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Evan Scrimshaw

@escrimshaw.bsky.social

2K followers 68 following 161 posts

Political Writer | Freelance Sports Writer | Host Scrimshaw Show | Sports Enthusiast | Author, Salvation In The Storm | Professional Asshole

Posts Replies Media

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

@escrimshaw.bsky.social with a Quebec Preview: Duhaime Surge Complicates PQ Path To Majority Government scrimshawunscripted.substack.com/p/quebec-pre...

scrimshawunscripted.substack.com

Quebec Preview: Duhaime Surge Complicates PQ Path To Majority Government

Everything To Play For As Quebec Decides Its Future

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 29/05/2026

@escrimshaw.bsky.social on Alberta: Independence’s Cold And Broken Hallelujah #ableg #abpoli #cdnpoli It's a fair and accurate assessment. Most of Alberta's ills stem from very bad provincial govt. Like terrible. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Alberta: Independence’s Cold And Broken Hallelujah

On How We Got Here

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 23/04/2026

@escrimshaw.bsky.social on Ford, Gravy Plane, And How To Strengthen The OLP #onpoli open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Ford, Gravy Plane, And How To Strengthen The OLP

A 4 Point Plan To Take Advantage Of Ford’s Failures

Evan Scrimshaw @escrimshaw.bsky.social · 14/04/2026

“If he can harness his propensity for proposing bold, new visions to break his party’s addiction to inertia and revive Canada’s left. If he can’t the NDP’s death knell will be delivered at the hands of its most famous son. No pressure, though” New @macleans.bsky.social macleans.ca/politics/whe...

Where Does the NDP Go From Here? - Macleans.ca

That’s for Avi Lewis to figure out

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 08/04/2026

@escrimshaw.bsky.social on the very uncomfortable pragmatism of Gladu, Floor Crossings, And The Demands Of Times Of Crisis Canada is at war. If someone like her understands this, and wants to help win it, that's pretty amazing really. #cdnpoli open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Gladu, Floor Crossings, And The Demands Of Times Of Crisis

On Peace Time And War Time

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 06/04/2026

@escrimshaw.bsky.social on Terrebonne: Federal Liberals Show A Path To Provincial Revival #cdnpoli I am wondering if there is a lesson here for the ABNDP but it's probably not apples to apples quite. #ableg open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Terrebonne: Federal Liberals Show A Path To Provincial Revival

On A Federal Byelection With Big Implications

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 10/02/2026

Canadian Media’s Early Election Hype Is Bad Journalism and @escrimshaw.bsky.social explains why. #abpoli #cdnpoli open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Canadian Media’s Early Election Hype Is Bad Journalism

On Failures Of The Fourth Estate

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 06/02/2026

A 10 seat loss of a disaster based on the latest polls. @escrimshaw.bsky.social breaks it down. #ableg #abpoli Nenshi’s NDP On Track For Disaster open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Nenshi’s NDP On Track For Disaster

Time To Treat This Like The Crisis It Is

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 03/02/2026

Wild day is an understatement. @escrimshaw.bsky.social explains. Scarborough Southwest: What On Earth Is Happening? #cdnpoli #onpoli open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Scarborough Southwest: What On Earth Is Happening?

On All The Implications

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 31/01/2026

Pierre Poilievre, you've just bought yourself more time by stacking a vote in your favour! What's next?! According to @escrimshaw.bsky.social probably nothing cuz he still can't pivot. Poilievre’s Confirmed As CPC Leader: What’s Next? open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha... #cdnpoli #abpoli

open.substack.com

Poilievre’s Confirmed As CPC Leader: What’s Next?

On The Battle Reconfirmed

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 26/01/2026

@escrimshaw.bsky.social has some solid thoughts on Carney’s Revival Of Political Courage open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha... #cdnpoli

open.substack.com

Carney’s Revival Of Political Courage

On Ambirion And Achieving Outcomes

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 20/01/2026

@escrimshaw.bsky.social on Davos: A Decent Start, But More To Do open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha... #cdnpoli

open.substack.com

Davos: A Decent Start, But More To Do

Carney Needs To Trust Canadians

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 14/01/2026

Good news for Quebec according to @escrimshaw.bsky.social - Legault Resigns: What’s Next For Quebec? open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Legault Resigns: What’s Next For Quebec?

On Today’s Shocking News

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 02/01/2026

Yep, all of this. Smith could lose but only if the NDP run a very good campaign, and there's no signs at this point that they will. @escrimshaw.bsky.social spells it out. #ableg #abpoli Alberta’s Likely Early Election: Is Danielle Smith Vulnerable? open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Alberta’s Likely Early Election: Is Danielle Smith Vulnerable?

