iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 04/10/2026

The EV depreciation argument has aged like milk from a three-legged diesel cow. 😂 First EVs were too expensive. Then falling new-EV prices were somehow bad. Then those same price cuts were used as proof that used EVs suffered terrible depreciation.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 04/10/2026

EV depreciation fears are overblown. The real gap is just 2.6%, not 12.9%, once subsidies, taxes & falling new EV prices are adjusted for. As used #EV demand grows & running costs stay low, ICE faces rising pressure. The narrative is about to flip, and disruption is moving into the used-car market.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 03/10/2026

DEALERS REFUSING DIESELS AS EV TRADE-INS This won’t surprise those following disruption, but headline is evocative, and I suspect trend becomes global as soon as by this year. With diesel above £2/litre in the UK, specialist EV dealers are reporting a surge of people looking to switch to electric.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 01/10/2026

Geopolitics, shifting sentiment & fading FUD around Chinese #EVs are converging. After a decade of slow burn, adoption is accelerating. Australia hit 1 in 4 new cars fully battery-electric (BEV) a decade ahead of forecast & this is just take-off, disruption S-curves aren't gentle. #Bettrification

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 29/09/2026

Plug-in #EV share of new passenger-car sales/registrations around August 2026, counting BEVs + PHEVs/EREVs. The remarkable thing isn’t Norway approaching 100%. It’s who else is on the list. Different continents. Different incomes. Different grids. Different governments. Same technological S-curve.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 23/09/2026

In 2010, the Nissan Leaf arrived as the world’s first mass-produced EV ordinary buyers could own: a five-seat electric hatchback, no exotic price, no tiny production run. It eventually passed 600,000 global sales. Its real breakthrough was perception. It proved an EV could simply be someone’s car.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 17/09/2026

Solar passed nuclear in Texas 2 years ago. Now it's double. Texas is what makes this chart powerful. This isn't green ideology winning. It's pure economics. Solar is cheap, modular, scalable & incredibly fast to deploy. Wind keeps growing too. When economics take over, ideology becomes irrelevant.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 15/09/2026

Extraordinary milestone reached. China, the world’s largest car market: ⚡ All Top 10 best-selling cars, August = NEVs 🔋 9 of the Top 10 were fully electric BEVs ⛽ The first pure petrol car? #13 It’s an extinction event for the combustion engine. #EV

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 11/09/2026

When a reporter asked psychopath Trump on 9/11 if his building was damaged, he said, 'Now it's the tallest'—as thousands died, still dying and New York burned. The boast was false. Then America elected him twice as POTUS anyway. That says everything about us. Think about it....

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 09/09/2026

Calling EV 'just a car' misses point—like calling smartphone 'just a phone'. It's a software platform & AI. Driving becomes incidental, as calls did. The smartphone absorbed cameras, GPS, maps;EV absorbs energy, compute, auto. We repeat 'horseless carriage'. EV isn't a better car; it's a new system.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 04/09/2026

Tesla deserves credit for changing the car industry. It proved #EVs could beat ICE on performance & desirability, drove battery scale, pioneered software-defined cars & built the Supercharger network when industry doubted EVs had a future. Tesla disrupted the incumbents. Now Tesla is an incumbent.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 03/09/2026

Petrol prices going up again? ⛽️📈 Meanwhile, EV owners: plug in at home, wake up with a full “tank”, and drive for peanuts. 😂⚡️ The best part of electrification might be simply not giving a shit what happens at the bowser anymore. 😎🔌🚗 #EVs #Bettrification #RIPICE #Disruption

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 01/09/2026

The part of the energy transition that matters most: the cost curves. In 15 years, batteries fell ~93%. Utility solar ~90%. When foundational technologies get ~10× cheaper, they don't just take market share. They restructure entire industries. And the curves haven't stopped. #Bettrification #SWB

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 31/08/2026

For the past few years, one of the loudest arguments against the AI boom has been its enormous & rapidly growing demand for electricity. That concern is legitimate. But look deeper at what that demand is unleashing: a massive accelerant for the renewable energy buildout. The Trojan Horse of Energy!

