirement!)

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Since I'm awake ... may as well ... Personally, I think it's primarily caused by the play-clock changes.

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It's MASSIVE!!! Not sure if it's the largest increase in type/class of penalty (i can do that analysis overnight) but it has to be! A 100% increase on total & 168% increase on a per game. That's basically going from once every 6 games per team to once every 2.3 games/team!!! That's a 3 Sigma Event

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Double Espresso time if I'm gonna be able to stay up for the rest of this game! No biscotti unfortunately. I shall do my best to endure!

Thoughts on Seedless Sweet Mini Peppers? Im mixed. I do like the convenience for snacking but find them not quite as juicy or tender as regular sweet pepper. Thoughts?

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Mark Fulton @fenderguy69.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

BIG Friday Night Of #CFL Action!!! Here's what's at stake in tonight's two matchups!!!

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#CFL Game Predictions: Week 17 Scores, Margins & Totals.