Setting The Table On Alberta’s Plausible Snap Election

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 27/11/2025

Seeing a lot of seething about the Carney/Smith MOU today. I share the frustration because it's all politics and I don't think its going to translate into tangible nice things for us but if you want a good take or two, check out @escrimshaw.bsky.social and @djclimenhaga.bsky.social #ableg #cdnpoli

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 10/11/2025

Riverbend is 100% takeable. 100% @escrimshaw.bsky.social has some sound ideas on how. #cdnpoli #abpoli Memo To The Liberals: How To Win Edmonton-Riverview open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Memo To The Liberals: How To Win Edmonton-Riverview

On The Upcoming Byelection

Evan Scrimshaw @escrimshaw.bsky.social · 10/11/2025

Ignore the fact that autocorrect screwed up my headline LOL

Evan Scrimshaw @escrimshaw.bsky.social · 07/11/2025

FWIW, Edmonton-Riverbend projection in the model right now: LPC: 46.2 (+1.4) CPC: 44.6 (-5.7) NDP: 8.0 (+3.8) Others: 1.2 (+0.5) (Changes since 2025 election) Clearly a winnable target for the LPC and a high priority for the party

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 03/11/2025

Xmas election glee in the media is unsettling, but it's not a given at all. @escrimshaw.bsky.social facting again. #cdnpoli Models, Polls, And The Liberals On Majority’s Edge open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Models, Polls, And The Liberals On Majority’s Edge

Pre-Budget Model Update!

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 31/10/2025

Do The Conservatives Actually Want An Election? @escrimshaw.bsky.social is not convinced. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha... #cdnpoli

open.substack.com

Do The Conservatives Actually Want An Election?

On Not Entirely Robust Assumptions

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 22/10/2025

Do The Liberals Want An Election? @escrimshaw.bsky.social explains it all. And he's right. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Do The Liberals Want An Election?

Questions To Which The Answer Is No

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 02/10/2025

Election Timing: Still 2027 At The Earliest. And @escrimshaw.bsky.social is right on the nose. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Election Timing: Still 2027 At The Earliest

Stop Buying Illogical Hype

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 26/06/2025

Yep, Robertson needs to find his spine and tell the Toronto city council to honour the deal or no money. @escrimshaw.bsky.social explains the details. Memo To Gregor Robertson: Toronto Can’t Be Allowed To Get Away With This open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Memo To Gregor Robertson: Toronto Can’t Be Allowed To Get Away With This

Time To Force Toronto’s Hand

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 25/06/2025

Been on the road socatching up on @escrimshaw.bsky.social today. The Alberta pundit take isn't this dire. But I think the Ellerslie result was not good. Sure, NDP held and I don't think they lose #yeg, but they won't capture Calgary if something doesn't change. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Alberta Byelections: If You Think This Is Fine You’re Not Paying Attention

In Defence Of Standards

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 17/06/2025

@escrimshaw.bsky.social is right. Bill C - 5 is going to end up in endless, and long, legal battles, which will defeat the purpose. The need for speed shouldn't blind people to the necessity of avoiding the same thing issues that caused the problem in the first place.

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 17/06/2025

@escrimshaw on how there's a better way to do this than C-5. Bill C-5: Well Intentioned Disaster open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Bill C-5: Well Intentioned Disaster

Where Good Intentions Go To Die

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 14/06/2025

@escrimshaw.bsky.social has the right of it here. There has to be room for criticism. Leaders shouldn't insulate themselves. The civil service needs to be proactive and responsive. Carney’s (Other) Needed Cultural Revolution open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Carney’s (Other) Needed Cultural Revolution

On How To Better Govern

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 31/05/2025

I want to be more optimistic but I agree with @escrimshaw.bsky.social that not much as changed. ABNDP is still crutching on "UCP bad", which everyone knows and few care about. We need a vision for the future. Nenshi’s Dangerously Nothing NDP Leadership open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Nenshi’s Dangerously Nothing NDP Leadership

On The Alberta NDP’s Crisis

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 22/05/2025

As @escrimshaw.bsky.social points out, we need a real plan and a serious discussion. Personally though, if it runs along the lines of anything other than "Canada is doing this for Canada", I won't be pleased. Canada’s Foreign Policy Crossroads open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Canada’s Foreign Policy Crossroads

On Missile Defence And Options

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Kayle Clark🇨🇦 @kayleclark.ca · 20/05/2025

And if you want to read about how stupid of an idea it is, I suggest this column from @escrimshaw.bsky.social scrimshawunscripted.substack.com/p/citizenshi...

scrimshawunscripted.substack.com

Citizenship, And How To Fight Separatism

Lies Won’t Keep Alberta In Canada

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 20/05/2025

I don't disagree with @escrimshaw.bsky.social on this but I don't trust the UCP. Would we be allowed by Alberta to keep citizenship is the question. They lie to us all the fucking time. So, 🤷‍♀️. Citizenship, And How To Fight Separatism open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Citizenship, And How To Fight Separatism

Lies Won’t Keep Alberta In Canada

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 19/05/2025

The CPC learned nothing from their loss. Poilievre learned even less, if that's even possible, and @escrimshaw.bsky.social is right. This is very good news for the Liberals. Better than we cld've hoped for. Conservatives Are Gaslighting Themselves open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Conservatives Are Gaslighting Themselves