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 30/08/2026

It’s actually brilliant policy. Don’t ban coal or gas, let them compete. For NEW data-centre demand, make proponents prove to the AER that new fossil beats firmed renewables on cost and reliability. On current new-build economics, the practical chance is zero. Let maths decide. Cost always wins 🏆

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 30/08/2026

The US energy transition keeps accelerating, and now surging electricity demand from AI and data centres is adding fuel to the fire. Renewables now generate >30% of US electricity. H1 2026 YoY: ⚡ Renewables +10.9% ☀️ Utility solar +21.6% ☀️ Rooftop solar +13% 💨 Wind +6.5% 🔥 Coal -11.3%

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 26/08/2026

For more than a century, UK & France competed to build the world's best ICE cars. Today they're competing to see who reaches 100% EV sales first. UK: 41.4% plug-in share France: 34.5% plug-in share The race no longer about defending ICE. It's about leading the electric future.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 26/08/2026

Not just a growing divide. Structural split. Division now compounds. China builds energy system of the future at industrial scale while the US increasingly defends the system of the past. Different trajectories. Different rates of change. Increasingly, very different futures.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 24/08/2026

Solar hit 3 TW, with each new terawatt arriving faster than last. My forecast: 9 TW by 2029 (BNEF says >9 TW by 2036), 13 TW by 2030 & 42 TW by 2035. Duck curve = price signal, not ceiling. Batteries, grids & flexible demand accelerate the cycle. Traditional linear forecasts keep lagging reality.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 22/08/2026

Nothing depreciates faster than a tank of fuel. Yes, EVs depreciate. So do petrol cars. But one burns hundreds monthly that vanish forever. 'Fuel depreciation' & oil volatility deserve much higher public scrutiny. It's a case of sunken assets vs energy-independent households. #EV #Bettrification

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 20/08/2026

Norway shows #EV adoption isn't the end—it’s when gas stations start closing. 430 have shut since 2020. Fewer stations, longer detours, higher costs. Convenience flips. That’s the real tipping point: infrastructure disappearing, making ICE obsolete from the outside in. #Disruption #Bettrifications

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 20/08/2026

Two of Australia's richest people. Both mining billionaires. Yet their visions for the future couldn't be more different. One says renewables are a lie. The other is investing billions in them. Same industry. Different bets. Time will decide who's right. #Bettrification #SWB

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 19/08/2026

China’s rate of technological progress is extraordinary. 2025 → 2026 looks impressive 2026 → 2030 could look ridiculous EVs, robots, batteries, AI, drones, autonomy, solar, space. A Darwinian innovation market evolving at breakneck speed. For old-tech incumbents, it’s terrifying. #Bettrification

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 17/08/2026

People didn't replace horses because horses stopped working. They replaced them because cars were better. People won't replace ICE vehicles because petrol cars stop working. They'll replace them because EVs are better. That's how disruption happens. #EVs #Bettrification #LFP #LMFP #LMR #Disruption

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 14/08/2026

In 2011, average new BEV managed around 120 km of range. Today it’s ~380 km, and I think we could be knocking on 400 km in 2026. That’s more than a 3× increase in just 15 years. Simultaneously #EVs have simultaneously become cheaper, faster to charge and vastly more capable. #BEV

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 13/08/2026

I used to wonder whether androids dream of electric sheep. Turns out the more pertinent question in 2026 is: Do sheep dream of electric cars? 🐑💭⚡🚗 New Zealand, passenger #EVs = 36.7% in July Philip K. Dick was asking the wrong bloody question. 😂 #Bettrification www.goauto.com.au/news/nz-sale...

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 12/08/2026

SWB (Solar, Wind and Batteries) is the defining concept of the 21st century. #SWB isn't just an energy system. It's the foundation of a Type I civilisation, where humanity increasingly powers itself from the continuous energy flows of its own planet rather than finite fuels buried beneath it.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 12/08/2026

After extreme heat & cooling-water constraints hit 8 European nuclear sites this summer, France just lost 3 more reactors to jellyfish clogging their cooling systems. That's the problem with confusing baseload with resilience, and why #SWB wins hands down! www.scmp.com/news/world/e...

