iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Hello! Allow me to reintroduce myself: I'm Chris Farley, the only NFL Circa contestant to earn a top-5 finish overall (61-28-1 in 2022) and 1st place quarter contest prize (3rd QTR, 19-1 in 2024) in the contest's history I have also won 100+ units the last five NFL seasons for my clients

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Full TNF analysis of the spreads and total (free) and a top play is up on Substack

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

It’s important to take a deep breath and investigate what really happened after the action today It’s also important to remember that your eyes weren’t deceiving you either Drake Maye and Justin Herbert have been just awful, it’s not arguable

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

The Chargers not covering +7.5 is grotesque

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Nothing surprising about the Chargers start to this game Unlike the Dolphins and the Titans and the Commanders, LAC has real talent and leadership, thus their preseason expectations

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Matt LaFleur acts like he’s a 275 pound ex NFL linebacker the way he huffs and puffs on the sideline Calm down little man, not one player thinks you’re a tough guy

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

How are we still not 100% sure what Jaxson Dart’s injury situation is? Are we sending RFK in there to do the diagnosis or what? Christ

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

Like it or not, big money sharps have moved in favor of the Giants

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

I’ve said a lot of nice things about Cooper Rush the last two weeks and he’s really making me look like an asshole

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

Not shocking at all to see reduced totals across the NFL early after a 50 point average in Week 1. The rain only helps

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

You can't criticize Jalen Hurts and Bo Nix and Dak Prescott and Drake Maye etc. etc. And then implicitly trust Justin Herbert The talent is obvious but championship-level QBs perform and win consistently It's more than just arm-strength I need to see more, Justin

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

Even at -250 Iwo Baraniewski is the best value at UFC 331

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

There are people that go on X just to see what the squares are saying and they bet against it That’s a very stupid mentality 1- squares exist on both sides 2- that means that whatever you perceive is the sharp side is “correct” Compounding fallacies

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

Remember how people overreact after one week of NFL football? Yeah please keep that in mind this weekend

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

It’s about to go from funny to not funny at all

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

Not surprised: Cardinals, Falcons, Browns, Jags, Bears defense, Vikings defense, Commanders, Eagles, Texans, Lions, Bucs, Packers Better than expected: Saints, Ravens, Bears offense, Bills offense, Bengals defensive line Worse than expected: Steelers, Colts, Chargers

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

NFL Week 1 betting preview in just 10 minutes. I’ll be here every week!

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

What did we learn from last night’s game? Not much. The Rams will be fine. Relax.

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

Death taxes and Shanahan owns McVay

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

Pegula just can’t win the big one. It is what it is. Anyway who cares football is on

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

One way I know I must be a decent bettor is because I’m truly not lucky at all For example whenever I place a broom against the wall it always falls down, it’s never luckily on the side that stands up, like ever And I know you know exactly what I mean by that

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

There’s no 2026 team I’m more captivated by than the Minnesota Vikings My video preview and two official futures are up on Substack

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

One play in the U.S. Open today Alex Michelson (+133 at DK) to win 1.33u 6-1, +17 units in the U.S. open so far

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

Winner ✅ 5-1, +14.67 units in the U.S. Open

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 05/09/2026

Making some nighttime eggs and I don’t know about you but I feel like a real asshole when I find shell fragments in the bowl, embarrassing

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 05/09/2026

There’s room for everyone in the world of NFL survivor contests, especially when you can sit your ass on a couch and sign up at the click of a button Enter Splash Sports 👀 Join the battle and compete with me, I dare ya 💪🏼

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

You already know I won’t have any bets on this game. That doesn’t mean I don’t have any thoughts My long-form preview is up on Substack right now 👇

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

Week 1 games to avoid Week 1 free play Week 1 top play Up on Substack 🙆🏻‍♂️

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

If you’re tailing an NFL handicapper I think it’s vital they show video evidence of throwing a football like with a spiral and everything Forget the numbers the data the models that’s far more important Can’t follow a guy that would throw up ducks at the beach. Stop.

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

Team previews are up every day on Substack. One week away from NFL season let’s go!

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

I'm sorry did you say we're 1 week away from an NFL football contest that matters?

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

CFB Week 1 lines— Ohio State -50.5 Navy -31.5 Georgia -47.5 North Dakota State -38.5 Tennessee -48.5 Arkansas -40.5 Old Dominion -40.5 Kansas State -41.5 CFB is a far better watch than NFL? Shut up.

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 30/08/2026

Honestly my best piece of advice for any serious bettor this NFL season is to not pay attention to any betting personalities or authorities or commenters, or to the opinions of any podcast or previous contest winner Who gives a shit Are you good at what you do? Good. Trust it.

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 30/08/2026

Tennis is the only sport where I'm in the red this year so take this advice however you want to I still really love this Day 1 U.S. Open parlay: Jasmine Paolini Arthur Rinderknech Leylah Fernandez Tommy Paul Emma Navarro Sofia Kenin +268 on FanDuel, 2u to win 5.36 units

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 30/08/2026

Anyone who criticizes betting on the preseason it’s because they haven’t learned how to win in it Anyway, another winning NFL preseason for me ✅ 8-6, +5.24u this NFLP +35 units the last five NFLPs

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 29/08/2026

The sports betting industry is addicted to takes, not what you should actually risk money on, just for the sake of opinions and content Consider that Be judicious And if you’ve been doing this for a long time you’re probably better off following your own discretion

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 29/08/2026

Yet another big day in UFC 3-1, +5.46 units in UFC Shanghai 49-60, +17.37 units in UFC this year

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 29/08/2026

Alley Cats is yet another Gervais classic, a very entertaining, fun watch

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 29/08/2026

I am done betting the WNBA for the most part this year but Mystics/Sparks 1Q over 40.5 makes a lot of sense tonight 45-41, +9.32 units this season

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

Since 2009, home division underdogs have gone 29-16 against the spread in Week 1, a roughly 64% cover rate. 2026 Week 1 home division dogs: Giants +3 😬

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

John Madden was the perfect voice for football In my opinion no one has come close since From a voice and authenticity perspective, @https://x.com/RossTuckerNFL is as close as we have to him now

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

I know we hate to say it but even if the Cowboys can produce an average defense this season, they have a real shot to sit atop the NFC Dallas has the most complete offense in the NFC East and it’s not close

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

We’re 7-4, +6.36 units this NFLP +37 units the last four years

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

The Rams and Bills both have brutal opening schedules through Week 5, which is when they will clash at Sofi If you want to wager on a Super Bowl win for either program, it would be wise to wait until after that meeting

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CR Farley @farleybets.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

So many players benefit from the right coach at the right time and it significantly prolongs their careers In Brian Daboll’s case it was the opposite, his career benefitted significantly from Josh Allen That shine is wearing off

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