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Enertuition

@enertuition.bsky.social
91 followers 21 following 389 posts

Skeptic honed in seeing through Investment banker and management BS. Writing about AI, CPUs, GPUs, Solar, BEVs, Autonomous driving, etc. Tag me on anything related.

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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
$ARM Is Masa dumping ARM on gullible?
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Finally, the data center heat issue has reached popular press. I expect this to slow down a lot o urban/suburban DC construction - and deservedly so. www.bloomberg.com/graphics/202...
bloomberg.com
AI Data Centers Release Heat, Posing New Problem for Cities
As facilities to power AI grow larger and are built in clusters, they are spreading hot air beyond their property lines
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
$NVDA $AMD $SPCX $AMZN $GOOG $MSFT $META $ORCL My view on the powered shell shortage story that seems to have caught fire during the weekend: enertuition.substack.com/p/musks-fomo...
enertuition.substack.com
Musk’s FOMO Driven AI Plans Expose Supply Chain Disconnect
AI Deployment Challenges For 2027
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
$NVDA fans need to realize that most of Nvidia 2027 growth is Musk SpaceXAI FOMO. Without that Musk desperation Nvidia is losing share even more bigly. $SPCX
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
AI and the internet bubble comparisons rang hollow in the past but with Nvidia funding/backstopping everyone. The parallels are much stronger now. With big money funding “AI factories”, and FOMO players like Musk jumping in, the overbuild risk has gone up substantially. www.wsj.com/tech/ai/nvid...
wsj.com
Nvidia Has Become a Banker to the AI Boom, Putting It on Dangerous Ground
The financial engineering the company is using to keep revenue growing introduces risks that could eventually cause real pain.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
Elon pumping nonsense for the last several days and it seems to have reached a crescendo on SPCX call and it continuing at that elevated level today. I have not seen Elon pump this hard in a long time. I suspect there is some deadline somewhere. Something that needs high $SPCX or $TSLA stock price.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Is the peak fraud sub-$3T? Here me out. One shouldn't underestimate Elon's fraud or the power of his gullible followers but $SPCX and $TSLA action is interesting. Could make the merger and post-merger dynamics interesting.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
Why is this fraud announcing this on a Saturday instead of Monday morning or Sunday evening? The man does not do anything with some corruption in mind. What is it? Of course, it was not a request from Iran for sure and probably not a request from MBS as much as WH planting the story through MBS.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
$SANM Sanmina looks poised: enertuition.substack.com/p/sanmina-ca...
enertuition.substack.com
Sanmina: Calm Before The Storm
After the markets closed on Monday, Sanmina (SANM) reported above expectation Q3FY26 results and Q4 guidance.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
$AMD My take on the Anthropic announcement and the Advancing AI event: enertuition.substack.com/p/amd-anthro...
enertuition.substack.com
AMD Anthropic Deal & Advancing AI Event
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has its annual “Advancing AI” event starting in San Fransico today.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
My take on Kimi K3 and its impact on the AI scene. enertuition.substack.com/p/seeing-thr... $AMD $NVDA $META $GOOG $MSFT $AMZN
enertuition.substack.com
Seeing Through The Kimi K3 Fog
Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model shook up the AI space last week as it emerged as the first open-source model to go toe-to-toe with frontier models.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
$MU MicronTech results came in in-line with my expectations, but the SCA commentary was stronger. My take on the results: enertuition.substack.com/p/micron-bla...
enertuition.substack.com
Micron Blasts Past Expectations
Micron (MU) delivered stunning Q3 FY26 results somewhat reminiscent of the type of growth we have only witnessed once before – Nvidia (NVDA) blowouts in the early part of AI ramp.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
Arbitrary diktats lead to terrible outcomes. Ask Jensen Nvidia. The man sucked up to Trump and his China business went to zero. Even a policy that you don't like, like the Biden era GPU restrictions, is better than arbitrariness of the current administration.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
My take on the US restrictions on Anthropic enertuition.substack.com/p/the-us-gov...
enertuition.substack.com
The US Government’s Anthropic Fable 5 Restrictions Do Not Bode Well For the US
Friday, after the markets closed, the US Government issued an export control restriction on Anthropic Fable 5.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 30/05/2026
One more reason why we need to move to asset based taxation. People do not realize that it is the society and infrastructure around them that let them build the wealth.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
$TSM $NVDA $AMD $AVGO $MSFT $GOOG $AMZN $META $INTC My take on what can be done to protect against a potential Taiwan Black Swan: enertuition.substack.com/p/fortifying...
enertuition.substack.com
Fortifying AI Portfolios Against the Taiwan Black Swan
Time Will Tell If Trump Sold Out Taiwan – A Portfolio Defense May Be Sensible
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
$NVDA Nvidia GPU leakage into China is well known thing. BTH and other have noticed how the sales moved from the Middle East to Singapore to Malaysia/Thailand/SEA. But is that enough for a short case. Someone thinks so. culperresearch.com/wp-content/u...