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 12/08/2026

“Nuclear runs 24/7.” Except when it doesn’t. This summer, extreme heat, hot rivers and low water levels have forced shutdowns or output cuts at at least eight nuclear sites across five European countries: France, Switzerland, Hungary, Romania and Slovenia.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 09/08/2026

Adjusted for lower capacity factor, solar still added 16× more avg power generation than nuclear (2015–2025). Subsidies? France's nuke fleet wasn't built on bake sales. Compare electricity per taxpayer $—nuclear hype crew rarely does. Facts aren't woke. Just inconvenient. #SWB #Bettrification

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 06/08/2026

Updated chart: I accidentally mixed BEV-only data (Jan–Apr) with BEV + PHEV data (May–Jun) in the original version. Thanks to those who spotted it. The chart has now been corrected using consistent BEV + PHEV figures throughout: Jan 14.3%, Feb 18.0%, Mar 22.2%, Apr 26.6%, May 29.6%, Jun 35.8%.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 01/08/2026

Over 10 years and 1.2 million kilometres, the Panther eTOPAS 600 delivers an estimated €385,000 (US$450,000) in total cost of ownership savings, reducing TCO by around 36%. The economics speak for themselves. The transition isn't being driven by sentiment. It's being driven by math. #EVs

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 01/08/2026

Built in Europe, Austria's first Chinese electric trucks are rolling off the line at Steyr Automotive. 🔋 621 kWh CATL LFP battery 🚛 Up to 560 km range ⚡ 660 kW dual CCS charging (20–80% in ~38 mins) 💪 941 hp China's EV tech is now becoming part of Europe's industrial base. #Bettrification #EVs

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 27/07/2026

China deployed 400k+ fully electric trucks in 2025. That's an industrial strategy at scale, not culture war. I project global EV truck sales at ~950k in 2026, accelerated by Hormuz oil shock. Expect surprises yearly, until diesel vanishes before forecasters finish lunch. #EV #LFP #Bettrification

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 26/07/2026

One of the most significant aspects of this isn't just the 45% reduction. It's that IEA explicitly attributed it to the combination of solar, wind and battery storage reducing reliance on expensive gas generation. That's a major milestone, theory is now being reflected in real-world market outcomes.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 25/07/2026

While US doubles down on more oil, coal & gas, China is investing billions to help the Global South leapfrog the fossil fuel era altogether. One nation is spending enormous effort protecting the past. The other is investing in building the future. History won't rewards those who fight progress.

A bold split-panel infographic contrasts two competing visions for the future. The left side is dark and smoky, showing oil pumpjacks, coal plants, industrial pollution, and a worn U.S. flag. Large white and red text reads: "WHILE THE U.S. DOUBLES DOWN ON MORE OIL, COAL & GAS." Below are icons labeled "MORE OIL," "MORE COAL," and "MORE GAS," reinforcing the message of continued fossil fuel expansion. The imagery conveys pollution, aging infrastructure, and reliance on traditional energy.

The right side is bright and colorful, featuring solar panels, wind turbines, a high-speed electric train, green landscapes, and a modern city skyline under blue skies. Large white and green text reads: "CHINA IS INVESTING BILLIONS TO HELP THE GLOBAL SOUTH LEAPFROG THE FOSSIL FUEL ERA ALTOGETHER." Green icons highlight clean energy, energy storage, modern infrastructure, and jobs and economic growth, emphasizing investment in low-carbon development.

A prominent "VS" symbol separates the two halves. Along the bottom, contrasting banners state: "ONE NATION IS PROTECTING THE PAST" on the left and "THE OTHER NATION IS BUILDING THE FUTURE" on the right. The final message, in large white and yellow lettering, reads: "HISTORY WON'T REWARD THOSE WHO FIGHT PROGRESS."

The poster uses dramatic color contrast, oversized typography, and symbolic imagery to present an opinionated comparison between continued fossil fuel development and investment in clean energy and infrastructure.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 25/07/2026

China exports electrification. Ethiopia deployed 50 electric trucks at Bishoftu Airport (42 more soon) cutting fuel imports, costs, emissions. Heavy transport electrifies in emerging economies. This model ~ spreading across Africa, LATAM, & Global South. The energy transition is already being built.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 24/07/2026

Top 10 EV growth stories of June 2026, not because of biggest markets, but because they reveal where next wave of electrification is emerging. The transition isn't happening in one country anymore. It's becoming a global phenomenon, with breakthroughs appearing across Asia & Europe simultaneously.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 22/07/2026

Hopium is believing finance doesn't matter. That investors will cheer a 20-year, billion-dollar bet while solar, wind, and batteries get cheaper every quarter. Hopium is believing a plant that needs 90%+ utilization to breathe can survive in a grid drowning in near-zero marginal cost electrons.