On The Big Mistake Conservatives Are Making

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 17/05/2025

All of this plus @escrimshaw.bsky.social explains what "tabling a budget" means in a way that the media doesn't bother to. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Carney, Budgets, And A Rocky Week

Reflections On This Week

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 10/05/2025

Party status is earned. They fucked this up themselves. This is little different from Poilievre thinking he should get a gimme re-do for a seat, imo, but @escrimshaw.bsky.social can explain it better. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

NDP, Party Status, And The Entitlement Of The Powerless

On Don Davies’ Asinine Quotes

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 09/05/2025

I hate Scott Moe. He's worse than useless and a terrible person to boot, but it does look like Carney is about to enlist Moe's terminal self-interest to fuck over Smith and that will be a goddamn pleasure to watch. @escrimshaw.bsky.social explains it all. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Lessons For Next Time: How To Manage Alberta Independence

Smith And Moe Show Two Paths

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 07/05/2025

Yep. Agree with @escrimshaw.bsky.social here. And as a side note, I was just a lowly campaign manager in a not even possible to win AB riding this recent election, but I noted a marked difference in the party. Far more accessible and it really helped. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Lessons For Next Time: Embrace Dissent

Learning From One Of Trudeau’s Errors

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 06/05/2025

Rational Albertans, and there are a few of us, know exactly what Smith's catering to batshit crazy is going to cost us. @escrimshaw.bsky.social is more generous than I am here but I hate Smith's treasonous ass, so there's that. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Danielle Smith And The Fallacy Of An Independent Alberta

What Advocates For Alberta Miss

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 04/05/2025

@escrimshaw.bsky.social with a fair assessment. Trudeau has a small handful of good social programs and the fact that it was him and not Andrew Scheer when covid hit going for his legacy, but that's it. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Trudeau’s Weak Legacy Makes Carney’s Job Easier

On Polls And Policies

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 29/04/2025

@escrimshaw.bsky.social is one the best Canadian political analysts we have. This recap is just more proof. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Election Recap: What The Fuck Just Happened

On A Wild Election

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 26/04/2025

A big thank you to Blanchet for this own goal. @escrimshaw.bsky.social explains it well. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Blanchet’s Artificial Idiocy

On The Stupidest Quote Of The Election

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 23/04/2025

The tldr is the Liberals are still looking at a majority, but read @escrimshaw.bsky.social anyway because he knows his shit about pollsters, and some of you could use a practical lesson in why polls aren't partisan voodoo. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Looking For Fucking Anything To Happen

This Campaign Is Slowly Driving Me Crazy

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 16/04/2025

"Yes, if you want to pick out individual crosstabs you can piece together a narrative of momentum. You can also piece together a 225 seat Liberal projection if you engage in the same hackery." @escrimshaw.bsky.social open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Motion Pictures (For A Crap Conservative Campaign)

On Abacus, Leger, And The Race

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 16/04/2025

I really admire how @escrimshaw.bsky.social manages to come up with ever more informative ways to explain how really, terribly, no good at all the CPC is doing in this election. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Would A 10% Swing Save The Conservatives?

Questions To Which The Answer Is No

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 14/04/2025

Can we think of the pollsters, please? Seriously, we need @escrimshaw.bsky.social to maintain some equilibrium for the next two weeks. And also, even Mainstreet is still predicting a Lib majority, so Poilievre is still blowing this. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Mainstreet: Can We Please Stop Overreacting?

For My Sanity, I Beg

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 13/04/2025

I don't know who Darrell Bricker is but RIP because @escrimshaw.bsky.social just dug a hole and buried him under the receipts. Also, Poilievre is still losing. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Another Brick(er) In The Wall Of Idiocy

On Big Shifts And Bigger Idiocy

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 12/04/2025

@escrimshaw.bsky.social explains, again, why the CPC isn't going to form government because, basically, math. Really bad, unchanged from a week ago, math. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Just How Much Trouble Are The Conservatives In?

Mental Exercises, Etc

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 10/04/2025

All of this. @escrimshaw.bsky.social open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Campaigns, Shaky Movements, And Getting Things Right

Meditations On The Election

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 09/04/2025

Things are still very bad for Poilievre. Maybe he should talk less about the sizes of his crowd rallies? But who are we kidding? That won't happen. @escrimshaw.bsky.social breaks down the new numbers. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Polling Update: The Conservatives Are In Trouble

On The Latest Round Of Polls

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 06/04/2025

The NDP are also doing very badly. Plus poll weighting splainer from @escrimshaw.bsky.social open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Past Vote, Pollster Weights, And The Untold Story Of The Election

Scrimshaw’s Guide To Polling Wonkery

Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw

Ann Petersen-Kane @anniegirl.bsky.social · 04/04/2025

Conservatives are still doing badly - Part 3 - from @escrimshaw.bsky.social open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...

open.substack.com

Conservatives’ Attacks On Carney Aren’t Landing

Conservatives In Crisis