culperresearch.com
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
This has been Musk MO forever - exploiting government inefficiency. VC and fund manager types and many others have confused this kind of law breaking as a good thing.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
$NVDA $AMD It is not looking good for Nvidia. enertuition.substack.com/p/nvidia-on-...
enertuition.substack.com
Nvidia On The Verge Of Losing GPU Lead For A Couple Of Generations
Note: Beyond The Hype long term subscribers can skip the Background section
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
$AMD Last quarter, I said the tape was wrong and the stock needs to move up a lot. That is now vindicated. So, what next? My take on AMD earnings: enertuition.substack.com/p/amd-shatte...
enertuition.substack.com
AMD Shatters The CPU Narrative
AMD Q1 2026 Earnings
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
@semianalysis.bsky.social article today, among other things, compares various accelerators. Nothing touches AMD MI450 for this upcoming generation. You can see Amazon Trainium totally sucks. AMZN is going to underperform because it is pushing this substandard solution. $AMD $AMZN $NVDA
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
$SANM My take on @SanminaCorp Q2 earnings: enertuition.substack.com/p/sanmina-ta...
enertuition.substack.com
Sanmina Taking Off As Expected
Sanmina Q2 FY26 Earnings Highlights
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
Reupping this @niedermeyer.online @talesftf.bsky.social @bradmunchen.bsky.social @montanaskeptic.bsky.social @mcuban.bsky.social
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
$TSLA $INTC My hot take on Elon revealing Intel 14A. You need some comedy in life. Enjoy. enertuition.substack.com/p/elon-revea...
enertuition.substack.com
Elon Reveals an Intel Terafab Long Case During Tesla Earnings Call
Investors are well aware that recently Intel (INTC) made an announcement with Tesla (TSLA) and SpaceX about Terafab project.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
$INTC Ahead of Intel Q1 earnings: open.substack.com/pub/enertuit...
open.substack.com
Intel In Wonderland
INTC Q1 2026 Earnings Preview
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
$AVGO $META Meta announcement: about.fb.com/news/2026/04... No increase in commitment but Meta will work with Broadcom on multiple ASICs. The material change is that Hock Tan is off the board and PR seems to be aimed at softening the news. AVGO stock is up after hours however.
about.fb.com
Meta Partners With Broadcom to Co-Develop Custom AI Silicon
We’re partnering with Broadcom to co-develop multiple generations of custom silicon, ensuring we have the compute foundation to deliver on our long-term AI ambitions.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
If it goes through, what a deal! Iran collects a toll on oil through Hormuz (which used to be free) in return for a few American lives, billions of dollars or ammunition and other expenses, and chaos in world markets. Of course, old Iran mullah's have been replaced with young.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
Wow! Anthropic crossed $30B ARR. What a rocket! www.anthropic.com/news/google-...
anthropic.com
Anthropic expands partnership with Google and Broadcom for multiple gigawatts of next-generation compute
Anthropic is an AI safety and research company that's working to build reliable, interpretable, and steerable AI systems.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
To the best of my knowledge I am the only guys who calls SemiAnalysis on trading in material public information: x.com/HotAisle/sta...
x.com
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
$ARM gets mentioned a lot in the context of Agentic AI and CPUs. Most of the narrative is utter nonsense. My take here. $AMD $INTC enertuition.substack.com/p/rising-cpu...
enertuition.substack.com
Rising CPU Tide Is Not Likely to Lift ARM
Highlights From ARM Investor Presentation
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
$SMCI $NVDA Observers like me with no data other than publicly disclosed information could clearly see that China was getting GPUs - not small quantities either. There is "0" chance that Jensen did not know. He probably kept his hands clean, however.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
$MU Bears should read this. Do you really want to be short Micron? enertuition.substack.com/p/micron-ent...
enertuition.substack.com
Micron Enters the World of SCAs
Micron Q2 FY26 Earnings
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
Musk is ramping up nonsense on Terafab. This is standard Musk playbook and nothing but an attempt raise money that he desperately needs with the excuse of a new con that will never amount to anything. $TSLA
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
$NVDA $AMD $ORCL For people who think Jensen is not running scared of MI450, see this: “With Crusoe seeking a tenant, Nvidia became involved to ensure its products would still fill the expanded data center rather than that of rival AMD, said the people.” www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Oracle and OpenAI End Plans to Expand Flagship Data Center
Oracle Corp. and OpenAI have scrapped plans to expand a flagship artificial intelligence data center in Texas after negotiations dragged over financing and OpenAI’s changing needs.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
$AVGO My take on @Broadcom earnings. It is not as good as it looks, and the bulls are not going to be happy with the stock action: enertuition.substack.com/p/broadcom-i...
enertuition.substack.com
Broadcom Is Not Likely To Fly On Those Big 2027 Forecasts
Broadcom Q1 FY2026 Earnings Review
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
This could become a big trust factor for OpenAI and people leaning toward Anthropic at the margin. www.theinformation.com/articles/ant...
theinformation.com
Anthropic CEO Memo: Trump Disliked Company For Not Giving ‘Dictator-Style Praise’
Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei on Friday told employees that a deal OpenAI and its CEO Sam Altman struck to provide AI to the Department of Defense was “safety theater,” adding that the Trump Administrati...