Infographic titled "Nuclear Hopium: It's Not About Engineering. It's About Economics." comparing the economics of nuclear power with solar, wind and battery storage. The left panel lists common "nuclear hopium" beliefs, including that economics no longer matter, investors will fund 10–20 year projects despite falling renewable and battery costs, batteries will stop getting cheaper, and electricity markets will resemble today's. It concludes that the engineering challenge was solved decades ago and the remaining challenge is financial.

The central panel compares new capacity added globally from 2014–2023, stating solar added about 2,670 GW versus 40 GW for nuclear. After accounting for average capacity factors (around 20% for solar and 85–90% for nuclear), it claims solar still delivered roughly 16× more average power output, or about 1,470% more.

The lower sections explain that wind also added comparable average power after capacity adjustments, while batteries increase the value of renewable generation by shifting energy, reducing curtailment and replacing gas peakers. A "bigger picture" section highlights rapid growth in solar, wind and battery manufacturing, contrasted with rising costs and longer construction times for many new nuclear projects.

The footer argues that energy investment decisions are ultimately driven by financial returns rather than engineering capability, contrasting the question "Can we build it?" with "Should we build it?" The graphic features solar panels, wind turbines and battery storage containers in the background, with EV Curve Futurist branding in the top-right corner.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 21/07/2026

Funny how some are focused on the pixels instead of the message. The artwork was AI-generated. The facts weren't. Every statistic was sourced & verifiable. If AI helps more people engage with the energy transition, I'll happily keep using it. Clearly, it reached a lot of people. That was the point.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 21/07/2026

My biggest takeaway isn't simply that Germany sold more EVs. It's that the birthplace of the automobile has now validated where the future is heading, with BEVs forcing the capitulation of petrol, diesel and even hybrid powertrains. #RIPICE #EVs #Bettrification

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 20/07/2026

With 57% of its electricity now coming from renewables, including 22% from solar & 21% from wind, Spain built one of Europe's most impressive electricity systems. Solar is now the country's fastest-growing source of power & has helped drive some of the lowest wholesale electricity prices in Europe.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 19/07/2026

For more than a century, energy was something we bought from distant monopolies. They owned the assets. They set the rules. We paid the bill. Now, for the first time in history, we can generate, store & control our own energy. More than just energy, this is a power transition! #Bettrification #EVs

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 16/07/2026

The most important energy milestone of the 21st century. In 2025, renewables overtook coal to become the world's largest source of electricity generation for the first time in modern history. Coal powered the industrial age. Renewables appear set to define the electric age. #SWB #Bettrification

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 15/07/2026

Here's cost analysis comparing France's new offshore wind program with the equivalent annual nuclear output. This is why France, poster child for nuclear power, is going balls deep into renewables. It isn't green ideology. It's economics, speed & energy security. Time is money. Cost always wins.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 15/07/2026

France isn't just building offshore wind, it's building long-term energy security. EU-approved support for 11.1 GW will generate almost 48 TWh a year, around 10% of France's electricity demand. Speed is money, cost always wins, and nuclear's share of the mix is shrinking. #SWB #Bettrification #Wind

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 14/07/2026

China not the biggest contributor. Despite generating huge amounts of plastic waste, decades of investment in waste collection, recycling, treatment & infrastructure mean far less leaks into rivers & the ocean than many assume. They're now among the most aggressive countries at tackling the problem.

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 13/07/2026

The biggest barrier to EV adoption isn't battery technology. It's people forming opinions about EVs from other non owner's opinions rather than from their personal ownership experience. Disruption looks impossible from the outside & obvious from the inside. #EV #Bettrification

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Chris Meder @evcurvefuturist.com · 11/07/2026

Since 2010, solar has gone from a niche technology to the fastest-growing energy source in history. In 2025 it entered the steepest part of the disruption S-curve with another record year. Yet many analysts are already calling 2026 a "slowdown" while missing what's happening in absolute terms. #SWB

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