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
$AMZN $NVDA My take on OpenAI $100B+ raise. It does not look pretty out there: enertuition.substack.com/p/open-ai-11...
enertuition.substack.com
Open AI $110B Round Does Not Look Good For Amazon Or Nvidia
OpenAI IPO Mid-2026?
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
$NVDA Can Nvidia be ex-growth in 2027? A thought-provoking take. You will not see this quality analysis sell side or buy side. Only on Substack. enertuition.substack.com/p/nvidia-del...
enertuition.substack.com
Nvidia Delivers Terrific Results; But It Is Those Elephants in The Room
Can Nvidia be ex-growth in 2027?
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
$AMD Some Analysts will tell you that AMD’s deal with Meta is not good for AMD shareholders because of the warrants. Then again, analysts like that are demonstrating that they lack the subject depth. Such analysis is a good candidate to be replaced by AI. enertuition.substack.com/p/amd-makes-...
enertuition.substack.com
AMD Makes A Historic AI Deal With Meta: Nvidia Will Keep Losing The AI Infrastructure Battles
A potential high alpha note
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
Markets can be very very stupid at times. What differentiates investors and traders here is the understanding of why one is investing. If AI is going to take over and eliminate most of the knowledge worker jobs, then that has to be good news for compute and not bad news.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
My take on the lay of AI hardware land in 2026 and beyond. enertuition.substack.com/p/what-is-ah...
enertuition.substack.com
What Is Ahead In AI Hardware For 2026?
Prognostications As We Start 2026
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
$NVDA $AMD $MU My take on the new DeepSeek paper which I believe will transform the AI landscape once again. This is likely going to be (one of) the most important paper(s) for 2026. enertuition.substack.com/p/deepseek-o...
enertuition.substack.com
DeepSeek Once Again Revolutionizes AI Compute
Engram is a game changer
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Elon moved goal posts again on when full self driving will happen. Even after ten years of this nonsense, the cult will keep believing. x.com/elonmusk/sta...
x.com
Elon Musk on X: "@pbeisel Roughly 10 billion miles of training data is needed to achieve safe unsupervised self-driving. Reality has a super long tail of complexity." / X
@pbeisel Roughly 10 billion miles of training data is needed to achieve safe unsupervised self-driving. Reality has a super long tail of complexity.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
@carlquintanilla.bsky.social @niedermeyer.online @mcuban.bsky.social Huge part of the administration's strength comes from robber capitalists who suck up to power for personal gains despite the harm to democracy. How about pushing back against robber capitalists with a nationwide sickout - say 2/2?
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
$TSLA If the FSD myth is is gone, then for people who want to believe, Tesla’s value will come from Optimus. Hope springs perennial.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
$NVDA $TSLA Nvidia just open sourced a software stack that works better than Tesla’s FSD. Neither are true FSD but it is comical that Tesla stock gets a premium for something that is freely available for every one.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
$ASML has been one of the larger holdings at Beyond The Hype for a while now. I have an updated take: enertuition.substack.com/p/asml-thesi...
enertuition.substack.com
ASML: Thesis Is Changing
ASML Holding NV (ASML) stock has been choppy since post-COVID peak in 2021.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 25/12/2025
$NVDA My take on why @nvidia may have bought @GroqInc and implications. $AMD @AMD enertuition.substack.com/p/nvidia-to-...
enertuition.substack.com
Nvidia To Acquire Groq For $20B: Implications
In a surprise Christmas Eve news, we find from Groq that Nvidia (NVDA) non-exclusively licensed Groq’s technology and acquihired the team.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 24/12/2025
$NVDA So, it is now a confirmed acquihire of Groq by Nvidia- sort of. groq.com/newsroom/gro...
groq.com
Groq and Nvidia Enter Non-Exclusive Inference Technology Licensing Agreement to Accelerate AI Inference at Global Scale
The Groq LPU delivers inference with the speed and cost developers need.
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Enertuition @enertuition.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
Here is a positive forward looking take on where some key stocks are likely headed despite all the bubble gloom and doom. open.substack.com/pub/shilpare...
open.substack.com
The Path to a $10T Market Cap
Who will reach the $10T milestone first, and why?
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